Daily Picks

Retama Park Picks & Predictions — July 10, 2026

Friday, July 10, 20269 racesRetama Park

It's a full 9-race Friday card at Retama Park, and the Texas heat is showing up right on cue — 86°F under partly cloudy skies with the dirt track in play all afternoon. These are the kind of conditions that reward horses who break clean and run straight, so pace scenarios matter more than ever on a warm summer day.

The card is heavily weighted toward short-format Quarter Horse sprints, with most races running 250 to 400 yards. That means fractions are razor-thin and margins are even thinner — one bobble out of the gate and your ticket is toast. Our TrackWiz ratings help cut through the noise on days like this, and we've got strong opinions across the full nine.

Three races are free for all TrackWiz users today, covering the early Maiden and Claiming action. Premium subscribers unlock six additional race analyses, including both Allowance features and the trickier Maiden fields deeper in the card.

Best Bets

Race 1

11:45 PM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden sprint at 350 yards, but one horse separates herself dramatically from the field on ratings — the question is whether the morning line confirms what the numbers already suggest.

win9Cowgirls 123ML 2/1

Cowgirls 123 (No. 9) carries a TrackWiz rating of 88.54, which towers over every other entry in this field — the next-closest horse is more than 30 points back. Trainer Zackary Stinebaugh sends her out as the 2/1 morning line favorite, which lines up with the rating dominance. Jockey Gilberto Linares gets the call, and in a 350-yard dash where early explosiveness is everything, this horse's profile gives her the edge right out of the gate.

place6Texas Republic GalML 7/2

Texas Republic Gal (No. 6) checks in as the second-best rated horse in the race at 55.83, slotted at 7/2 on the morning line. Trainer Jose Luis Sanchez III is no stranger to these short maiden sprints, and Noe Villatoro is a solid pilot for a horse needing to fire immediately in a race that's decided in a blink.

show1Jvm Victoria DollML 4/1

Jvm Victoria Doll (No. 1) holds a 55.25 TrackWiz rating and is priced at 4/1 — nearly identical in standing to Texas Republic Gal, making her a legitimate third-place threat. Trainer Wendy Alejandra Garcia pairs with Rosendo E. Pina Garcia in the irons, and at those odds, she's a reasonable exotic inclusion if you want some cover in the trifecta.

Race 2

12:15 AM EDT

Maiden · 870 yd · Dirt

This 870-yard maiden test on dirt is a two-horse show at the top, with Eagle Leeder and Bogie standing head and shoulders above a field that drops off sharply after the top two.

win1Eagle LeederML 2/1

Eagle Leeder (No. 1) posts a 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the highest in the field — and is correctly installed as the 2/1 morning line favorite. Trainer Nestor Santana Jr. gives the mount to Luis L. Vivanco, and at 870 yards, a horse that can rate and sustain speed through the turn is at a premium. The rating gap here is real, and Eagle Leeder's profile fits this distance profile well.

place2BogieML 3/1

Bogie (No. 2) is right on Eagle Leeder's heels with an 86.07 rating, and trainer J. Ryan Basham saddles him at 3/1 on the morning line. In a race where the top two are closely matched, Bogie is the natural backup, and Alejandro Landeros Zuniga can pilot him confidently in what shapes up as a pace-testing route scenario.

show7Noble Fast ManML 4/1

Noble Fast Man (No. 7) is the third wheel here at a 79.77 rating and 4/1 morning line odds — a meaningful drop-off from the top pair but still well clear of the rest of the field. Trainer Jose Antonio De La Rosa sends him with Eleazar Rivera Hernandez, and at 4/1 he's a fair price to hit the board if the top two beat each other up early.

Race 3

12:42 AM EDT

Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

A claiming sprint at 250 yards where two horses clearly stand out, but the presence of experienced runners with real career win percentages adds unpredictability to the exotic ticket.

win10Mr Dashing YessML 5/2

Mr Dashing Yess (No. 10) tops the field with an 86.64 TrackWiz rating and is positioned at 5/2 on the morning line — reasonable value for the top-rated horse in a claiming race. H. Javier Hernandez takes the mount for trainer Jorge Rivas Correa, and at 250 yards this race is decided in about 14 seconds, meaning the horse that breaks cleanest and fastest almost always wins. Mr Dashing Yess's rating edge makes him the one to beat.

place2Wild SenoritaML 9/2

Wild Senorita (No. 2) is the most intriguing horse on the card — she brings a 40% career win rate to the gate, the highest of any horse with a meaningful sample in this field. That win percentage tells you she knows how to close the deal, and at 9/2 with an 84.90 rating, she's a serious threat to wire Mr Dashing Yess if she gets a good break.

show5Jm On the FlyML 5/1

Jm On the Fly (No. 5) shows a 25% career win rate and a solid 61.84 rating at 5/1 odds — fair pricing for a horse that has demonstrated the ability to hit the board consistently. Trainer Roberto Duenes puts Luis F. Palacios up, and in a wide-open claiming sprint, a 25-percent winner gives you reliable show coverage in the exotics.

The free races today — Races 1, 2, and 3 — give you a solid foundation to start your afternoon. Cowgirls 123 opens the card in Race 1 and carries our highest TrackWiz rating among the free picks at 88.54, going postward at a fair 2/1 morning line in a 350-yard Maiden sprint. Race 2 stretches out to 870 yards — a longer format that's rare on this card — and Eagle Leeder matches that same 88.54 rating, also at 2/1. That distance shift is worth noting: horses who can sustain speed over 870 yards are a different animal than the pure gate-to-wire burners you'll see everywhere else today.

Race 3 brings us our first Claiming race at the short 250-yard trip, where Mr Dashing Yess checks in at 86.64 and 5/2 on the morning line. At 250 yards, it's almost entirely about the break — class and consistency matter, and the Claiming tag here suggests a competitive but navigable field. These three free races connect nicely as early-card cornerstones before the card heats up.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

1:09 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 350 yd · Dirt

Rolands Cartel arrives as a heavy favorite by the ratings in this maiden claiming 350-yard dash, but keep an eye on a couple of sneaky prices lurking underneath the top pick.

win3Rolands CartelML 5/2

Rolands Cartel (No. 3) commands an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this 10-horse maiden claiming field by a significant margin. Trainer Angel Almaguer gives the call to J.R. Ramirez Jr., and at 5/2 on the morning line, you're getting a legitimately dominant rating at a digestible price. In a 350-yard sprint where gate speed is king, this horse's top-of-the-field profile is hard to argue against.

place7Spirit TacML 6/1

Spirit Tac (No. 7) slots in second on ratings at 74.73 — a noticeable gap below Rolands Cartel but well ahead of most of the field. Trainer Marc E. Jungers sends Raul Padilla Hernandez Jr. to the irons at 6/1 morning line odds, making Spirit Tac an appealing exacta partner. If Rolands Cartel handles the favorite's pressure, Spirit Tac looks well-placed to inherit the runner-up spot.

show5Holly PenyaML 15/1

Holly Penya (No. 5) is priced at a surprising 15/1 despite holding a 65.72 rating — the third-best mark in the field, which makes her one of the more overlooked horses on today's entire card. Trainer Kie Mushinski puts Luis L. Vivanco up, and if you're building a trifecta around Rolands Cartel, Holly Penya at 15/1 offers excellent overlay value as your show horse.

Race 5

1:36 AM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

Two horses dominate this maiden 350-yard sprint on ratings, with a sharp morning line split between them setting up a potentially clean pace scenario at the top.

win8DenhawkenML 2/1

Denhawken (No. 8) posts the field's highest TrackWiz rating at 88.54 and is installed as the 2/1 morning line choice by trainer Ramiro Barajas Villarreal, who hands the reins to Nestor Duran. The 350-yard sprint favors pure raw speed, and nothing in this field comes close to matching Denhawken on the numbers. When the top rating and the morning line both point to the same horse, it's hard to fade.

place1Sharp CaliberML 3/1

Sharp Caliber (No. 1) is the second-best horse in the race at 81.61 and checks in at 3/1 — a tight gap behind Denhawken that makes this an honest pace duel brewing. Trainer John A. Stinebaugh pairs with Gilberto Linares, and in a race this short, Sharp Caliber could push Denhawken all the way to the wire, making her the safest place bet on the ticket.

show9Knob KreakML 5/1

Knob Kreak (No. 9) rates at 53.33 — a big step down from the top pair — but at 5/1 he gives you a third horse that's meaningfully rated above the bottom half of the field. Trainer Roberto Duenes saddles Luis F. Palacios, and if the top two beat each other up in a tight early duel, Knob Kreak is positioned to sneak into the exotics at a solid price.

Race 6

2:03 AM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

Cholula H stands out as a clear class horse in this maiden 350-yard sprint, though the morning line on the place pick offers an interesting angle for exotic players hunting value.

win4Cholula HML 5/2

Cholula H (No. 4) owns an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the highest in a 10-horse field — and is sent out at 5/2 by trainer Gilberto Gonzalez with Alejandro Medina in the irons. Gonzalez is no stranger to getting horses ready for short sprints, and Medina is a capable pilot at Retama. When the top-rated horse in a maiden sprint is priced at 5/2, the value is reasonable and the case is straightforward.

place1Cyber DivaML 3/1

Cyber Diva (No. 1) holds a 56.67 rating and goes as the 3/1 morning line second choice, giving trainer Martin Rodriguez a horse with legitimate second-best credentials in the race. Aniceto Gomez gets the call, and Cyber Diva's rating advantage over the rest of the field — outside of Cholula H — is real. She's the natural place bet if you're confident in the favorite.

show5Cr Dashing IvoryML 9/2

Cr Dashing Ivory (No. 5) comes in rated 54.17 at 9/2, which puts her just a hair under Cyber Diva and well clear of the pack that's bunched between 20 and 41 on ratings. Trainer Rene Talamantes uses Claudio Ponce Aguilar, and at 9/2 in a wide-open field, she offers decent show value in exotics — a smart hedge for trifecta builders.

Race 7

2:30 AM EDT

Maiden · 400 yd · Dirt

The field stretches out to 400 yards in this maiden sprint, and one horse owns a substantial ratings edge while the morning line prices create a couple of interesting overlays underneath.

win3Mitoles PrincessML 5/1

Mitoles Princess (No. 3) tops this field with an 84.17 TrackWiz rating, yet the morning line has her at 5/1 — giving her the highest rating in the race while not being the favorite. Trainer Kie Mushinski sends Claudio Ponce Aguilar, and at 400 yards the pace dynamics get a bit more nuanced than the ultra-short sprints, which could actually play into the hands of a horse who rates well. At 5/1, this is one of the better value plays on the card.

place1Ss VaqueroML 5/2

Ss Vaquero (No. 1) carries a 69.0 rating — second-best in the field — and is the 5/2 morning line favorite, meaning the public is higher on him than Mitoles Princess despite a lower rating. Trainer Wendy Alejandra Garcia employs Rosendo E. Pina Garcia, and if you believe the betting market, Ss Vaquero has intangibles the ratings don't fully capture. Either way, he's a safe place selection at a short price.

show7Dulce Gone WildML 4/1

Dulce Gone Wild (No. 7) checks in at 63.92 and is priced at 4/1 — the third-best rating in the race at a price that reflects solid public respect. Trainer Mario J. Loza puts Aniceto Gomez up, and in a 10-horse maiden field at 400 yards, having a third horse rated clearly above the field's midpoint gives you reliable exotic coverage at a fair price.

Race 8

2:57 AM EDT

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

This allowance sprint at 350 yards features multiple horses with perfect or near-perfect win records, making class separation tricky — but the ratings tell a cleaner story than the win percentages alone.

win5Rr Coronas RocketML 6/1

Rr Coronas Rocket (No. 5) leads the field with a 78.08 TrackWiz rating and comes in at 6/1 morning line — notable value given that rating tops the board in an allowance race filled with horses boasting gaudy win records. Trainer Rodolfo Sanchez sends Noe Villatoro to the irons, and while a 33% career win rate isn't the flashiest number in this field, the ratings model projects Coronas Rocket as the most likely to translate ability into a wire-to-wire effort in this 350-yard dash.

place3Eagle On the PreyML 7/2

Eagle On the Prey (No. 3) is the eye-catcher on paper — a 100% career win rate matched with a 55.83 rating and 7/2 morning line odds. Trainer Zackary Stinebaugh puts Gilberto Linares up, and while that perfect record is a compelling storyline, the rating sits below our top pick. Still, a horse that has never lost is worth putting on your ticket as the place selection.

show2Tc AbaneroML 4/1

Tc Abanero (No. 2) rates at 55.0 with a 50% career win rate and is priced at 4/1 under trainer Zackery N. Rios with Nestor Duran aboard. He's clustered in ratings with Eagle On the Prey and Cowboys and Dreams, making him a legitimate third-board threat in what could be a tactical race at the allowance level. At 4/1 with a consistent win record, he's a sensible show play in the exacta and trifecta.

Race 9

3:24 AM EDT

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

The final race on the card is a loaded allowance sprint at 350 yards, with three horses sporting strong ratings and a handful of productive win percentages — this is the toughest betting race of the night.

win7Dr Pepper 123ML 5/2

Dr Pepper 123 (No. 7) sits atop the field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating and is installed at 5/2 on the morning line — the top number in an allowance field that has legitimate depth. Trainer J.W. Plunkett gives the call to Eliazar T. Vera, and with a 28% career win rate in this company, Dr Pepper 123 brings real credentials to the table. The rating advantage, modest as it is over Eye On the Lights, is enough to make this the TrackWiz top selection in the nightcap.

place8Eye On the LightsML 3/1

Eye On the Lights (No. 8) is the most dangerous threat to the top pick — an 83.07 rating paired with an impressive 42% career win rate makes this horse the strongest résumé holder in the field. Trainer Jose Luis Sanchez III puts Luis L. Vivanco up at 3/1, and a 42-percent winner in allowance company is no fluke. If Dr Pepper 123 stumbles at all, Eye On the Lights is fully capable of taking over.

show1Lil Kool MargeML 8/1

Lil Kool Marge (No. 1) presents a fascinating angle at 8/1 — a 79.35 rating that ranks third in the field, paired with a 25% career win rate and a price that suggests the market may be underrating her. Trainer Esteban Rubio sends Nestor Duran, and in a race with a top trio rated 87-83-79, a third horse rated that closely to the top pair at 8/1 is the kind of overlay that rewards smart exotic players. She's the anchor of your trifecta at a price that makes the ticket worth it.

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Bottom line: Retama Park serves up a tight, fast card today with nine short-format sprints on a warm Texas afternoon. Cowgirls 123 and Eagle Leeder are our headline free plays, and Rr Coronas Rocket at 6/1 is the longshot angle worth a close look in the full premium breakdown. Free analysis covers Races 1–3 — subscribers get the complete picture. Good luck at the windows.

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