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Lone Star Picks & Predictions — June 20, 2026

June 20, 202610 racesAll Lone Star picks

This card ran on June 20, 2026.

Best bets at Lone Star, June 20, 2026

Race 11Cause Mimi SaidML 9/52:35 PM EDT

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Last 30 days at Lone Star: our top pick won 19 of 63 races (30%) and finished in the money in 37.

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It's a warm, partly cloudy afternoon at Lone Star Park — 86°F with enough cloud cover to keep things comfortable for horse and fan alike. Conditions look solid across both the dirt and turf courses, and with 10 races on the card today, there's plenty of action to dig into from first post to the nightcap.

The card mixes claiming races and allowance company with a pair of maiden special weights and two turf routes, so the pace scenarios and surface switches give sharp handicappers a real edge today. Whether you're building a Pick 4 ticket or hunting single-race value, Lone Star is delivering the kind of variety that keeps things interesting all afternoon.

TrackWiz has crunched the full card, and we've got opinions on all 10 races — three of them free for everyone, with the complete premium breakdown available to subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

2:35 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A mile-long claiming opener with a clear top two on ratings, but the morning line suggests the market sees this as a competitive three-way battle at the top.

win1Cause Mimi SaidML 9/5

Cause Mimi Said enters as our top-rated horse in the field at 88.83 and draws the rail in a one-mile dirt test. Trainer Martin Manuel Valdez-Cabral has this one fit and the 9/5 morning line reflects legitimate confidence from the morning-line maker. With an average speed figure of 54 — tied for best in the field — and a 14% career win rate that outpaces several rivals, this is the horse to beat. Stewart Elliott gets the call in the irons, giving the runner experienced handling on the front end.

place7Tis CharmingML 2/1

Tis Charming is the other formidable presence here, posting a TrackWiz rating of 80.29 and drawing the outside post at 2/1 on the morning line. Trainer Steven M. Asmussen is one of the sharpest conditioners in the game, and when he sends one out in a claiming race, it pays to notice. The 11% career win rate is modest but the rating places this horse firmly in the exacta conversation.

show2AmbiguousML 5/2

Ambiguous checks in at a 79.94 rating and offers the third-best number in this field, giving exotics players a solid underneath option at 5/2. Ramon A. Vazquez is an experienced hand who knows how to rate a horse over a mile, which matters in a one-turn dirt sprint at this level. The 8% career win rate is modest, but the speed profile and rating justify inclusion in trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

3:02 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Edgemeister is a standout favorite in a wide-open six-furlong claiming field, but a few live alternatives lurk underneath at attractive prices.

win5EdgemeisterML 4/5

Edgemeister owns the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 90.00 — a full 20 points clear of the next competitor — and a jaw-dropping 33% career win rate that screams elite consistency for this class. Trainer J.R. Caldwell sends out a horse who fits this distance and surface profile perfectly, and the 4/5 morning line is short but justified by the numbers. Rene Diaz handles the riding duties and should have plenty of horse under him into the stretch. If there's a single-race lock on the card today, this is the closest thing to it.

place6CitycityblingblingML 5/1

Citycityblingbling rates as the second-best speed horse in the field with an average figure of 54, matching the top tier while carrying a much friendlier 5/1 morning line. The TrackWiz rating of 69.77 gives this horse a real edge over the rest of the field outside the top two, and Jose L. Alvarez has the experience to pilot a closer against a fast pace. If Edgemeister gets challenged up front, Citycityblingbling could be sitting on a perfect trip.

show4I'm On EdgeML 4/1

I'm On Edge brings a 60.52 rating and the best average speed figure in the field at 54, matching Edgemeister and Citycityblingbling in that department. The 4/1 morning line feels fair for a horse that is clearly better than the bottom half of this field. Erik Asmussen in the irons for a Steven M. Asmussen barn is always worth noting — the father-son combo knows how to place horses to win.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Our three free best bets today span the first three races on the dirt, and there's a common thread worth noting: early speed has been rewarding at Lone Star on days like this, when the track is fast and the weather is mild. Cause Mimi Said (Race 1, morning line 9/5) opens the card at a mile with a TrackWiz rating of 88.83 — a number that respects both her class and her ability to settle into a pace scenario. Edgemeister (Race 2, 4/5 ML) is the morning-line favorite at six furlongs and carries our top rating of 90.00 for the day, so don't overthink it — sometimes the chalk is chalk for a reason. Awesome Road (Race 3, 7/5 ML) rounds out the free trio in a Starter Optional Claiming mile, where our figures suggest she's got a legitimate edge over this field.

These three races also make a natural early Pick 3 target. The prices aren't explosive, but stringing together three solid favorites with strong TrackWiz ratings is exactly the kind of low-variance start that sets up a profitable afternoon.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

3:29 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A starter optional claiming mile that shapes up as a two-horse affair at the top, with a legitimate upset threat hiding in the value plays.

win7Awesome RoadML 7/5

Awesome Road is our top-rated horse in Race 3 with an 89.42 TrackWiz score and the best average speed figure in the field at 55 — a full tick faster than the nearest competitors. The 29% career win rate is outstanding and points to a horse that consistently runs to form, not one who flatters to deceive. Trainer Martin Manuel Valdez-Cabral has another live runner today, and Richard E. Eramia gets the mount at a workable 7/5 morning line. A one-mile dirt distance looks ideal.

place4Bright SparkML EVN

Bright Spark is the other legitimate contender at an even-money morning line, posting an 86.10 rating and a sterling 27% career win rate. Trainer Kevin D. Martin puts Ramon A. Vazquez in the saddle — a capable pair that can handle the pace scenario from wherever they land in the field. Even with Awesome Road as the clear top choice, Bright Spark is far too good to dismiss and should be on the ticket in every exotic.

show2ListentothemusicML 10/1

Listentothemusic offers a compelling value angle at 10/1 on the morning line, carrying a 65.54 rating and an impressive 23% career win rate that rivals the top horses in terms of consistency. Trainer Justin R. Evans doesn't overplace his runners, and the one-mile distance on dirt fits the profile. David Cabrera aboard gives this one professional handling — include in trifectas and superfectas at a generous price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

3:56 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Turf

A wide-open maiden special weight on the turf features two horses with substantially better ratings than the rest of a nine-horse field that includes multiple first-time starters.

win7Big Bang BoomML 9/5

Big Bang Boom tops our TrackWiz ratings at 88.83 in this maiden turf mile, matching the top rating of the day's card. Trainer Danny Pish is an excellent conditioner when it comes to placing maiden horses, and Weston Hamilton has the horse at 9/5 on the morning line — suggesting the barn is confident. An average speed figure of 53 holds up well in this field, and in a race where everyone is still learning, raw ability matters most.

place4Blame Da InnocentML 8/5

Blame Da Innocent is right there at an 80.05 rating and 8/5 morning line, making this a very tight top-two situation. Trainer Shon M. Dunlap sends this one out with Rene Diaz in the irons — a reliable combination that has seen turf before. The average speed figure of 53 matches several rivals, but the overall profile and rating suggest this horse will be competitive deep into the stretch and is a strong place proposition.

show2Shanghai CupidML 5/1

Shanghai Cupid at 5/1 is the clear value play in third at a 69.96 rating — well clear of the remaining six horses in the field. Trainer Jose R. Gonzalez Jr. puts Alfredo J. Juarez Jr. up, a jockey who knows how to rate a horse over a mile on grass. For exotic players, this horse offers real show value at a price the top two can't match.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 5

4:23 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

A maiden special weight sprint on dirt where the top-rated horse is going off at 7/2 — making this an interesting value puzzle despite a short field.

win1Whisperin LizML 7/2

Whisperin Liz is our clear top selection with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating — the highest in the field by a meaningful margin over a tight cluster below. Trainer Karen E. Jacks also saddles Imatexasbeauty, giving the barn a two-horse entry and familiarity with the conditions. Stewart Elliott gets the call on Whisperin Liz and the 7/2 morning line is frankly an overlay given the rating gap — this is a best bet in Race 5.

place3Sweet MarleyML 2/1

Sweet Marley comes in at a 58.33 rating for trainer Steven M. Asmussen, who historically runs maiden routes to win and not just to get a workout. Erik Asmussen aboard at 2/1 morning line means the market respects this one, despite the rating trailing Whisperin Liz. The average speed figure of 54 is the best in the field, suggesting raw quickness that could make this runner dangerous if Whisperin Liz has any issues.

show2ImatexasbeautyML 5/2

Imatexasbeauty is the other half of the Jacks barn's entry at 5/2, carrying a 57.5 rating and an average speed figure of 53. Having two horses from the same trainer gives the jockey communication an edge — Elliott on the top choice and David Cabrera navigating Imatexasbeauty underneath. As a trifecta fill, this is a horse with stable backing and a legitimate chance to hit the board.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 6

4:50 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi · Dirt

An allowance mile on dirt with legitimate pace and class questions throughout — the morning-line favorite rates below our top selection, making this a race where TrackWiz analysis diverges from public expectation.

win5Shot of CourageML 9/2

Shot of Courage is our top selection at 82.17 and goes at 9/2 on the morning line — meaning the public isn't fully on board yet, which creates value. The 22% career win rate is strong for this class level, and trainer Steven M. Asmussen consistently maximizes allowance horses when they're fit. Erik Asmussen in the irons means seamless communication with the barn. The average speed figure of 52 is in line with the field, making this a pace-neutral scenario where the best horse should prevail.

place3YouramystyleML 7/2

Youramystyle has earned a 70.45 rating while posting a 21% career win rate — numbers that suggest a horse who fires consistently without always winning. Trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez sends this one out with Ramon A. Vazquez, a dependable combination at Lone Star. The 7/2 morning line reflects fair public interest, and the one-mile dirt distance is right in this runner's wheelhouse.

show6Get DreamyML 15/1

Get Dreamy is the longshot show play at 15/1 on the morning line, carrying a 69.58 rating that ranks third in this field — a significant disconnect between the odds and the actual rating. The average speed figure of 54 is one of the best in the race, and Alfredo J. Juarez Jr. is capable of piloting an upset. For trifecta players, leaving this 15/1 shot off the ticket would be a costly oversight.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

5:17 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

A full eleven-horse turf claiming field at 7.5 furlongs creates a complex pace scenario — and two horses with nearly identical top ratings set up a fascinating duel for the lead or the position.

win7Jalapena LenaML 5/1

Jalapena Lena posts an 84.17 TrackWiz rating — the best in an eleven-horse field — while carrying a 28% career win rate that ranks among the highest of any horse on today's card. The average speed figure of 55 is the best in the race outright, and trainer Sarah Nicole Davidson puts Mario Fuentes up at 5/1 on the morning line. That price looks generous for the top-rated, fastest-figured horse in a turf claiming race at this level.

place1BelmiraML 3/1

Belmira is separated from Jalapena Lena by just a fraction of a rating point at 84.08, and the 3/1 morning line reflects that the market sees this as a near-coin-flip at the top. Trainer Mindy J. Willis deploys Stewart Elliott, a jockey who can control pace and position on the turf. The 11% career win rate is lower than our top pick, but the overall profile and rating make Belmira a near-certainty for the exacta.

show8HollywoodboulevardML 4/1

Hollywoodboulevard brings a 75.34 rating and 10% career win rate to a seven-and-a-half furlong turf test, with David Cabrera in the irons for trainer Matt Hebert. The average speed figure of 53 is right in the pack, but the rating holds up well against a crowded field that includes several horses with numbers in the 50s and low 60s. At 4/1, this is a legitimate show horse and a key trifecta component.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

Race 8

5:44 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A loaded seven-furlong dirt claiming race where the top four horses by TrackWiz rating are separated by less than nine points — expect a heated pace and a tight finish.

win4Ring SeekerML 2/1

Ring Seeker tops our ratings at 88.54 and goes as the 2/1 morning-line favorite, backed by a strong 25% career win rate and an average speed figure of 55 — tied for best in the field. Trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez puts Ramon A. Vazquez in the saddle, a combination that has been productive at this level. In a field with legitimate speed horses across the board, Ring Seeker's combination of raw ability and consistency makes it the most dependable option.

place2Texian DevilML 3/1

Texian Devil has a 37% career win rate — the highest of any horse on today's entire card — and a strong 85.86 TrackWiz rating that makes it a serious threat. Trainer Scott E. Young gives Floyd Wethey Jr. the assignment, and this horse is clearly fit and competitive at a 3/1 price. If Ring Seeker gets into any trouble in a crowded pace scenario, Texian Devil is well-positioned to capitalize.

show5RivetageML 7/2

Rivetage enters with an 80.63 rating and draws trainer J.R. Caldwell, who has had a productive day card with Edgemeister in Race 2. Rene Diaz handles the mount at 7/2, and the 10% career win rate is the only mild concern — this horse has shown ability without always converting. In a trifecta structure with two clear top horses, Rivetage is the logical third piece at a fair price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 9

6:11 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi · Dirt

The allowance closer on dirt at a mile features a fascinating split between the market favorite and our top-rated selection — and a win horse posting a career win rate that jumps off the page.

win5HeavenvilleML 2/1

Heavenville is our top-rated selection at 88.54 and carries a 31% career win rate, numbers that fit squarely at the top of this allowance field. Trainer J.R. Caldwell — who has solid representation on today's card — puts Rene Diaz in the saddle at a 2/1 morning line. The average speed figure of 54 matches the best in the field, and in a one-mile dirt allowance where class and consistency matter, Heavenville's profile is the strongest.

place3Brilliant PlanML 7/2

Brilliant Plan is the eye-catcher in this field with a 75% career win rate — an extraordinary number that suggests a horse who simply wins races at an elite clip when healthy and placed correctly. Trainer Karen E. Jacks puts Stewart Elliott up at 7/2, and the 85.78 rating is right behind our top selection. This horse absolutely cannot be left out of exactas and trifectas.

show6Go Go BossML 9/2

Go Go Boss offers a 67.81 rating and a 26% career win rate — a well-rounded profile for a horse sitting at 9/2 on the morning line. Trainer Matt Hebert sends Jose L. Alvarez out, and the average speed figure of 54 ties with Heavenville and U.S. Army for best in the race. If the top two get tangled up in a pace battle, Go Go Boss is the style of horse that can close into a soft pace and hit the board.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 10

6:38 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

The finale is a maiden claiming mile on the turf — a wide-open affair where three horses cluster near the top of our ratings while the rest of the ten-horse field is left well behind.

win8Zorritos DashML 7/2

Zorritos Dash earns the top spot in our Race 10 ratings at 77.10, carrying an average speed figure of 53 and a 7/2 morning line that represents real value in a maiden claiming field on the turf. Trainer Stephanie Herreros puts Mario Fuentes up — Fuentes has had a productive card today and the combination deserves respect. On a turf mile where trip and pace position can be decisive, Zorritos Dash has the tools to put it all together.

place6Unrivaled HeroML 5/2

Unrivaled Hero is right behind at 75.46 with a 5/2 morning line — arguably the public's co-favorite — and trainer Robertino Diodoro is a highly regarded conditioner who wins at a strong clip with maiden horses. Geovanni Franco takes the mount and brings solid tactical experience to navigate a ten-horse turf field. The average speed figure of 53 is consistent with the top tier, and at 5/2 this is among the more reliable place plays on the entire card.

show3Game RunnerML 15/1

Game Runner presents one of the more intriguing value plays on today's card — a 69.58 rating combined with a 15/1 morning line creates a significant overlay if the rating holds any predictive weight. Trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez puts Ramon A. Vazquez in the irons, and Vazquez has shown all day that he can navigate turf fields with patience. For trifecta and superfecta players, anchoring Game Runner underneath at 15/1 is exactly the type of exotic bet that pays meaningful dividends.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

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Bottom line: Lone Star has a full, varied card today under good conditions, and we've got strong opinions top to bottom. Edgemeister is our highest-rated horse on the card — a race to watch closely early. Cause Mimi Said and Awesome Road give the free picks real substance in Races 1 and 3. And for the complete picture — pace scenarios, longshot angles, exotic tickets — the full premium breakdown is waiting for subscribers at /pricing. Good luck out there, and let's have a day.

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