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Full card analysis on every Ellis Park race, AI ratings on every runner, and SmartBet ticket construction.
Free Ellis Park Picks & Predictions
Ellis Park runs on dirt and turf, with about 60% of races on the dirt, racing from 5 1/2 fur to 1 1/4 mi, with fields averaging 10.6 starters. Every card gets free picks on selected races plus a full-card breakdown for subscribers — 28 Ellis Park sheets published so far.
Latest Ellis Park Free Picks
Ellis Park hasn't raced since August 23, 2026. We publish free picks for every Ellis Park card — below are the picks from that last card.
Race 1
Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf
The top of the TrackWiz ratings are tightly bunched in this 1 1/16-mile turf claimer, with four horses separated by fewer than five points — expect a contested pace and a finish that could go several ways.
This Beau Knows earns the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 82.47 and gets a significant jockey upgrade landing Tyler Gaffalione in the irons — one of the sharpest turf riders in the region. Trainer Chris Block already has Executor in the race, and when a barn splits runners, it's worth noting which one gets the marquee pilot. At 6/1 on the morning line, there's real value here against a competitive but beatable field at 1 1/16 miles on the lawn.
Tiz Freedom posts the second-highest TrackWiz rating at 79.02 and shares the same average speed (54) as several rivals, but Gabriel Saez gives this horse a polished pilot who knows how to rate horses on turf. An 8% career win rate sounds modest, but in a field this competitive, hitting the board is a very realistic outcome.
Executor checks in at 78.43 on TrackWiz and carries the second-lowest morning line in the race at 2/1, suggesting the public will key on this one. Florent Geroux is a savvy turf hand and the 2/1 price reflects genuine respect from the oddsmaker — plugging Executor into exactas and trifectas as a closer with upside makes plenty of sense.
Race 2
Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt
A wide-open maiden claiming sprint on dirt where first-time starters and lightly raced youngsters make handicapping feel like detective work — one horse separates itself significantly in the ratings.
McKinsense is the clear standout here with a TrackWiz rating of 82.71 — more than 23 points clear of the next rival — and posts a field-best average speed figure of 55. Gabriel Saez gets the call for trainer Randy Morse, giving this horse a strong pilot at 6/1, which looks like legitimate overlay territory if the ratings hold. In maiden claiming sprints on dirt, a horse with this kind of separation in the data usually has the condition to cash.
Prince of Light opens at 5/1 and rates second overall in the TrackWiz model at 59.34 under Florent Geroux for trainer Michael Maker, who consistently sends sharp first-out types. The 54 average speed matches the field median, but Maker's barn has a strong reputation for having horses fit and ready when they show up.
Whatever draws out to the 8-hole at 8/1 and carries a 51.86 TrackWiz rating — right in the thick of the second tier of this field. Brody Martinez takes the mount for trainer Ralph Martinez, and at those odds this horse adds depth to exacta and trifecta tickets without breaking the bank.
Race 3
Maiden Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf
Can't Stop Willis looms as a heavy favorite in this maiden claiming turf route, but a pair of overlays lurking in the double-digit morning lines could make the exotics very interesting.
Can't Stop Willis dominates the TrackWiz ratings at 85.62 — the highest mark in the field by over 18 points — and Francisco Arrieta gets the leg up for trainer Cameron Milligan. The 4/1 morning line is relatively fair for a maiden claimer, and when a horse separates this clearly in our model, fading it requires a compelling reason that just isn't visible in this field. At 1 1/16 miles on turf, horses with clean numbers tend to get the job done.
Turnbuckle opens at 12/1 but checks in third overall with a 67.36 TrackWiz rating — that's a significant gap between price and rating. Gabriel Saez rides for trainer Dana Hancock, and the 12/1 morning line feels like it underestimates this horse's ability to hit the board in a field where several rivals are well below 40 in the ratings.
Al Amjaad is listed at 5/1 and rates just below Turnbuckle at 65.42 with Adam Beschizza up for trainer Destin Heath. Both horses share the same average speed figure of 52, but Al Amjaad's morning line suggests slightly more public support — using both in show position on trifecta tickets covers a logical outcome.
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About the Ellis Park Racing Surface
- Surfaces
- Dirt and Turf
- Distance range
- 5 1/2 fur to 1 1/4 mi
- Typical field
- 10.6 starters
- Typical card
- 9.1 races
Most common race conditions at Ellis Park: Maiden Special Weight, Claiming, Maiden Claiming, Allowance.
Measured across the last 24 Ellis Park cards we have handicapped.
Ellis Park Results & Payouts
Official finishing order and mutuel payouts for August 23, 2026.
Race 1
| Fin | # | Horse | Jockey | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Restore6/1 | Ben Curtis | $13.02 | $6.26 | $4.50 |
| 2 | 8 | Ramblin6/1 | Walter A. Rodriguez | — | $7.10 | $5.16 |
| 3 | 1 | Culture War5/1 | Cristian A. Torres | — | — | $3.68 |
| 4 | 3 | Executor2/1 | Florent Geroux | — | — | — |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz Freedom5/2 | Gabriel Saez | — | — | — |
| 6 | 5 | Malevaje30/1 | J.J. Meza | — | — | — |
| 7 | 2 | Fight the Power30/1 | Frank Reyes | — | — | — |
Exotic payouts
- $2 Exacta 6-8 paid $92.24
- $0.50 Trifecta 6-8-1 paid $153.84
- $0.10 Superfecta 6-8-1-3 paid $58.47
- $1 Super Hi 5 6-8-1-3-4 paid $1010.89
Race 2
| Fin | # | Horse | Jockey | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Prince of Light5/1 | Florent Geroux | $9.80 | $4.84 | $2.80 |
| 2 | 10 | Problem Solved3/1 | Francisco Arrieta | — | $4.98 | $2.56 |
| 3 | 7 | Pelican Hill9/2 | Danny Sheehy | — | — | $2.30 |
| 4 | 4 | Four Dimes6/1 | Gerardo Corrales | — | — | — |
| 5 | 3 | McKinsense6/1 | Gabriel Saez | — | — | — |
| 6 | 5 | Props12/1 | Erik Asmussen | — | — | — |
| 7 | 9 | Hartzus20/1 | Yedsit Hazlewood | — | — | — |
Exotic payouts
- $2 Daily Double 6-6 paid $62.78
- $2 Exacta 6-10 paid $36.72
- $0.50 Trifecta 6-10-7 paid $20.78
- $0.10 Superfecta 6-10-7-4 paid $17.62
- $1 Super Hi 5 6-10-7-4-3 paid $148.91
Race 3
| Fin | # | Horse | Jockey | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | T V Channel5/2 | Yedsit Hazlewood | $6.62 | $3.40 | $2.72 |
| 2 | 2 | Positive Equity7/2 | Axel Concepcion | — | $2.82 | $2.52 |
| 3 | 7 | Al Amjaad5/1 | Adam Beschizza | — | — | $3.18 |
| 4 | 3 | Can't Stop Willis4/1 | Francisco Arrieta | — | — | — |
| 5 | 5 | Nyttime Story15/1 | Joseph C. Bealmear | — | — | — |
| 6 | 1 | Blakely's Boy30/1 | Alvin Ortiz | — | — | — |
| 7 | 9 | Crude Intentions12/1 | Danny Sheehy | — | — | — |
Exotic payouts
- $2 Daily Double 6-8 paid $30.98
- $2 Exacta 8-2 paid $20.82
- $0.50 Trifecta 8-2-7 paid $16.46
- $0.10 Superfecta 8-2-7-3 paid $7.13
- $0.50 Pick 3 6-6-8 paid $65.08
- $1 Super Hi 5 8-2-7-3-5 paid $113.34
Race 4
| Fin | # | Horse | Jockey | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | She's Gotta Go6/1 | Erik Asmussen | $14.28 | $5.00 | $3.08 |
| 2 | 6 | Lexico4/1 | Rafael Bejarano | — | $3.22 | $2.60 |
| 3 | 3 | Crystal Frost6/1 | Edgar Morales | — | — | $4.34 |
| 4 | 1 | Added Touch10/1 | James Graham | — | — | — |
| 5 | 9 | Watershed Moment2/1 | Tyler Gaffalione | — | — | — |
| 6 | 7 | Legit Chick15/1 | Danny Sheehy | — | — | — |
| 7 | 8 | Mo Biscuit12/1 | Victor R. Carrasco | — | — | — |
| 8 | 5 | Maxies Bubble Gum15/1 | Francisco Arrieta | — | — | — |
| 9 | 10 | Skylar's Mate20/1 | Axel Concepcion | — | — | — |
Exotic payouts
- $2 Daily Double 8-4 paid $53.16
- $2 Exacta 4-6 paid $50.24
- $0.50 Trifecta 4-6-3 paid $56.14
- $0.10 Superfecta 4-6-3-1 paid $58.81
- $0.50 Pick 3 6-8-4 paid $60.27
- $1 Super Hi 5 4-6-3-1-9 paid $989.73
Race 5
| Fin | # | Horse | Jockey | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ever Forward3/1 | Tyler Gaffalione | $4.98 | $3.46 | $3.16 |
| 2 | 12 | Jerri Jo12/1 | Jaime A. Torres | — | $10.72 | $8.68 |
| 3 | 11 | Miss McCloud12/1 | James Graham | — | — | $7.54 |
| 4 | 8 | Etna6/1 | Gabriel Saez | — | — | — |
| 5 | 5 | Prompt Response12/1 | Yedsit Hazlewood | — | — | — |
| 6 | 3 | Devilish Delight12/1 | Erik Asmussen | — | — | — |
| 7 | 7 | That's the Girl8/1 | Alex Achard | — | — | — |
| 8 | 10 | Violent Gal8/1 | Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. | — | — | — |
| 9 | 6 | Seismic Shift20/1 | Abel Cedillo | — | — | — |
| 10 | 9 | Madam Joker15/1 | Luan Machado | — | — | — |
| 11 | 2 | Dixieland9/2 | Axel Concepcion | — | — | — |
| 12 | 4 | Lily's Revenge20/1 | Danny Sheehy | — | — | — |
Exotic payouts
- $2 Daily Double 4-1 paid $51.48
- $2 Exacta 1-12 paid $56.68
- $0.50 Trifecta 1-12-11 paid $183.26
- $0.10 Superfecta 1-12-11-8 paid $258.14
- $0.50 Pick 3 8-4-1 paid $37.91
- $0.50 Pick 4 4 OF 4 6-8-4-1 paid $194.05
- $0.50 Pick 5 5 OF 5 6-6-8-4-1 paid $1915.02
- $1 Super Hi 5 CarryOver paid $1313.96
Race 6
| Fin | # | Horse | Jockey | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Twilight Delight5/1 | Yedsit Hazlewood | $3.84 | $2.68 | $2.42 |
| 2 | 7 | Livehappy30/1 | Gerardo Corrales | — | $8.90 | $4.82 |
| 3 | 4 | Zap d'Etat8/1 | Fernando De La Cruz | — | — | $3.92 |
| 4 | 9 | Double Talker2/1 | Walter A. Rodriguez | — | — | — |
| 5 | 6 | Frontier Justice8/1 | Adam Beschizza | — | — | — |
| 6 | 10 | Valiant Humor15/1 | Axel Concepcion | — | — | — |
| 7 | 1 | Mom's Spaghetti20/1 | Luan Machado | — | — | — |
| 8 | 5 | Blue Coast30/1 | Brittany Troxtell | — | — | — |
| 9 | 8 | Magic Brew6/1 | Tyler Gaffalione | — | — | — |
Exotic payouts
- $2 Daily Double 1-2 paid $11.92
- $2 Exacta 2-7 paid $34.34
- $0.50 Trifecta 2-7-4 paid $34.34
- $0.10 Superfecta 2-7-4-9 paid $20.73
- $0.50 Pick 3 4-1-2 paid $31.11
- $1 Super Hi 5 2-7-4-9-6 paid $1416.08
Race 7
| Fin | # | Horse | Jockey | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | Henriques8/1 | Francisco Arrieta | $10.02 | $5.36 | $4.58 |
| 2 | 8 | Social Deception10/1 | Erik Asmussen | — | $20.92 | $8.30 |
| 3 | 1 | Ali's Glory12/1 | Rafael Bejarano | — | — | $6.80 |
| 4 | 14 | My Birthday Gift20/1 | Rafael Bejarano | — | — | — |
| 5 | 6 | Hickory5/1 | Jaime A. Torres | — | — | — |
| 6 | 5 | Mahogany Dream8/1 | Ben Curtis | — | — | — |
| 7 | 4 | Take Charge Beach15/1 | Amir Mendoza | — | — | — |
| 8 | 10 | Heise8/1 | Martin Garcia | — | — | — |
| 9 | 11 | Chrome20/1 | Abel Cedillo | — | — | — |
| 10 | 12 | Apexion10/1 | Tyler Gaffalione | — | — | — |
| 11 | 2 | Fonzarelli7/2 | Luan Machado | — | — | — |
| 12 | 3 | See You Soon20/1 | Axel Concepcion | — | — | — |
Exotic payouts
- $2 Daily Double 2-9 paid $17.84
- $2 Exacta 9-8 paid $156.44
- $0.50 Trifecta 9-8-1 paid $321.42
- $0.10 Superfecta 9-8-1-14 paid $1198.94
- $0.50 Pick 3 1-2-9 paid $21.85
- $1 Super Hi 5 CarryOver paid $765.57
Race 8
| Fin | # | Horse | Jockey | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Totally Justified10/1 | Joseph C. Bealmear | $15.24 | $4.44 | $3.46 |
| 2 | 6 | Lush Lips2/5 | Tyler Gaffalione | — | $2.28 | $2.10 |
| 3 | 7 | Just Ruthless12/1 | Jaime A. Torres | — | — | $5.84 |
| 4 | 10 | Icona10/1 | Ben Curtis | — | — | — |
| 5 | 2 | She's On a Roll50/1 | Cristian A. Torres | — | — | — |
| 6 | 4 | Next Up15/1 | Mario Gutierrez | — | — | — |
| 7 | 1 | Sanctify20/1 | Francisco Arrieta | — | — | — |
| 8 | 8 | Daisy Flyer8/1 | Axel Concepcion | — | — | — |
| 9 | 9 | Asteria50/1 | Santo Sanjur | — | — | — |
| 10 | 11 | Devassa15/1 | Evin A. Roman | — | — | — |
Exotic payouts
- $2 Daily Double 9-3 paid $125.28
- $2 Exacta 3-6 paid $34.34
- $0.50 Trifecta 3-6-7 paid $63.29
- $0.10 Superfecta 3-6-7-10 paid $46.70
- $0.50 Pick 3 2-9-3 paid $82.17
- $1 Super Hi 5 CarryOver paid $5929.45
Race 9
| Fin | # | Horse | Jockey | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Ciarlatano9/2 | Christopher A. Emigh | $4.46 | $3.16 | $2.60 |
| 2 | 10 | Mega Blue6/1 | Alex Achard | — | $8.88 | $6.16 |
| 3 | 8 | Quigley5/1 | Mario Gutierrez | — | — | $3.68 |
| 4 | 6 | Mandalay20/1 | Jaime A. Torres | — | — | — |
| 5 | 1 | Coldspring6/1 | Francisco Arrieta | — | — | — |
| 6 | 9 | El Enamorado15/1 | Luan Machado | — | — | — |
| 7 | 2 | Salty Viking12/1 | Ben Curtis | — | — | — |
| 8 | 12 | No Mo Sun6/1 | Danny Sheehy | — | — | — |
| 9 | 11 | Platinum Power12/1 | Cristian A. Torres | — | — | — |
| 10 | 4 | Tiny Tapper15/1 | Jane Elliott | — | — | — |
| 11 | 13 | Smart N Centsible10/1 | Martin Garcia | — | — | — |
| 12 | 5 | Sip It10/1 | Axel Concepcion | — | — | — |
Exotic payouts
- $2 Daily Double 3-3 paid $69.74
- $2 Exacta 3-10 paid $61.82
- $0.50 Trifecta 3-10-8 paid $100.16
- $0.10 Superfecta 3-10-8-6 paid $501.13
- $0.50 Pick 3 9-3-3 paid $127.82
- $0.50 Pick 4 4 OF 4 2,3-9-3-3,7,14,15 paid $244.49
- $0.50 Pick 5 5 OF 5 1-2,3-9-3-3,7,14,15 paid $1245.37
- $0.20 Pick 6 6 OF 6 4-1-2,3-9-3-3,7,14,15 paid $4933.22
- $1 Super Hi 5 3-10-8-ALL-ALL paid $293.37
Recent Ellis Park Race Sheets
- August 23, 20269 races
- August 22, 20269 races
- August 21, 20269 races
- August 17, 20269 races
- August 16, 20269 races
- August 15, 20269 races
- August 14, 20269 races
- August 9, 202610 races
- August 8, 20269 races
- August 7, 20269 races
Recent Ellis Park Results & Payouts
Ellis Park Picks — Common Questions
Is there a free Ellis Park card?
Yes. Every Ellis Park race sheet includes free picks with full analysis on selected races, with no account required. The remaining races on the card are part of a TrackWiz subscription.
What surface does Ellis Park race on?
Ellis Park cards run on dirt and turf. Across the last 24 cards, roughly 60% of races were on the dirt.
How many races are on a typical Ellis Park card?
Ellis Park cards average 9.1 races, with fields of about 10.6 starters. Distances run from 5 1/2 fur to 1 1/4 mi.
When are Ellis Park picks published?
Ellis Park picks are published ahead of the first post for that day's card. We have published 28 Ellis Park sheets; you can get each new one by email before post time.