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Full card analysis on every Hawthorne race, AI ratings on every runner, and SmartBet ticket construction.
Free Hawthorne Picks & Predictions
Hawthorne runs on dirt and turf, with about 63% of races on the dirt, racing from 4 1/2 fur to 1 1/16 mi, with fields averaging 6.8 starters. Every card gets free picks on selected races plus a full-card breakdown for subscribers — 19 Hawthorne sheets published so far.
Latest Hawthorne Free Picks
Hawthorne hasn't raced since July 19, 2026. We publish free picks for every Hawthorne card — below are the picks from that last card.
Race 1
Maiden Special Weight · 5 fur · Turf
A wide-open maiden turf sprint where TrackWiz ratings separate the field by just a handful of points — expect a competitive pace and a tight finish at the wire.
Tummycat draws the most favorable TrackWiz rating in the field at 57.5 and steps onto the turf at 5 furlongs with trainer Michele Boyce saddling two horses in this race, suggesting strong stable confidence. The 5/2 morning line makes this the public's second choice, but our numbers actually push Tummycat to the top of the leaderboard. Luis H. Colon climbs aboard, and in a maiden field where nobody has a win on the board, the edge goes to the horse with the strongest composite rating.
Rapid is the other Boyce-trained runner and grades out at 56.67 — just a tick below stablemate Tummycat — at a 3/1 morning line that offers a smidge of value. In a maiden sprint, having a trainer who knows both horses' capabilities gives Boyce a tactical advantage, and Rapid figures to be part of any pace conversation on this short turf course.
Phinarosa for Larry Rivelli checks in third in our ratings at 55.83 and goes postward at 7/2 — a fair price given the uncertainty of maiden turf racing. E.T. Baird gets the call, and Rivelli is a consistent presence at Hawthorne; connecting for a piece of this at a reasonable price makes Phinarosa a sensible exotic play.
Race 2
Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Turf
Joe the Tailor's TrackWiz rating dwarfs the rest of this allowance turf field by a wide margin — this shapes up as a single-horse race with a scramble for the minor spots.
Joe the Tailor is simply in a class of his own here — an 87.81 TrackWiz rating that towers over the next-best horse by nearly 30 points is a rare separation in any field. Trainer Armando Hernandez has him at 5/2 on the morning line, and Alexander Bendezu, one of the sharper sticks in this jockey colony, gets the mount. A 30% career win rate rounds out the profile of a horse who knows how to finish the job.
Urban Ruler is the second Hernandez horse in the race and grades out at 58.44 — the top mark among the non-Joe runners — at 4/1. An 18% career win rate is modest, but in a race where the field is likely competing for the place and show spots, Urban Ruler's strong rating among the secondary horses makes him the logical exacta partner with the top pick.
Shear Magic at 9/2 posts the best average speed figure among the supporting cast at 57, edging the rest of the field by a tick. Blake Kelly's runner shows a 25% career win rate, and that kind of consistency in a deep-enough field gives Shear Magic a real path to the show spot in the exacta and trifecta boxes.
Race 3
Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt
Lower Broadway enters this 6-furlong dirt claiming sprint as a clear class standout on ratings, but Big D and Gogh lurk as live threats capable of an upset if the pace sets up against the favorite.
Lower Broadway owns an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark in the field and nearly nine points clear of Big D in second — which is a substantial edge in a claiming sprint. John Haran sends this horse out at a somewhat generous 2/1 morning line, and Johanis Aranguren handles the riding duties. A 6% career win rate is low, but our composite numbers suggest this horse has the raw ability to outrun that modest conversion rate today.
Big D is the value angle here at 6/1 morning line with a 79.74 rating — second in the field — and Luis H. Colon aboard for Hugo Rodriguez. A 9% career win rate doesn't jump off the page, but the average speed of 54 is competitive, and at 6/1, Big D represents outstanding place value if the favorite hits any trouble at all.
Gogh sits third in our ratings at 76.7 and is the 3/1 second choice on the morning line, with Michele Boyce training and Olaf Hernandez riding. A 14% career win rate is the best clip in this field, and 6 furlongs on dirt is a distance profile that suits horses with tactical speed — Gogh fits that description and deserves consideration in the trifecta.
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About the Hawthorne Racing Surface
- Surfaces
- Dirt and Turf
- Distance range
- 4 1/2 fur to 1 1/16 mi
- Typical field
- 6.8 starters
- Typical card
- 7.7 races
Most common race conditions at Hawthorne: Claiming, Starter Optional Claiming, Maiden Special Weight, Allowance.
Measured across the last 19 Hawthorne cards we have handicapped.
Recent Hawthorne Race Sheets
- July 19, 202611 races
- July 12, 202613 races
- July 5, 202611 races
- June 28, 20267 races
- June 25, 20267 races
- June 21, 20267 races
- June 18, 20267 races
- June 14, 20267 races
- June 11, 20267 races
- June 7, 20267 races
Hawthorne Picks — Common Questions
Is there a free Hawthorne card?
Yes. Every Hawthorne race sheet includes free picks with full analysis on selected races, with no account required. The remaining races on the card are part of a TrackWiz subscription.
What surface does Hawthorne race on?
Hawthorne cards run on dirt and turf. Across the last 19 cards, roughly 63% of races were on the dirt.
How many races are on a typical Hawthorne card?
Hawthorne cards average 7.7 races, with fields of about 6.8 starters. Distances run from 4 1/2 fur to 1 1/16 mi.
When are Hawthorne picks published?
Hawthorne picks are published ahead of the first post for that day's card. We have published 19 Hawthorne sheets; you can get each new one by email before post time.