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Fort Erie Picks & Predictions — September 22, 2026
Here's our expert breakdown of today's 6-race card at Fort Erie. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 6 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.
Best Bets
Race 1
Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt
Brazilian Legacy towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.
Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.1 for Race 1. Ridden by Leo Salles, trained by Anthony Adamo. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.39 sec/furlong. 2 wins and placed in 7 of 11 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. 2 wins and placed in 4 of 6 races at Fort Erie. Jockey & Horse combo has a 12% win rate and finished in the money in 37% of races. Claiming Price Decreased from $4750 to $4000. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.
Rating board at 60.5. Ridden by Ismael Eluid Mosqueira. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.54 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 31% win rate and finished in the money in 76% of races.
Rating board at 56.2. Ridden by Desean Bynoe. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.52 sec/furlong. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 12.20 sec/furlong.
Race 2
Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt
Bet-down spot for Frac Amour — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.
Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.3 for Race 2. Ridden by Kirk Johnson, trained by Julie Mathes. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.20 sec/furlong. 4 wins and placed in 16 of 30 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. 4 wins and placed in 10 of 15 races at Fort Erie. Horse won last time it raced. 09/15/2026.
Rating board at 84.2. Ridden by Da-Sean Zavier Gaskin. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.07 sec/furlong. 3 wins and placed in 13 of 25 races on Dirt tracks.
Rating board at 77.3 • 27% career wins. Ridden by Juan Crawford. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.18 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 48% of races.
Race 3
Claiming · 5 fur · Turf
Standout on paper: Back to Reality grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.
Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.8 for Race 3. Career win rate of 27% shows consistency. Ridden by Sofia Vives, trained by Anthony Adamo. For past year, Jockey has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races. Has placed in the last 8 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. Has 4 wins and placed in 6 of 8 races at 5 fur. 6 wins and placed in 13 of 16 races at Fort Erie. Jockey & Horse combo has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races. Has WON 3 races in a row! Horse won last time it raced. 09/14/2026. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.
Rating board at 65.8. Ridden by Xarel Forde. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.30 sec/furlong. Has 3 wins and placed in 5 of 7 races at 5 fur.
Rating board at 60.0. Ridden by Steve Jadoo. Has 3 wins and placed in 6 of 7 races at 5 fur. 3 wins and placed in 5 of 7 races at Fort Erie.
Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.
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