Lone Star Picks & Predictions — November 7, 2026

I Do Not Recall rates a close second in our model at 78.47 and shows the second-fastest recent race speed at 11.22 sec/furlong — essentially a tick behind the top pick. The in-the-money rate of 62% is excellent, and the dirt record of one win and five placings in eight starts shows this horse is durable and consistent. Jockey Francisco Calderon posts a 22% win rate and 51% ITM rate over the past year, and at 9/2 on the morning line, there's solid value here for exacta and trifecta coverage.

La Cholula comes in third on our ratings at 77.46 but brings an impressive 42% career win rate and a 2-for-3 record right here at Lone Star — that local form is a significant angle in a stakes spot. The recent race speed of 11.42 sec/furlong ranks third in the field, and trainer Shae Cox carries an A-minus grade. At 5/2 on the morning line, La Cholula may not offer much win value, but the track record and consistent dirt form make this a must-use in exactas and trifectas.

Miss Bogart rates second in our model at 72.31 and brings the strongest recent form profile among the contenders — 6 placings in 10 dirt starts and 3 in-the-money finishes over the last five races paint a picture of reliability. An in-the-money rate of 60% is the highest in this field. At 7/2 on the morning line, Miss Bogart looks like solid place value and a cornerstone of the exotics.

Carlies Monee Lyft leads all horses in recent race speed at 11.68 seconds per furlong — that's the fastest number in the field — and rates third in our model at 70.30. The 256-day layoff is a legitimate concern, as the horse may just be blowing out the cobwebs today. The trainer also doesn't use Lasix in a race where eight rivals do, which is worth noting. If the rust shakes off quickly, that speed number makes this one dangerous; treat it as show coverage and a trifecta fill.

Catalina Scratch rates second in our model at 77.30 and clocks the third-fastest recent race speed at 11.71 sec/furlong. The 25% career win rate and 50% in-the-money rate show a horse that competes hard, and Francisco Calderon's 22% win rate and 51% ITM rate over the past year add appeal. The in-the-money rate of 50% combined with that speed figure makes this a strong exacta play behind our top selection.

Flying G Litos rates third at 72.91 with the second-fastest recent speed figure at 11.68 sec/furlong — essentially matching Catalina Scratch. The in-the-money rate of 55% and 4 placings in the last 6 starts show consistent form, and the dirt record of two wins and five placings in nine starts is solid for this level. At 7/2 on the morning line, there's reasonable value here as a trifecta cornerstone, and the recent form cycle earns a spot in the exotics.

Bohemia is the value play in this race at 12/1 morning line, and our model backs it up — the TrackWiz rating of 73.96 ranks second in the field. The in-the-money rate of 75% is the highest of any horse in this race, and three straight placings make this one of the hottest horses on the card right now. The claiming price bump from $5K to $7.5K is a mild concern, but trainer Isidro Mancillas-Lopez carries an A grade. At double-digit morning line odds, this is the place bet of the day.

Volcom Tac rates third in our model at 72.40 and shows the third-fastest recent speed at 12.24 sec/furlong. The in-the-money rate of 50% is respectable, and Victor Manuel Urieta Jr. — a 22% win rate jockey with 51% ITM over the past year — is a consistent presence in winners' circles. The concern is three straight without a placing and an 0-for-2 mark at Lone Star. Use as trifecta fill rather than a primary investment.

Mad Indian rates second in our model at 71.25 and owns the second-fastest recent speed figure at 11.84 sec/furlong. The in-the-money rate of 54% and 4 placings in the last 6 starts show a horse that consistently hits the board, backed by a substantial dirt record of 1 win and 12 placings in 22 starts — this horse always seems to be in the mix. At 12/1 on the morning line, Mad Indian could offer terrific exacta value as the most consistent runner in the field behind the top pick.

Jess Pretty N Black comes off a win at today's exact surface and distance — that's always a meaningful angle in sprint racing. The career dirt record of 5 wins and 10 placings in 18 starts is the most accomplished in this field, and trainer Victor Fierro carries an A grade. The concern is only 1 placing in the last 5 races, suggesting the horse may be on the wrong end of a form cycle. Still, that surface-distance win and the strong overall record make this worth including in trifectas at 8/5.

Jodys Kool Secret owns the fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.34 sec/furlong and also drops dramatically in claiming price — from $20K to $7.5K. The in-the-money rate of 16% is thin, but the speed figure leads everyone and that price drop is a live angle. Only 1 placing in the last 6 races is a concern, but in a wide-open maiden claimer where the top horse has its own questions, this one earns a place slot in exotics.

Cuarenta Jd rates third in our model at 51.05 and shows an in-the-money rate of 20%. The concern is 1 placing in the last 5 races and a recent speed figure that ranks sixth in the field at 13.10 sec/furlong. At 7/2 on the morning line, there's not a lot of price for a horse with these question marks, but the rating rank and jockey history make it a reasonable trifecta fill in a messy race.

Rg Jessa Eagleletta rates second in our model at 70.14 and owns the fastest recent race speed in the field at 11.99 sec/furlong — that speed figure is a genuine standout in this group. The in-the-money rate of 33% is modest, but the speed number and the rating give this horse a legitimate case as the main danger to Scuba. At 10/1 on the morning line, Rg Jessa Eagleletta represents the best exotic value in the race.

Zinfee rates third at 69.44 and brings an A-grade jockey in Francisco Calderon — 22% win rate and 51% in-the-money rate over the past year — which immediately elevates this horse's chances. The sprint and dirt records (1 placing in 4 starts each) are thin, but the connections are sharp and the rating supports a board finish. Use as a show anchor and trifecta inclusion at 9/2.

Double Kiss rates second in our model at 67.62 and shows the third-fastest recent speed figure at 11.79 sec/furlong, right behind the top pick. The in-the-money rate of 25% from just 4 dirt starts is limited data, but the speed profile is encouraging for a horse stepping into this spot. The concern is only 1 placing in 4 sprint and 4 dirt starts. At 9/2, there's value here as the primary exacta partner with Cartels Girl.

Chief Eagle Top rates third in our model at 61.31 and shows an in-the-money rate of 33%. There's not a wealth of data to work with here, but the rating and position in our model suggest this is the most consistent of the second-tier horses. At 8/1 on the morning line, Chief Eagle Top offers trifecta value as a live longshot in a race where the top two spots look fairly locked in.

Jvm Hot Victoria rates second in our model at 76.72 and brings a staggering in-the-money rate of 87% — 7 placings in 8 dirt starts, including five wins across a 62% career win rate. This horse has placed in 4 straight starts and has essentially never run a bad race on dirt. At 4/1 on the morning line, the place bet on a horse with an 87% board rate is an excellent risk-adjusted play in this spot.

Chilinator rates third at 69.46 and owns the second-fastest recent speed figure in the race at 11.29 sec/furlong. The dirt record of 3 wins and 6 placings in 9 starts and a 66% in-the-money rate show a consistent, winning type. Trainer Matt Whitekiller carries an A grade, and the jockey-trainer combo posts a 21% win rate and 55% ITM rate together. The only concern is a short 22-day turnaround for a horse that prefers more rest. At 10/1 morning line, this is a compelling trifecta value.

This Is Marshall rates second in our model at 79.36 and brings an in-the-money rate of 71% — the highest of any horse in this race. The dirt record of 1 win and 5 placings in 7 starts and four placings in the last 6 races show exceptional consistency for this class. The concern is only 9 days of rest for a horse that prefers 30 or more days between starts — that's a tight turnaround. Still, the 71% ITM rate is too good to ignore, and at 8/1 morning line, this is a strong place value play.

Cowgirl Cool 123 rates third in our model at 76.88 and shows four placings in the last six races — back-to-back placings in the most recent two. The in-the-money rate of 66% and 1 win in 6 dirt starts show a horse that's consistent without being flashy. At 10/1 on the morning line, there's genuine show value here, and the recent form makes this a trifecta cornerstone to close out a full day of racing at Lone Star.