Free Presque Isle Downs Picks & Predictions

He's On the Fly runs for the same Skawinski barn and carries a TrackWiz rating of 79.52 — nearly identical to our win pick, which tells you this one isn't far behind. A 16% career win rate backs up the talent level, and Martina Rojas gives the horse a capable rider at 7/2 on the morning line. This is a legit place contender that could easily flip the result with the right trip.

Wrote in Stone at 9/2 makes plenty of sense underneath with a rating of 78.06 and a 17% career win rate — the highest in the field. Alex Gonzalez is an experienced hand for trainer John Fennessy, and the average speed of 55 keeps this one right in the thick of things. In a race with three horses bunched tightly in the ratings, Wrote in Stone is a safe exotic anchor.

Rewardann'swarrior sits just a tick below with a rating of 86.35 and shares the same average speed figure of 52 as most of the field, but that rating gap over the middle tier is meaningful. Gaddiel A. Martinez is a capable jockey who knows how to get position in a maiden race, and trainer Ron G. Potts also has Fur Elise in the field — suggesting a stable that's comfortable with this level. At 7/2, the place price on Rewardann'swarrior should offer solid value.

Manon checks in third on our ratings at 68.29 and represents a meaningful step up over the rest of the field after the top two. Trainer Keith C. Dickey sends Martina Rojas out at 4/1 morning line, and the 52 average speed figure keeps Manon competitive at a mile on dirt. When two horses stand out on top, it's worth anchoring your show wager to the next-best option for exacta and trifecta coverage.

Lost in the Fight is the TrackWiz value play here at 8/1 — a horse with a 56.7 rating who is being overlooked by morning line odds that feel steep for the talent level. Taylor Kingsley rides for trainer Paul McEntee, who also has Baytown Da Vinci in the field, and a 53 average speed figure is competitive at this distance. If Hide N Watch controls the pace, a closer like Lost in the Fight could rally into the place spot.

Grande Dunes at 7/2 is the logical third piece of this puzzle, carrying a rating of 55.83 and the backing of trainer Eoin G. Harty, whose operation consistently produces competitive maiden runners. Luke Hoskins gets the mount and a 52 average speed figure keeps Grande Dunes right in the hunt over a mile. Solid exotic inclusion to fill out your trifectas behind the top two.