Will Rogers Picks & Predictions — November 2, 2026

Miss Cyberlizeur at 8/1 is a genuine value play for the exacta and trifecta. She rates second in the field at 78.40 and has hit the board in 3 of 5 dirt starts with a 60% career in-the-money rate. The Armando Alvidrez–Jason Olmstead combo has connected at 24% wins and 64% in-the-money over the past year — that's an elite pairing percentage — and her sim win share of nearly 14% suggests the 8/1 morning line underestimates her.

Sp Sinful Saint posts the second-fastest recent speed in the field at 11.38 sec/furlong and owns a 37% career win rate across dirt, which is genuinely impressive. The Escobedo–Davis combo has hit at 20% wins and 51% in the money over the past year. Her in-the-money rate of 37% is on the lower side, but the speed figure and career win percentage make her a logical show ticket in this field.

Vaquerita 4 holds the fastest recent race speed in this field at 11.42 sec/furlong and rates second at 83.87 — only half a point behind Flying Fire when you round. Jockey Nestor Duran is one of the card's top pilots, winning 28% and hitting the board in 61% of his starts over the past year, and the horse has placed in 2 of 3 dirt starts. The Lasix flag (she's not using it while 8 rivals are) is worth noting, but the speed and jockey strength make her a strong place contender.

Hott Take brings a powerful connections angle — the Pulido–Vane combo has hit at an extraordinary 33% wins and 67% in the money over the past year, and Juan Pulido is one of the best jockeys on this card (A grade). The horse has placed in 2 of 3 dirt starts with a 66% in-the-money rate, and at 8/1 morning line on a TrackWiz rating of 78.87, the price offers real value for show and trifecta plays.

Dansing Queeen has a perfect 3-for-3 record on dirt and a 66% career win rate — two numbers that immediately demand attention. Her recent race speed of 11.27 sec/furlong ranks second in the field, and she's been unbeaten in the money across all her dirt starts. At 3/1, she's fairly priced as the second-best horse in a two-horse race, and her 26% sim win share supports that reading.

Why So Political is the third wheel in what looks like a top-two race, but her 7/2 morning line, 33% career win rate on dirt, and three visits to the board in her last 6 starts make her a natural show play and a trifecta key underneath. Her recent speed of 11.35 sec/furlong ranks third in this field, and the 3-of-9 dirt win record shows she can handle the surface. She's the logical hedge if the top two hook up and leave a gap.

Youves Got the Look is the value play here at 3/1 — her recent race speed of 11.38 sec/furlong ranks second in the field, and she's placed in 2 of 4 career dirt starts. Jockey Francisco Calderon wins 22% and hits the board in 51% of his mounts over the past year (A grade), and her sim win share of nearly 19% suggests the morning line may have underpriced her slightly. A competitive place ticket at the right odds.

Matilda 4 has been remarkably consistent — placed in her last 3 starts, 2-for-4 on dirt with a 75% in-the-money rate. The Bryan Candanosa–Samuel Mendoza combo (B+ jockey, A- trainer) is one of the most productive pairings in this barn, and her 50% career win rate is an eye-catching number even in a small sample. The no-Lasix flag against a field of 8 Lasix users is worth knowing, but the consistency profile makes her a solid show anchor.

Browneyegal brings a staggering 75% career win rate with a 3-for-4 record on dirt, and she's placed in each of her last 3 starts — that's the kind of consistency that earns a 2/1 morning line. Her recent race speed of 11.43 sec/furlong ranks third in the field, and the Samuel Mendoza barn (A-) with Bryan Candanosa (B+) is a strong combination. The no-Lasix concern in a field of mostly Lasix runners is the one flag to acknowledge, but the form is genuinely excellent.

Shez a Fabulous Gal lands third on the TrackWiz ratings at 68.84 and has been remarkably steady — 4-of-5 in the money on dirt, placed in her last 2 starts, and a 20% career win rate in a field that doesn't offer many cheaper win options. At 12/1 morning line, she's a live longshot for the show spot and a potential trifecta bonus if the chalk runs into trouble. The Gutierrez–Willis combo has hit at 22% wins and 50% in the money over the past year.

Gold Prize Honey is the value angle in this race — posting the second-highest TrackWiz rating at 73.96 while listed at 12/1 on the morning line. Roman Cruz (A jockey grade) wins 23% and hits the board in 55% of his mounts over the past year, and the horse has placed in 4 of its last 6 starts with a 66% career in-the-money rate. A 12% sim win share for a 12/1 horse is a solid positive expected value marker — this one deserves to be in your exactas.

Miss Dashin Hocks sits third on the TrackWiz ratings at 68.88 and has placed in 4 of her 8 career dirt starts, bringing real surface experience to the table. The Escobedo–Davis combo has hit at 20% wins and 51% in the money, and she's placed in half her career starts. The only knock is a short rest cycle — 20 days when she apparently performs better with 30-plus — so factor in that flag, but the talent level keeps her in the show discussion.

Miss D Meanor sits second in the TrackWiz ratings at 78.86 and has posted back-to-back in-the-money finishes heading into this trial. Her recent race speed of 11.75 sec/furlong ranks third in the field, and she's placed in 2 of 4 career dirt starts. At 3/1 with a 20% sim win share, she represents fair pricing as the main beneficiary if Mundaybluez hits any trouble, and she's the natural play in exactas underneath the favorite.

Jess Danica owns the fastest recent race speed in this field at 11.51 sec/furlong — an impressive figure that doesn't quite match her TrackWiz rating of 68, suggesting there's raw ability here. She's placed in 4 of 7 career dirt starts with a 57% in-the-money rate, and trainer Stacy Charette-Hill (A-) has a solid record. At 6/1 morning line with a nearly 14% sim win share, she's a logical trifecta piece underneath the top two.

Relentless Ruth rates second in the field at 86.35 — only 2 points behind the top-rated horse — and brings a 75% career in-the-money rate with 1 win and 3 placements in 4 dirt starts. Her recent race speed of 11.48 sec/furlong ranks third in the field, and the Smith–Capps combo has hit at 17% wins and 53% in the money over the past year. Her 27% sim win share actually edges the morning-line favorite in our model, making 3/1 look like a fair-to-generous price.

She Makes It Special is the show-price sleeper here at 15/1 morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 63.01 — third in the field — and the fastest recent race speed in the group at 11.44 sec/furlong. She's placed in 3 of 5 career dirt starts with a 60% in-the-money rate, and the Delgado–Joiner combo has connected at 19% wins and 48% in the money. A 9% sim win share at 15/1 odds is a clear positive expected value indicator for trifecta players.

Bett the Limit rates second at 78.54 and matches Aj Hard Player with the fastest recent speed in the field at 11.30 sec/furlong — they're essentially even on that metric. Christian Cardenas wins 23% and hits the board in 55% of mounts over the past year, and the horse has won 2 of 5 career dirt starts. At 6/1 morning line with an 18% sim win share, Bett the Limit is a legitimate pace rival and an excellent exacta-underneath option if the favorite stumbles.

La Siccaria enters on a two-race win streak — consecutive victories — and has a 25% career win rate with a 37% in-the-money rate. She's rated third in the field at 70.21 and has placed in her last 2 starts heading in. The one flag: only 28 days of rest when she apparently performs better with 30-plus days off. That's a razor-thin margin, but if it's not an issue tonight, she's a live 2/1 shot for the show spot and a natural trifecta key.