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Woodbine Picks & Predictions — September 25, 2026

September 25, 20268 racesAll Woodbine picks

It's a crisp Friday at Woodbine — 66°F, partly cloudy — and the conditions are about as ideal as you could ask for heading into the fall meet. The turf should be playing true, and with five of today's eight races on the green stuff, that matters a lot for how we approach the card.

We've got a full eight-race slate to dig into, mixing maiden openers on both surfaces with a string of claiming races that offer plenty of handicapping angles. The fields aren't flashy, but this is exactly the kind of card where sharp analysis separates winning tickets from losing ones.

Three races are fully open for everyone, and our five premium breakdowns are where we get into the deeper stuff — pace projections, exotic strategies, and a couple of longshot angles worth building around.

Best Bets

Race 1

5:00 PM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

A maiden optional claimer on the turf with a clear ratings standout at the top, but a wide-open supporting cast makes the exotics interesting — Holy Anita at double-digit odds is the sneaky threat.

win5SuvariML 8/5

Suvari enters as the morning-line favorite at 8/5 and it's easy to see why — her TrackWiz rating of 82.92 towers over this field by a significant margin. Trainer Barbara J. Minshall puts up a solid book at Woodbine, and Romero Ramsay Maragh is one of the sharper pilot choices on the card. At 7 1/2 furlongs on the turf, there's room for a closer to track pace and pounce, which suits a horse of this profile. Suvari is the right horse to key in your exotics.

place1Holy AnitaML 10/1

Holy Anita is the most intriguing overlay in this race. Her TrackWiz rating of 68.08 is a clear second-best in the field, yet she's posted at 10/1 on the morning line — that's a significant gap between her projected odds and her actual competitive standing. Eswan Flores rides with purpose, and at 7 1/2 furlongs on the lawn she has the distance profile to hit the board.

show2Mrs. GML 8/1

Mrs. G checks in with a 54.45 rating and 8/1 morning-line odds, making her a sensible show inclusion if you're building out exacta and trifecta tickets. Trainer Pat Parente keeps her competitive in this field, and with a crowded pace scenario among the maidens, a stalking trip could set her up nicely for a minor check.

Race 2

5:30 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Apeldoorn looks like a cut above this maiden claiming dirt field, but Full Star and Mann Court give the race a legitimate competitive mid-tier that could shake up the exotics.

win2ApeldoornML 5/2

Apeldoorn is the class of this seven-furlong dirt maiden claimer — his TrackWiz rating of 87.81 is the highest in the field by a wide margin, and trainer Stuart C. Simon puts him out at a reasonable 5/2 morning line that reflects genuine confidence. Fraser Aebly takes the mount, a sharp jockey booking for a horse expected to fire. On a surface that rewards tactical speed, Apeldoorn looks poised to control or press the pace and grind rivals down in the stretch.

place6Full StarML 7/2

Full Star posts a 64.83 TrackWiz rating and draws post 6 with Jodeien Anderson up — a competitive pairing at 7/2 odds. His speed figure of 53 is consistent with the field median, and trainer Daniel S. Harvey has him placed correctly in this field. If Apeldoorn encounters any trouble early, Full Star has the profile to capitalize and secure the runner-up spot.

show10Mann CourtML 10/1

Mann Court out of post 10 is the value inclusion for show and trifecta tickets at 10/1. His 59.92 rating is third-best in the field, and trainer Barbara J. Minshall — also conditioning Suvari in Race 1 — clearly knows how to place horses competitively at Woodbine. Jeffrey Ian Alderson gets the call, and a pace that favors closers could see Mann Court sweeping late for a piece.

Race 3

6:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

Willy Styles brings a dominant rating advantage into a claiming turf route, but the morning-line favorite Lawyer Mason and value play Silver Raleigh make this a three-horse race worth dissecting carefully.

win2Willy StylesML 3/1

Willy Styles is the standout here — his TrackWiz rating of 87.08 is best in the field, and his 33% career win rate is frankly exceptional for a claimer, signaling a horse that finds the winner's circle consistently. Trainer Darwin D. Banach has him placed at a fair 3/1 on the morning line, and Fraser Aebly is a high-percentage pilot at Woodbine. At 1 1/16 miles on the turf, Willy Styles' experience (33% career wins across a meaningful sample) gives him a clear edge over horses in the 9-14% win range.

place6Silver RaleighML 7/2

Silver Raleigh at 7/2 is our place pick, and there's a solid value case here despite his modest 5% career win rate. His TrackWiz rating of 65.85 is third-best in the field, and on the turf at this distance he has the profile to stalk a quick pace and secure a placing. Jockey Da-Sean Zavier Gaskin gets the call, and if the speed duel up front between Lawyer Mason and Willy Styles heats up, Silver Raleigh is positioned to benefit.

show3Lawyer MasonML 2/1

Lawyer Mason is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 yet we have him third in our order — worth noting as a potential overlay for show and exacta coverage. His average speed figure of 55 is tied for best in the race, and a 9% career win rate in a tough claimer field isn't as weak as it sounds. Rafael Manuel Hernandez pilots for trainer James Bentley Begg, and if Lawyer Mason fires his best, he could easily leapfrog Silver Raleigh into the place spot.

Our three free races cover both surfaces and give a nice cross-section of what Woodbine is serving up today. Suvari opens the card on the turf at 8/5 on the morning line — a legitimate favorite we're comfortable rolling with. Apeldoorn heads to the dirt in Race 2 as a 5/2 shot and carries our highest confidence rating of the free trio. Then Willy Styles closes out the complimentary picks in Race 3, stretching to a mile and a sixteenth on turf at 3/1.

With turf dominating today's card, pay attention to post position and pace scenario — Woodbine's turf course tends to reward horses that can sit just off the pace and pounce in the stretch. All three of our free picks fit that profile to varying degrees, and the partly cloudy afternoon should keep the going consistent throughout.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:38 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Dontgobackonurword carries the top TrackWiz number into a compact six-furlong dirt claimer, but Cotton and Alfred Bellows are dangerous enough to make the first half of the exacta box wide open.

win9DontgobackonurwordML 2/1

Dontgobackonurword tops our TrackWiz ratings at 88.54 — the highest number on this race card today — and his 20% career win rate reinforces that this is a horse who knows how to get to the wire first. Pietro Moran takes the mount, an excellent booking at Woodbine, and at six furlongs on dirt the pace scenario should set up for a horse with strong late kick. Trainer William Tharrenos has him primed at a 2/1 morning line that might get bet down further, and rightfully so.

place1CottonML 3/1

Cotton brings a 23% career win rate and an 81.46 rating into this spot, which tells you he's a legitimate threat at 3/1 odds. His average speed figure of 55 matches the top figures in the field, and Luis R. Reyes is a reliable pilot who gets horses into good positions early on the Woodbine dirt. If Dontgobackonurword is taken to task early and fades slightly, Cotton is the most likely horse to capitalize.

show2Noisy CricketML 4/1

Noisy Cricket at 4/1 morning line is the show selection — his 28% career win rate is second-best in the race, a genuinely impressive number that suggests he's a horse comfortable hitting the board. Fraser Aebly rides for trainer John Mattine, and his 78.98 rating gives him a cushion over the rest of the field outside the top two. He's a must-include in trifectas.

Race 5

7:11 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

The morning-line favorite Loveumissumeanit gets challenged by a surprising top-rated overlay in I'm Tenacious, setting up a race where the public money and the TrackWiz model are pointing in opposite directions.

win1I'm TenaciousML 8/1

I'm Tenacious checks in at a 79.79 TrackWiz rating — best in the field — yet she's posted at 8/1 on the morning line, a significant overlay compared to her projected competitiveness. Romero Ramsay Maragh gets the mount for trainer Michael Mattine, a sharp combination at Woodbine. At 1 1/16 miles on the turf, her average speed figure of 55 is tops in the race, and a 12% career win rate in claiming company shows she can get the job done. This is the kind of value play TrackWiz analysis was built to surface.

place4LoveumissumeanitML 2/1

Loveumissumeanit is the public's choice at 2/1, and her 30% career win rate — best in the field by a wide margin — makes it easy to understand why bettors will gravitate toward her. Trainer Devon Gittens has her placed tactically with Juan Crawford up, a competent rider for the distance. She's a strong place candidate, but her average speed figure of 52 is below the top horses in the field, which is exactly why I'm Tenacious represents the value angle.

show2Aussie HyperML 8/1

Aussie Hyper at 8/1 morning line gives you a 20% career win rate and a 63.85 TrackWiz rating — two data points that make him a credible show play in exotics. Christoff Douglas gets the mount for Anthony Husbands, a trainer who runs competitive horses at this level. With the top two picks carrying odds of 8/1 and 2/1, Aussie Hyper rounds out a value-laden trifecta combination.

Race 6

7:43 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 7 fur · Turf

Ready to Collect brings a top-shelf speed figure and a sterling win rate to a Starter Optional Claiming turf sprint, but the 10/1 price on Givememythememusic creates a genuinely compelling exotics angle.

win6Ready to CollectML 2/1

Ready to Collect is the class of this field and it shows clearly in the numbers — an 81.72 TrackWiz rating, an average speed figure of 57 (a full two ticks above most rivals), and a 35% career win rate that is simply elite for any claiming field. Keveh Nicholls rides at 2/1 morning line for trainer Roger Broomes, and the pace scenario at seven furlongs on the turf should give Ready to Collect every opportunity to sit mid-pack and pounce. Hard to look past these credentials.

place3GivememythememusicML 10/1

Givememythememusic at 10/1 is the place pick and the value standout of the race. His TrackWiz rating of 76.88 is second-best in the field, and his 30% career win rate rivals even the favorite's exceptional mark — yet the morning line gives you an 8-point odds gap between them. Fraser Aebly is a trusted rider on the Woodbine turf circuit, and trainer Zeljko Krcmar has him in a spot where the pace setup could allow a stalking trip to pay off handsomely.

show4Real SavvyML 3/1

Real Savvy sits at 3/1 with a 72.08 rating and a 55 average speed figure that ties him at the top of the field alongside Bachelor Pad and the favorite. Trainer Michael Wright Jr. is no stranger to the Woodbine winner's circle, and Rafael Manuel Hernandez is a premium jockey booking. If the pace gets honest, Real Savvy has the late punch to make exotics pay at a price that offers slight overlay potential.

Race 7

8:16 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Spirit Bear emerges as a clear TrackWiz overlay in a six-and-a-half furlong dirt claiming race where the morning-line order doesn't reflect the model's ratings — this is a race where sharp money and data diverge meaningfully.

win6Spirit BearML 8/1

Spirit Bear is our top selection at 8/1, and TrackWiz analysis puts him at the top of the field with a 79.79 rating despite a relatively modest morning line. His average speed figure of 55 ties for best in the race, and his 13% career win rate is respectable in this claiming tier. Ryan Munger rides for trainer John Simms — a live combination at Woodbine — and at 6 1/2 furlongs on dirt, Spirit Bear's ability to produce consistent speed figures at this distance makes him the clear value play to key on the top of your tickets.

place5VerdejoML 7/2

Verdejo at 7/2 is the more publicly respected horse here, and his 71.52 TrackWiz rating gives him a legitimate claim to the spot round. Pietro Moran aboard for trainer Michael Mattine is a strong jockey-trainer pairing that's been productive at Woodbine. His average speed figure of 55 ties Spirit Bear and Hard to Capture, which makes this a race where the top three are genuinely clustered and exacta combinations with Verdejo make sense.

show7Catch the DriftML 6/1

Catch the Drift at 6/1 gives you a 62.77 rating and a 13% career win rate in a field where the ratings drop sharply after the top three. Trainer Dale A. Desruisseaux has him positioned correctly in this spot, and Christoff Douglas is a capable pilot who can find good trips on the Woodbine main track. He's not flashy, but Catch the Drift rounds out trifecta coverage at a price that makes inclusion worthwhile.

Race 8

8:49 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

A sprawling thirteen-horse turf route with wide morning-line variance — Little Red Domi emerges as the TrackWiz top-rated overlay in a field where the 3/1 choice barely cracks the top half of our ratings.

win7Little Red DomiML 10/1

Little Red Domi is the pick at 10/1 and the value case is compelling — his TrackWiz rating of 76.88 leads this enormous field, yet the morning line slots him sixth in public estimation. A 28% career win rate is genuinely excellent for a claimer at this level, and trainer Beverley Chubb has a history of placing horses in spots where they can deliver. Juan Crawford rides, and at 1 1/16 miles on the turf, a horse with a 54 average speed figure and elite career win numbers should be finding the winner's circle at a much shorter price than 10/1.

place2British ArtilleryML 6/1

British Artillery at 6/1 is our place selection — a 69.03 rating and a 54 average speed figure for one of the sharpest trainers at Woodbine in Barbara J. Minshall. Daisuke Fukumoto gets the call, and with 13 horses entered, a clean trip from post 2 is entirely achievable in the early stages. His 13% career win rate is middle-of-the-pack, but in a thirteen-horse field, board finishes open up considerably.

show6This Dude a BreezeML 4/1

This Dude a Breeze at 4/1 rounds out our selections with a 68.86 rating and a 25% career win rate — the latter figure among the better win percentages in this deep field. Rafael Manuel Hernandez is a top-tier pilot booking for trainer Sarah Ritchie, and the pace in a field this large often sets up perfectly for horses with strong positional sense. In a race with this much chaos potential, a 4/1 show play on a horse with a 25% career win rate is solid exotic value.

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Today at Woodbine it's all about the turf — play the surface right and there's real value to be had across this card. Suvari, Apeldoorn, and Willy Styles are your free best bets to get started. For the full picture — including our longshot angles on I'm Tenacious and Spirit Bear and a complete exotic ticket breakdown — subscribe to TrackWiz Premium and get every edge we've found on this card. Good luck out there.

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