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Belmont Park Picks & Predictions — September 25, 2026

September 25, 20269 racesAll Belmont Park picks

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 9-race card at Belmont Park. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 9 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

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Race 1

5:10 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

Harumi towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win2HarumiML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 58.3 for Race 1. Ridden by Flavien Prat, trained by Chad C. Brown. For past year, Jockey has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 65% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 31% win rate and finished in the money in 77% of races. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

place7MysticiousML 3/1

Rating board at 56.7. Ridden by Edgard J. Zayas. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.41 sec/furlong.

show4Claim the ThroneML 4/1

Rating board at 55.0. Ridden by Jose L. Ortiz. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 11.79 sec/furlong.

Race 2

5:47 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/8 mi · Dirt

Bet-down spot for Nitrogen — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win4NitrogenML 1/9

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 90.0 for Race 2. Career win rate of 47% shows consistency. Ridden by Jose L. Ortiz, trained by Mark E. Casse. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.17 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. 4 wins and placed in 9 of 9 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 17 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 5 of 5 races at 1 1/8 mi. Jockey & Horse combo has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 12.09 sec/furlong. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place1Donor AdvisedML 8/1

Rating board at 79.8 • 40% career wins. Ridden by Manuel Franco. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.52 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races.

show2Lost HorizonML 5/1

Rating board at 79.1 • 42% career wins. Ridden by Flavien Prat. For past year, Jockey has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 65% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 31% win rate and finished in the money in 77% of races.

Race 3

6:22 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 7 fur · Turf

Standout on paper: Amicable Farce grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win3Amicable FarceML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 3. Ridden by Manuel Franco, trained by Chad C. Brown. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 65% of races. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 2 of the last 2 races. Ranked 3rd in workouts over last month at 12.11 sec/furlong. Placed in 2 of 3 races on Turf tracks. Little success at endurance races - giving a sprint race a go. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place5My Divine SpiritML 5/1

Rating board at 78.7. Ridden by Antonio Fresu. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.88 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races.

show1BadianeML 7/2

Rating board at 55.8. Ridden by Flavien Prat. For past year, Jockey has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 65% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 31% win rate and finished in the money in 77% of races.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:57 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Concurrently is the class of the rating board here, with the next-best a meaningful step behind.

win1ConcurrentlyML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 4. Career win rate of 33% shows consistency. Ridden by Flavien Prat, trained by Chad C. Brown. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.35 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 65% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 31% win rate and finished in the money in 77% of races. 2 wins and placed in 5 of 5 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 5 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 5 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 4 of 4 races at 1 mi. Jockey & Horse combo has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 65% of races. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

place2PurloinML 5/1

Rating board at 46.9 • 26% career wins. Ridden by Jose Lezcano. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 53% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 28% win rate and finished in the money in 72% of races.

show5AeolianML 2/1

Rating board at 46.6 • 40% career wins. Ridden by Manuel Franco. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 65% of races.

Race 5

7:32 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Story of Rory looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win1Story of RoryML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 5. Ridden by Manuel Franco, trained by Amelia J. Green. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.82 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 3 of the last 4 races. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 11.92 sec/furlong. Placed in 3 of 4 races on Turf tracks. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place7Sir WaltaML 3/1

Rating board at 82.3. Ridden by Javier Castellano. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.74 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 2 races.

show2Daisy DooML 3/1

Rating board at 69.5. Ridden by Ricardo Santana, Jr.. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.11 sec/furlong. Has placed in 2 of 3 races at 6 fur.

Race 6

8:07 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

Mommy's Turn towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win5Mommy's TurnML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 6. Career win rate of 40% shows consistency. Ridden by Flavien Prat, trained by Chad C. Brown. For past year, Jockey has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 65% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 31% win rate and finished in the money in 77% of races. Has 2 wins and placed in 3 of 4 of Medium Distance races. Ranked 3rd in workouts over last month at 12.23 sec/furlong. 2 wins and placed in 3 of 4 races on Turf tracks. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

place11GreyjoyML 6/1

Rating board at 82.2 • 22% career wins. Ridden by Ricardo Santana, Jr.. Has placed in the last 4 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races.

show7BrokealltherulesML 8/1

Rating board at 78.3 • 42% career wins. Ridden by John R. Velazquez. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.86 sec/furlong. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races.

Race 7

8:42 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 7 fur · Dirt

Bet-down spot for Cut Down the Nets — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win2Cut Down the NetsML 8/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 70.3 for Race 7. Ridden by John R. Velazquez, trained by Amelia J. Green. Placed in 2 of 3 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 2 of the last 3 races. Has placed in 2 of 3 at Sprint races.

place12Big HandsomeML 2/1

Rating board at 58.3. Ridden by Flavien Prat. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.30 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 65% of races.

show8Five GrandML 7/2

Rating board at 55.8. Ridden by Manuel Franco. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.29 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races.

Race 8

9:17 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Turf

Standout on paper: Oklahoma Smoke grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win12Oklahoma SmokeML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.2 for Race 8. Career win rate of 50% shows consistency. Ridden by Manuel Franco, trained by Adam Rice. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.37 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 3 of the last 5 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 3 of 4 races at 6 fur. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 11.85 sec/furlong. Horse won last time it raced. 07/25/2026.

place1Fairy GodmotherML 7/2

Rating board at 77.9 • 25% career wins. Ridden by Flavien Prat. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 11.68 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 65% of races.

show8Emerald EmberML 10/1

Rating board at 76.9. Ridden by Samuel Marin. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.35 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races.

Race 9

9:52 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

Key Actress is the class of the rating board here, with the next-best a meaningful step behind.

win3Key ActressML 4/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 85.6 for Race 9. Ridden by Jose L. Ortiz, trained by Linda Rice. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.17 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. Has placed in 4 of 6 races at 1 1/16 mi. Ranked 3rd in workouts over last month at 12.12 sec/furlong. Placed in 4 of 8 races on Turf tracks.

place2Devilish GrinML 6/1

Rating board at 68.9. Ridden by Ricardo Santana, Jr.. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.26 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 6 of 9 races on Turf tracks.

show7OutroML 6/1

Rating board at 67.0. Ridden by Jose Lezcano. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 53% of races. Placed in 2 of 4 races on Turf tracks.

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