Hawthorne Picks & Predictions — June 21, 2026

Veronicaforthewin is our place pick at 7/2 and she's making a strong case with a TrackWiz rating of 81.32 — second in the field and not far behind Cloudy Lass. Her avg speed figure of 55 actually leads the entire race, which is a meaningful data point in a maiden sprint where early position can be decisive. Trainer Elias Lopez and Frank Reyes could team up for a price in the exacta here.

Unkept Promises draws into the show slot at 6/1 with a respectable rating of 70.12 — third best in the field. The avg speed of 51 is a tick below the top contenders, but in maiden claiming, consistency and positioning matter as much as raw speed, and trainer Pedro J. Flores has this horse prepped to hit the board at a fair price.

Uncaptured Pulse checks in as our place pick at 3/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 80.48 — second-highest in the race — and leads the entire field with an avg speed figure of 55. A 14% career win rate is steady, and trainer Rigo Rosas has Frank Reyes booked for the mount. If the pace sets up for a late runner, Uncaptured Pulse has the figures to collar anything that ties up.

Mr. Chivas rounds out our top three at 5/1 with a 72.77 rating and a 17% career win percentage that shows genuine competitive ability at this level. His avg speed of 54 is right at the field average, and trainer Omar Razvi sends him out from the rail — post position can be an asset in a sprint if he breaks cleanly. Solid show play and a useful exotics anchor at double-digit morning-line territory.

Tum Tap is a serious contender at 3/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 82.96 — just a whisker behind the top pick — and carries a 33% career win percentage that jumps off the page. Trainer Michele Boyce has this horse firing, and Julio E. Felix is a dependable rider who knows how to navigate turf traffic. The combination of high rating and strong career win rate makes Tum Tap the most legitimate threat to our top pick.

Engagement opens at 6/1 with a solid 75.12 rating and a 14% career win rate that shows she's competitive at this level. Frank Reyes handles the mount for trainer Armando Hernandez, and her avg speed of 54 matches the better horses in the race. In a full field of eleven, exotics depth matters, and Engagement at morning-line price offers real value in the trifecta.

Regimental is right behind the top pick at a rating of 81.48 and goes off at 5/1 — another horse with potential value given his morning-line price. Trainer Ricardo Rodriguez saddles Johanis Aranguren, and while a 7% career win rate mirrors the field, it's the strong TrackWiz figure that drives this selection. In a pace scenario over a mile, horses with the stamina profile to grind out the distance tend to cluster, and Regimental fits that mold.

Lavender Earl at 9/2 brings a 78.85 rating — third in the field — and the best avg speed among our top three at 54, matching the leaders. Trainer Carlos Ramirez uses Luis H. Colon, and a 6% career win rate keeps the ceiling modest, but Lavender Earl has enough quality to land in the money in a race where pace questions abound over the longer distance. Worth keeping in trifecta combos.

Rietta slots in as our place pick at 4/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 72.84 and a 13% career win percentage — both metrics rank second and third in the field respectively. Trainer Michele Boyce teams with Johanis Aranguren, and an avg speed of 53 is right in the competitive range for a turf mile. Rietta has the profile of a horse who settles nicely and runs an honest race, which is exactly what you want in a place pick.

Man On Attack opens at 3/1 as the morning-line favorite but ranks third in our ratings at 66.12 — a gap worth noting when building exotics. Trainer Shane Childers keeps Angel Ortega Stanley on board, and a 6% career win rate suggests the public confidence here may be slightly ahead of what the numbers support. Still, a 3/1 horse finishing third would anchor a very nice trifecta, and he's got enough ability to show up.