Retama Park Picks & Predictions — July 11, 2026

Alerted is barely a step behind at 80.44 and actually opens as the 5/2 morning-line choice — which makes Indian Cartel look like the overlay here. Rosendo E. Pina Garcia rides for trainer Rene Talamantes, a combination that knows how to get a horse home in short Texas sprints. Given the nearly identical ratings between these two, Alerted is a strong place bet and could easily reverse the order on the right break.

Kinetik is the show pick at 10/1 morning line, posting a 62.86 TrackWiz rating — a significant step below the top two but a real gap above the rest of the field. H. Javier Hernandez gets the call for trainer Ignacio Bustamante in what could be a sneaky value show slot. If the top two duke it out and leave room for a fast-closing third, Kinetik at double-digit odds is well worth a piece of trifecta tickets.

Im Lethal Gigio rates at 55.00 — nearly identical to the favorite — and goes at 4/1, which represents solid place value in a race this tight. Ruben Delarosa, Jr. takes the mount for trainer Ignacio Bustamante, and Delarosa is an active rider at Retama who knows how to get a horse out of the gate quickly at 250 yards. In multi-horse exotic combinations, Im Lethal Gigio is worth using underneath or even on top.

Little Js Molly posts a 54.17 TrackWiz rating and is priced at 9/2 — the third-best number in the race and a reasonable show price. Olvin Josue Martinez rides for trainer Miguel Angel Chairez in what shapes up as a bang-bang quarter-mile with several horses in striking distance. Little Js Molly gives trifecta players a reliable third leg at a fair price.

Lonely Macho rates at 54.17 and is the second-best figure in the race at 9/2 morning line — a significant drop from the top, but well clear of everything else below. Eliazar T. Vera rides for trainer Alex Villarreal, and in a race where the favorite is this dominant, the real handicapping question is who holds for second. Lonely Macho's rating advantage over the rest of the field makes him the logical place choice.

Miss Inspyring a W checks in at 51.67 with Claudio Ponce Aguilar aboard for trainer Ricardo Aguirre — one of the more active and competent barns on the Retama card today. She goes at 6/1, which offers some value in the show slot given that the top three in the ratings are reasonably well-defined. In trifecta tickets beneath the heavy favorite, Miss Inspyring a W is the third horse worth including.

Elegant Prize rates second on the TrackWiz scale at 78.22 and opens at 4/1 — also from the Tellez barn, giving trainer Brittany N. Tellez two of the top three figures in the race. Alejandro Medina gets the call and has been a presence in these Retama sprints. In a race where the barn has two shots, Elegant Prize is a logical place play and a key inclusion in exacta combinations beneath the top pick.

Rocket Temptation is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 but rates third on our figures at 73.17 — a real disconnect worth noting. Luis L. Vivanco rides for trainer Marc E. Jungers, and the public will likely make this horse a heavy favorite at post. Despite rating below both our top two picks, Rocket Temptation's public support and Vivanco's gate ability make him a reasonable show hedge, especially in trifecta boxes.

C Shes Lucky Lady rates at 61.19 and goes at 10/1 — a real overlay for a horse who is second in our figures among the mid-pack. H. Javier Hernandez rides for trainer Ricardo Alonso Vallejo, and this is the kind of horse who gets overlooked when a clear top figure draws attention. In maiden races, unexpected threats often come from horses in this price range, and C Shes Lucky Lady has the rating to earn a place check.

Rcv Blue Fire checks in at 57.5 and is the second-best price at 5/2 on the morning line — which means the public sees something here even if the morning line doesn't scream value. Noe Villatoro rides for trainer Adan Guzman in what looks like a solid if unspectacular maiden effort. With a rating gap between Cartelito Pool and the rest of the field, Rcv Blue Fire's position as the third-best figure makes it a logical show anchor.

Sheza Patriot 47 rates at 55.00 — just 1.67 points behind Lorenzita — and goes at 4/1 morning line, which is fair for a horse this close in the figures. Noe Villatoro rides for trainer Adan Guzman, the same barn sending out Rcv Blue Fire in Race 7, showing the outfit is active across the card. In a race this tight at the top, Sheza Patriot 47 could easily reverse the order on a good break, making her a must-use in place and exacta slots.

Moneyy On My Mind rounds out our top three at 54.17 and opens at 9/2 — third in the ratings and third on the morning line, so the market is aligned with our analysis here. Oliver E. Martinez rides for trainer Jose Ivan Martinez, and this combination has been visible throughout the Retama card today. In a maiden race where the top three figures are nearly inseparable, Moneyy On My Mind is the logical trifecta anchor.

Big Sky Cowboy rates second in the field at 78.49 and is priced at 5/1 — also an overlay if you're looking at the raw figures. Jose Amador Alvarez rides for trainer Bradley C. Bolen, who also has Hondo 44 in the allowance finale (Race 10), suggesting a sharp, well-organized barn. Big Sky Cowboy's rating gives him a legitimate shot at the place slot and he's worth keying in exactas beneath La Pandemia.

Butterfli checks in at 75.25 — third on the TrackWiz board — and goes at 8/1 morning line, making her the most price-attractive of the top three figures. Rosendo E. Pina Garcia rides for trainer Rene Talamantes, the same combination that sends out Alerted in Race 3. In a maiden field where the top three ratings are within eight points of each other, Butterfli at 8/1 is a legitimate show value and worth sprinkling into trifecta tickets.

Ivory in the Wind rates second at 76.28 and opens at 7/2 — a horse whose 20% career win rate is among the better figures in this field. Alejandro Landeros Zuniga rides for trainer Isidro Mancillas-Lopez, and at 550 yards there's more room for a closer to find his stride than in the shorter sprints. Ivory in the Wind is a strong place play and the logical exacta partner with Pull a Cork.

Hondo 44 rates third in the field at 66.25 and goes at 9/2, with Jose Amador Alvarez riding for the Bradley C. Bolen barn — the same barn sending out Big Sky Cowboy in Race 9. The 8% career win rate is modest, but in an allowance field at 550 yards, pace fitness and conditioning matter as much as raw talent, and Hondo 44's rating gives him a real shot at the show spot. He's the trifecta anchor beneath the top two.