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Hawthorne Picks & Predictions — June 11, 2026

June 11, 20267 racesAll Hawthorne picks

This card ran on June 11, 2026.

Best bets at Hawthorne, June 11, 2026

Race 13Bizzee ChannelML 9/53:38 PM EDT

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It's a warm Thursday afternoon at Hawthorne with partly cloudy skies and temperatures sitting at 85°F — the kind of day where the dirt dries out fast and speed figures hold up well. Seven races are on the board, all on the main track, and our TrackWiz models have been busy crunching pace scenarios and class angles all morning.

The card is a solid mix of starter optional claiming routes, maiden sprints, allowance company, and a couple of straight claiming affairs. In other words, there's something for every type of bettor — from the pick-3 grinder to the win-bet-only casual fan. Don't sleep on the longer routes today; the one-mile-and-70-yard trips dominate the card and pace shape is going to be everything.

Best Bets

Race 1

3:38 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Larry Rivelli sends out two arrows in this starter optional claiming mile-plus, but the morning line tells the real story — Bizzee Channel opens at 9/5 for a reason, and the question is whether Honor Point can keep the barn's win column ticking at a price.

win3Bizzee ChannelML 9/5

Bizzee Channel carries the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 88.83, a sizable gap over the rest of the horses, and that kind of separation at this level is hard to ignore. Trainer Larry Rivelli is no stranger to placing horses for maximum effect, and sending Bizzee Channel out as the morning-line favorite at 9/5 suggests connections believe this is a winnable spot. The 20% career win rate looks modest on paper, but the raw rating suggests recent form that outpaces what that figure tells you — this is a horse whose ceiling is above the competition here. At a mile and 70 yards on dirt, Bizzee Channel has the profile of a horse that can settle and pounce in the stretch.

place2Honor PointML 5/1

Honor Point at 5/1 morning line is excellent value for a horse carrying a 78.77 TrackWiz rating and a 50% career win rate — that win percentage is the best in the field by a wide margin. Sharing the Eduardo Rodriguez barn with Sponge Bath means connections may favor one over the other in terms of tactics, but Honor Point's raw talent makes it a logical place contender regardless. At 5/1, the place price should be generous enough to make this a worthwhile exotic inclusion.

show5Moogie SonML 5/2

Moogie Son rounds out the Rivelli barn's presence in this race and slots nicely as a show play at 5/2 morning line. The 72.21 TrackWiz rating is solidly mid-pack, and an average speed figure of 54 gives Moogie Son a slight edge over most of the field. The low career win rate of 9% suggests this is a horse that finds the board more often than the winner's circle — a classic show-horse profile worth using in trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

4:12 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Hugo Rodriguez has the two horses to beat with Code Runner and Euclid Avenue both drawing posts in this starter optional claiming mile-plus — a barn that controls the pace scenario usually controls the race.

win5Code RunnerML 5/2

Code Runner is the clear standout here with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating, well clear of the second-best horse in the field. Trained by Hugo Rodriguez, who also saddles Euclid Avenue, connections have flexibility to use multiple runners and let Code Runner settle into a comfortable trip. The 5/2 morning line is fair for the class of the field, and a 16% career win rate tells only part of the story — the rating data suggests Code Runner is trending in the right direction. At a mile and 70 yards, there's enough real estate for this horse to find its best stride.

place3Euclid AvenueML 3/1

Euclid Avenue gives the Rodriguez barn a one-two punch, carrying a 73.72 rating and a 20% career win rate that stacks up well in this field. Jockey Frank Reyes takes the call and will benefit from knowing his barn's other horse is also in the race — barn communication can be a subtle tactical edge. At 3/1, Euclid Avenue figures to run a honest race and hit the board even if Code Runner handles things up front.

show2HandsoffthegoodsML 7/2

Handsoffthegoods brings a 20% career win rate to the table — tied for the best among non-Rodriguez runners — and a solid 64.52 TrackWiz rating. Trainer Irvin Moreno has Javier Tavares in the irons, and at 7/2 morning line, this horse could easily pop up on the board if the Rodriguez duo gets into any trouble. A useful third-place insurance play in your trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our three free races give you a strong foundation to start building tickets. Bizzee Channel opens the card as a 9/5 morning-line choice in the Race 1 starter optional claiming route, posting an 88.83 TrackWiz rating — the kind of number that commands respect at this level. In Race 2, Code Runner checks in at 87.81 against a similar condition, and the back-to-back starter optional format here is worth noting: horses who thrive in these restricted spots often carry a consistent pace profile that suits the one-turn route at Hawthorne. Sprinting over to Race 3, maiden claiming sprinters hit the track at five furlongs and Engagement draws our attention at 5/2 on the morning line.

With the warm, dry conditions today, look for the dirt to play fair and maybe even favor horses with early speed that can clear the field and dictate. That bias, if it develops, connects Bizzee Channel and Code Runner nicely — both worth watching in the early going as a baseline for how the track is playing heading into the premium races.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

4:42 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

A five-furlong maiden claiming sprint where every horse is winless, but Engagement stands apart in the TrackWiz ratings — the question is whether the morning line chalk can convert in a race full of unknowns.

win4EngagementML 5/2

Engagement sits at an 87.81 TrackWiz rating, the highest in a maiden field where the next-best horse checks in at 58.33 — that's a significant gap in a race with no prior winners to sort through. Trainer Armando Hernandez puts Orlando Mojica in the irons, a seasoned jockey who can be trusted not to burn a horse in a sprint like this. At 5/2 on the morning line, Engagement is priced as the logical choice, and our analysis backs that up emphatically. Five furlongs on dirt suits a horse with a sharp speed profile, and this field doesn't look capable of exposing any weaknesses.

place2Macha LatteML 2/1

Macha Latte opens as the 2/1 morning-line favorite despite a 58.33 TrackWiz rating that trails Engagement by a wide margin — the market likes this horse more than our model does, which means there's likely a form angle or workout pattern driving the price. Trainer Blake Kelly puts Jareth Loveberry up, one of the better jockey-trainer combos on the Hawthorne circuit, and that combo gives Macha Latte a real shot to finish second. In a maiden race at five furlongs, the pace can be hectic and a well-placed closer can sneak into the exacta.

show3Ww Best of TimesML 3/1

Ww Best of Times posts the best average speed figure among the non-Engagement horses at 54, a subtle edge in a race where raw speed counts at five furlongs. Trainer Elias Lopez sends Ademar Santos out on this one, and the 3/1 morning line reflects the market's respect for this horse's chances. As a show play in trifectas, Ww Best of Times makes plenty of sense as a speed horse who can hang on for a piece in a chaotic maiden sprint.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

5:09 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Red Moscato opens as the 9/5 morning-line chalk in this allowance optional claiming sprint, but Ciao Tommaso's TrackWiz rating tells a different story — we've got a live overlay situation developing here.

win5Ciao TommasoML 6/1

Ciao Tommaso rates out as the top horse in the field at 82.71 on TrackWiz despite opening at 6/1 morning line — that's the kind of gap between our numbers and the market that we love to find. Trainer Brian Cook sends Alexander Bendezu to the gate, and Bendezu has been one of the sharpest jockeys in the Hawthorne meet. A 20% career win rate and an average speed of 54 are both competitive for a 5.5-furlong allowance optional claiming race. If the tote board still shows 6/1 or better come post time, Ciao Tommaso is a genuine value play worth betting beyond just the show spot.

place2Red MoscatoML 9/5

Red Moscato is the morning-line choice at 9/5, but our analysis puts this horse second in the field at 74.16 — still a strong number, just not the best. Trainer Eduardo Rodriguez and jockey Orlando Mojica are a familiar and effective combo at Hawthorne, and a 10% win rate in what appears to be a steady spot suggests this is a horse working back to form. Red Moscato's place price figures to be short, but reliable — a strong exacta underneath Ciao Tommaso.

show6El MuchoML 3/1

El Mucho catches the eye with the best average speed figure in the entire field at 55, which matters in a sprint where early fractions set the tone. Trainer Hugo Rodriguez has been active on the card today, and Frank Reyes knows how to use a horse with speed in a short race like this. At 3/1 on the morning line, El Mucho is a capable show option and a horse that could threaten for more if the pace sets up perfectly.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

5:38 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A wide-open eleven-horse claiming field going a mile and 70 yards, where Grand Illusion's elite 84.17 rating and 35% career win rate stand out against a crowded, chaotic pace scenario — big field, but there's a clear standout.

win4Grand IllusionML 5/1

Grand Illusion is the best-rated horse in this field by a meaningful margin at 84.17, and the 35% career win rate is exceptional for a claiming-level runner — that's a horse that converts when it belongs in the race. Trainer Maximino Quinonez puts Alexander Bendezu in the irons, and Bendezu is having an excellent book of rides on today's card. In a field this deep, drawing post 4 gives Grand Illusion a reasonable position to settle in behind the early speed and fire in the stretch. The 5/1 morning line is fair value given the quality of this horse's profile.

place11VitaleML 8/1

Vitale floats in at 8/1 with a 66.99 TrackWiz rating — the second-best in the field — and that combination of price and quality makes for an interesting place play. Trainer Pat Clay has Olaf Hernandez up, and a 13% career win rate at the claiming level suggests a horse capable of hitting the board without always closing the deal. With a chaotic eleven-horse pace scenario ahead, Vitale's ability to rate and finish could be exactly what's needed to sneak into an exacta or trifecta payoff.

show2All Choked UpML 4/1

All Choked Up brings a 17% career win rate and a 66.42 TrackWiz rating — virtually identical to Vitale — and gets the benefit of one of Hawthorne's busiest riders in Orlando Mojica. Trainer James P. DiVito puts this horse in a competitive spot, and the 4/1 morning line shows the market has some respect for the talent here. In a big field where things can get messy on the turn, All Choked Up has the profile of a horse that runs its own race and lands a check.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

Race 6

6:07 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Tiz China is a near-certainty on the morning line at 3/5 with the top TrackWiz rating and a 42% career win rate — the real handicapping puzzle here is who finishes second and third against a heavy chalk.

win6Tiz ChinaML 3/5

Tiz China carries a 90.0 TrackWiz rating — the highest of any horse on today's entire card — and a 42% career win rate that screams class advantage at this level. Trainer Larry Rivelli puts Jareth Loveberry up, arguably the most in-form jockey at Hawthorne right now, and this horse's average speed of 55 is tied for the best in the field. The 3/5 morning-line price means there's no value betting to win, but this is the kind of horse you build your exacta and trifecta keys around. Tiz China figures to control or press the pace through the 5.5-furlong sprint and have more left than any rival in the lane.

place1Miss SaipanML 9/2

Miss Saipan is the most logical threat to Tiz China with a 28% career win rate — the second-best in the field — a 67.78 TrackWiz rating, and an average speed of 55 that matches the favorite. Trainer Fernando Bahena puts Luis H. Colon in the irons from the rail, and inside speed in a short sprint at Hawthorne is nothing to dismiss. At 9/2, the place price on Miss Saipan should be worth a look in the exacta underneath Tiz China.

show4Lost SunsetML 5/1

Lost Sunset brings a 29% career win rate — actually the highest in the field — and a 63.57 TrackWiz rating that makes this horse a legitimate threat to hit the board. Trainer Frank J. Kirby uses Olaf Hernandez, and the 5/1 morning line reflects a market that knows this horse can compete without quite matching Tiz China's ceiling. As a show play and trifecta piece behind the chalk, Lost Sunset offers solid value.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 7

6:37 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

This allowance mile-plus is a genuine two-horse clash at the top of the TrackWiz ratings between Athenix and Zee, with the rest of the nine-horse field fighting over the minor awards — rare clarity at an allowance level.

win5AthenixML 5/2

Athenix tops the field at 87.04 on TrackWiz and draws the services of Jareth Loveberry — the standout jockey on the Hawthorne meet — for trainer Michael B. Campbell. The 5/2 morning line is a fair price given the rating edge, and a 16% career win rate in allowance company reflects the competitive level, not a lack of talent. At a mile and 70 yards, Athenix has enough distance to showcase a strong middle move and still have something left in the stretch. This is our top pick in Race 7, and the Loveberry-Campbell combo gives us extra confidence.

place2ZeeML 4/1

Zee is a fascinating puzzle — an 85.62 TrackWiz rating is extraordinary, but a 0% career win rate raises obvious questions. Trainer Michele Boyce, who also saddles Culture Shock in this race, clearly believes in this horse's ability given the allowance engagement, and Julio E. Felix is a capable pilot for a closer-type profile. If Zee has the talent our model suggests but has been unlucky or inexperienced, a race at 4/1 that ends with a place finish would be entirely consistent with a young horse still learning to win.

show7ShezthefactorML 6/1

Shezthefactor brings a solid 71.77 TrackWiz rating and a 54 average speed figure, making this horse the best-rated runner outside the top two in the field. Trainer Elias Lopez sends Frank Reyes out, and at 6/1 morning line this is genuine value for a horse that should be competitive for a piece of the purse. In an allowance race where the top two horses are expected to dominate, Shezthefactor is the most logical beneficiary if either Athenix or Zee underperform.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

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Bottom line: Hawthorne's seven-race dirt card on June 11 has genuine opportunities from the jump, starting with Bizzee Channel in Race 1 and Engagement in Race 3 in the free tier. The real fireworks — Ciao Tommaso as a 6/1 value play and the full exotics breakdown around Tiz China — are waiting for you in the full card analysis. Upgrade to TrackWiz premium at /pricing and get every angle before the first post.

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