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Assiniboia Picks & Predictions — July 14, 2026

July 14, 20267 racesAll Assiniboia picks

This card ran on July 14, 2026.

Best bets at Assiniboia, July 14, 2026

Race 14She's My NieceML 2/18:30 PM EDT

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It's a warm Tuesday afternoon at Assiniboia Downs — partly cloudy skies and 83°F on the thermometer, which should leave the main track in solid shape for a full seven-race card of dirt action. Conditions like these tend to favor horses that can settle early and close, so pace scenario is going to matter all afternoon long.

What makes today's card genuinely interesting is the stakes double — Race 3 and Race 6 each go 7½ furlongs and feature some of the sharper horses on the grounds. Our analysis has What a Force as the morning-line chalk in Race 3, while Dontgiveupthefight gets the nod in Race 6 at the same odds. Two stakes, same distance, same surface — the pace comparisons between the two fields are worth a close look if you're playing the late exotics.

Three races are free to all TrackWiz readers today, giving you a real taste of what the card has to offer before the premium picks kick in. Let's break it down.

Best Bets

Race 1

8:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

One horse stands out significantly on TrackWiz ratings in this 7-furlong dirt claimer, but the morning line favorite isn't the one our model likes best — expect some early fireworks before the top-rated runner takes over.

win4She's My NieceML 2/1

She's My Niece is the clear standout here by a wide margin, posting a TrackWiz rating of 88.54 that dwarfs the field. She carries a 16% career win rate — second-best in this field — and her connections with trainer Carl Norman Anderson and jockey Antonio Whitehall give her a professional setup at 2/1. At seven furlongs on the dirt, her average speed figure of 53 matches the field average, meaning she's not just winning on raw speed — she's doing it with consistency and class.

place1Cymbal CourtML 6/1

Cymbal Court opens at 6/1 on the morning line but carries the second-highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 66.76, making her an underrated commodity in the exotics. She matches the field's top speed average at 53 and posts an 11% career win rate for trainer Steven Gaskin. At those odds, she's a legitimate place horse who could easily outrun her price.

show2MidnightcandystormML 4/1

Midnightcandystorm sits at 4/1 on the morning line and while her 50.31 rating is middle-of-the-pack, she's got enough talent to earn a check at this level. Trainer Tom Gardipy Jr. runs a competitive barn at Assiniboia, and jockey Tyrone Nelson gives her a capable pilot. At fair odds, she's a reasonable show ticket or exacta/trifecta inclusion.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

9:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A competitive seven-furlong dirt claimer with multiple horses clustered tightly on ratings, though one runner's 25% career win rate stands out as the field's best, setting up a potential pace battle at the front before the cream rises.

win7Girl From de BayouML 2/1

Girl From de Bayou tops our model at 88.54 and goes in at 2/1, which is fair but not generous given her rating advantage over the field. Jockey Sven Balroop gives her an experienced hand, and trainer Elton Dickey has her ready to fire. Her 14% career win rate is modest, but that rating gap — nearly eight points over the next-best runner — suggests she's been doing things right in the mornings and in the gate.

place2Sherlyn Go GoML 4/1

Sherlyn Go Go is the one to beat for second money, boasting a sparkling 25% career win rate — the best in the field — and an 81.25 TrackWiz rating that puts her firmly in the mix. Trainer Wendy Anderson keeps her horses sharp, and Kerron Khelawan is one of the sharper sticks in the jock's room at Assiniboia. At 4/1, she's a legitimate exacta partner with the top pick.

show6SmoochingML 8/1

Smooching is an interesting inclusion at 8/1 morning line, carrying a 79.17 rating and a strong 23% career win rate that screams 'live horse.' Trainer Steven Gaskin fits her up with Antonio Whitehall, a jockey who knows how to navigate a seven-furlong dirt sprint. If the top two beat each other up in a pace duel, Smooching is perfectly positioned to collect a piece of this.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

The first three races on the card are fully accessible, and they cover a nice cross-section of the day's action. She's My Niece (Race 1) and Girl From de Bayou (Race 2) each draw the 2/1 morning line in back-to-back claiming sprints at seven furlongs — our ratings are virtually identical on both horses, which tells you the claiming ranks at Assiniboia are tightly bunched right now. Don't overlook pace in these races; seven furlongs on a warm afternoon can get honest early, and closers may get their shot.

Race 3 is the crown jewel of the free card — a stakes at 7½ furlongs where What a Force sits as the 7/5 morning-line favorite with a TrackWiz rating of 89.42, the highest number we've posted in the first three races. If What a Force shows the tactical speed our figures suggest, this one could be a short-priced banker worth anchoring a multi-race ticket around.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

9:25 PM EDT

Stakes · 7 1/2 fur · Dirt

Stakes company brings out the best — and most interesting — wagering puzzle of the early card, with the morning line favorite carrying a top TrackWiz rating but facing two horses within striking distance, including one with an eye-popping 50% career win rate.

win4What a ForceML 7/5

What a Force is the horse to beat here, sitting atop the TrackWiz ratings at 89.42 and carrying an elite 42% career win rate that puts this runner in a different class from most of the field. The top average speed figure in the race at 55 tells you this horse has been flashing real ability, and trainer Tim Rycroft has her primed for a big effort. Jose Mariano Asencio in the irons is a smart booking — he knows how to position a horse in a seven-and-a-half furlong stakes.

place6Steal Your SoulML 7/2

Steal Your Soul is a worthy threat at 7/2, posting an 83.89 TrackWiz rating and a solid 25% career win rate that proves this is a genuine stakes-caliber runner. Trainer Steve Keplin Jr. sends her out with Sven Balroop, a pairing that has produced results at this circuit. Her average speed figure of 54 matches the co-best in the field, so she has the raw ability to push the favorite all the way to the wire.

show2WecanonlyimagineML 4/1

Wecanonlyimagine deserves respect with a 50% career win rate — the joint-best in the field — and an 82.17 TrackWiz rating that makes her more than just a supporting player. Trainer Jared Brown runs a capable barn, and Neville Stephenson gets a live mount here at 4/1 morning line odds. If the pace scenario sets up for a closer, this one could easily hit the board.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

9:50 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A six-furlong allowance optional claimer where the TrackWiz model points sharply to one horse, but the second pick at 2/1 on the morning line makes this a two-horse race worth structuring exotics around — with a sneaky value show horse lurking at a massive price.

win1CeepeegeeML 9/5

Ceepeegee is the top-rated horse in this field at 88.83 and goes in at a workable 9/5, which is a fair number for a horse with this kind of rating edge. Her average speed figure of 55 ties for best in the race, and a 17% career win rate is solid at the allowance level. Trainer Steve Keplin Jr. and jockey Sven Balroop are a proven combo at Assiniboia, and six furlongs on the dirt is exactly the kind of distance where her speed translates.

place6WicoML 2/1

Wico comes in at 2/1 on the morning line with a 74.0 TrackWiz rating and draws trainer Jared Brown — a conditioner who keeps his horses consistently competitive at this level. Jockey Kerron Khelawan gets the call and knows this horse's tendencies well. While her 12% career win rate is on the lower side, her overall rating puts her solidly in the frame for the runner-up spot.

show5My Wife Is RightML 15/1

My Wife Is Right is the value standout in this race at 15/1 on the morning line, but her 69.58 TrackWiz rating says she belongs. A 20% career win rate and an average speed figure of 55 — matching the race's top figure — suggest she's been competitive enough to earn a check. Trainer Jerry Gourneau has multiple runners today, showing confidence in the barn, and at that price, she's a strong show ticket or trifecta dart.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

10:15 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

An eight-horse allowance optional claimer at seven furlongs where one runner dominates both the TrackWiz ratings and career win percentage, though the second choice on the morning line has the ability to make this a genuine two-horse duel down the stretch.

win5Queen of AttitudeML 5/2

Queen of Attitude is the standout in this field, sitting at 87.81 on the TrackWiz model and carrying a massive 48% career win rate — one of the highest you'll see in any race today. Trainer Robert Maybin sends her out in top shape, and Christopher Roy Mamdeen is an experienced pilot who can rate her off the pace or put her to the front. At 5/2 she's not a screaming overlay, but she's the right horse to build exotics around.

place4Dancing RaquelML 2/1

Dancing Raquel is the morning line second choice at 2/1 and earns that respect with a 71.1 TrackWiz rating and a 20% career win rate. Trainer Mike Taphorn has her well-placed in this allowance condition, and jockey Javaniel R. Patterson has the experience to keep her in striking position through the first six furlongs before asking her to run. She's the most logical place horse in the field and a must-use in exactas.

show1Payton's IndianML 6/1

Payton's Indian opens at 6/1 and carries a 62.46 rating — third-highest in this field — plus a 21% career win rate that shows this horse knows how to find the winner's circle. Trainer Jerry Gourneau has her in capable hands, and Renaldo Cumberbatch gives her a steady ride. At seven furlongs, horses with her profile tend to grind out the final quarter and pick up pieces, making her an ideal show bet and trifecta anchor.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 6

10:40 PM EDT

Stakes · 7 1/2 fur · Dirt

The second stakes race of the day at seven and a half furlongs features two horses with identical top ratings and jaw-dropping win percentages — this is a quality field with a clear top tier, but the third pick at 8/1 offers real show-bet value.

win7DontgiveupthefightML 7/5

Dontgiveupthefight tops the TrackWiz model at 89.42 — the highest rating of the day — and backs it up with a stunning 50% career win rate that speaks for itself. Trainer Robertino Diodoro is one of the most respected conditioners on the circuit, and Kimal Santo is in the saddle for what looks like a serious win attempt. At 7/5, she might not offer overlay value, but the numbers say she's the right horse and the margin over the rest of the field justifies the short price.

place3Bling DancerML 5/2

Bling Dancer is a 50% career winner herself and posts an 85.87 TrackWiz rating, making her the most legitimate threat to the top pick in this field. Jose Mariano Asencio gets the mount for trainer Robert Van Overschot, and at 5/2, she's a fair price to at least hit the board. If Dontgiveupthefight runs into any traffic trouble or gets pressured early, Bling Dancer is right there to pounce.

show4WelcometohollywoodML 8/1

Welcometohollywood is an intriguing show play at 8/1 morning line with a 76.3 TrackWiz rating and a respectable 31% career win rate that puts her above several higher-odds runners. Trainer Jared Brown places horses well, and Antonio Whitehall brings sharp in-form riding. She's got the class to land a piece of this and at those odds, she's worth including in any multi-horse exotic wager.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 7

11:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A wide-open six-furlong dirt claimer where the morning line favorite isn't our top-rated horse and two runners with ratings above 84 are priced at 4/1 and 9/5 — this is a prime race to get creative in the exacta box and trifecta.

win8Norma NoML 4/1

Norma No goes in at 4/1 — a legitimate overlay given her 85.62 TrackWiz rating, which is second in the field — and she's backed by a strong 33% career win rate that is best in this entire field by a wide margin. Trainer Robert Maybin doubles up with two runners today, but Norma No draws Christopher Roy Mamdeen in the irons, which looks like the primary target for the barn. Her average speed figure of 54 is tied for tops in this field, giving her real late-kick ability in a six-furlong sprint.

place6Miss ZML 9/5

Miss Z is the morning line favorite at 9/5 and earns that distinction with an 84.22 TrackWiz rating, but our model slightly prefers Norma No — which means Miss Z becomes an excellent place ticket at shorter odds. Trainer J. Douglas Mustard has her well-conditioned, and jockey Rachaad Knights is a capable rider who will keep her out of trouble in a crowded eight-horse field. She's a safe place investment and a key piece of any multi-race exotic.

show7Cressons Lil CharmML 5/1

Cressons Lil Charm opens at 5/1 and posts a 65.34 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field — with a 17% career win rate that is consistent at this level. Trainer Elton Dickey and jockey Sven Balroop have worked together regularly on the Assiniboia circuit and know how to get a horse into contention on a six-furlong dirt layout. At 5/1, she's a smart show ticket and a logical trifecta inclusion underneath the top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

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Seven races, warm dirt, and a stakes double that gives today's card real teeth. She's My Niece, Girl From de Bayou, and What a Force headline the free picks — but the full story, including Dontgiveupthefight's pace edge and our exotic ticket breakdowns for the back half of the card, is waiting for subscribers. Head to /pricing to get access and make the most of what Assiniboia has to offer today. Good luck out there.

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