Belmont Park Picks & Predictions — November 6, 2026

Parea sits just below stablemate Monaco Crown with a 55 rating and owns the top workout in the field over the past month at 11.97 sec/furlong — that's a sharp bullet heading into this sprint. Jose Lezcano is riding and has been solid at 17% wins and 51% in-the-money over the past year. The concern is two consecutive non-placements, but the workout profile and second-best recent race speed (12.88 sec/furlong) keep this Maker runner firmly in the mix.

Tartah draws the rail and brings trainer Robert Falcone Jr. — an A-grade trainer who is a legitimate asset with debut runners and grass horses. Carmouche is up at 19% wins and 50% ITM over the past year. Two non-placements at Belmont specifically are a concern, but at 6/1 on the morning line and a 51.67 rating that ranks third in the field, Tartah is a reasonable show play to round out trifecta coverage in this wide-open eleven-horse field.

Kotlikoff leads the field in recent race speed at 12.37 sec/furlong and ranks second in our overall ratings at 61.16, making the 5/1 morning line feel generous. Jose Lezcano is a consistent presence at 17% wins and 51% ITM, and trainer Bill Mott is always worth respecting in maiden turf routes. The knock is a lack of success at this exact distance — zero placements in three tries at 1 1/16 mi — so the place slot feels like the right level of confidence here.

Big Frosty sits third in our ratings at 60.11 with a 50% career in-the-money rate and two placings in four turf starts — the best turf record among the trio of horses we're singling out in this race. John Velazquez picks up the mount and despite a modest 18% win rate over the past year, he's a Belmont fixture who knows how to place horses. At 3/1 on the morning line, the show value is modest, but his turf record makes him a logical inclusion in trifecta tickets.

Whittington Park ranks second in our ratings at 80.39 and has been remarkably consistent on this surface — eight wins from 37 Dirt starts, with 21 total in-the-money finishes. He's placed in each of his last two races and three of his last five, showing the kind of steady form that makes him a reliable place horse at 8/5 on the morning line. The age concern (seven years old) and a modest Belmont record are worth noting, but the surface consistency and trainer Orlando Noda's A-grade tell us this horse is pointing toward another competitive effort.

Shattuck closes out our ticket from post 10 — a tricky draw, but the horse has placed in three of his last five starts and his trainer Horacio De Paz carries an A-minus grade. The 4/1 morning line reflects legitimate respect from the market, and at 75.55 our rating ranks him third — right in line with how he's priced. The workout times are a minor concern (sixth-fastest in the field last month), but the recent form cycle and trainer strength keep him firmly in the show conversation.

Storm Diva is Zipline's stablemate and ranks second at 67.60 — Casse saddling two live runners in the same maiden turf sprint is a scenario that often plays out with one of them hitting the board. Javier Castellano is in the irons, and the Castellano-Casse combination has connected at a 26% win rate with 49% in-the-money over the past year, which is a sharp angle. The main knock is her workouts ranked tenth in the field last month, so she's going to have to show up on race day — but at 7/2, she's the natural place anchor.

Penelope Rose comes in at 5/1 from post 10 with Samuel Marin riding — a jockey at 23% wins and 59% ITM over the past year who also appears on today's Top 50 Jockeys list. Trainer Miguel Clement gets an A-minus grade, and while Penelope Rose lacks past race speed figures in the data, the strong rider-trainer combination in a maiden turf sprint is exactly the kind of angle worth including at the bottom of the ticket. At 5/1, the payout math makes her a worthwhile show play and trifecta piece.

Cool Intentions ranks second in our ratings at 75.29 and owns the fastest recent race speed in this field at 12.40 sec/furlong — that speed figure matters in a one-turn dirt route where positioning early can be decisive. She's placed in each of her last three races, owns four wins from 11 Dirt starts, and trainer Jorge Delgado gets an A grade. At 8/1 on the morning line, Cool Intentions is a legitimate value play for the place slot and a great leverage point in exacta tickets underneath Yo Daddy.

Stronsino has quietly put together one of the more consistent recent form cycles in the field — placed in two straight and three of his last four starts, with 11 total in-the-money finishes from 15 Dirt tries. Trainer Jamie Ness earns an A grade and jockey Ruben Silvera is riding with an A-minus grade. At 5/1 on the morning line, Stronsino represents solid show value and is a natural trifecta anchor for a race where the top two spots look relatively clear.

Classic Commander ranks second in our ratings at 69.45 and brings a sharp recent speed figure — second-fastest in the field at 12.16 sec/furlong. He's also placed in both of his Belmont Park starts and hit the board in each of his last two races, suggesting he runs his best at this venue. The distance concern is worth noting — zero placings in four tries at 1 1/16 miles — but the Belmont-specific record and Zayas in the irons (at 23% wins and 59% ITM for the year) make him the natural place horse at 6/1.

Emotionlyavailble is the value piece on this ticket — 5/1 on the morning line with trainer Brad Cox (an A-grade conditioner) and Samuel Marin riding at 23% wins and 59% ITM for the year. The horse has a 25% in-the-money rate from four turf starts, which is modest, but Cox routinely improves horses off experience and this runner's workout profile has been solid (second-fastest in the field last month at 12.31 sec/furlong). TrackWiz simulations gave Emotionlyavailble 12.7% of 10,000 runs — meaningful upside for a show play that could pay well if the top two hold.