Del Mar Picks & Predictions — November 7, 2026

Driftingandreaming is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 for good reason — a 33% career win rate is elite at any level, and TrackWiz clocks his simulation win percentage at 23.94%, second in the field. The key angle here is that he won last time out at today's surface and distance, which is about as direct a form line as you can find. Joel Rosario takes the mount, and his 19% win rate and 52% board percentage over the past year make this a sharp combination. The one mild concern is a workout ranking of sixth over the last month, but the race-fit form is clearly where the action is.

Scene by Me is the third-ranked horse by TrackWiz rating at 60.54, and his 62% in-the-money rate over his career is the kind of consistency that earns a show ticket in a wide-open claimer. He's placed in two of three races at Del Mar specifically, which matters on a track where some horses simply like the surface and setup. The 17.88% simulation win share is the third-highest in the field, suggesting he's more competitive than his 7/2 morning line implies.

Corporal Violette ranks second in the field at 74.65 and brings the best workout of the past month (ranked first at 11.65 seconds per furlong), suggesting trainer Mark Rheinford has this horse pointed toward a peak effort. Kimura (19% win rate, 51% in-the-money) pilots, and the second-ranked recent race speed figure at 12.00 seconds per furlong shows he's been running competitively. The age concern (seven years old) is a real flag in route turf races, but the workout bullet is a meaningful counter-argument that he's freshened and ready.

Little Hidden Port is the morning-line favorite but carries only the third-highest TrackWiz rating at 69.33, which is why he lands here rather than on top. Rosario keeps the mount and brings his usual credentials, and the horse has placed in his last two starts and gone 1-for-3 at a mile specifically. The concern that stands out is a sluggish recent race speed figure (ranked eighth in the field), and at six years old he's not a young horse — but his recent in-the-money form makes him a reasonable exotic anchor at the top of the ticket.

Duntov is a first-time starter from the Bob Baffert barn, so there's inherently some uncertainty here — we're working with workout data rather than a race record. What we do know is powerful: the Hernandez/Baffert combination has a 38% win rate and 77% in-the-money figure over the past year, which is a staggering stat for any trainer-jockey duo. Duntov's workouts rank third in the field at 11.92 seconds per furlong, suggesting he's been training well enough to be competitive first out. At 2/1 on the morning line, the market respects him, and TrackWiz's 18.35% simulation win share makes him a logical place horse.

Noble Testament brings a 56.67 rating that ranks third in the field, and the second-ranked recent race speed figure at 12.51 seconds per furlong shows some legitimate race ability despite a modest career sample. The 133-day layoff is worth watching — he's essentially treating this as a freshening race — but the fact that he placed in his only recent start gives some confidence he's not completely ring-rusty. At 3/1 on the morning line, he's fairly priced for a show ticket in a wide-open maiden.

Falling Creek is a compelling place play — she won her last race on October 12th and boasts the fastest recent race speed figure in the entire field at 11.23 seconds per furlong, which in a five-furlong turf sprint is a significant edge. She's placed in her only recent start and carries a 100% in-the-money mark, though the small sample size keeps us honest. At 7/2 on the morning line, there's modest value here if she can replicate that form.

Blame Ashley (program number 10) brings a 100% in-the-money rate and has placed in each of his last two starts — in a sprint where consistency matters, that recent form is worth respecting. Trainer Hector O. Palma gets an A-grade, and Kimura (19% win rate, 51% in-the-money) is an A-grade jockey who regularly competes at this level. The 16.51% simulation win percentage is the third-highest in the field, quietly suggesting this horse is more competitive than a casual glance might indicate.

Hurricane Way ranks second in the field at 64.09 and brings the best recent race speed figure in the entire field at 12.19 seconds per furlong — in a dirt mile where pace control matters, that's the kind of number that sets up a horse to stalk and pounce. His dirt record shows one win and placed in four of six, and TrackWiz's third-ranked workout over the past month at 11.95 suggests he's fit. The knock is a modest Del Mar record (one placing in four tries) and a note that he's older than the field average — but the form figures make him a legitimate contender.

Forza Azzurri is the third pick at 5/2 on the morning line, trained by the A-grade Peter Miller and carrying a 59.43 TrackWiz rating that ranks third. The Del Mar record is clean — two placings from two visits — and the dirt form backs it up with one win and four placings in seven tries. The concern worth flagging is a claiming price jump (up from $5,000 to $12,500), which means connections believe he can compete at a higher level but it also invites the question of whether that confidence is warranted. The 13.76% simulation win share is a reasonable floor for a show position.

Tiger of the Sea (program number 13) sits just behind Billie Holiday at 85.47 and brings a 69% in-the-money career rate that tells you this horse knows how to hit the board. The third-ranked recent race speed at 11.57 seconds per furlong is legitimate for a five-furlong turf blast, and the Rosario/Tiger of the Sea combo specifically checks in at a 19% win rate and 52% in-the-money, reinforcing that this partnership works. At 2/1 on the morning line, he's fairly priced as the second pick in an exacta-first play.

Fancy Facts (program number 12) is a quietly consistent horse who has placed in four of his last six starts, holds a 30% career win rate, and owns a turf record of three wins and placed in five of nine on the green. The 7/2 morning line may underestimate a horse who ranks third in the TrackWiz ratings at 74.06 and has posted a 12.27% simulation win percentage — good enough for a show position in a wide field. The workout concern (ranked 11th over the past month) is worth noting, but his recent race form is the more telling indicator.

Special Club is a genuine value play at 12/1 on the morning line despite ranking second in the field at 72.18. His dirt record is strong — three wins and placed in 10 of 13 tries — and the best recent race speed in the entire field at 11.73 seconds per furlong (tied with Big City Lights) is a remarkable figure that suggests he's running as well as anyone right now. Joel Rosario takes over and brings his usual A- credentials, making this a well-connected horse at a price that far exceeds what his form warrants.

Man O Rose rounds out our ticket at 3/1 with a career win rate of 59% and a remarkable dirt record — nine wins and placed in 10 of 11 tries on the surface. He's placed in five of his last six starts and ranks third in the field at 71.10. The concern is age (six years old) and a third-ranked recent race speed figure that places him slightly behind the top two, but in a seven-furlong dirt stakes where the pace can be honest, a horse with this kind of consistent form is worth keeping in multi-race tickets.

Dare Greatly ranks second in the field at 71.20 and has done something rare: placed in his last seven consecutive starts. That streak tells you everything about his consistency, and the second-ranked recent race speed at 11.99 seconds per furlong shows he's not just hanging around — he's running fast enough to compete. Juan J. Hernandez (26% win rate, 63% in-the-money over the past year) is the best available jockey on him, making this a sharp combo for a place ticket. The 12.31% simulation win share is respectable and consistent with a solid place position.

Miss Donna (program number 10) gets the nod for the show slot on the strength of a 66% in-the-money career mark and a hot recent form cycle — placed in three of her last four starts. Her record at a mile is particularly compelling: two wins and placed in two of three tries at the distance, which is exactly what you want to see in a mile turf allowance. Emisael Jaramillo (19% win rate, 47% in-the-money) pilots for trainer Michael W. McCarthy, though the 11th-ranked workout over the past month is a mild concern to keep in mind.