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Thistledown Picks & Predictions — May 6, 2026

Wednesday, May 6, 20268 racesThistledown

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 8-race card at Thistledown. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 8 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

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Race 1

2026-05-06T16:55:59

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — One Smokin' Rita looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win2One Smokin' RitaML 9/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.8 for Race 1. Career win rate of 26% shows consistency. Ridden by Alexander Chavez, trained by Nestor R. Rivera. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.06 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 36% win rate and finished in the money in 72% of races. 6 wins and placed in 14 of 22 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Has 4 wins and placed in 7 of 8 races at 6 fur. 5 wins and placed in 8 of 8 races at Thistledown. Jockey & Horse combo has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse won last time it raced. 04/20/2026. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

place5Honey BellaML 5/1

Rating board at 61.0. Ridden by Luis Alberto Batista. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.38 sec/furlong. 8 wins and placed in 26 of 36 races on Dirt tracks.

show1Absolute MiracleML 2/1

Rating board at 46.0 • 23% career wins. Ridden by Jefferson Skerrett. 4 wins and placed in 10 of 16 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races.

Race 2

2026-05-06T17:23:55

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Wicca Wisdom looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win4Wicca WisdomML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 2. Career win rate of 21% shows consistency. Ridden by Deshawn L. Parker, trained by Johanna Urieta. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 13.01 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. 9 wins and placed in 28 of 42 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 6 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. Has 5 wins and placed in 16 of 22 races at 1 mi. Jockey & Horse combo has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

Race 3

2026-05-06T17:50:00

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Lucky Cougar looks standout with daylight to the rest.

⚡ Longshot5Lady WellingtonML 8/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 38.7 for Race 3. Career win rate of 23% shows consistency. Ridden by Anthony Rodriguez, trained by Rodrigo Madrigal, Sr.. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.49 sec/furlong. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Little success at sprint races - giving an endurance race a go.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Jenn Sweet Jenn looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win2Jenn Sweet JennML 9/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.8 for Race 4. Ridden by Ricardo Feliciano, trained by Anthony F. Rini. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.49 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 17% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. Placed in 11 of 20 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Has placed in 4 of 6 races at 6 fur. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place6Tia LupeML 2/1

Rating board at 75.5. Ridden by Fernando Salazar Becerra. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 13.49 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races.

show5Spill the DeetsML 7/2

Rating board at 55.8. Ridden by Deshawn L. Parker. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

Race 5

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Coastland looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win5CoastlandML 6/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.7 for Race 5. Career win rate of 63% shows consistency. Ridden by Luis Antonio Gonzalez, trained by Marco Ibarra. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.11 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 28% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. 8 wins and placed in 9 of 12 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 7 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 3 of 3 races at 5 1/2 fur. 2 wins and placed in 2 of 3 races at Thistledown. Jockey & Horse combo has a 28% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. Has WON 7 races in a row! More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse won last time it raced. 03/09/2026. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

place1Spirit of AkronML 5/1

Rating board at 44.6. Ridden by Jose A. Bracho. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.36 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races.

show4Stormed OutML 8/1

Rating board at 43.1. Ridden by Victor R. Fernandez. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.73 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races.

Race 6

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Cause of Love looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win5Cause of LoveML 5/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.2 for Race 6. Ridden by Alexander Chavez, trained by Nestor R. Rivera. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.62 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 36% win rate and finished in the money in 72% of races. Has placed in the last 8 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races. Has WON 2 races in a row! More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse won last time it raced. 04/07/2026. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

place3S'mor CraftyML 8/5

Rating board at 71.6 • 33% career wins. Ridden by Chelsey Keiser. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races. 5 wins and placed in 7 of 13 races on Dirt tracks.

show6Shez Shacked UpML 3/1

Rating board at 69.5. Ridden by Jefferson Skerrett. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.48 sec/furlong. 7 wins and placed in 27 of 44 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 7

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Authoritarian Girl looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win2Authoritarian GirlML 8/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.1 for Race 7. Career win rate of 63% shows consistency. Ridden by Luis Antonio Gonzalez, trained by Marco Ibarra. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.02 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 28% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. 8 wins and placed in 10 of 12 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 7 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 4 races. Has 6 wins and placed in 7 of 8 races at 6 fur. 7 wins and placed in 9 of 11 races at Thistledown. Jockey & Horse combo has a 28% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. Has not raced in 272 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 11.85 sec/furlong. Has WON 3 races in a row! More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse won last time it raced. 08/07/2025. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

place4Drills Wild BratML 2/1

Rating board at 82.3 • 70% career wins. Ridden by Luis Raul Rivera. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 73% of races.

show1Waves of LibertyML 5/1

Rating board at 81.7 • 28% career wins. Ridden by Rocco Bowen. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.26 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races.

Race 8

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — O G Mr. Brightside looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win6O G Mr. BrightsideML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 8. Career win rate of 25% shows consistency. Ridden by Luis Raul Rivera, trained by Shane Meyers. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 13.16 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

place4Balki BartokomousML 3/1

Rating board at 83.1. Ridden by Jose A. Bracho. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.83 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races.

show2Donald's NationML 10/1

Rating board at 71.1. Ridden by Angel I. Diaz. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 13.40 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races.

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