Free Colonial Downs Picks & Predictions

Boss Lily checks in with a strong 82.56 TrackWiz rating and gets the Jevian Toledo-Phil Schoenthal connection, a pairing that consistently shows up in the money at Colonial. Her 7% career win rate may look modest, but in a field this deep, posting and placing is the expectation — she's a rock-solid exotic anchor at 9/2.

He's a Charmer (78.95 rating) is the third leg of what looks like a formful top trio, and Jareth Loveberry gives him a competent pilot at 5/2 on the morning line. Trainer Ethan W. West also saddles Mo Can Dance in this race, so he's got a strong read on the conditions. At short odds he's not a value play, but his rating supports inclusion in trifecta and superfecta tickets.

Overtime Rules (55.0 rating) brings the second-highest mark in the race and the top average speed figure at 57 — the best in the field. Trainer Arnaud Delacour is a consistent performer with first-time starters and maiden types, and Paco Lopez in the saddle is never a throwaway. At 4/1, this is a legitimate place contender who could surprise in the exacta.

Soupersonic Dancer posts a 53.33 rating and carries the Mark Casse barn's colors, with Sonny Leon up — a combination that knows how to place horses in maiden company. No published average speed figure is available, which means this one may be hiding some workouts that haven't shown up in the box score yet. At 5/1, he's a reasonable third wheel on exotic tickets for bettors looking to widen their coverage.

Silver Road (53.33 rating) gets the high-profile Brad H. Cox and Florent Geroux combination — two names that show up in the winner's circle far too often to ignore in maiden company. No prior speed figure is listed, suggesting this could be a first-out runner with strong works behind the scenes. At 5/1, Cox-Geroux first-starters on turf are a reliable angle worth respecting in your place and exacta plays.

Gold Brew matches Silver Road's 53.33 rating and posts a 56 average speed — one of the better figures in this crowded field. Sonny Leon handles the mount for trainer W. Robert Bailes, and the 5/1 morning line offers legitimate overlay potential if the wagering public gets distracted by the sheer size of the field. As a show anchor in a trifecta, Gold Brew's combination of speed and rating makes him a smart hedge.