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Free Delaware Park Picks & Predictions — September 11, 2026

September 11, 202610 racesAll Delaware Park picks

Delaware Park puts up a serious Friday card on September 11th — ten races, six of them stakes, and enough pace intrigue to keep you busy from first post to the nightcap. Cloudy skies and a comfortable 79°F means no heat excuses today; conditions are about as neutral as you'll get at this time of year.

The card leans heavily on the dirt sprint, with five of the six stakes events going six furlongs on the main track. But don't overlook the turf either — Races 4 and 7 head to the grass, giving multi-surface players plenty to work with across a full afternoon.

Whether you're building a Pick 4 ticket or just hunting a solid win bet, there's real opportunity here. TrackWiz analysis has flagged several horses whose morning-line odds don't match what the numbers are saying — and a couple of those live in the free previews below.

3 Free Races at Delaware Park

Race 1

4:34 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The top of the TrackWiz ratings board is heavily concentrated at the top, but a 15/1 shot sneaks into the show position — this card rewards exacta players willing to go deep.

win8RicheztooML 9/5

Richeztoo tops our ratings at 84.52 and draws the morning-line favoritism at 9/5, so the market agrees. The average speed figure of 55 ties for best in field, and trainer Jose A. Gallegos puts a horse in here that looks the part on paper. At 9/5 the price isn't glamorous, but the rating separation over the field is real — this is a horse to build your tickets around.

place7Lost My ShoeML 6/1

Lost My Shoe is the eye-catcher of the race with a 66% career win percentage — that's not a typo, that's a horse who closes the deal when he fires. Jockey Paul A. Luna keeps the mount, and the 75.93 TrackWiz rating is second-best in the field. At 6/1 on the morning line, there's legitimate place value here if you want to stretch your money.

show3GiglineML 15/1

Gigline is the longshot angle worth including in your exotics at 15/1. The TrackWiz rating of 69.58 is actually third-highest in the entire field — that's a meaningful disconnect from the morning line. Trainer Ramon Davila Aguayo saddles a horse that may be overlooked simply because of post position optics, but the underlying numbers say he belongs in the conversation.

Race 2

5:06 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

A short stakes field with a clear class hierarchy at the top, but a 4/1 shot with the highest career win percentage in the race could complicate the exacta.

win4Dwelling LegacyML 3/2

Dwelling Legacy comes in with the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 89.27 and draws the 3/2 morning line — the oddsmakers see it clearly, and so do we. Trainer Gary Capuano's barn is well-represented today, and pairing him with jockey Yedsit Hazlewood for the 6-furlong dirt sprint gives this horse an experienced team behind her. The 30% career win rate is solid for a stakes runner, and the rating gap over the field is wide enough to trust.

place1SassafrassnessML 4/1

Sassafrassness is the standout value in this race with a 45% career win percentage — best in the field by a wide margin. Her 83.64 rating is second only to the top pick, and trainer Jamie Ness has her perfectly placed at 4/1 on the morning line with Paco Lopez in the irons. If Dwelling Legacy hits any traffic or gets outrun early, Sassafrassness has the tactical speed to capitalize.

show2Onyx TenML 9/5

Onyx Ten at 9/5 on the morning line slots in as our show selection, backed by a 74.27 TrackWiz rating. Trainer Gary Capuano doubles up in this race, which often signals confidence in the barn's runners. A 31% career win rate is respectable, and at a distance of 6 furlongs on dirt, Onyx Ten has the speed profile to stay involved throughout.

Race 3

5:37 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

Several runners carry perfect career records, but small sample sizes make this stakes a genuine puzzle — pace scenario and rating separation become the tiebreakers.

win2MartiniwithatwistML 8/1

Martiniwithatwist sits at the top of the TrackWiz board at 79.79 despite carrying an 8/1 morning line — that's a meaningful value discrepancy our analysis flagged immediately. A 33% career win rate is legitimate stakes class, and trainer Gary Capuano sends this horse out in a field where multiple runners are lightly raced. The 6-furlong dirt distance pairs well with an average speed figure of 54, and this is the kind of overlay that separates casual bettors from sharp ones.

place1Whitten WayML 9/5

Whitten Way carries a 100% career win rate and draws the 9/5 morning line, which reflects public confidence — but her 58.67 TrackWiz rating is notably lower than our top pick, suggesting she may be slightly overbet. Trainer Gary Capuano has her primed, and Emanuel Rosario is a strong rider in these situations. She belongs on your ticket, but likely as a place insurance play rather than a win-all.

show6Cha Cha BabyML 2/1

Cha Cha Baby comes in at 2/1 with a 50% career win rate and an average speed figure of 55 — best in the field. Trainer Robert E. Reid, Jr. and jockey Mychel J. Sanchez are an established pairing at this level. The 58.33 rating puts her in a cluster near the top of the field, and at short odds she makes sense as show coverage in your exotic plays.

Three races are open to every TrackWiz reader today, and they cover a nice cross-section of the card. Race 1 kicks things off in Starter Optional Claiming company, where Richeztoo (9/5 ML) posts a TrackWiz rating of 84.52 — solid for this level and a logical confidence-builder to open the day. Race 2 steps up to stakes territory and Dwelling Legacy (3/2 ML) comes in as our highest-rated free pick at 89.27, the kind of number that makes a morning-line favorite feel justified rather than just popular. Then Race 3 is where it gets interesting: Martiniwithatwist is sitting out there at 8/1 in a six-furlong stakes, and our model likes the spot enough to make the horse a top pick despite the generous price.

The sprint bias on Delaware's dirt is worth keeping in mind for all three of these races — pace scenarios in short fields can get decisive quickly, and horses with early tactical speed have been rewarded on this surface. Watch the early fractions in Race 1 as a pace read for what's to come later in the card.

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Race 4

6:04 PM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A wide-open maiden field on the turf mile where every horse has a 0% career win rate — raw ratings and pace scenario separate the contenders from the filler.

win5Mischievous TwinsML 3/1

Mischievous Twins earns the top spot on our board for this maiden turf route with a 75.85 TrackWiz rating and a 3/1 morning line that reflects legitimate public support. Trainer Jamie Ness is a name to follow in maiden spots, and jockey Jaime Rodriguez keeps the mount — that continuity matters in turf routes where rhythm and positioning are everything. The 54 average speed figure ties for the field consensus, and in a race where every horse is seeking their first win, the highest raw rating usually carries the most predictive weight.

place2Queen Ofthe CosmosML 12/1

Queen Ofthe Cosmos is the big-number value play at 12/1 morning line with a 73.96 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field. Trainer Erin C. McClellan sends her out with Inoel Beato aboard, and the 54 average speed figure shows she can match the field's pace. At 12/1, she's a must-use in exactas and trifectas for any player willing to look past the first column of the program.

show3Spresso MarML 12/1

Spresso Mar also checks in at 12/1 morning line and posts a 60.36 TrackWiz rating — third in the field. Trainer Madison F. Meyers has two runners in this race (also Ruthie Bar), and often a barn will prep one to set pace for the other. Kevin Gomez has the call, and in a turf maiden where the pace can get muddled, having a third scoring option at double-digit odds makes Spresso Mar a smart show inclusion in multi-race sequences.

Race 5

6:33 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

Stakes at 6 furlongs on dirt with a cluster of closely-rated horses and two runners carrying perfect career records — pace is going to be fiercely contested from the gate.

win6Walt's NotionML 3/1

Walt's Notion tops our selection with a 56.67 TrackWiz rating and an eye-catching 100% career win rate — this horse hasn't lost yet. Trainer Phillip Capuano sends him out at 3/1 on the morning line with Emanuel Rosario up, one of the more reliable jockey-trainer pairings you'll see at Delaware Park. The 55 average speed figure ties for best in field, and in a stakes race where the field is closely bunched in the ratings, that unblemished record matters.

place5Good LookernessML 6/1

Good Lookerness at 6/1 is the value placement here — a 55.54 TrackWiz rating and the same top-tier speed figure of 55 make her more competitive than the odds suggest. Trainer Jamie Ness and jockey Mychel J. Sanchez are a consistent pair, and at a quarter-horse price she's worth including as a place play in exactas. The 25% career win rate is honest, and she doesn't need to win to make money at 6/1 place payoffs.

show4Westbound CatML 9/2

Westbound Cat checks in at 9/2 with a 50% career win rate — legitimately above average. Trainer Gary Capuano has runners across multiple races today, signaling a strong barn day, and Yedsit Hazlewood takes the mount in a race that suits a pace-pressing style. The 54.17 rating is third-best among our selections and keeps her firmly in the exacta and trifecta mix.

Race 6

7:04 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A 10-horse starter optional claiming sprint where the top two TrackWiz-rated runners are separated by a meaningful gap from the rest — this looks like a two-horse race with a value show play lurking.

win5Guapo AgainML 9/5

Guapo Again is the clear top selection here with an 88.83 TrackWiz rating — second-highest on the entire day card — and a 9/5 morning line that correctly identifies him as the one to beat. Trainer Kelly J. Breen and jockey Paco Lopez is a pairing that commands respect at any Mid-Atlantic track, and a 25% career win rate in a starter optional claiming field suggests he's been running against tougher. The 55 average speed figure ties for best in this field, and this is a horse where the numbers and the market are aligned.

place6Triple PassML 7/2

Triple Pass at 7/2 is the most interesting horse on the board — an 84.61 TrackWiz rating that's second only to our win pick, but a career win rate of just 6% raises a question worth asking. Trainer Johnny Collins and jockey Marvin Fernandez have a horse who clearly has ability but hasn't always converted — place money at 7/2 might be the right way to play him. If the pace gets hot early and the field comes back, Triple Pass has the underlying rating to swoop.

show1Float OnML 8/1

Float On at 8/1 is a legitimate show value with a 70.21 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field by a solid margin. Trainer Josue Arce sends him in from post 1, and Jose A. Batista is a solid rider who can work the rail in a sprint. A 21% career win rate in this class level shows consistent competitiveness, and at 8/1 he's an easy include on the show ticket.

Race 7

7:34 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 mi 70 yd · Turf

A massive 15-horse stakes field on the turf at a mile and 70 yards — full fields on the green create chaos, and our top-rated runner is a 12/1 shot that TrackWiz analysis sees very differently than the oddsmakers.

win1Shaft's BulletML 12/1

Shaft's Bullet at 12/1 is the TrackWiz value call of the race — a 73.96 rating that ties for second-highest in this sprawling field, but the morning line treats him like a long shot. Trainer Gary Capuano enters multiple horses today, and Yedsit Hazlewood rides, keeping a strong barn-and-jockey connection intact. A 31% career win rate is entirely respectable for a turf router, and at a genuine double-digit price, this is the kind of play that separates recreational tickets from serious ones.

place13GrouchML 3/1

Grouch at 3/1 is the morning-line choice for much of the public and posts a 71.16 TrackWiz rating — the field's top mark aside from our win pick. Edwin Gonzalez takes the mount for trainer Jose Lozano Sanchez, and a 15% career win rate in a competitive turf stakes is honest. The 3/1 price means place bets won't pay lavishly, but if you're structuring a trifecta, Grouch is a sturdy top anchor.

show9BabbleML 8/1

Babble is a name worth putting in your exotics at 8/1 morning line, backed by a 70.79 TrackWiz rating that's right in the thick of this competitive field. Trainer Nesvil Hernan Bailon and Emanuel Rosario team up in a race where the packed field could easily create traffic — Babble's rating suggests she has the raw ability to navigate and hit the board. At 8/1, show money on Babble adds meaningful upside to your trifecta coverage.

Race 8

8:07 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A seven-horse stakes at a mile and 70 yards on dirt with a dominant top-rated runner and a compelling Capuano barn presence — the win bet looks obvious, but the exacta offers real value.

win7Intrepids FantasyML 8/5

Intrepids Fantasy is the most compelling horse on the afternoon card — an 89.12 TrackWiz rating paired with a 100% career win rate is as clean as it gets. Trainer Gary Capuano has had multiple live horses today, and pairing him with Emanuel Rosario for a stakes route on dirt gives this horse every advantage. The 8/5 morning line is short, but you simply can't fade a horse that has never lost and rates this high — the win bet is justified.

place3Intrepid MoML 4/1

Intrepid Mo at 4/1 is our place selection and posts a 74.38 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field. Trainer Gary Capuano doubles up in this race with both the win and place picks, which is a meaningful signal that the barn is confident about its runners today. A 40% career win rate is among the highest in the field, and Yedsit Hazlewood gets the mount — this is a live place horse at a fair price.

show2Pink RubyML 3/1

Pink Ruby comes in at 3/1 on the morning line with a 71.71 TrackWiz rating and a 33% career win rate. Trainer Lindsay Schultz and jockey Martin Chuan are a capable pairing for a route on dirt, and the 54 average speed figure is second-highest in the field. She's not an overlay at 3/1, but as a show bet or trifecta key she offers dependable coverage in a race where the top two picks could easily dominate.

Race 9

8:37 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

A tight six-horse stakes sprint where two horses rate closely at the top but one carries a significant speed figure edge — TrackWiz sees a narrow margin between win and place, making the exacta the play.

win5HaileysfirstnotionML 9/5

Haileysfirstnotion earns the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 88.83 — tied for second-highest on the full day card — and carries a 9/5 morning line that reflects genuine market respect. The 56 average speed figure is the highest in this race by a full point, and trainer Gary Capuano sends her out for Yedsit Hazlewood in what looks like a strong effort. A 42% career win rate shows she converts regularly at a high clip for a stakes runner.

place6Quint's BrewML 3/2

Quint's Brew at 3/2 is the morning-line favorite but slots in as our place pick — a 76.69 TrackWiz rating trails only our top selection, and a 53% career win rate is outstanding. Trainer Edward T. Allard and jockey Forest Boyce are a familiar pairing, and this horse has clearly been a consistent performer. At 3/2 the win bet may not excite, but as a place hedge in an exacta with Haileysfirstnotion, the combination looks strong.

show1SpikezoneML 6/1

Spikezone at 6/1 gives you real value in the show spot — a 70.61 TrackWiz rating and a 47% career win rate that's among the highest in the field. Trainer Jamie Ness and jockey Jaime Rodriguez have been active all day at Delaware, and the 55 average speed figure keeps Spikezone speed-figure-competitive with the leaders. In a six-horse field where only one horse separates cleanly at the top, Spikezone is a comfortable exacta/trifecta include.

Race 10

9:09 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A seven-horse claiming sprint to close out the card — one horse dominates the ratings by a wide margin, but a 3/1 second choice provides legitimate exacta competition and show value lurks at 8/1.

win7Lady ZetaML 2/1

Lady Zeta is the standout of the finale with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — dominant in this claiming field — and a 22% career win rate that's solid for a horse running in this company. Trainer Lacey Gaudet saddles a horse that pairs that elite rating with a 56 average speed figure, tied for highest in the field. Jockey Tais Lyapustina gets the mount at 2/1, and while the price isn't generous, the rating advantage makes Lady Zeta a confident win selection to close out your card.

place1Tempting LadyML 3/1

Tempting Lady at 3/1 is the legitimate alternative in this race — a 74.04 TrackWiz rating is second-best by a solid margin, and a 25% career win rate is competitive in a claiming field. Trainer Bruce M. Kravets and jockey Ricardo Chiappe are a workmanlike pairing, and from the rail post she'll have a clear look at the pace. At 3/1, the exacta using Lady Zeta on top of Tempting Lady offers a fair payout for a confident sequence.

show6Dark DutchessML 8/1

Dark Dutchess at 8/1 is the closing-race value play — a 55.01 TrackWiz rating leads all remaining horses not picked win or place, and the 54 average speed figure is right in line with the field median. Trainer Robert A. Werneth and jockey Carol Cedeno bring a modest career win rate of 9%, so she's not a horse you're trusting to win, but at 8/1 she's a smart trifecta third in a field where the top two selections are clear.

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Bottom line: Delaware Park is serving up a stakes-heavy Friday card with real value hiding in the morning line — especially at 8/1 on Martiniwithatwist in Race 3. For the free plays, lean on Dwelling Legacy and Richeztoo to set the tone early. Subscribers get the full picture on all ten races, including pace projections, exotic strategies, and our highest-confidence plays deeper in the card. Don't leave money on the table — upgrade to TrackWiz Premium and get the complete edge before first post.

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