Free Ajax Downs Picks & Predictions

General Skywalker (4) posts a 86.04 TrackWiz rating — nearly matching our top pick — and a 30% career win rate that actually leads all starters in this race. Trainer Bob Broadstock and Ramiro Sanchez Castillo team up here, and if Had to Be Relentless stumbles out of the gate, this one could easily flip the order at the wire. At 2/1, he's not a huge price, but the underlying numbers justify the confidence.

Tell Him No Secrets (1) sits third in our ratings at 68.65 and carries a 17% career win figure — respectable, especially considering the 660-yard format can compress the field in ways that help steady performers. Trainer Joe Tavares also saddles Suge in this same race, which often signals a stable that's comfortable sending a main runner and a backup, and Tell Him No Secrets is clearly the stable's better horse here. At 5/2, there's decent value for exotics players looking to round out a trifecta.

Ivory Queen (4) checks in second in our ratings at 69.61 and carries a solid 22% career win rate, which is the second-highest in the field. Trainer Jason Pascoe and jockey Jesus Ambrocio Medina combine for a competitive entry at 3/1 morning line, and in a 300-yard sprint where every break matters, Ivory Queen's experience gives her a place-or-better edge over the deeper part of the field.

Turnpike Tripping (6) is a sneaky inclusion here at 7/1 with a 56.37 rating that ranks third in the field — ahead of Flyin Lady, Fate Zoomin, and My Royal Prize. Trainer Brooke Sisson has two runners in this race, and Turnpike Tripping outrates stablemate My Royal Prize considerably. A 14% career win rate isn't flashy, but in a 300-yard race where chaos can unfold quickly, she's a logical show horse for those building out tri tickets.

Caraways Rushin Risk (3) comes in a close second in ratings at 56.67, just 1.66 points off our top pick, making this essentially a coin flip on pure numbers. Trainer Wayne Procter also has Caraways Magic Rain in this race, and Rushin Risk is clearly the stable's preferred runner based on the ratings gap between the two. At 3/1 on the morning line, the place slot is a fair target for this one.

Royal Zanbo (4) is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 despite ranking third in our ratings at 54.96, which signals the public expects more than our model does — that kind of disconnect is worth flagging. Trainer Brooke Sisson puts up a horse who could easily hit the board in a field where no one has ever won, and jockey Brian Bell gives the connections solid representation. Toss Royal Zanbo in your exotics for coverage, but don't let the morning-line chalk price fool you into overweighting this one.