Parx Racing Picks & Predictions — November 9, 2026

Burning Bridges posted the fastest recent race speed in the field — a sharp 11.53 sec/furlong — and his 28% career win rate with a 57% in-the-money mark shows he shows up consistently. The Mychel J. Sanchez/Jamie Ness combination has combined for a 29% win rate over the past year, and those connections give Burning Bridges a legitimate edge in the morning line favorite spot at 2/1. He won 28.3% of our simulations, actually the highest of any horse in this race.

Stormbreaker brings a 36% career win rate and 54% in-the-money mark to the table, and he's placed in each of his last 3 races — that's as live as it gets heading into a start. His four wins on dirt tracks out of 10 starts shows the surface suits him. The only flag is a short 27-day rest when he historically performs better on 30-plus days off, so he's the one to beat if he runs back to his form rather than a step ahead of his peak.

Sliver of Sunshine may be flying a little under the radar, but she's the horse in the best current form in this field — placed in her last 3 races and 4 of her last 6 overall, with a 3-for-4 record on dirt. Her 44% career in-the-money rate is solid, and her recent form trend is exactly what you want to see heading into a spot like this. The 5/2 morning line is competitive, and at 23.22% simulated win share, she's nearly co-top in TrackWiz projections.

Dadoo is the crowd's choice at 6/5, and his 25.45% simulation win share is the highest in the race — so our model respects him. The wrinkle worth noting: he's placed in zero of his three prior starts at this exact 1 mile 70-yard distance, which is a legitimate concern when fading him down in exotics. He's talented enough to show up anyway, and that jockey/horse familiarity (14% wins, 52% in the money together) keeps him firmly in the ticket.

Modica is the second-ranked horse in the field with a rating of 85.87 and owns a solid dirt record of 3 wins in 22 tries with 11 placings. What really stands out is his workout profile — ranked first among all horses in this field over the last month at 12.14 sec/furlong — suggesting he's fit and sharp. Trainer Miguel Penaloza earns an A- grade, and the horse appears on today's TrackWiz Top 50 Horses List, which is a meaningful endorsement. At 3/1, he's a natural key horse in exactas underneath the favorite.

Chip's Friend is an interesting longshot angle at 12/1 morning line — his second-ranked recent race speed of 12.93 sec/furlong gives him legitimate early pace credentials. The concern is the layoff: he's had 40 days of rest and historically prefers shorter turnarounds (43.9% in-the-money with less rest versus just 8.3% at 30-plus days), and he's 6 years old. That combination of negatives explains the price, but if the pace scenario sets up and he fires his best, he's capable of sneaking into the exotics.

Tiza Smokeshow's current form streak is the story of this race — she's placed in an extraordinary 7 of her last 8 starts and has a 1-win, 7-placing record in her last 8 dirt starts. The best recent race speed in the field belongs to her at 12.31 sec/furlong, and her 87% career in-the-money rate is elite. She won 17.24% of our simulations. The 5/1 morning line looks like underlay for a horse this consistent, and she's your anchor in multi-race exotics.

Irish Banba comes in with a 63% career in-the-money rate and that Mychel J. Sanchez/Jamie Ness combination has a 29% win rate together over the past year. Her record of 1 win in 11 dirt starts with 7 placings shows she runs her race virtually every time out. At 5/1, she offers show-bet value and rounds out a natural trifecta box with the top two picks nicely.

Livinginthemoment has the speed to be dangerous here — she owns the top recent race speed among all nine horses at 12.74 sec/furlong and her workouts are second-best in the field at 12.28 sec/furlong. Trainer Hugo O. Padilla grades out at B+, which is among the better connections in this field. The minor concern is a failed placing in her most recent start, but the speed and workout data suggest she was training toward something, and 3/1 on the morning line is fair.

Winnie Mae hasn't raced in 392 days — the connections are likely using this spot to tighten her up — but her 50% career in-the-money mark suggests she can fire when she's right. Jockey Luke Hoskins earns a B+ and trainer Kathleen A. Demasi a B-, solid connections. Her recent race speed figure ranks below the top contenders, so she's unlikely to wire the field, but as a hedge in the exotics at 9/2, there's enough upside to include her.

Spartacus owns the same 21.86% simulation win share as the top pick — a statistical dead heat — and his 66% career in-the-money rate is the best in this field. He's placed in his last 2 starts and has a 2-for-3 dirt record. The Mychel J. Sanchez/Kathleen A. Demasi connection is working at a high level, with Sanchez hitting 26% wins over the past year. At 7/2, he's legitimate value given his current form and the depth of his win-probability reading.

Resolute actually owns the best recent race speed figure in this entire field at 12.17 sec/furlong — faster than both picks above him in the ratings. He's placed in 4 of his last 6 races and carries a 71% in-the-money career mark, meaning he hits the board far more often than not. The trainer notes flag a switch from endurance distances to sprinting, which is a form change worth watching carefully. At 5/1 on the morning line, he's a solid show-bet target and exotics inclusion.

Great Composer is second in the TrackWiz ratings at 79.57 and has the second-best recent race speed in this field at 12.03 sec/furlong — real, current form. He's placed in his last 4 consecutive races, one of the strongest current hot streaks on today's card. Jockey Eliseo Ruiz earns an A- grade with a 19% win rate and 62% in-the-money over the past year. At 5/1, he's a strong play in exactas with Wave Rider.

Cultivate earns a 75.52 TrackWiz rating with connections that inspire confidence — Mychel J. Sanchez at 26% wins and the Ness barn at 29% with this jockey specifically. She's won 33% of her career starts and her 44% in-the-money rate is consistent. The concern worth acknowledging: her recent race speed ranks last in the field at 13.02 sec/furlong, suggesting she may need a pace scenario to set up in her favor. She won 16% of our simulations, making her a credible show-ticket inclusion at 4/1.

Doppio Espresso is riding a 3-race placing streak and his recent race speed ranks third in the field at 12.57 sec/furlong — he's fit and running well right now. His 3-win, 5-placing record in 8 dirt starts is a strong surface profile, and that 42% in-the-money career mark is respectable at this level. At 6/1, he's priced at a slight overlay relative to his current form trajectory, making him an interesting play to land underneath the top pick.

South Boundary owns the best recent race speed in this nine-horse field at 12.47 sec/furlong — that's a meaningful edge in a sprint and the most compelling speed angle in the race. He's placed in 4 of his last 6 races, hit the board in 2 of 7 dirt starts with a 25% career win rate, and his connections grade out at B-level across the board. The only real concern is a claiming price bump stepping up from $10,000 to $12,500, which means he faces tougher competition here. That price move bears watching, but if his best speed figure fires, he's right there.