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Lone Star Picks & Predictions — October 29, 2026

October 29, 20268 racesAll Lone Star picks

Best bets at Lone Star, October 29, 2026

Race 16D One Famous BanditML 4/14:05 PM EDT

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Last 30 days at Lone Star: our top pick won 13 of 34 races (38%) and finished in the money in 24.

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It's a cool, cloudy Thursday at Lone Star Park — 80°F and overcast skies as the fall meet rolls on. Conditions are comfortable for both horses and fans, and with the track rated fast, we're expecting true speed figures across all eight races today.

Every race on the card is a short-format sprint on the dirt, ranging from 220 yards all the way out to 330 yards — pure quarter horse racing at its most electric. Blink and you miss it, but the right read on post position, gate speed, and recent works can be the difference between cashing and cursing.

Eight races, a mix of claiming, maiden, and allowance company, and TrackWiz has you covered from gate one to the final eighth. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

A wide-open 250-yard claiming sprint where the TrackWiz ratings reveal a clear top tier — but the morning line doesn't fully reflect it, creating some genuine betting interest across the board.

win6D One Famous BanditML 4/1

D One Famous Bandit (No. 6) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 85.62, a significant edge over most of this field, and trainer Braulio Hernandez puts him out there with jockey H. Javier Hernandez in the irons. At 4/1 on the morning line, there's legitimate value here for a horse whose rating leads the field by more than eight points over the second-best. In a short 250-yard dash where early jump is everything, this horse profiles as the one to beat.

place7Cholula Sinn FeinML 3/1

Cholula Sinn Fein (No. 7) checks in with a 77.32 TrackWiz rating and draws the 3/1 morning line favoritism, suggesting the market also respects this one. Trainer Jose Luis Sanchez III and jockey Arturo Alvarez is a combination worth noting, and a 12% career win rate in what is likely a limited sample gives some confidence. If D One Famous Bandit stumbles out of the gate at 250 yards, Cholula Sinn Fein is the most likely horse to capitalize.

show5Justice MelodyML 10/1

Justice Melody (No. 5) is the TrackWiz value play here — a rating of 63.32 is solid for this field, and a 10% career win rate outpaces most of the supporting cast. The 10/1 morning line makes her an interesting exotics inclusion, particularly in trifectas. Trainer Janessa Lee Muniz and jockey Ruben Delarosa Jr. could easily sneak into the top three in a sprint this short where trips matter less.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

4:31 PM EDT

Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

The 300-yard claiming opener features a strong favorite by the ratings but a wide-open place-and-show battle behind, with multiple double-digit morning-line contenders posting surprisingly competitive TrackWiz numbers.

win2RazzledazzlemeML 4/1

Razzledazzleme (No. 2) owns the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 85.62 — a commanding number in what is a fairly thin claiming field. Trainer Steven Salazar sends her out with Roman Armando Huerta aboard, and at 4/1 on the morning line, this isn't even a short price for the clear top-rated runner. A 7% career win rate is modest, but in quarter horse racing, it's the speed-figure equivalent that often tells the real story, and this horse's rating says she's ready.

place5Ms Easter DebML 10/1

Ms Easter Deb (No. 5) at 10/1 is a genuine value play for place consideration, posting a 72.99 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field. Trainer Antonio S. Martinez teams with jockey Brayan Morales-Alonzo, and the 8% career win rate is respectable in this company. For players building exactas and trifectas, Ms Easter Deb offers a solid rating at a price that can fatten the exotic payouts considerably.

show6Addis Flyin PatriotML 8/1

Addis Flyin Patriot (No. 6) brings a 65.35 rating and a standout 16% career win rate — one of the stronger winning percentages in this field. Trainer Earl L. McDonald has her at 8/1, which seems a touch long given the win percentage and solid rating. She fits nicely as a third wheel in exacta boxes and trifectas where you need a price to make the ticket worth cashing.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

The first three races are unlocked for all readers today, and they set the table nicely. D One Famous Bandit (Race 1, 250 yd) opens the card as our top free pick at 4/1 on the morning line — a price that looks workable if the gate breaks clean. In Race 2, Razzledazzleme comes in rated identically at 85.62 and sits at the same 4/1 ticket — two consecutive value plays rather than chalk-chasing, which we always appreciate. Then in Race 3, Jackpot Gl nudges the rating up to 86.35 and draws a slightly tighter 7/2 number in maiden claiming company over 300 yards — the class of the trio on paper.

One angle connecting all three free races: in short-format sprints at Lone Star, gate efficiency and early jump are everything. Any horse showing consistent break scores in recent outings has a built-in edge on this surface, and that's a thread running through each of our top selections. Keep it in mind as you build your early-card tickets.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

4:57 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

An 11-horse maiden claiming field at 300 yards where all runners are still looking for that elusive first win — but Jackpot Gl's TrackWiz rating stands out dramatically, giving this race a clear top selection despite the maiden tag.

win11Jackpot GlML 7/2

Jackpot Gl (No. 11) leads all maiden claimers in this field with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark of any runner in this race by a wide margin. The Jose Luis Sanchez III and Arturo Alvarez combination has already appeared on our radar in Race 1, showing a trainer who keeps busy and places horses with purpose. The 7/2 morning line is fair pricing for the top-rated runner, and in a sprint this short, raw ability tends to shine through regardless of maiden status.

place1MeandyouatthebarML 5/1

Meandyouatthebar (No. 1) draws the rail and posts a 65.45 TrackWiz rating — second best in the field. Trainer Marc E. Jungers gives jockey Raul Padilla Hernandez Jr. the assignment from the one-hole, which in a 300-yard dash can be a blessing or a burden depending on the break. As the pick for the place spot, this horse offers solid rating support at a 5/1 morning line that gives some return if she runs her number.

show4Duly Named KingML 6/1

Duly Named King (No. 4) rounds out the top three picks with a 63.24 rating and a 6/1 morning line — a fair price for a horse whose number ranks third in a maiden field. Trainer Ben Olaveson puts Bryan Candanosa up, and in a race where all 11 runners are winless, the top three by rating make for a logical trifecta key. Duly Named King gives your tickets a logical third option without going too deep into the unknown.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

Race 4

5:23 PM EDT

Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

This 300-yard claiming race is a two-horse battle at the top of the TrackWiz ratings — Hellofaneagle and Lota More Things are separated by less than five points and both are well clear of the field, setting up a compelling exacta.

win4HellofaneagleML 5/2

Hellofaneagle (No. 4) tops the field with an 87.26 TrackWiz rating and draws the 5/2 morning line, which reflects the market's respect for this runner. Trainer Martin Rodriguez teams with Francisco Giles, and a 9% career win rate is workmanlike but the rating tells us this horse competes at a high level relative to today's field. In a race with a clear rating gap at the top, Hellofaneagle is the logical play to wire this field in 300 yards.

place6Lota More ThingsML 6/1

Lota More Things (No. 6) is the most interesting horse on the card in this race — an 82.71 TrackWiz rating that's only 4.5 points off the top pick, combined with an 18% career win rate that is genuinely strong. Trainer Isidro Mancillas-Lopez goes with Alejandro Landeros Zuniga, and at 6/1, the morning line undervalues a horse whose win percentage and rating both argue for a shorter price. This is a prime exacta target and could even steal the win if Hellofaneagle breaks slow.

show5Mrs Nibbler JessML 9/2

Mrs Nibbler Jess (No. 5) carries an 18% career win rate — tied for the highest in the field — and a 69.28 TrackWiz rating that slots her in comfortably at third. Trainer Alex Garcia and jockey Larry Marquez keep it simple, and the 9/2 morning line is reasonable for a horse whose winning habits speak for themselves. She's the bridge from the top two to the rest of the field and earns her spot in trifecta coverage.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 5

5:49 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

An 11-horse maiden claiming sprint with an unusually clear top horse by the ratings — Rr Chrome is priced as the heavy chalk and the TrackWiz numbers back up the market's opinion decisively.

win3Rr ChromeML 7/5

Rr Chrome (No. 3) owns a 89.42 TrackWiz rating — the highest of any horse in this entire maiden claiming race by a significant margin, and frankly one of the stronger numbers on the Lone Star card today. Trainer Martin Rodriguez pairs with Francisco Giles, the same combination we flagged in Race 4, and the 7/5 morning line reflects genuine confidence from the morning line maker. Even at short odds, this horse is the play to win — the rating gap is simply too large to ignore in a 300-yard blast.

place2Have a Lil FaythML 7/2

Have a Lil Fayth (No. 2) checks in with a 69.12 TrackWiz rating — second best in the field by a comfortable margin — and the 7/2 morning line puts her at a fair price for place money. Trainer Francisco Campos Jr. deploys Claudio Ponce Aguilar, and if Rr Chrome wins as expected, the exacta with this filly as the runner-up could return a modest but sensible payout. She's the most logical second choice in a field where the drop-off from top to bottom is steep.

show8Iam a Fancy DalhiML 9/2

Iam a Fancy Dalhi (No. 8) posts a 61.55 TrackWiz rating at 9/2 on the morning line, giving her solid credentials as the third wheel in trifectas. Trainer Gilberto Gonzalez and jockey Alejandro Medina are a stable combination, and in a maiden field where no one has yet broken their maiden, this horse's rating earns her a spot in exotic coverage. She's the one we'd box or wheel underneath Rr Chrome to maximize the trifecta ticket.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

Race 6

6:15 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

A 12-horse maiden sprint at 250 yards where the morning line is surprisingly spread out — a pair of near-co-favorites with tight ratings at the top, while a third contender lurks right behind them at a tempting price.

win2SmkingamericapriseML 3/1

Smkingamericaprise (No. 2) sits atop the TrackWiz ratings for this race at 87.08 — a strong number for a maiden field — and draws a 3/1 morning line that offers real value for the top-rated runner. Trainer Janessa Lee Muniz sends her out with Ruben Delarosa Jr. aboard, the same jockey we've seen on Justice Melody earlier today, showing active book. In a 250-yard sprint where the break is everything, a horse with this rating edge profiles as a confident win selection.

place5Estrella HechiceraML 8/5

Estrella Hechicera (No. 5) is listed at 8/5 on the morning line — actually the shortest-priced horse in the race — yet her 64.77 TrackWiz rating sits just behind Smkingamericaprise. Trainer Rodolfo Sanchez and jockey Oliver E. Martinez make this one of the more prominent connections in the field, and the market clearly likes her. The rating gap between her and the win pick is real, however, making place the appropriate slot for an exacta-key approach.

show11A Dashing PerryML 9/5

A Dashing Perry (No. 11) comes in at 64.06 — virtually identical to Estrella Hechicera's rating — and is priced at 9/5 by the morning line maker. Trainer Jacobo Mejia pairs with Alejandro Medina, a combination active throughout today's Lone Star card. With three horses bunched closely in rating between 64 and 87, trifecta tickets using all three make excellent sense, and A Dashing Perry's near-even-money price creates the kind of exacta-underneath value that boosts exotic payouts.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 7

6:41 PM EDT

Allowance · 330 yd · Dirt

The allowance race is the most competitive of the night — a deep 12-horse field at 330 yards with legitimate contenders clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s on the TrackWiz scale, and a few eye-catching career win percentages that make this one genuinely hard to solve.

win2Rgs DebutantML 4/1

Rgs Debutant (No. 2) tops our allowance selections with an 81.49 TrackWiz rating and draws a 4/1 morning line — solid value for the field leader. Trainer Steven W. Jordan sends out Edgar U. Mata for what looks like a well-placed effort, and a 16% career win rate is consistent with an allowance runner that fires regularly. The extra distance of 330 yards compared to the earlier claiming sprints adds a slight endurance element, and Rgs Debutant's rating suggests he can handle it.

place3BloodworkML 5/1

Bloodwork (No. 3) rates at 78.66 — just 2.8 points behind the win pick — and comes in at 5/1 on the morning line, which feels slightly generous. Trainer Isidro Hinojosa and jockey Francisco Calderon have their horse ready to compete, and a 14% career win rate tells you this one hits the board often enough to be respected. In a competitive allowance field, Bloodwork's rating, price, and consistency make him a prime exacta play.

show4This Is MarshallML 10/1

This Is Marshall (No. 4) is the standout value in this race at 10/1 on the morning line despite carrying a 76.88 TrackWiz rating — barely a point below Bloodwork. Trainer Winston Lewis puts Victor Manuel Urieta Jr. up, and a 16% career win rate matches the win pick's consistency. The morning line drastically underestimates this horse's chances based on pure rating, making him the best trifecta value of the night — if he fires, the payout should be rewarding.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 8

7:07 PM EDT

Maiden · 220 yd · Dirt

The finale is a 12-horse maiden sprint at the short 220-yard distance — and the TrackWiz ratings feature a compelling one-two punch at the top, with One Classy Dynasty and Adieu separated by less than two points and both well clear of the rest.

win12One Classy DynastyML 5/2

One Classy Dynasty (No. 12) posts the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.81 — a strong number for a maiden race at any distance. Trainer Randall R. Read pairs with jockey Oliver E. Martinez, who has been one of the busiest pilots on the Lone Star card all night. The 5/2 morning line is fair, and at 220 yards — the shortest sprint on today's card — this is pure speed and raw ability, both of which One Classy Dynasty appears to have in abundance.

place1AdieuML 7/2

Adieu (No. 1) draws the rail and checks in with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating — essentially a dead heat with the win pick in terms of raw ability. Trainer Alfred A. Aparicio saddles this runner for Angel A. Fierro, and the 7/2 morning line actually prices Adieu slightly longer than the top-rated horse despite a near-identical rating. For exacta players, a One Classy Dynasty–Adieu combination, or the reverse, is a logical play given how close these two are in the numbers.

show8Elegant PrizeML 2/1

Elegant Prize (No. 8) is the 2/1 morning line second choice despite ranking third in our ratings at 71.63 — a significant gap below the top two. Trainer Martin Rodriguez teams with Alejandro Medina, a combination that has been effective throughout tonight's card. The market loves this one, but our ratings suggest she may be slightly overbet to win — show and trifecta inclusion, however, is absolutely justified given that the market respects her for a reason even if the TrackWiz gap is real.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

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Eight quick-fire sprints, a fast Lone Star oval, and a handful of genuine value plays scattered across the card — today is a solid day to be at the windows. D One Famous Bandit, Razzledazzleme, and Jackpot Gl headline the free picks, and our premium analysis rounds out the full eight-race card with pace projections, exotic strategies, and the longshot angles casual bettors won't see coming. Head to TrackWiz Premium to unlock it all. Good luck out there — let's cash some tickets.

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