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Full card analysis on every Belmont Park race, AI ratings on every runner, and SmartBet ticket construction.
Free Belmont Park Picks & Predictions
Belmont Park runs on turf and dirt, with about 60% of races on the turf, racing from 6 fur to 1 1/8 mi, with fields averaging 10.2 starters. Every card gets free picks on selected races plus a full-card breakdown for subscribers — 1 Belmont Park sheet published so far.
Latest Belmont Park Free Picks
Belmont Park is not racing today. Below are the free picks from the last Belmont Park card, September 19, 2026.
Race 1
Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Dirt
A compact five-horse maiden field at a mile on the dirt, with William Mott saddling two of the five entrants and holding a clear tactical edge over the competition.
Groves (#3) tops our TrackWiz ratings at 58.33 and is the lone horse in the field with a recorded average speed figure of 54, giving him a measurable edge over the debut unknowns. William Mott is one of the sharpest trainers in the game when introducing horses at classic distances on dirt, and pairing him with Junior Alvarado — a jockey who thrives at the mile trip — makes this a hard combo to fade. At 2/1 on the morning line, the market agrees, but the data backs it up.
Expiration Date (#2) carries a solid 56.67 rating and draws the services of Ricardo Santana Jr., who consistently delivers sharp performances for Chad Brown's barn. Brown's maiden runners at Belmont tend to be well-prepared, and in a field with plenty of unknowns, the trainer edge here is real. A placing looks very achievable.
Gun Broker (#4) matches Expiration Date's rating of 56.67 with Joel Rosario in the irons, adding another quality pilot to the mix. In a maiden sprint where experience gaps between horses can be subtle, having a proven big-race jockey gives Gun Broker a legitimate shot to hit the board at 3/1.
Race 2
Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Turf
Boston's Phinest dominates the ratings in this turf allowance optional claimer, but a pair of perfect-record horses and a Chad Brown second stringer make the race more nuanced than the morning line suggests.
Boston's Phinest (#2) is the standout here, posting an 88.54 TrackWiz rating that towers over the field. With an average speed figure of 58 and a 28% career win rate, this one has the profile of a horse who consistently shows up — and Antonio Fresu is overdue for a big moment in a spot like this. The 2/1 morning line makes this one of the more justifiable chalk plays on the card.
Alyeska (#1) brings a 40% career win rate into this spot, which is among the best in the field and speaks to a horse who knows how to close the deal. Chad Brown conditions her off a 67.85 rating with an average speed of 55, and Dylan Davis is a capable hand on the grass. At 5/1, there's solid each-way value here.
Filly Freedom (#4) is the TrackWiz value play at 10/1 morning line, rating out at 63.03 — third best in the field. Chad Brown running two horses in the same race usually means one of them is live, and Filly Freedom's 28% career win rate tells you she's no stranger to the winner's circle. She's worth a spot in your exotics at that price.
Race 3
Allowance Optional Claiming · 7 fur · Turf
A deep nine-horse turf allowance optional claimer with a contested pace scenario shaping up, and two high-rated closers lurking just off a pace that could collapse.
Ice Chocolat (#4) tops the field with a 83.52 TrackWiz rating and brings a 56 average speed figure over the seven-furlong turf trip. Linda Rice does solid work with turf route types at Belmont, and Kendrick Carmouche has the tactical awareness to sit just off a contested pace and pounce. At 5/1 on the morning line, this is a legitimate best-bet candidate.
Final Verdict (#8) is right on Ice Chocolat's heels with a 82.71 rating and matches on average speed at 57. Antonio Fresu is quietly one of the more underrated grass riders in the New York colony, and at 6/1, the price reflects a horse that the market may be undervaluing relative to the data. The similar rating to our top pick means the exacta between these two is worth serious consideration.
Fond Farewell (#2) boasts a 50% career win rate — easily the best in this field — and rates out at 74.54 with an average speed of 56. Ricardo Santana Jr. is a dangerous pilot when pointing at a turf route, and a horse who wins half the time it runs is never a bad show-ticket inclusion.
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About the Belmont Park Racing Surface
- Surfaces
- Turf and Dirt
- Distance range
- 6 fur to 1 1/8 mi
- Typical field
- 10.2 starters
- Typical card
- 10 races
Most common race conditions at Belmont Park: Maiden Special Weight, Allowance Optional Claiming, Claiming, Allowance.
Measured across the last 1 Belmont Park cards we have handicapped.
Recent Belmont Park Race Sheets
Belmont Park Picks — Common Questions
Is there a free Belmont Park card?
Yes. Every Belmont Park race sheet includes free picks with full analysis on selected races, with no account required. The remaining races on the card are part of a TrackWiz subscription.
What surface does Belmont Park race on?
Belmont Park cards run on turf and dirt. Across the last 1 cards, roughly 60% of races were on the turf.
How many races are on a typical Belmont Park card?
Belmont Park cards average 10 races, with fields of about 10.2 starters. Distances run from 6 fur to 1 1/8 mi.
When are Belmont Park picks published?
Belmont Park picks are published ahead of the first post for that day's card. We have published 1 Belmont Park sheet; you can get each new one by email before post time.