Free Assiniboia Picks & Predictions

Tap the Parlay (No. 3) is the chalk at 8/5 and has the second-highest rating in the field at 64.38, backed by an eye-catching 42% career win rate — the best in this field by a wide margin. Trainer Michael Nault has a live horse here, and at 5 furlongs Tap the Parlay's speed figures (avg 54) match the top tier. Even if Hellabella gets to the wire first, this one is tough to leave off your ticket.

My Anticipation (No. 2) posts a solid 55.35 TrackWiz rating and a 20% career win rate in what is a pretty thin claiming field. The 2/1 morning line reflects public respect, and jockey Shavon Townsend gives this horse a capable rider. If the pace gets hot up front between the speed horses, My Anticipation could be sitting in a nice spot to pick up a piece at the wire.

Short Speech (No. 4) rates second in the field at 74.58 and looks like a logical place contender at 3/1. Trained by Jerry Gourneau, he's one of two Gourneau runners in this race, and connections clearly like the spot. Jockey Damario Bynoe steps in, and while the 14% career win rate is modest, the rating suggests there's more ability here than the record shows.

Apple Fest (No. 6) is the morning-line favorite at 6/5, which means the public will load up on her — but our analysis suggests she's third-best in this field on ratings. Rachaad Knights rides for trainer Brent Hrymak, and with a 14% career win rate, Apple Fest won't be short of supporters. Her value is mostly in exotics — use her underneath in trifectas and keyed above our top two.

Pineapple Tidbits (No. 2) is right on Stand by Time's heels at 84.02 and has the better career win rate at 21%. Trainer Keith Pedersen has this one coming in with an avg speed of 52, matching the top horses in the field, and jockey Kerron Khelawan is a reliable hand around the Assiniboia oval. If Stand by Time gets rank or bleeds off speed on the front, Pineapple Tidbits could be the one picking up the pieces.

Midnightcandystorm (No. 6) fills out the show spot at a fair 5/1 morning line with a 71.86 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field with daylight between him and the rest. Trainer Tom Gardipy, Jr. sends out Tyrone Nelson, and the 52 avg speed figure is on par with the top tier. The 6% career win rate is a flag, but this horse is clearly running with better horses and should be in the mix for a piece in this mile trip.