Assiniboia Picks & Predictions — September 29, 2026

He's My Uncle is the one to beat for the place slot, trained by Jason Homer and ridden by Shavon Townsend, with a TrackWiz rating of 80.39 that's solidly second-best in the field. The 5/2 morning line is tight for a place bet, but the 53 average speed figure matches Bromeo at the top and suggests this horse won't be far behind. Homer also has Ralph's Gift in the race, which means he's clearly invested in this race — and He's My Uncle looks like the stable's main shot.

American Witt at 3/1 brings a 71.79 TrackWiz rating and a 9% career win rate into a race where getting a piece of the purse seems well within reach. Dario Dalrymple rides for trainer Jerry Gourneau, and the average speed of 52 keeps this horse competitive without standing out as a pace threat. In trifecta construction, American Witt is a reliable underneath piece at a price that won't crush the ticket if it lands.

Red Road Runner is the value angle in this race at 3/1, posting a 82.51 TrackWiz rating and a 23% career win rate — the best win percentage among our top three selections. Antonio Whitehall rides for trainer Michael Nault, and a 53 average speed figure matches the top horses in the field stride for stride. This one has the profile of a horse that consistently competes deep into stretch, which is exactly what you want from a place selection.

Bossy Holiday is the morning-line favorite at 8/5, which makes the show position feel almost conservative — but at a 72.35 TrackWiz rating that trails both Rhodesia and Red Road Runner, the TrackWiz model sees it as the third-best runner here. Rachaad Knights rides for trainer Monique Goulet, so the barn has two bullets in the gun. A 15% career win rate and a 53 average speed figure keep Bossy Holiday firmly on the board as a legitimate exotic piece.

Counting On You is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 and has the strongest career win rate in the field at 28% — a number that demands respect in any company. Kerron Khelawan rides for trainer Jared Brown, a combination that's appeared multiple times today with good results on paper. The TrackWiz rating of 81.38 is second-best in the race, and this horse looks perfectly capable of picking up a place check even if Boujee Britches fires at the top.

Neytiri at 5/1 is the show selection and represents solid value for exotic players willing to look past the morning-line chalk. Antonio Whitehall rides for trainer Lise Pruitt, and a 63.2 TrackWiz rating puts this one clearly ahead of the bottom half of the field. The 18% career win rate is one of the better marks in the race and suggests a horse that competes consistently — exactly the profile you want anchoring the third spot of a trifecta at that price.

Ricks Red Storm is the morning-line hammer at 4/5 and has a jaw-dropping 42% career win rate — the best on today's card by a wide margin. Antonio Whitehall gets the mount for trainer M. L. Pierce, and a horse with that win rate at 4/5 is clearly what the public wants. The TrackWiz model slots it second here with a 70.64 rating, which is why it lands in the place position — still an excellent board contender, just not where our analysis sees the value at those odds.

Conspiracytheorist at 3/1 gives TrackWiz players a third option with real substance — a 64.58 rating and a 15% career win rate make this a credible contender in a seven-horse sprint. Sven Balroop rides for trainer Keith Pedersen, and if the top two horses hook up in a pace duel over 5½ furlongs, a closer profile has every reason to swoop late. At 3/1 for a show ticket, there's legitimate value here for trifecta and superfecta construction.