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Presque Isle Downs Picks & Predictions — July 14, 2026

July 14, 20268 racesAll Presque Isle Downs picks

This card ran on July 14, 2026.

Best bets at Presque Isle Downs, July 14, 2026

Race 11Spoken VowML 3/13:30 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 6 races are for members.

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It's a hot Tuesday at Presque Isle Downs — clear skies, 88°F on the thermometer, and a fast dirt track that should favor horses with early pace and the stamina to hold on. Eight races are on the board today, all on the main track, ranging from a six-furlong sprint to routes stretching out past a mile.

The card leans heavily claiming, with a Starter Optional Claiming and a pair of Allowance-level races mixed in for good measure. That class variety creates some interesting crossover angles — horses dropping into claims off allowance attempts and allowance runners stepping up from the claimer ranks. Keep your eyes open; this kind of card rewards sharp reading as much as speed-figure crunching.

TrackWiz has full ratings on all eight races. The first three are open to everyone, and our top-rated horse across the entire card — Ohoopee at 88.54 — lands in the premium-locked Race 6. Here's how the day shapes up.

Best Bets

Race 1

3:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Spoken Vow carries a commanding TrackWiz rating advantage into this one-mile dirt claimer, but Golden Dogecoin and Shaunnasaprilfool bring win percentages that keep this from being a total walkover.

win1Spoken VowML 3/1

Spoken Vow tops this field with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — a full 26 points clear of the second-best horse — and that kind of separation in a claiming field at this level is hard to ignore. The 3/1 morning line is fair, meaning the market isn't completely asleep on this one either. Gaddiel A. Martinez gets the call for trainer Randall R. Russell, and a competent pilot-trainer combo in a one-mile dirt route suits a horse that projects as the quality standout. The career win percentage (6%) is modest, but the rating gap does a lot of the talking here.

place2Eastern SunriseML 7/2

Eastern Sunrise opens at 7/2 and checks in with a 61.11 rating, making him a legitimate bridesmaid candidate in a field where the top horse is well above the rest. Trainer John Fennessy also saddles She's the Rage, so he's double-dipping — and his barn clearly likes this spot. Walber Alencar has handled routes before and should keep Eastern Sunrise close enough to the pace to hit the board.

show4ShaunnasaprilfoolML 4/1

Shaunnasaprilfool at 4/1 is a sneaky inclusion for exotics — a 10% career win rate is solid by this field's standards, and trainer Michael C. Pappada's horse shows an average speed figure of 54, right in range with the top contenders. Martina Rojas in the irons keeps things professional. At a fair price, this one gives your trifecta tickets a grounded third leg.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

3:57 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A fascinating pace scenario sets up here — Kevin Rice runs the top two horses in our ratings from opposite sides of the program, and value hunters will want to look past the 5/2 morning-line favorite toward a Rice barn that could double-dip.

win1Gun PolicyML 6/1

Gun Policy is the best-rated horse in this field at 82.71 and opens at a very workable 6/1 — that's a significant disconnect between our numbers and the oddsmaker's opinion, which is exactly where TrackWiz analysis finds its edge. Trainer Kevin Rice has this horse firing on all cylinders, and a 16% career win rate is the highest in the field among the top-rated runners. Huber Villa-Gomez is one of the more active riders on the Presque Isle circuit. At a mile and 70 yards on the dirt, Gun Policy's profile sets up well for a horse with real ability running at a generous morning line.

place6Youreawizard HarryML 4/1

Youreawizard Harry is essentially a stable-mate situation — also trained by Kevin Rice — with an 81.54 rating and an 11% career win figure. The 4/1 morning line makes him the place pick with genuine upside, and a Rice barn that has two horses this well-rated doesn't point one and let the other run loose. Carlos Barbosa takes the mount and should get a clean trip on the outside of the gate.

show5Twist 'n TwirlML 5/2

Twist 'n Twirl is the morning-line favorite at 5/2, which makes this an interesting show play — the crowd money will be on this horse, but the 74.01 TrackWiz rating and a 3% career win percentage raise real questions about whether the betting support is fully justified. Regardless, a horse at 5/2 drawing public confidence should at least fill a board slot in a six-horse field, and Antonio A. Gallardo is a capable hand to keep it focused late.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our three free previews cover Races 1, 2, and 3 — all dirt routes, all claiming, and all worth your attention before the card heats up. Spoken Vow (Race 1, 3/1 morning line, 87.08 rating) opens the day as our first featured play, setting the tone on a track that should be playing honest under the summer sun. Gun Policy (Race 2, 6/1) is the most intriguing of the free trio — a 6/1 morning line with an 82.71 rating suggests the market may be underestimating this horse's recent form, and that kind of gap is exactly where value hides. Traveller (Race 3, 5/2, 87.81) rounds out the free card with our highest free-race rating of the day and a comfortable morning line that reflects legitimate favoritism.

With the dirt playing fast in this heat, pace pressure will matter in these mile-plus routes. Watch the early fractions closely — horses that get loose on the front end without a serious challenge have a real edge today.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

4:24 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Traveller is the class of this seven-horse dirt route, but the longshot potential of Yoheda Money Maker at 10/1 makes the exacta and trifecta worth building around — trainer Julie Pierson has a capable horse hiding behind a big number.

win4TravellerML 5/2

Traveller owns the top rating in this field at 87.81 and goes at 5/2, which is a fair but not generous price for what amounts to a clear standout. The 8% career win rate isn't flashy, but in a seven-horse claimer at this level, it's about separation — and Traveller has it. Gaddiel A. Martinez, who also rides the top pick in Race 1, is having a productive night and pairs here with trainer Kimberly DePasquale, who double-entries with Speight the Snow in the same race. Martinez on the barn's better horse is a signal worth noting.

place3Yoheda Money MakerML 10/1

Yoheda Money Maker at 10/1 is the place pick and arguably the best value angle on the entire race card through three races. A 67.07 rating and 12% career win rate in a field where most horses are clustering in the 40-65 range puts this horse squarely in the mix. Trainer Julie Pierson isn't a barn that screams loud, but the numbers suggest this horse is ready, and Huber Villa-Gomez — active all night — can put it in position. Underneath Traveller in exacta and trifecta tickets, this is the horse to lean on.

show6Noble StarML 9/2

Noble Star rates just a tick below Yoheda Money Maker at 67.01 and opens at 9/2, giving the show spot a horse with solid credentials for an each-way inclusion. Trainer Megan Reust sends this one out with Walber Alencar up, and the 6% career win figure is in line with several others here — the rating and the price make Noble Star a comfortable third in your exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

4:51 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Prototype is a rare legitimate standout in a six-horse dirt claimer — a 42% career win rate is eye-popping at this level, and the question isn't whether this horse is best, but whether the 7/2 morning line offers enough value.

win4PrototypeML 7/2

Prototype carries an 86.35 TrackWiz rating and an extraordinary 42% career win rate — by far the highest figure in the field and one of the most compelling win-percentage numbers you'll see in a claimer all season. Trainer Juan Arriagada sends this one out with Israel O. Rodriguez in the irons, and a 7/2 morning line on a horse this dominant in the win column suggests the market may be underestimating what it's looking at. At one mile on the dirt, Prototype fits the distance profile and has the kind of past performance that wins races, not just fills out fields.

place2D'oro LemonML 9/2

D'oro Lemon opens at 9/2 with a solid 77.75 rating and an 11% career win rate, which places this horse comfortably ahead of the mid-tier in this race. Trainer Katy Cheeks hands the reins to Gaddiel A. Martinez — who is in top form tonight — and that jockey-trainer connect is worth factoring in. As a place play, D'oro Lemon is the logical horse to back behind Prototype if you're looking to structure exactas.

show3HalonML 5/2

Halon is the second choice on the morning line at 5/2 with a 71.38 rating, sitting just below D'oro Lemon in our rankings. Antonio A. Gallardo takes the mount for trainer Scooter Davis, and while the 5% career win rate isn't particularly inspiring, the rating and the morning-line support suggest the public sees something worth backing. As a show play, Halon provides a well-regarded third option to round out your tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

5:18 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

Hard Mission and Burnin Turf form a clear 1-2 at the top of this Starter Optional Claiming field, but the real story is whether the betting public will inflate Faster — a 2/1 ML horse with a notably lower TrackWiz rating — beyond what the numbers support.

win3Hard MissionML 3/1

Hard Mission tops our ratings at 87.08 and goes at a very reasonable 3/1 in a field where the morning-line favorite comes in considerably lower in our model. Trainer Juan Arriagada, who also conditions Prototype in Race 4, is having a strong evening, and Antonio A. Gallardo gets the mount on a horse that profiles as a mid-pace presser over the mile and a sixteenth. A 17% career win rate is respectable for this level, and the price makes this the top selection with real conviction — not just rating-based, but value-based.

place6Burnin TurfML 7/2

Burnin Turf is almost as strong as the top pick at 85.39 and carries an exceptional 28% career win rate — the second-highest mark in the field. The 7/2 morning line is fair for a horse this accomplished. Addiel J. Ayala is in the saddle for trainer Rory M. Barron, and a horse with this win rate in optional claiming conditions has clearly found a level it handles well. If Hard Mission faces any trouble, Burnin Turf is fully capable of stepping up and winning outright.

show2FasterML 2/1

Faster draws 2/1 on the morning line, which means the public loves it — but the 65.8 TrackWiz rating sits well below our top two selections. That said, a 24% career win rate is genuine and Elijah Greenidge gets the mount for Jennifer Tooley. At 2/1, Faster isn't a show value play per se, but structuring tickets with this horse third ensures you're covered when market-supported horses run their race.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 6

5:45 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Ohoopee is the clear top selection in this six-furlong dirt claimer with an 88.54 rating and a jaw-dropping 42% career win rate — the favorite label fits here, and the only question is what kind of value the place and show horses around it provide.

win5OhoopeeML 2/1

Ohoopee is one of the most dominant profiles on tonight's entire card — an 88.54 TrackWiz rating combined with a 42% career win rate is elite at the claiming level, and the 2/1 morning line reflects genuine market confidence. Trainer Linda Rice sends this one out with Gaddiel A. Martinez, who has been active and effective all night. Six furlongs is a distance that suits speed and class, and Ohoopee appears to have both. This is a best-bet candidate — when the numbers and the win rate align this cleanly, you back it.

place6New IssueML 9/2

New Issue sits second in our ratings at 80.64 with a 16% career win rate, and at 9/2 on the morning line there's genuine place value here. Antonio A. Gallardo rides for trainer Ron G. Potts, and a horse rated this highly with an active jockey in a seven-horse sprint gives you a strong exotic partner underneath the favorite. New Issue looks like the logical horse to complete your exacta behind Ohoopee.

show1Courageous AriML 6/1

Courageous Ari opens at 6/1 and logs a 66.9 rating — a meaningful step below the top two but well clear of the bottom half of this field. The 10% career win rate is respectable in a sprint, and trainer Carol A. Skawinski's horse has Walber Alencar in the irons. As a trifecta closer at a fair price, Courageous Ari gives your tickets legitimate board coverage at a number that pays.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

6:12 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

This Allowance Optional Claiming route features a classic overlap scenario — the top-rated horse Stylet goes at 4/1 while the betting favorite Athaliah at 2/1 ranks considerably lower in our model, setting up a potential value disconnect worth exploiting.

win3StyletML 4/1

Stylet leads all horses in this field with an 85.62 TrackWiz rating and a 27% career win rate — both the rating and the win percentage are the strongest marks in the race. At 4/1, Stylet is actually going off at a price longer than the second and third choices on the morning line, which is the kind of value-meets-ability combination that TrackWiz analysis is built to surface. Gaddiel A. Martinez, who has been one of the most active and effective riders all night, teams up with trainer S. Matthew Kintz, and the mile-and-70-yard dirt distance suits a horse with this profile.

place4Ms BrightsideML 3/1

Ms Brightside goes at 3/1 with a 57.62 rating and a 12% career win rate, sitting comfortably in the middle of this competitive field. Scott Spieth rides for trainer Aldana Spieth — a family connection that often means sharp communication between the barn and the saddle. As the place pick, Ms Brightside is a reasonable second option in exactas behind Stylet, especially with the morning-line favorite Athaliah rated lower than both.

show2AthaliahML 2/1

Athaliah opens at 2/1 as the public's top choice, but the 54.26 TrackWiz rating and 33% career win rate tell a nuanced story — the win rate is strong, but the rating suggests this horse may be over-bet relative to its current form cycle. Antonio A. Gallardo pilots for Riley Mott, and in allowance optional company, Mott is a trainer name that commands respect. As a show play, Athaliah's public support likely keeps it on the board even if it doesn't win.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 8

6:39 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Xmas in Cairo stands out in a wide-open allowance field, but the real drama is Mary's Reward lurking at 12/1 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating that says this horse is far too overlooked by the oddsmakers.

win8Xmas in CairoML 3/1

Xmas in Cairo tops this eight-horse allowance field with an 87.08 rating and a 22% career win rate — the highest rating in the race by a significant margin. Antonio A. Gallardo takes the mount for trainer Bernard G. Dunham, and at 3/1 on the morning line, the market is at least partially aware of this horse's ability. A mile and 70 yards on the dirt is a distance that rewards horses with staying power, and Xmas in Cairo's average speed figure of 55 is tied for best in the field. This is our top selection with confidence.

place5Mary's RewardML 12/1

Mary's Reward is the most interesting horse on tonight's card from a pure value perspective — a 66.76 TrackWiz rating that ranks second in the race, yet posted at 12/1 on the morning line. That kind of rating-to-odds gap is exactly where sharp bettors find long-term profit. Israel O. Rodriguez rides for trainer Brandon L. Kulp, and a 22% career win rate in allowance company is nothing to dismiss. If Xmas in Cairo hits the front, Mary's Reward is the most likely horse to be running it down.

show3OctetML 4/1

Octet checks in at 57.42 with a 4/1 morning line and an average speed figure of 55 — tied for best in the field alongside the top two picks. Trainer Mark V. Salvaggio's horse draws Martina Rojas, and while the 8% career win rate is modest, the raw speed numbers suggest this horse competes on pace. As a trifecta show option at a fair price in an eight-horse field, Octet rounds out the tickets cleanly.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

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Eight races, a sizzling summer day, and a card with more angles than a first glance suggests. Spoken Vow, Gun Policy, and Traveller are your free plays to kick things off — and Ohoopee headlining the premium card at a manageable 2/1 deserves serious attention. Unlock the full analysis at TrackWiz and make sure you're ready when the gates open. Good luck out there — play smart, stay patient, and let the card come to you.

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