Will Rogers Picks & Predictions — November 1, 2026

I Am a Candy Tree comes in second on the ratings at 72.41 and owns the second-fastest recent speed figure in the field at 11.38 sec/furlong. She's been in good form lately — hitting the board in 4 of her last 6 starts — and Cruz is one of the meeting's top pilots with a 23% win rate. At 2/1 on the morning line, she's essentially co-favored, and our sims gave her 22% — nearly matching the top pick. She's a strong place play and shouldn't be left off exacta combinations.

Dr Cocktail Hour rounds out the top three with a solid 70.10 rating and a 25% career win rate. His jockey Juan Pulido has been exceptional over the past year — 30% wins and 57% ITM — and the Pulido-Vane trainer combo is even sharper at 33% wins and 67% in the money together. His recent speed ranks third in the field at 11.58, and while his 37% in-the-money rate overall is modest, the connections give him a meaningful edge. A logical show inclusion and bridge to exacta/trifecta coverage.

Famous N Relentless is the clear second choice here, rated 78.08 with a 47% career win rate and a 76% in-the-money figure. His recent speed of 11.17 sec/furlong ranks second in the field — just a tick behind Uncle Redheads — and he's been on a consistent run, placing in 4 of his last 6. With 8 wins in 17 dirt starts, he has the most wins on the surface among today's field. At 2/1, he's slightly odds-on for place, and our sims back the value with a 27% win share — actually the simulation leader.

Atsi Monday rates third at 68.94 and brings legitimate credentials at this distance and surface: 5 wins in 13 dirt starts, and 2 wins in 4 tries specifically at 350 yards — meaning he's proven he can handle today's exact conditions. His recent speed of 11.21 sec/furlong ranks third in the group. The 3/1 morning line makes him a natural show play, and he rounds out what could be a competitive Olmstead trifecta. Solid exotic inclusion.

Kissin Lane Lo rates second at 77.87 and has been in fine form — placing in her last 2 starts and logging a 66% in-the-money rate overall. Her recent speed of 11.37 sec/furlong ties for second-best in the field, and she's shown she can handle the 400-yard distance with a win on today's surface and distance. Jockey Jhaciel Soto carries strong metrics and is a key booking. At 3/1, she's a solid place play and a natural partner with the top pick in exactas.

Tymetogojoe slots in at 4/1 on the morning line with a 75.35 rating and a 50% career win rate — one of the better win percentages in the field. He's placed in 4 of his last 6 and owns 3 wins in just 6 dirt starts, demonstrating strong surface affinity. His recent speed of 11.37 sec/furlong ties for second with Kissin Lane Lo, and Haro Garcia aboard gives him a capable pilot. He's a reasonable show play and a legitimate part of trifecta coverage.

Mannfredi is a legitimate value play at 8/1 on the morning line, rated 78.29 and ranking second in the field. He's placed in 4 of 5 dirt starts with 1 win, and his 80% in-the-money rate is second only to Apollitikal Dreamer. His recent speed of 11.63 sec/furlong ranks third, and the Delgado-Joiner combo has a 19% win rate and 49% ITM over the past year. Our sims gave him 13% — and at 8/1 morning line, the overlay potential on place wagering is real.

Hardtohock rates third at 71.71 with a 33% career win rate and a perfect 2-for-2 record at Will Rogers specifically — he knows this track. His recent speed of 11.55 sec/furlong ranks second in the field, and he's placed in 3 of 6 dirt starts with 2 wins. The one concern to flag: he's going without Lasix while eight rivals use it. Trainer Samuel Mendoza holds an A grade, giving connections credibility. At 3/1, he's a fair price for the show slot.

Ts Cyber Flash is a fascinating second choice — a 75% career win rate from 4 dirt starts (3 wins), and she's placed in 2 straight coming into today. Her recent speed of 11.42 sec/furlong ranks second in this field, and the 3-for-4 dirt record is about as good as you can ask at this level. At 3/1 on the morning line, she represents genuine place value, and our sims gave her 20% — making her the second-most likely winner behind the top pick.

Urban Cowboy 123 is a quiet but solid show play at 4/1, rated 66.54 and ranking third in the field. He's placed in 4 of 6 dirt starts and has been consistently hitting the board — 4 placings in his last 6 races and 2 consecutive in-the-money finishes coming in. Jockey Jhaciel Soto is one of the better pilots in the barn and brings an A grade. While he doesn't have the flashy speed figure, his consistency and recent form make him a reliable trifecta anchor.

Rr Dash Thru Fire is a strong place contender with a 78.92 rating and arguably the most consistent recent form in the field — he's placed in his last 4 starts and in 5 of his last 6 races. His dirt record of 2 wins in 7 starts is solid, and he's placed in 6 of 7 dirt tries total, giving him an 85% ITM rate. At 3/1, he's a credible place play, and our sims gave him a 21% win share — showing he's a real threat to upset if Cyber Hostage hits any trouble.

Senor Quintero Lo rounds out the top three at 4/1 with a 76.20 rating and a near-identical consistency profile to Rr Dash Thru Fire — 85% ITM, 2 wins in 7 dirt starts, and placed in 5 of his last 6 races. His recent speed of 11.48 sec/furlong ranks second in the field. The one concern is that he's going Lasix-free while eight rivals are using it. That's a flag worth noting, but his overall form is too strong to ignore in the show spot.

Brooks Jess Hockn is a very live place contender at 3/1, rated 85.42 — only a hair behind the top pick. She's posted the second-fastest recent speed in the field at 11.37 sec/furlong, which is a meaningful contrast to Valiant Sass's recent clocking. She's placed in each of her last 4 starts and has a 57% in-the-money rate. Jockey Jhaciel Soto holds an A grade. Our sims gave her 24% — essentially a co-favorite — making her a strong play across the board and the best value if you want to lean against the morning-line choice.

Hez Out for Blood opens at 8/1 on the morning line but ranks third in the TrackWiz ratings at 68.46, which suggests he's underpriced relative to his actual profile. His recent speed of 11.83 sec/furlong ranks third in the field, and the Alvidrez-Olmstead combination is clicking at 22%/24% wins with 60%/63% ITM depending on how you slice it. He's placed in 4 of 10 overall starts with a 40% ITM rate. Our sims gave him 11% — respectable for a horse at this price. A value show play and worth using in trifecta tickets.

Crash for Kash is just a tick below at 87.08 and actually posts the fastest recent speed in the field at 11.13 sec/furlong — a legitimate argument for flipping the top two. He's placed in 4 of 7 dirt starts with 2 wins, and he's hit the board in his last 2 races as well. Ramiro Haro Garcia, with his A- jockey grade, takes the mount and the Haro Garcia-Olmstead combo is reliable. Our sims gave him nearly 25% — essentially a coin flip with the top pick. Strong place bet and worth putting on top in alternate combinations.

Taco Tuezday slots in at 4/1 with a solid 66.57 rating and a 33% career win rate. Armando Alvidrez takes the mount — he's at 22% wins and 60% ITM over the past year, and the Alvidrez-Olmstead combo runs at 24%/63%. He's only placed in 3 of 9 career starts with a 33% ITM rate, so he's the most inconsistent of the three picks, but the connections quality and his rating make him worth including in trifecta combinations. A fair show play at this price.

Striking Storm rates second at 66.40 with a 46% in-the-money rate and the third-fastest recent speed in the field at 12.07 sec/furlong. Cordarelton Benn holds an A- jockey grade and has been a strong rider this meeting. The flag to note: she's coming in on only 14 days of rest, and the data shows she performs better with 30 or more days between starts. That's a real concern in a short sprint where form sharpness matters. Still, the rating and speed figure earn her the place spot, and our sims gave her nearly 17% — second-best in the field.

Naidu brings an interesting class-drop angle to this spot — he's dropping from a $25,000 claiming tag down to $10,000, which is a significant step down in company. His track-specific form backs it up: 1 win and 4 placings in 5 starts at Will Rogers, which is one of the strongest venue-specific records in this field. Bryan Candanosa holds an A- grade. Our sims gave him 16%, nearly matching the place pick. At 7/2, he's a value show play and a natural part of exacta and trifecta tickets.