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Presque Isle Downs Picks & Predictions — July 13, 2026

July 13, 20268 racesAll Presque Isle Downs picks

This card ran on July 13, 2026.

Best bets at Presque Isle Downs, July 13, 2026

Race 16Violin FingersML 9/23:30 PM EDT

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It's a clear, sunny Monday at Presque Isle Downs with temperatures climbing to 83°F — ideal conditions for a fast dirt track and quick early fractions. Eight races are on the board today, all on the main dirt surface, and TrackWiz has you covered from first post to last.

The card leans heavily toward routes, with three races going a mile and 70 yards — always worth noting at a track where pace can get messy when fields string out. Sprint specialists get their shots too, with a pair of 6-furlong dashes and a 5½-furlong closer to wrap things up. Plenty of angles to attack today.

Our strongest-rated pick on the card is La Girvina in Race 3, posting an 89.42 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark of the day. She's the morning-line favorite at 7/5, and the numbers back up why the oddsmakers respect her. More on that below.

Best Bets

Race 1

3:30 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A maiden claiming mile with all first-time or winless runners, but TrackWiz ratings reveal a clear top tier — and the morning line favorite isn't actually our top-rated horse.

win6Violin FingersML 9/2

Violin Fingers tops our TrackWiz ratings at 84.9, well clear of most of the field, and draws the outside post in what looks like a pace-contested maiden mile. Trainer Kevin Rice sends out two runners today, and Violin Fingers carries the stronger rating of the pair with an avg speed figure of 53 — matching the field's best. At 9/2 on the morning line, there's legitimate value here over the heavily-backed favorite, making this our top selection.

place2Alexander KML 7/5

Alexander K is the morning line favorite at 7/5 and carries a 75.63 TrackWiz rating, second only to our top pick. Trainer Kevin Rice also conditions this one, giving the barn a strong shot at first and second. The avg speed of 52 is respectable but a tick below Violin Fingers, which is exactly why we slot him into the place hole.

show4RivageML 5/2

Rivage checks in with a 60.23 rating and an avg speed of 53 — tied for the field's best on that metric — under the steady hand of trainer Keri Brion and jockey Scott Spieth. The 5/2 morning line suggests the public likes this one too, and the speed figure support makes Rivage a sensible third piece in any exotic wager.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

3:57 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

Maiden special weight sprinters going 6 furlongs on the dirt, with a clear ratings gap at the top but a pace-pressing second choice lurking to complicate things.

win4JenadriyahML 7/2

Jenadriyah leads our TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 despite going off at 7/2 — a full point ahead of the 2/1 morning line choice. Paired with Gaddiel A. Martinez, one of the more active riders on this card, Jenadriyah has a 55 avg speed figure and the profile of a horse the public might be sleeping on at a generous price. In a maiden special weight sprint, this kind of ratings edge at an overlay price is exactly what we look for.

place3American SurferML 2/1

American Surfer is the public's choice at 2/1 and backs it up with an 80.54 rating and a field-best 56 avg speed figure. Trainer Jeremiah O'Dwyer sends this one out to sprint 6 furlongs, and the raw speed is clearly there. The slightly lower rating than our top pick puts this squarely in the place slot, but don't be surprised if it challenges for the top spot.

show2Smart Little LassML 9/2

Smart Little Lass sits at 55.9 in our ratings at 9/2 on the morning line — a nice value position for show ticket buyers and exotic builders. Trainer Stephani Norris has this one ready to run, and the 50 avg speed is the lowest of our top three, which keeps expectations measured. Still worth including in trifectas given the fair price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

The first three races are unlocked for every reader, and they cover a nice cross-section of today's card. Violin Fingers opens the day in a Maiden Claiming mile — a route where pace scenario and staying power matter more than raw speed. Jenadriyah follows in Race 2's Maiden Special Weight sprint at 6 furlongs, where we expect a faster pace and a potential closer's edge in the final furlong. Then comes our top-rated play of the card: La Girvina in Race 3, a Starter Optional Claiming route where her class profile and TrackWiz rating of 89.42 make her the clear horse to beat.

On a warm, dry afternoon like this one, the Presque Isle surface tends to play fair — no significant bias jumping out to favor deep closers or wire-to-wire types exclusively. That makes our free picks a solid foundation regardless of how you like to build your tickets. Use the free races to get your footing before diving into the deeper part of the card.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

4:24 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A starter optional claiming route features two horses with win percentages north of 30%, making this a dual-threat matchup with a clear class standout on top.

win1La GirvinaML 7/5

La Girvina is the class of this field, carrying a 89.42 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark of all three picks — along with an impressive 38% career win rate. That kind of strike rate in a starter optional claiming field is hard to ignore, and trainer S. Matthew Kintz sends this one out at 7/5 with Scott Spieth up. The 1 mile 70 yard route suits a horse that knows how to win, and the numbers back the morning line favoritism emphatically.

place5Tootaloo KangarooML 9/2

Tootaloo Kangaroo is a live longshot threat with a 33% career win rate — second-best in the field — and an 80.22 TrackWiz rating that grades out well above mid-field. Trainer Brandon L. Kulp and jockey Angel R. Rodriguez team up at 9/2, offering real value for place and exacta bettors. The avg speed of 52 is the field's lowest among our picks, which is the main reason this one slots behind La Girvina.

show2Tinta RojaML 4/1

Tinta Roja grades a solid 71.6 on our TrackWiz scale with a 14% career win rate and an avg speed of 53. At 4/1, trainer Darien Rodriguez has this one priced as a mid-field contender, and the combination of decent figures and fair odds makes Tinta Roja a reasonable show bet and trifecta anchor for players willing to use the top two above.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 4

4:51 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

This starter optional claiming sprint has a clear ratings standout, but an interesting stablemate angle and a pace scenario that could set up closers make it worth digging deeper.

win5Half BirthdayML 5/2

Half Birthday is our top-rated horse in Race 4 at 87.81, posting an avg speed of 56 — tied for the field's best — while going off at a reasonable 5/2 on the morning line. Trainer Scooter Davis fields two horses in this race, and Half Birthday is the stronger of the pair by rating. Antonio A. Gallardo is in the irons, and a 19% career win rate shows this horse has been competitive at this level.

place7Time for an AngelML 6/1

Time for an Angel is the other Scooter Davis runner, and at 6/1 she's an excellent value play in the place spot. An 80.96 TrackWiz rating is just seven points off our top pick, and a 23% career win rate with a 55 avg speed figure shows this horse knows how to fire. If the pace sets up favorably, Rosario Montanez could steal a big piece of this at a generous price.

show4No Tappin OutML 7/2

No Tappin Out grades 62.76 in our ratings with a 56 avg speed figure — matching the field's best — under trainer Debbie Schaber and jockey David Delgado. The 7/2 morning line suggests the public has some respect here, and the speed figure support makes this a legitimate show contender and a solid trifecta inclusion for handicappers.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 5

5:18 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claiming sprint where several horses lack speed figures entirely, but one runner separates herself clearly from the rest of the field on TrackWiz ratings.

win7Hardly ReadyML 5/2

Hardly Ready tops this field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the same top mark as Half Birthday in Race 4 — and goes off at 5/2 under trainer J. Michael Rogers and jockey Martina Rojas. An avg speed figure of 53 is solid in a field where three runners have no recorded figure at all, giving Hardly Ready a meaningful edge in form data. In maiden claiming sprints, horses with established figures often hold a significant advantage over unknown quantities.

place6ChalantML 3/1

Chalant is our place pick at 3/1, posting a 56.67 TrackWiz rating with no recorded avg speed — meaning trainer Scooter Davis is sending out a debut or figure-less runner the market still respects. Antonio A. Gallardo picks up the mount, and the 3/1 price in a maiden sprint means bettors are buying into upside here. There's risk with the unknown speed, but the morning line confidence and trainer angle make this a viable place play.

show5TwirlawayML 6/1

Twirlaway brings a 51.67 rating and a 53 avg speed figure at 6/1 under the Scooter Davis barn — giving the trainer a second entry in this race to go alongside Chalant. The modest figure still outperforms several field members, and at 6/1 this is a live show ticket for exotic players looking to get paid on a trifecta underneath our top two picks.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 6

5:45 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Allowance company over a mile and 70 yards features a top-rated runner who goes off at just 3/1, with three horses bunched closely on our ratings and a competitive pace scenario shaping up.

win4Alluring BeautyML 3/1

Alluring Beauty leads our field with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating and goes off at 3/1 under trainer Riley Mott and jockey Israel O. Rodriguez. A 16% career win rate is modest, but the avg speed of 53 is consistent with the field, and allowance conditions reward horses with the class to handle this level. Mott is a name that travels well, and this horse's rating edge at a fair price makes it our top selection.

place2ThankfulnessML 5/2

Thankfulness sits at 82.95 on our ratings with a career win rate of 25% — the best strike rate among our top three picks in this race. Antonio A. Gallardo pilots at 5/2, and trainer Miguel Clement has this one positioned as the public's second choice. The combination of solid career winning form and a competitive avg speed of 53 makes Thankfulness a strong place candidate and a natural exacta partner with our top pick.

show3Naked EyeML 6/1

Naked Eye offers something interesting at 6/1 — the highest avg speed figure among our three picks at 55, yet sits third in our overall ratings at 78.25. Trainer Brandon L. Kulp and Gaddiel A. Martinez team up here, and a 25% career win rate is genuinely encouraging. The speed figure superiority and fair odds make Naked Eye an attractive show bet and a trifecta piece with upside.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 7

6:12 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

An allowance optional claiming sprint with eight runners and legitimate speed throughout — this race could turn into a true pace duel, setting things up nicely for the closers.

win6Where You WasML 7/2

Where You Was tops our TrackWiz ratings at 86.35, posting an avg speed of 56 — tied for the field's best — alongside a 22% career win rate. Israel O. Rodriguez gets the call for trainer Tim Girten at a 7/2 morning line that actually looks like modest value given the rating advantage. In a field where several horses are clustered around the 50-62 range, this kind of gap at the top is exactly what you want to see from a win pick.

place8Justice Is SweetML 9/2

Justice Is Sweet brings the best career win percentage in this race at 33%, which is a real number in allowance optional claiming company. A 70.29 TrackWiz rating and 54 avg speed put this one solidly in contention, and Antonio A. Gallardo is a capable pilot. At 9/2 on the morning line, trainer Michael C. Pappada has a horse that knows how to hit the board and could easily post at a payable price.

show1Shadow FactorML 3/1

Shadow Factor is the morning line favorite at 3/1 with a 62.54 TrackWiz rating and a 25% career win rate — credible numbers that explain the public respect. Huber Villa-Gomez has the call for trainer Ron G. Potts, and an avg speed of 55 is competitive for this field. We have this one third in our ratings, but the form is real and Shadow Factor is absolutely worth using as a show hedge or in the bottom of trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 8

6:39 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A claiming sprint at 5½ furlongs where our top-rated runner and the morning line chalk are one and the same, but a pair of live mid-price horses keep this from being a simple bet-down situation.

win2DanefieldML 3/1

Danefield heads our ratings at 87.08 and is also the public's top choice at 3/1 — a rare alignment of our model and the morning line. David Delgado is up for trainer Carol A. Skawinski, and a 14% career win rate with a 54 avg speed figure is solid for claiming sprint conditions. When our top rating and the chalk agree, we follow the data, and Danefield's edge over the field is clear enough to back confidently.

place5Disco CentsML 5/2

Disco Cents grades 76.72 on our TrackWiz scale with the field's best avg speed figure at 56, going off at 5/2 under trainer John Fennessy and jockey Addiel J. Ayala. The raw speed edge is real — a 56 figure at 5½ furlongs on the dirt in a claiming sprint is exactly the kind of profile that hits the board consistently. This is a strong place play and a natural exacta partner underneath Danefield.

show7ToomuchaintenoughML 4/1

Toomuchaintenough sits third in our ratings at 66.52 with a 55 avg speed figure and an 11% career win rate at 4/1. Trainer Moises Valdez fields two runners today, and Victor Severino takes this mount in what looks like the more live of the two Valdez entries. The price is fair and the figures support a show finish, making this a reasonable inclusion in exactas and trifectas for players going deep.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

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Eight races, a fast-and-fair dirt surface, and a card with genuine upsets lurking alongside standout favorites — today at Presque Isle Downs has plenty to work with. Start with La Girvina as your anchor play (Race 3, 89.42 rating), lean on Violin Fingers and Jenadriyah to round out your free-race foundation, and let TrackWiz Premium handle the heavy lifting the rest of the way. Good luck out there — ride smart.

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