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Assiniboia Picks & Predictions — August 26, 2026

August 26, 20267 racesAll Assiniboia picks

This card ran on August 26, 2026.

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Best bets at Assiniboia, August 26, 2026

Race 13Not So SwiftML 2/18:30 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 5 races are for members.

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Results are in — see the official Assiniboia chart and payouts (our top pick won 3 of 7)→

It's a gorgeous Wednesday at Assiniboia Downs — clear skies, 71°F, and a fast dirt track that should play true all afternoon. Seven races on the card, all on the dirt, and conditions couldn't be more ideal for sharp speed figures and honest pace scenarios to hold up down the stretch.

The card leans heavily toward claiming company, which means class angles and trainer patterns carry real weight today. We've got a nice mix of short sprints at 5½ furlongs and the more common 6-furlong distances, so pace shape is going to be a recurring theme as you work through your tickets.

Three races are open to everyone, and our TrackWiz analysis has flagged some legitimate value opportunities — including a 6/1 shot in Race 3 that our ratings genuinely like. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

8:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A wide-open opener with a clear TrackWiz rating gap at the top, but the morning line and the public figures to disagree — setting up potential overlay value on the top pick.

win3Not So SwiftML 2/1

Not So Swift (3) is the standout by TrackWiz rating at 88.54 — that's a significant margin over anything else in this field. Don't let the name fool you: at 2/1 on the morning line, trainer Tiffany Husbands has this one primed for a big effort. The average speed figure of 53 leads the field and in a six-furlong dirt sprint, that edge matters from wire to wire.

place5NeytiriML 7/5

Neytiri (5) is the public's choice at 7/5 and brings a career win rate of 20% — the second-best in the field. Trainer Lise Pruitt has two horses in this race, which sometimes signals barn confidence, and Sven Balroop gets the call. If Not So Swift gets pressured early, Neytiri is well-positioned to collect a piece.

show2Mineral RightsML 3/1

Mineral Rights (2) is a sneaky show-ticket inclusion at 3/1. The 12% career win rate isn't flashy, but Antonio Whitehall is an experienced hand and the rating of 46.39 edges out the bottom half of this field. In a race that could see some pace pressure up front, Mineral Rights may be picking up pieces late.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

9:00 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A maiden claiming sprint where nobody has broken their maiden yet — so the slate is clean and TrackWiz ratings do the heavy lifting in separating contenders from pretenders.

win5Little TribuneML 2/1

Little Tribune (5) owns the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 88.54 — by a wide margin over the next closest rival — and comes in at 2/1 on the morning line. Trainer Robert Maybin sends out Roger Hewitt, and at 5.5 furlongs on dirt, the even average speed of 52 fits the distance perfectly. In a maiden field where nobody has a win on their card, that rating edge is exactly the kind of edge you lean on.

place6Moonshine BoogieML 5/1

Moonshine Boogie (6) at 5/1 is the most interesting horse on the place ticket. Trainer Lise Pruitt is no stranger to the winner's circle at Assiniboia, and Antonio Whitehall takes the mount. The 64.08 rating is a clear second-best in the field, and while the 51 average speed is the lowest in the field, maiden races can be won on tactical trips rather than raw figures.

show1Dress Me UpML 3/1

Dress Me Up (1) brings a 54.7 TrackWiz rating and the third-best mark in this race at 3/1 morning line. Trainer Jared Brown puts Arthur Budhu aboard in the rail post. In a maiden sprint, post position 1 can be a double-edged sword — clean breaks are critical — but at 3/1, there's enough value to use in the show spot of your exacta and trifecta tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our free coverage kicks off with Not So Swift in Race 1 and Little Tribune in Race 2 — both sitting at 2/1 on the morning line and both carrying TrackWiz ratings in the high 80s, which is strong for early-card claiming and maiden claiming company at this level. On a fast, honest track like today's Assiniboia strip, horses with legitimate speed figures tend to deliver, and these two fit the profile.

The real eye-catcher in the free races is Unknown Caller in Race 3 at 6/1. A morning-line price like that with an 82.71 TrackWiz rating tells us the public might be underestimating this one — and in a 6-furlong claiming sprint on a clear-weather fast track, overlays like this are exactly where value lives. Don't sleep on Race 3.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

9:25 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The pace scenario here is the headline — three legitimate speed horses could set up a tempo battle that hands the race to a stalker, and that's exactly where our top pick lives.

win1Unknown CallerML 6/1

Unknown Caller (1) is the TrackWiz standout at 82.71 despite being listed at a juicy 6/1 on the morning line — that's a significant overlay worth circling. The career win rate of 20% is solid, and trainer Robert J. Haar puts Antonio Whitehall up, a jockey who knows this oval. The 53 average speed figure ties for best in the field alongside Flying Miss and Sumitup, but the rating gap over those rivals is meaningful.

place4Flying MissML 4/1

Flying Miss (4) brings the best average speed figure in the field at 54 and a career win rate of 27% — strongest in this race. Trainer Robert Maybin and jockey Devante Prescod are a functional combination, and at 4/1, she's worth using underneath in exotics. If the pace up front gets hot, her closing ability could put her right in the photo.

show2Play Free BirdML 2/1

Play Free Bird (2) is the morning line favorite at 2/1 and carries a 63.04 TrackWiz rating — third in the field. Trainer Jason Homer keeps Shavon Townsend in the irons. The 10% career win rate is modest, but at a short price on the board, this one likely gets a lot of show action and represents a reasonable safety net in a multi-horse exotic structure.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 4

9:50 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

This is a premium race requiring a TrackWiz subscription — and the standout here is hard to argue with, posting the field's top rating while also carrying serious career credentials.

win7BetterlucknexttimeML 8/5

Betterlucknexttime (7) checks every box: top TrackWiz rating at 89.12, a 29% career win rate that leads this field, and the 8/5 morning line reflects that the public already knows. Antonio Whitehall gets the call for trainer Michael Nault, a pairing that commands respect. At six furlongs on dirt, a horse with this profile should be running at or near the front of the pace — and with that rating margin, the expectation is a dominant effort.

place6HaggisML 3/1

Haggis (6) brings a 33% career win rate — the single highest in the field — which is a number you simply cannot ignore in claiming company. Trainer Brent Hrymak sends out Dario Dalrymple at 3/1 on the morning line, and the 58.56 rating is second-best among the contenders. If Betterlucknexttime encounters any trouble at the break, Haggis has the winning pedigree to capitalize.

show2Ghost YaML 5/1

Ghost Ya (2) at 5/1 is the third leg of our sequence and offers show value with a 58.18 TrackWiz rating that keeps pace with Haggis. Trainer Jason Homer sends out Neville Stephenson, and while the 10% career win rate is the weak link in this profile, the pace scenario in a seven-horse field could open up late running lanes. Use in trifecta exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

10:15 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A competitive 5.5-furlong dirt sprint with a clear top-rated horse, but the secondary picks offer genuine longshot intrigue — making this a race where exotics can pay nicely.

win3Low Euro CatML 7/5

Low Euro Cat (3) leads the TrackWiz ratings at 87.49 and posts the top average speed figure in the field at 54 — tied with Hellabella. Trainer Jerry Gourneau and jockey Renaldo Cumberbatch team up at a 7/5 morning line that signals broad consensus. A 19% career win rate is honest for this level, and at 5.5 furlongs, a horse that shows both speed and the rating to back it up is exactly what you want on top.

place2Miss ZML 8/1

Miss Z (2) is the value angle in this race at 8/1 morning line with a 77.22 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field. Trainer J. Douglas Mustard sends out Shavon Townsend, and a 17% career win rate is workmanlike. The gap between her morning line price and her actual rating is the story here — 8/1 for a horse rated this high in a seven-horse field is the kind of overlay that makes multi-race exotics sing.

show7HellabellaML 10/1

Hellabella (7) at 10/1 is our show pick and deserves serious attention. The 76.88 TrackWiz rating is third in the field, and with a 25% career win rate and a top-tier average speed figure of 54, trainer M. L. Pierce has this one quietly ready. At double-digit odds on the morning line, Hellabella represents genuine trifecta value — the price is too big relative to the underlying numbers.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

10:40 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Eight horses go postward in a six-furlong claiming sprint where the morning line favorite's rating doesn't match the hype — opening the door for a well-priced TrackWiz standout flying under the radar.

win8Banker MattML 10/1

Banker Matt (8) is our top pick at 10/1 morning line — and that price looks wrong on paper. The 76.88 TrackWiz rating leads this field, and a 33% career win rate (tied for highest in the race) gives real credibility to the upside. Trainer Lise Pruitt puts Renaldo Cumberbatch aboard, and at an average speed of 53 in a six-furlong sprint, this horse has the profile of a winner who simply hasn't gotten enough attention from oddsmakers. This is your value play of the card.

place2Truly UnbelievableML 3/1

Truly Unbelievable (2) backs up the place ticket with the second-highest TrackWiz rating at 73.98 and a 28% career win rate that speaks for itself. Trainer Rick A. Wise and jockey Kerron Khelawan form a reliable combination, and at 3/1 on the morning line, the public is already partial to this one. If Banker Matt is the value overlay, Truly Unbelievable is the solid foundation underneath.

show3Yellow JacketML 4/1

Yellow Jacket (3) rounds out the show position at 4/1 with a 69.68 TrackWiz rating — third in this field. Trainer M. L. Pierce also saddles Global Agenda in this race, but Yellow Jacket is clearly the stronger of the two by rating. Jockey Sven Balroop has been active at this meet, and in a wide-open eight-horse field where pace could get messy, a horse with this profile has every right to hit the board.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 7

11:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The closer of the day card is a wide eight-horse field with a legitimate ratings standout hiding behind a soft morning line — and a supporting cast that keeps exotics very much alive.

win5SmoochingML 6/1

Smooching (5) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 82.71 — a decisive margin in this field — yet goes off at 6/1 on the morning line, suggesting the crowd is underestimating this one. Trainer Steven Gaskin puts Devante Prescod in the irons, and a 24% career win rate ranks among the best in today's field. The 51 average speed is on the lower end, but rating-based analysis suggests there's more underneath the hood than raw figures reveal.

place2NeighneighML 3/1

Neighneigh (2) brings a 25% career win rate — second-highest in this race — and a 65.31 TrackWiz rating that makes the 3/1 morning line feel about right. Trainer Demetris Topouzis deploys Antonio Whitehall, a jockey who has been a constant presence throughout today's card. In a race with plenty of speed signed on, a horse with Neighneigh's win percentage and a stalker's profile is well-suited to pick up the place.

show3KikiloveML 4/1

Kikilove (3) at 4/1 completes the sequence with a 63.85 TrackWiz rating and a 53 average speed figure that slots in comfortably. Trainer Michael Nault gives the mount to Kerron Khelawan, and while the 13% career win rate is modest, in a field of eight with pace pressure likely early, this one's positioning from the three-hole could be ideal. A solid trifecta inclusion to close out the card.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

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Bottom line: Unknown Caller at 6/1 is the free-play value standout, Not So Swift and Little Tribune are solid top choices in the openers, and the premium card has some genuinely interesting pace dynamics worth unpacking — especially with Banker Matt lurking at a double-digit price in Race 6. Full analysis, exotic plays, and pace projections are all waiting for subscribers. Good luck at the windows today.

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