Free Lone Star Picks & Predictions

Onthethirstyside sits just behind Go Lang in the ratings at 76.09, making this a logical exacta pairing with the top pick. Trainer Mindy J. Willis and jockey Stewart Elliott are a familiar local combo, and at 7/2 on the morning line there's some value if Go Lang gets bet down. The average speed figure of 54 keeps this one competitive on pure numbers.

Promise Me Money draws the 2-hole with the second-highest morning line favoritism at 3/1, and trainer Jayde J. Gelner's runner carries a 62.23 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field. Jockey Deshawn L. Parker is an active rider at Lone Star, and this horse's profile suggests a race to be competitive without necessarily winning outright, making it a sensible show play and trifecta anchor.

Ore Mine is the value play of this race — a 15/1 morning line price with a 69.58 TrackWiz rating that actually grades out third in the field. The average speed figure of 57 ties Classic Moment and Augusta Melody, and trainer Ronnie E. Cravens III has runners at both ends of the card today. If Classic Moment falters or gets shuffled in the early speed battle at 4.5 furlongs, Ore Mine with Rene Diaz aboard looks well-positioned to secure a piece.

Trust Daddy brings a 69.26 rating and a matching avgSpeed of 57 to this sprint, making him a legitimate contender despite a modest 16% career win rate. Trainer Steven M. Asmussen is one of the top conditioners in the country and son Erik Asmussen rides — the family barn knows how to place horses. At 4/1, Trust Daddy is a fair price to fill out the exacta or trifecta.

Bellavinino from the Asmussen barn carries a 77.80 rating and draws the 4-hole at 4/1 on the morning line. Stewart Elliott rides, and while a 21% career win rate isn't flashy, Asmussen horses at Lone Star tend to run to their number. The average speed figure of 55 is a tick above Multiplication, which suggests Bellavinino could have the early pace edge — making this a natural place horse if the top pick runs its race.

Wandering Kirby at 3/1 looks like a sneaky threat with the second-best rating in the field at 71.43 and a robust 36% career win percentage — highest in this race. Trainer Tristan Ashford is an emerging name locally, and Lane J. Luzzi is a capable partner. The concern is that 36% career win rate hasn't translated to a win here yet, which is why show looks like the right spot — Wandering Kirby should be in the mix at the finish.