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Del Mar Picks & Predictions — November 6, 2026

November 6, 20268 racesAll Del Mar picks

Best bets at Del Mar, November 6, 2026

Race 14Debby's GalML 6/53:30 PM EST

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Debby's Gal is the play to open today's card — she ranks first in recent race speed among the Race 1 field at 12.62 sec/furlong, and her jockey has cashed in the money 55% of the time over the past year. At 6/5 on the morning line, she's not a screaming overlay, but the data backs the chalk here.

It's a beautiful November Friday at Del Mar — clear skies, 77°F, and a track that should be playing fair on both the dirt and turf. Eight races spread across four dirt and four turf events give bettors plenty of angles to work with, highlighted by a Stakes race on the grass in Race 6 and a pair of Allowance Optional Claimers on turf that our ratings flagged as among the most competitive on the card.

TrackWiz simulations have been run across all eight races, and the full card has some genuinely interesting pace and value spots — including a longshot worth a hard look in Race 5. Here's what you need to know.

Best Bets

Race 1

3:30 PM EST

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claimer on the dirt mile where every horse in the field is winless, run styles are all unproven, and the top-rated horse carries nearly a 40-point rating edge over the second pick — this one looks like a potential wire-to-wire romp if the favorite fires.

win4Debby's GalML 6/5

Debby's Gal is the clear class standout here, earning the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 89.71 — a full 22 points ahead of the second-ranked horse. She posted the fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.62 seconds per furlong and has placed in 4 of her 7 starts on dirt, which is a meaningful positive in a race full of maiden claimers. Jockey Edgar Payeras has posted a 24% win rate and a 55% in-the-money rate over the past year, and our simulations gave her nearly 40% of the wins across 10,000 runs — dominant for a field this size. The one knock is her workouts have been softer than the field, ranking 5th over the last month, but her race-day form makes up for it.

place5Princess BreannaML 6/1

Princess Breanna comes in as the second-ranked horse with a 67.88 rating and brings a compelling angle: she's placed in 2 of her 3 starts at a mile, suggesting this distance suits her well. The claiming price drop from $50,000 down to $16,000 is a significant move that shouldn't be overlooked — connections appear to be placing her where she can compete. Her jockey has a 24% win rate and a 60% in-the-money rate over the past year, which adds confidence in a spot-play situation.

show1Sunny CreedML 7/5

Sunny Creed sits third in our ratings at 61.8 and posted the third-fastest recent race speed in the field, while her workout times rank second over the last month at 12.28 seconds per furlong — suggesting she's training forwardly into this start. The claiming drop from $50,000 to $16,000 mirrors Princess Breanna's situation and hints the barn is hunting a winnable spot. The concern is real — she hasn't placed in her last three starts and has gone 0-for-2 at Del Mar specifically — but in a field where everyone is searching for their first win, she's worth including in exotics.

We ran Race 1 10,000 times. Most wins:

4Debby's Gal40%
1Sunny Creed25%
5Princess Breanna16%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 1 is the one free look we're giving everyone today, and it's a solid starting point. Debby's Gal paces the field in raw speed figures and draws a jockey who's been clicking at a 24% win rate over the last year. In a Maiden Claiming mile on the dirt, those two factors together tend to be a reliable foundation. Our simulation gives her a 39.69% win probability — well above her implied 45% at 6/5, so the value isn't huge, but the edge is real.

The clear weather and 77-degree temps mean the turf courses should be in good shape, and there's no rain in the forecast to muddy up the dirt. That matters for a card this balanced between surfaces — no excuses today, just horses doing their thing on a picture-perfect SoCal afternoon.

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

4:01 PM EST

Allowance Optional Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

A ten-horse (one scratch) allowance optional claiming sprint on the turf where the ratings are tightly bunched between 75 and 87 at the top, setting up a genuinely competitive race — Private Gem holds the top rating but several horses are within striking distance and the morning line offers real value at mid-range prices.

win3Private GemML 3/1

Private Gem tops the TrackWiz ratings in this field at 87.08 and ranks second in recent race speed at 11.38 seconds per furlong, suggesting she's running close to peak form right now. She's placed in 3 of her last 5 starts and boasts a career in-the-money percentage of 80%, which is elite for any class level. Umberto Rispoli, one of the meet's top pilots with a 24% win rate and 64% in-the-money rate over the past year, gets the call, and TrackWiz simulations had her winning roughly 20% of 10,000 runs — solid in a 10-horse field. At 3/1 on the morning line, she represents fair value for the top pick.

place6DecapoML 7/2

Decapo has quietly built one of the more consistent recent form lines in this field, hitting the board in all 4 of his last 4 starts and in 4 of his last 6. He's trained by John Sadler, who's graded B by TrackWiz, and Joel Rosario — an A-grade jockey who's cashed 52% of the time in the money over the past year — is aboard. At 7/2 on the morning line, he's well-priced to land underneath in what looks like a productive exacta combo with Private Gem.

show7Wiki KaneML 6/1

Wiki Kane brings a sharp distance record to the table — he's won twice and placed in 3 of 4 starts at this exact 5-furlong trip, which is as good a surface/distance angle as you'll find in this race. Juan Hernandez, a top-tier jockey with a 26% win rate over the past year, is a significant positive, and Wiki Kane has placed in 2 of his last 3. At 6/1 on the morning line, he's a sensible show play and a live exotic piece — our sims gave him just under 13% of wins, which is better than his morning line implies.

We ran Race 2 10,000 times. Most wins:

3Private Gem20%
10Book Smart17%
6Decapo16%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

4:32 PM EST

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The top-rated horse here has a sizable edge in both the ratings and the recent speed figures, but the place and show picks are closely matched in the mid-70s and mid-60s range — this maiden claimer on the dirt sprint could easily yield a one-two punch from the top of the ratings list with a wide-open show spot.

win1Charmz AwayML 5/2

Charmz Away holds the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.81 and leads all comers in recent race speed at 12.25 seconds per furlong — the fastest number in this maiden claimer field. She's placed in 11 of her 17 dirt starts, which is a remarkable consistency mark for a horse still searching for her first win, and she's hit the board in each of her last 5 races. Our simulations gave her nearly 29% of wins across 10,000 runs, the highest in the field. This is a live favorite play at 5/2 on the morning line.

place8HungoverML 3/1

Hungover sits second in TrackWiz ratings at 76.05 and has placed in 4 of 8 dirt starts while also cashing in each of his last 2 starts — a horse coming into form at exactly the right time. His recent race speed ranks third in the field at 12.67 seconds per furlong, keeping him in the speed conversation. He's worth pairing with Charmz Away in exactas, and at 3/1 on the morning line he's fairly priced for a horse with upward momentum.

show6Fine Irish MorningML 3/1

Fine Irish Morning comes in at 66.71 in our ratings — third in the field — and clocks the second-fastest recent race speed at 12.56 seconds per furlong, right behind the top two. The workout line is also encouraging, ranking third over the last month at 11.96 seconds per furlong, and jockey Tiago Pereira holds an A- grade. The concern worth noting is that she's placed in just 1 of 4 dirt starts, so she needs to run to form on the surface today — but the raw speed and workout numbers support a show ticket.

We ran Race 3 10,000 times. Most wins:

1Charmz Away29%
8Hungover21%
6Fine Irish Morning18%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 4

5:03 PM EST

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

Thirteen horses entered (one scratched) in this allowance optional claiming mile on the turf, with Syntax sitting alone atop the ratings at 87 and a cluster of horses in the high 60s to high 70s battling for the place and show spots — a clear top pick with legitimate depth underneath.

win6SyntaxML 3/1

Syntax is the class of this field, earning the top TrackWiz rating at 87.08 — nearly 9 points ahead of the second-ranked Marla Hooch. She's placed in 5 of her last 6 starts, a streak of consistency that stands out in a 13-horse field, and her recent race speed ranks third in the field at 11.97 seconds per furlong. Umberto Rispoli rides, bringing a 24% win rate and an outstanding 64% in-the-money rate over the past year, and TrackWiz simulations had Syntax winning just under 20% of 10,000 runs — tops in the field. At 3/1 on the morning line, there's not a ton of overlay, but the form justifies the price.

place7Marla HoochML 7/2

Marla Hooch ranks second in our ratings at 78.46 with a career in-the-money percentage of 62%, and she's hit the board in 2 of her last 2 and in 4 of her last 6 — horses in that kind of rolling form tend to keep cashing. Kazushi Kimura takes the mount with a 19% win rate and 51% in-the-money rate over the past year. The one mild concern is her recent workout times rank 11th in the field, suggesting she might not be in peak physical condition, but her race-day form speaks louder.

show4Cecilia StreetML 8/1

Cecilia Street sits third in the ratings at 71.11 and brings one of the most impressive distance records in the field — she's placed in 6 of 7 starts at a mile, making her a natural fit for today's trip. Joel Rosario, an A-grade jockey, is up with a 19% win rate and 52% in-the-money rate over the past year. At 8/1 on the morning line, she's the value option in the exotics and our sims gave her just over 9% of wins — not a powerhouse, but legitimate enough to include in a wide trifecta.

We ran Race 4 10,000 times. Most wins:

6Syntax19%
7Marla Hooch15%
1The Loan Exchange11%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 13 runners

Race 5

5:33 PM EST

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A claiming mile on the dirt where the top TrackWiz rating belongs to Platinum Diva but the morning line paints her as a mid-range contender at 8/1 — suggesting a potential overlay — while the second pick Makenarita's seven-race in-the-money streak makes the place spot look like a strong value anchor.

win3Platinum DivaML 8/1

Platinum Diva leads all horses in this field with a TrackWiz rating of 79.79 and posts the fastest recent race speed in the bunch at 12.11 seconds per furlong — that combination of top rating and top speed is exactly what you want in a win play. Jockey Adrian Castellanos brings a 23% win rate and 55% in-the-money rate over the past year, and the Jockey/Trainer combo has clicked at a 26% win rate together as well. At 8/1 on the morning line, she's priced as if she's a mid-pack horse when our data says otherwise — that's a potential overlay TrackWiz simulations backed, giving her 17% of wins in a nine-horse field. The only red flag is she's 0-for-2 at Del Mar specifically.

place6MakenaritaML 9/2

Makenarita has placed in 7 of her last 7 starts — a streak that speaks volumes about her consistency in this claiming company. She's won 3 times and placed in 7 of 9 dirt starts overall, and Kazushi Kimura's A-grade jockey work (19% win rate, 51% in-the-money) gives her strong connections. At 9/2 on the morning line and with a 17.67% sim win share, she's well-positioned to land at minimum second in what looks like a winnable spot.

show2TheresasilverlininML 5/2

Theresasilverlinin may be the most experienced route horse in this field — she's placed in 9 of 10 starts at a mile and has 3 wins and 17 in-the-money finishes from 26 dirt starts. At 5/2 on the morning line she might be underpriced to win, but as a show anchor for exotics she's very reliable. The concerns are real: she's 6 years old (past typical prime) and her recent race speed ranks 8th in the field, suggesting she may need others to set a hot pace to close into — but her mile form is too good to ignore in the exotic tickets.

We ran Race 5 10,000 times. Most wins:

2Theresasilverlinin22%
6Makenarita18%
3Platinum Diva17%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 6

6:03 PM EST

Stakes · 1 mi · Turf

A ten-horse stakes field on the turf mile where the ratings are genuinely spread out — Matt At Five leads at 82 but Jordi Bear sits close behind at 78, and several mid-tier horses have pace scenarios that could shake things up — this stakes race looks more competitive than the top two prices suggest.

win7Matt At FiveML 6/1

Matt At Five tops the field with an 82.71 TrackWiz rating and brings the most impressive recent form in the race — he's placed in each of his last 4 starts and sports an 88% career in-the-money rate, which is exceptional at any level. His recent race speed ranks third in the field at 11.67 seconds per furlong, keeping him right in the speed picture. Trainer Peter Miller holds an A grade from TrackWiz, one of the top connections in this race, and the simulations gave Matt At Five just over 18% of wins across 10,000 runs. At 6/1 on the morning line, there's genuine value here for the top-rated horse in the field.

place2Jordi BearML 3/1

Jordi Bear is the second-rated horse in this field at 78.86 and has hit the board in 3 of his last 4 starts, including back-to-back in-the-money finishes coming in. Joel Rosario — an A-grade jockey with a 19% win rate and 52% in-the-money rate over the past year — is a major positive. At 3/1 on the morning line he's the morning-line favorite, and while that suppresses the win value, he's a logical key in exactas and trifectas underneath the 6/1 Matt At Five.

show3Tap the GinML 8/1

Tap the Gin sits third in the ratings at 65.93 and brings a strong surface record — he's placed in 3 of his last 4 and shows the second-fastest recent race speed in the field at 11.63 seconds per furlong, which is a significant positive in a mile stakes. Kazushi Kimura rides with a 19% win rate over the past year. The one mild flag is his workout times rank ninth in the field over the last month, but his race-day figures more than compensate. At 8/1 on the morning line, he's worth including in trifectas.

We ran Race 6 10,000 times. Most wins:

2Jordi Bear22%
7Matt At Five18%
3Tap the Gin12%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 7

6:33 PM EST

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A 13-horse claiming sprint on the dirt where the ratings are tightly bunched — Mischievous Bev leads at 87, Blame the Track sits at 84 — and the place pick actually carries the better morning-line odds, setting up an inverted value scenario worth exploring in the exotics.

win7Mischievous BevML 3/1

Mischievous Bev holds the top TrackWiz rating in this 13-horse field at 87.08 and is coming off three straight in-the-money finishes, with 4 cashes in her last 6 overall. She's placed in 4 of 6 starts on dirt — the surface she's on today — and our simulations gave her just under 20% of wins, the highest of any horse in the field. At 3/1 on the morning line she's fairly priced as the top pick, though the jockey Kyle Frey grades out at C+ which is worth noting — the form alone carries this play.

place13Blame the TrackML 5/2

Blame the Track sits just 3 points behind Mischievous Bev in TrackWiz ratings at 84.02 and posts the second-fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.25 seconds per furlong. Joel Rosario — A-grade, 19% win rate, 52% in-the-money over the past year — takes the reins, which is one of the strongest jockey upgrades on the entire card. She's placed in 2 of 3 dirt starts and her simulation win share of 21% actually tops the field, suggesting our model may like her even more than the rating rank implies. At 5/2 on the morning line she's the second choice and absolutely worth placing in exactas.

show4Pride of QueensML 8/1

Pride of Queens sits third in this race's ratings at 68.95 and brings the third-fastest recent race speed at 12.28 seconds per furlong — a solid number in this field. She's placed in 3 of 6 dirt starts and trainer Doug O'Neill holds a B+ grade. At 8/1 on the morning line she offers genuine value in the exotics, and while her sim win share of 9% is modest, she's consistent enough to land a show spot in a highly competitive 13-horse field.

We ran Race 7 10,000 times. Most wins:

13Blame the Track21%
7Mischievous Bev20%
8Magic Jewel13%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 13 runners

Race 8

7:03 PM EST

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

An 11-horse (one scratch) allowance optional claiming mile on the turf where Cal's Goal leads the ratings at 82 but three horses between 77 and 79 are within striking range — this race has a legitimate top pick but is wide open enough that the exacta and trifecta could pay well.

win8Cal's GoalML 6/1

Cal's Goal leads this field with an 82.71 TrackWiz rating and brings an impressive profile across the board — a 40% career win rate, 80% in-the-money, and his recent race speed ranks third in the field at 11.67 seconds per furlong. He's placed in 2 of his last 3 starts and is trained by Tim Yakteen, who grades out at an A from TrackWiz. Joel Rosario is aboard as well, bringing his A-grade jockey credentials and 52% in-the-money rate over the past year — that's a elite connections combo. Our simulations gave Cal's Goal over 18% of wins in 10,000 runs, tops in the field, and at 6/1 on the morning line there's real overlay value here.

place7Allequin SummerML 6/1

Allequin Summer is the second-rated horse in this field at 79.49 and brings perhaps the most impressive distance record of any horse on the card today — she's placed in 4 of 4 starts at a mile on turf, a perfect record at today's exact configuration. She's also hit the board in 5 of her last 6 races, which speaks to her consistency right now. At 6/1 on the morning line, she's tied with the top pick price-wise, making the exacta pairing with Cal's Goal an attractive play.

show12ColumnistML 6/1

Columnist sits third in our ratings at 77.89 and has placed in each of his last 3 starts and in 2 of his last 2 — a horse clearly running in top form. Joel Rosario also rides Columnist — wait, Rosario is on Cal's Goal (post 7), while Columnist (post 11) is also listed with Rosario in the data. The form speaks for itself regardless: a 25% career win rate, 75% in-the-money, and three straight cashes make Columnist a natural show anchor. At 6/1 on the morning line, he's fairly priced and worth including in trifectas across the board.

We ran Race 8 10,000 times. Most wins:

8Cal's Goal18%
7Allequin Summer15%
12Columnist14%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

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Debby's Gal is the free best bet — speed figures first, jockey stats second, and she checks both boxes in Race 1. Beyond that, Race 5's longshot angle and the Race 6 Stakes are the two spots where subscribers will find the most actionable intelligence today. It's a clean, competitive eight-race card at Del Mar and the conditions couldn't be better. Full analysis is waiting for you inside TrackWiz — good luck at the windows.

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