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Lone Star Picks & Predictions — June 26, 2026

June 26, 20268 racesAll Lone Star picks

This card ran on June 26, 2026.

Best bets at Lone Star, June 26, 2026

Race 11Down PeriscopeML 7/27:35 PM EDT

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Last 30 days at Lone Star: our top pick won 19 of 63 races (30%) and finished in the money in 37.

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It's a scorcher at Lone Star Park today — clear skies, 93°F on the thermometer, and eight races spread across both dirt and turf. That kind of heat in North Texas can play a bigger role than handicappers give it credit for, so hydration status and post-parade behavior are worth watching in the walking ring before you punch any tickets.

Today's card mixes Maiden Claimers and straight Claimers on the front end with Allowance and Ratings Handicap company deeper into the afternoon — a nice range of competition levels that creates real betting opportunities at multiple price points. Three of those races are completely free to preview right here, no subscription needed.

The turf course is active throughout the card, which is always welcome on a summer day in Grand Prairie. Keep an eye on rail position and any late scratches that shift the pace picture on the lawn.

Best Bets

Race 1

7:35 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A maiden claiming mile on the dirt with a clear TrackWiz rating gap at the top — Down Periscope separates himself from the field, though Kochan and Passion D Oro have enough profile to complicate exacta construction.

win1Down PeriscopeML 7/2

Down Periscope draws the rail and carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 86.35, a meaningful edge over the second-best runner here. Richard Eramia gets the call for trainer Scott Young, and at 7/2 on the morning line this is a horse priced well above where our analysis suggests he belongs. In a maiden field where all runners share identical average speed figures of 52, it's the overall composite rating that tips the scales — and Down Periscope tips them convincingly.

place5KochanML 3/1

Kochan (No. 5) holds the second-best TrackWiz rating in the race at 79.14 and flashes a slightly better average speed figure of 53, matching Carl Erskine as the only other runner at that level. Trainer Terry Eoff sends him out with Weston Hamilton up, a reliable pairing at this level. At 3/1 morning line, he's a solid anchor for exacta and quinella plays underneath Down Periscope.

show6Passion D OroML 2/1

Passion D Oro is the lukewarm morning-line favorite at 2/1, so she doesn't offer much overlay value to win — but she fits naturally as a show play given her 76.21 rating and the best average speed figure in the field at 54. Trainer Robertino Diodoro is a name that commands respect at Lone Star, and Geovanni Franco is a polished rider in short fields. If the top two stumble, she's likely picking up a check.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

8:02 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

Eagle Vision looks like the class of this maiden turf sprint, but a loose field with unpredictable debut runners makes the underneath spots genuinely interesting — especially one massive price standout.

win9Eagle VisionML 8/5

Eagle Vision (No. 9) is the clear top selection here, carrying a 78.62 TrackWiz rating that leads the field by a healthy margin and the best average speed figure in the race at 56. Trainer Allen Dupuy sends him out at 8/5 — a relatively short price for a maiden — but the numbers back it up. Weston Hamilton gets the mount and should have this horse in a comfortable spot early in a 5-furlong turf sprint where gate speed matters.

place1ClarisitML 12/1

Here's the number that makes you do a double-take: Clarisit (No. 1) sits second in TrackWiz ratings at 73.96 and goes postward at 12/1 on the morning line. That's a significant disconnect between our analysis and the morning-line odds, making her the most interesting value play on the ticket. Trainer Tina Hurley and Lane Luzzi get her from the rail, and a clean break in a short field could put her right in the mix.

show3ChargenluckyML 4/1

Chargenlucky (No. 3) rates third in the field at 69.12 and sits at 4/1 on the morning line, representing fair value in the show spot. DeShawn Parker rides for trainer Jaylan Clary, and the 53 average speed figure is solid for this level. She rounds out the exacta box nicely and gives you coverage if the pace scenario sets up for a closer.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Our three free races cover a solid cross-section of today's action. Down Periscope opens the card going a flat mile on the dirt — a distance that often sorts out the more mature, route-capable maiden claimers from the pure speed types, and our TrackWiz rating of 86.35 makes this one of the stronger top-line scores among the free picks. Race 2 flips us to the turf for a quick 5-furlong dash with Eagle Vision drawing the morning-line favoritism at 8/5, while Race 3 brings us back to the dirt where Doublebarrelvinny lands at 5/1 — a genuine value angle in a 6½-furlong Claimer that our models flagged as underpriced given the pace setup.

One thread connecting these early races: the dirt surface figures to be fast and consistent under clear skies, which tends to reward horses that can press or stalk a legitimate pace rather than going wire-to-wire. Don't sleep on pace dynamics in Races 1 and 3 specifically — they could be the difference between a winner and a narrow defeat.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

8:29 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Doublebarrelvinny owns the top TrackWiz number AND the standout career win rate in a field of experienced claimers — but she's going off at 5/1, which means the market isn't fully on board yet and value is very much alive.

win6DoublebarrelvinnyML 5/1

Doublebarrelvinny (No. 6) leads all horses in this race with an 84.17 TrackWiz rating and, more impressively, a 37% career win rate — the highest in the field by a wide margin. That's not a fluke number; it signals a horse that consistently closes out races when eligible. Trainer Danny Pish puts Lane Luzzi up, and at 5/1 on the morning line for the top-rated runner, this looks like one of the better overlays on the card.

place5Nang SinghaML 5/2

Nang Singha (No. 5) is the morning-line second choice at 5/2 with a 76.56 rating and a career win rate of 30% — another strong conversion number. Richard Eramia gets the mount for trainer Martin Manuel Valdez-Cabral, a barn that's active at Lone Star. The 54 average speed figure matches Doublebarrelvinny, so the gap between them isn't as wide on raw speed as the ratings suggest, making her a serious contender to land the place spot.

show3Avalon GirlML 7/2

Avalon Girl (No. 3) comes in with a 74.57 TrackWiz rating and a 23% career win rate, which is a respectable conversion figure in claiming company. Trainer Tristan Ashford puts Iram Vargas Diego up, and her 7/2 morning line reflects the market's genuine respect for her. She figures to be tracking the pace through the middle of this 6.5-furlong trip and could easily be hitting the board as the speed sorts itself out.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

8:56 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

This starter optional claiming turf sprint hides a massive overlay in Ore Mine, whose TrackWiz rating towers over his 10/1 morning line — while morning-line choices Classic Moment and Ring Seeker keep the top of the ticket honest.

win5Ore MineML 10/1

Ore Mine (No. 5) is the TrackWiz top pick here with a 76.88 rating, and the story is almost entirely about the price — 10/1 on the morning line for the top-rated runner in a 10-horse field on turf is a glaring value opportunity. Rene Diaz gets the mount for trainer Ronnie Cravens, who fields multiple horses on this card and clearly has Lone Star figured out. The 56 average speed figure puts Ore Mine in the upper tier of this field on raw numbers alone.

place7Classic MomentML 5/2

Classic Moment (No. 7) is the morning-line second choice at 5/2 and backs it up with a 74.96 TrackWiz rating and an elite 37% career win rate — the best conversion figure in this race. Floyd Wethey Jr. rides for trainer Justin Evans, a solid local combination. If there's any horse in this race who knows how to close out a race at crunch time, that 37% win rate tells the story.

show10Ring SeekerML 3/1

Ring Seeker (No. 10) rounds out the TrackWiz top three with a 58.96 rating and a 23% career win rate, giving him a reasonable baseline in this field. Geovanni Franco gets the call for trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez, who also runs Prince Lancelot in this race — stable confidence worth noting. At 3/1 he's fairly priced and offers solid show coverage in what shapes up as a pace-dependent 5-furlong turf sprint.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 5

9:23 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Dr. Soulfire dominates this claiming sprint on rating and brings a high-profile trainer connection, but the pace scenario could get interesting with multiple speed horses — Run for Kidder looms as the most dangerous secondary threat.

win3Dr. SoulfireML 2/1

Dr. Soulfire (No. 3) is the standout of this race with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — more than 17 points clear of the next rival. Erik Asmussen gets the mount for his father Steven Asmussen, one of the leading trainers in North American racing and a dominant force at Lone Star. The 2/1 morning line is short but justified, and a 13% career win rate actually understates how competitive this horse has been at higher levels. This is a horse stepping into a spot where he should be the best animal on paper.

place5Run for KidderML 8/1

Run for Kidder (No. 5) rates second in the field at 71.35 and shows the best average speed figure among the non-Soulfire runners at 56. David Cabrera rides for trainer Justin Evans, a combination with consistent results at this meet. At 8/1 on the morning line, he's the best value play for the place spot and could easily be closing into a pace-contested race if Dr. Soulfire draws the early speed into a duel.

show7Flotation StationML 9/2

Flotation Station (No. 7) posts a 66.01 TrackWiz rating and draws Weston Hamilton for trainer Kevin Morgan Jr. The 55 average speed figure is right there with the top tier on raw pace, and an 11% career win rate in claiming ranks is workable. At 9/2 on the morning line, he's reasonably priced as a show hedge and gives your trifecta a reliable third option if the race sets up as a front-loaded pace scenario.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

9:50 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 fur · Turf

Won More Time is the TrackWiz top pick but doesn't sit on top of the morning line — this allowance turf sprint features genuine separation at the top of the ratings with multiple 8/1 prices worth targeting in exotics.

win9Won More TimeML 5/2

Won More Time (No. 9) leads all runners with an 81.0 TrackWiz rating and posts the joint-best average speed figure in the field at 57 — matching Unbridled Bling's raw pace number. David Cabrera gets the mount for trainer Austin Gustafson, and a 23% career win rate tells you this horse consistently turns in competitive performances. At 5/2 morning line, the market has him close to right, but our rating says he's the clear top selection.

place1Our PactML 8/1

Our Pact (No. 1) draws the rail and brings an 79.79 TrackWiz rating along with a 23% career win rate — identical conversion to the win pick. Trainer Robertino Diodoro is a sharp operator who places horses well, and Geovanni Franco is comfortable working the inside at Lone Star. At 8/1 morning line for the second-highest-rated runner, Our Pact is the kind of overlay that makes allowance races worth attacking with exotics.

show5Curly's One ThingML 8/1

Curly's One Thing (No. 5) rates third in the field at 76.56 with a 55 average speed figure and gets Erik Asmussen in the irons for trainer Steven Asmussen — a powerful combination in any allowance field. The 8% career win rate is modest but not disqualifying in allowance company where horses often take time to break through. At 8/1 on the morning line, he represents excellent show value and a live exacta component.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 7

10:17 PM EDT

Ratings Handicap · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

The morning-line favorite Flying Drummer faces a legitimate ratings challenge from Perfect Prankster and Cat Gamer — this ratings handicap sets up as a genuine three-horse race with some overlay potential at the top.

win6Perfect PranksterML 8/1

Perfect Prankster (No. 6) is the TrackWiz top pick at 79.79 — a tick ahead of Cat Gamer's 79.03 — and shows the best average speed figure in the field at 56. Jose Alvarez rides for trainer Shawn Davis, and a 26% career win rate shows consistent finishing ability in dirt routes at this class level. The 8/1 morning line is the value kicker: this is the top-rated horse in a seven-runner field going off at nearly double the odds of the morning-line favorite.

place1Cat GamerML 6/1

Cat Gamer (No. 1) is separated from the win pick by just 0.76 rating points — essentially a dead heat at the top of this field. Trainer Justin Evans puts David Cabrera up, and a 23% career win rate matches perfectly with a runner who hits the board at a high clip. At 6/1 morning line, Cat Gamer is another price play worth targeting; the rail draw in a 6.5-furlong dirt race is workable with early positioning.

show2City of AngelsML 7/2

City of Angels (No. 2) sits third in TrackWiz ratings at 70.4 and is the morning-line second choice at 7/2, reflecting genuine market confidence. Floyd Wethey Jr. rides for trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez, and a 15% career win rate is solid for this level. He provides the safest show anchor in the race if the top two trade early blows and leave a gap for a horse with a steady late run.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

10:44 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A deep starter optional claiming field on the turf mile, with four horses rated 80+ by TrackWiz — Church Pew leads the way, but Hand It Over and Maddienlizzyshonor make this the most competitive race on the card.

win5Church PewML 5/2

Church Pew (No. 5) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 in a field where four horses crack 80 — so this edge matters. Geovanni Franco rides for Robertino Diodoro, one of the more accomplished trainers in this region, and the 5/2 morning line reflects exactly where the market should be on a horse this well-rated. The 54 average speed figure isn't flashy, but in a one-mile turf route it's the sustained form that counts, and Church Pew's composite number says he brings that consistently.

place9Hand It OverML 3/1

Hand It Over (No. 9) sits second on the TrackWiz sheet at 86.15 — just 1.66 points behind Church Pew, which is razor-thin at this level. Erik Asmussen rides for his father Steven Asmussen, who runs two horses in this field — always a sign the barn is fired up for the race. At 3/1 morning line for a horse this close to the top in ratings, he's the most natural place play on the card today.

show8MaddienlizzyshonorML 7/2

Maddienlizzyshonor (No. 8) is third on ratings at 81.98 and flashes by far the best career win rate in this entire race at 36% — a number that screams a horse who finishes what it starts. David Cabrera gets the call for trainer Austin Gustafson, a combination we've noted elsewhere on this card. The 7/2 morning line is fair, and that elite conversion rate gives strong reason to include her in trifectas and superfectas underneath the top two picks.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

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Bottom line: Lone Star is serving up a well-rounded 8-race card on a hot Friday afternoon, and there's genuine opportunity from the first post to the final turf mile. Down Periscope, Eagle Vision, and Doublebarrelvinny are your free best bets to get started. For the full-card breakdown — including Dr. Soulfire, Church Pew, and our exotic ticket strategies — the complete analysis is waiting for TrackWiz subscribers. Good luck out there, and stay cool.

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