Assiniboia Picks & Predictions — July 13, 2026

Judo ships in as the 5/2 morning-line second choice with a 72.59 TrackWiz rating and an impressive 25% career win percentage — legitimately dangerous if Bergheim hits any trouble. Trainer Steve Keplin Jr. has him pointed right, and with Sven Balroop in the irons, this horse has the tools to run down anything that weakens late at 7½ furlongs.

Kauai Dan is the value play in this stakes spot — at 8/1 on the morning line, he brings a 71.85 rating that's nearly identical to Judo's, and a 33% career win rate that's the highest in the race. Trainer Jared Brown has Damario Bynoe up, and the avg speed figure of 56 is the best in the field — if the pace sets up favorably, Kauai Dan has enough raw speed to sneak into the exotics.

Taillights is the morning-line favorite at 7/5 with an 84.66 rating, so the market clearly respects this runner too — the key difference is that our analysis gives Lansdowne a slight edge. Trainer Steve Keplin Jr. and jockey Damario Bynoe form a sharp combo, and with a 23% career win percentage, Taillights is a legitimate threat to flip the result. Keep him onside in your exactas.

Dominant Spirit comes in at 7/2 with a solid 75.74 rating and a 20% career win percentage — not the most exciting price, but this is a horse that belongs in the mix. Trainer Jerry Gourneau has him under Neville Stephenson, and a 55 avg speed figure puts him right in the conversation for the pace scenario at 6 furlongs. He's the logical third wheel in trifecta combinations.

Really Ralis is the best value play in the race — an 8/1 morning line on a horse with a 71.69 TrackWiz rating and a 66% career win percentage that is genuinely eye-catching. Trainer Cindy Krasner sends out Kerron Khelawan, and if that win rate holds any predictive value in this spot, the 8/1 price is a gift. He's the top choice for the place hole in exactas and a sneaky win contender in his own right.

Truly Unbelievable gets a 6/1 morning-line price with a 69.45 rating and a 33% career win percentage — trainer Robertino Diodoro is a name that carries weight, and Kimal Santo in the irons is a competent booking. At one mile, a horse with Truly Unbelievable's profile can sit just off the pace and pounce late, making him a sensible show inclusion and a trifecta piece worth using.

Cajun Eddie is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 with a 76.86 rating and the field's top career win percentage at 28% — Ciera Pruitt rides for Tom Gardipy Jr., a strong local combination. Our top pick edges him on ratings, but Cajun Eddie's win percentage and the favorable morning line suggest he'll be a factor throughout; he's the natural exacta partner underneath Wicked Rose.

Bossy Holiday at 4/1 might be the most straightforward show play on the afternoon — a 57.07 rating with 14% career wins, trained by Lise Pruitt with Mathew Bennett aboard. He profiles as a mid-pack stalker who could benefit if the front-runners soften each other up over a mile, and the 4/1 price makes him a worthwhile trifecta piece in a field where chaos is possible.

Hey Big Un draws the rail at even money and packs a 72.52 TrackWiz rating with a 20% career win rate — trainer Carl Norman Anderson has this horse ready to run from post 1. Even-money horses at Assiniboia can go gate-to-wire at seven furlongs, and if Hey Big Un gets the early lead, he'll be dangerous until the very end. He's worth including in exactas as the natural pace-setter.

Bati King rounds out the trifecta at 5/2 on the morning line with a 71.21 rating and a 19% career win percentage — nearly identical numbers to Hey Big Un, making this a legitimately close three-horse race at the top. Trainer Wendy Anderson has Tyrone Nelson up, and the 53 avg speed figure gives Bati King a slight edge in raw speed over the even-money favorite. He's a safe show inclusion and a threat to upset the order.