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Parx Racing Picks & Predictions — November 10, 2026

November 10, 20269 racesAll Parx Racing picks

Best bets at Parx Racing today

Race 11Crimson RedML 3/112:05 PM EST

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 7 races are for members.

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Last 30 days at Parx Racing: our top pick won 26 of 81 races (32%) and finished in the money in 52.

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Crimson Red is our best bet among today's free races — leading the field in Race 1 with the fastest recent pace figure on the card at 12.46 seconds per furlong, backed by a jockey sitting at 19% wins and 62% in-the-money over the past year. That's a sharp combo in a 5½-furlong dirt claimer.

Parx is running under clear November skies with temps sitting around 59°F — ideal conditions for fast, honest times on the main track. Nine races are on the board today, all on dirt, with distances ranging from a quick 6 furlongs up through a full mile and capped by a 7-furlong stakes race in Race 8. There's something for every kind of bettor on this card.

The marquee interest falls on Race 8, where longshot Angie's Reward is listed at 10/1 on the morning line but brings a jockey/trainer combo posting a 36% win rate and 73% in-the-money finish rate over the past year — that's serious firepower at a price. This card has real value angles hiding throughout, and TrackWiz analysis has them mapped out.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:05 PM EST

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open claiming sprint where the top-rated horse holds a meaningful edge on paper, but the morning line spreads out enough to make this a genuine multi-horse affair — four horses are within striking distance on the TrackWiz ratings.

win1Crimson RedML 3/1

Crimson Red lands at the top of our ratings at 87.08 and backs it up with the fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.46 sec/furlong. The dirt record is solid — 2 wins and placed in 7 of 14 starts on the brown stuff — and jockey Eliseo Ruiz has posted a 19% win rate and 62% in-the-money rate over the past year. Our 10,000-race simulation has Crimson Red winning 24% of the time, well above what the 3/1 morning line implies, making this a legitimate best-bet play to open the card.

place4No DenyingML 4/1

No Denying is the second-ranked horse in the field at a rating of 76.21 and brings a remarkable 80% in-the-money rate across 10 dirt starts — that kind of consistency is hard to dismiss. The sprint resume is especially encouraging: 2 wins and placed in 7 of 8 sprint races, which is exactly what this 5.5-furlong race calls for. The workout concern is noted (ranked 4th over the last month), but that in-money consistency makes No Denying a strong place ticket anchor.

show2Disco HoppML 7/2

Disco Hopp rates third on our model at 75.37 but brings a sharp local angle — 2 wins and placed in 4 of 5 starts right here at Parx Racing. A 25% career win rate is the best in this field, and the dirt record (2 wins, placed in 4 of 7) fits the surface. The jockey-horse combo has underperformed at 9% wins, which is worth noting, but the track familiarity gives Disco Hopp a live show price at 7/2.

We ran Race 1 10,000 times. Most wins:

1Crimson Red24%
2Disco Hopp18%
4No Denying17%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Crimson Red in Race 1 is the free play of the day, and the case is clean: best recent speed figure in the field at 12.46 sec/furlong, a live jockey who wins nearly one in five and hits the board nearly two in three. On a clear, dry November day at Parx where the dirt should be fast and true, pace figures like that tend to hold up. This is exactly the kind of horse you want anchoring a Pick 3 or serving as a single in a multi-race ticket.

Even in the free race, there's a layer of uncertainty worth respecting — the run style is unproven, meaning we don't yet have a sharp read on where Crimson Red will settle in the early going. At 3/1 on the morning line, though, the TrackWiz rating of 87.08 suggests the price is fair and the edge is real. Play with confidence, but keep an eye on the tote board before you finalize your ticket.

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

12:32 PM EST

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

She's a Gem opens as the heavy 6/5 morning-line choice but has quietly shown cracks at Parx — this sets up as a vulnerable favorite scenario where the top-rated Take Time to Dream offers real value at 3/1.

win1Take Time to DreamML 3/1

Take Time to Dream sits atop the TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 and owns a deep dirt profile — 5 wins and placed in 16 of 30 starts on the surface — against a field where most horses have far thinner records. At 53% in-the-money, the consistency is there, and the horse appears on our Top 50 Horses list today. Yes, at 6 years old the horse is past what most consider peak form, but the rating advantage and solid dirt base give Take Time to Dream a legitimate path to the upset at 3/1.

place7She's a GemML 6/5

She's a Gem is the morning-line favorite for a reason — 33% career win rate, 60% in-the-money, and 5 wins in 15 dirt starts speaks to real class in this field. The concern that stands out is a 7% jockey win rate for Orellana over the past year, well below his typical impact, and a 1-for-4 mark right here at Parx. Our sims have her winning 29% of the time, so the talent is unquestioned, but those local and jockey flags make her a stronger place horse than a risk-free win bet at 6/5.

show5Bertie's CauseML 4/1

Bertie's Cause leads this field in recent race speed (12.55 sec/furlong, ranked 1st) and carries a 21% career win rate into the race. Jockey Jomar Torres has connected at 18% wins and 58% in-the-money over the past year, which is a respectable book. The main knock is a string of recent underperformance — placed in just 1 of the last 6 — and a 7-year-old age tag, so show is the right spot for this one.

We ran Race 2 10,000 times. Most wins:

7She's a Gem29%
1Take Time to Dream23%
5Bertie's Cause19%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

12:59 PM EST

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A short-field starter optional claiming mile where the top two rated horses are separated by nearly 10 points, suggesting Mor Cheese Please carries a real class edge — but the 9/5 price means you'll need to work the exotics to get value.

win1Mor Cheese PleaseML 9/5

Mor Cheese Please tops the ratings at 88.83 and has been a model of consistency — placed in each of the last 4 races and in 6 of 9 dirt starts overall. The 1-mile distance suits a horse with that kind of staying power, and trainer Hugo O. Padilla (Grade A) has the horse pointed correctly. Our simulations have Mor Cheese Please winning 32% of races, the highest in the field, which supports the favoritism even if the 9/5 price is a bit short for conservative bettors.

place4Quetzal IslandML 2/1

Quetzal Island ranks second in our ratings at 79.41 and shows legitimate miles-and-dirt chops — placed in 7 of 12 dirt starts and in 4 of the last 6 races, with a recent race speed figure of 12.70 sec/furlong (2nd in the field). Trainer Ilias Tapsas and jockey Silvestre Gonzalez (A- grade) are a capable pair. At 2/1 on the morning line, Quetzal Island is a natural place-bet complement to the favorite.

show6It's AuthenticML 4/1

It's Authentic comes in ranked 3rd on our model at 64.76 and is showing sharp recent form — placed in 4 of the last 6 and in 2 consecutive races heading into today. Jockey Andrew Wolfsont owns a 19% win rate and 59% in-money mark over the past year, and the Grade A jockey stamp is an asset. With a 4% career win rate the horse hasn't broken through often, but the in-the-money consistency at 45% and that current hot streak make It's Authentic a worthwhile show inclusion and exotic fill.

We ran Race 3 10,000 times. Most wins:

1Mor Cheese Please32%
4Quetzal Island27%
6It's Authentic14%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

1:26 PM EST

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Got Game is a dominant favorite by rating but comes in short on rest — if that layoff concern costs even a little, the value horses just behind it on the totem pole make for interesting exacta construction.

win6Got GameML 9/5

Got Game is simply the class of this field — an 88.83 TrackWiz rating, a 50% career win rate, and 7 wins in 14 dirt starts with a 64% in-the-money rate that is laps ahead of the competition. Our simulations back that up with a 36% win share, the highest in the race by a wide margin. The one flag is a 19-day turnaround when this horse prefers 30 or more days between starts, so watch for any signs of flatness — but the talent level here is the strongest argument for a win bet on the card.

place3J RiversML 6/1

J Rivers rates second in this field at 63.21 and shows good all-around form — 3 wins in 18 dirt starts, placed in 4 of the last 6, and a recent race speed of 12.85 sec/furlong (2nd in the field). Trainer Ruperto A. Perez has an A- grade and jockey Luis Ocasio brings a solid B-grade approach. At 6/1 on the morning line, J Rivers is the kind of grinding, consistent horse that can sneak into the exacta.

show2Miss JonesML 5/2

Miss Jones is well-positioned here at 62.31 on the TrackWiz scale and has been clicking lately — placed in each of the last 3 races and 4 of the last 6 overall, with a 57% career in-the-money rate. The dirt resume is backed by 5 wins in 21 starts on the surface. At 5/2 morning line she's not a screaming price, but that recent form makes her the logical show anchor in a race where the top two picks should handle the main action.

We ran Race 4 10,000 times. Most wins:

6Got Game36%
2Miss Jones20%
3J Rivers15%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

1:53 PM EST

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A 10-horse maiden claiming sprint that splits cleanly between three legitimately rated contenders and a cluster of longshots — the top two rated horses are within a whisker of each other, setting up a compelling win-win exacta scenario.

win1My Box of LightML 5/2

My Box of Light leads the field on our ratings at 87.68 and owns the fastest recent race speed in this entire field at 12.17 sec/furlong — a meaningful edge in a maiden sprint. The jockey-trainer combination of Ruben Silvera and Ernesto Padilla-Preciado has connected at a 36% win rate and 73% in-the-money mark over the past year, which is elite. The concern is a layoff: 86 days off when this horse historically performs better with shorter rest. That flag is real, but the raw talent here won 23% of our 10,000 simulations, and at 5/2 there's value if the trainer has this one ready.

place9Rogue PrinceML 3/1

Rogue Prince is nearly identical to our top pick on ratings — 87.08 vs. 87.68 — and has earned a spot in 6 of 12 dirt starts with a 50% in-the-money rate. Jockey Eliseo Ruiz has posted a 19% win rate and 62% in-money mark over the past year. The short-rest concern is noted (14 days, prefers 30+), and that's a flag you can't ignore, but Rogue Prince has placed in each of the last 4 races, suggesting current form is genuine. At 3/1 this is a live place play.

show10Capt Fluff N StuffML 5/1

Capt Fluff N Stuff ranks third in our ratings at 76.59 and comes in with the second-fastest recent speed figure in the field at 12.61 sec/furlong, which matters in a sprint. Jockey Mychel J. Sanchez is one of the top names on today's card — 26% wins and 60% in-money over the past year — and appearing on the Top 50 Jockeys list today underlines that. In a wide-open maiden field at 5/1, this is the logical show horse for exotic players looking to build trifecta coverage.

We ran Race 5 10,000 times. Most wins:

1My Box of Light23%
9Rogue Prince20%
10Capt Fluff N Stuff13%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 6

2:20 PM EST

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Rogue Justice is the clear class standout on our ratings in this 6.5-furlong dirt claimer, but the race offers genuine secondary value — Buckin' Right comes in at 8/1 as a potential overlay with sharp recent speed.

win4Rogue JusticeML 3/1

Rogue Justice tops the field at 87.08 on the TrackWiz scale and backs it up with the second-fastest recent race speed at 12.47 sec/furlong and a 55% in-the-money rate across a solid dirt record of 3 wins and placed in 11 of 17 starts. The consistency is the calling card — placed in 4 of the last 6 races — and trainer Miguel Penaloza gets an A- grade. Our simulations have Rogue Justice winning 25% of the time, the best in the field. At 3/1 morning line this is a strong win play.

place7Buckin' RightML 8/1

Buckin' Right is our longshot angle in this race, checking in with the best recent race speed in the entire field at 12.44 sec/furlong and carrying back-to-back in-the-money finishes into today. The 2-wins-and-placed-in-11-of-16 dirt record is legitimate, and jockey Luke Hoskins has an A- grade. The concern is a claiming price jump from $7,500 to $16,000 and a short 15-day turnaround when the horse prefers more rest — both are real flags. But at 8/1, the speed figure edge and current form make Buckin' Right an excellent place overlay.

show6Angel of HopeML 5/1

Angel of Hope ranks third in our ratings at 71.42 and brings a consistent recent form cycle — placed in 4 of the last 6 starts with a 53% career in-the-money rate across 26 dirt starts. Jockey Eliseo Ruiz has a 19% win rate and 62% in-money mark over the past year. The short rest (21 days, prefers 30+) is worth monitoring, but the form is current and the horse is live at 5/1 for show tickets and exotics.

We ran Race 6 10,000 times. Most wins:

4Rogue Justice25%
3Sabby Sunset16%
6Angel of Hope15%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 7

2:47 PM EST

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Mila Rose comes in as the top-rated horse at a price that feels like it should be shorter — the morning line undervalues what is comfortably the best form figure in this starter optional claiming sprint.

win3Mila RoseML 7/2

Mila Rose is the standout in this field, full stop — 86.35 TrackWiz rating, the fastest recent race speed in the field at a sharp 12.06 sec/furlong, and an extraordinary streak of 7 consecutive in-the-money finishes. The dirt record is excellent: 6 wins in 16 starts with a 62% in-the-money rate. Our simulations have Mila Rose winning 27% of the time, tops in the race. At 7/2 on the morning line, there's genuine value here against a field where nothing else comes close on form.

place1MezcaliforniaML 4/1

Mezcalifornia ranks second in our ratings at 66.34 and brings strong distance credentials — 2 wins and placed in 3 of 4 starts at 6.5 furlongs, exactly today's ask. The dirt record (5 wins in 23 starts) and 48% in-the-money rate show consistency, and the recent race speed of 12.31 sec/furlong (3rd in the field) is competitive. Jockey Ruben Silvera holds an A- grade. At 4/1 this is a solid place ticket alongside the top pick.

show5MamarshaML 6/1

Mamarsha brings a strong local profile that shouldn't be overlooked — 3 wins and placed in 4 of 6 races right here at Parx Racing, backed by a 23% career win rate and 58% in-the-money figure. The dirt record (4 wins in 15 starts) and 4-of-last-6 in-the-money form confirms she runs her race regularly. At 6/1 on the morning line, Mamarsha is an excellent show inclusion and trifecta fill with legitimate upside.

We ran Race 7 10,000 times. Most wins:

3Mila Rose27%
7Dewey Doit19%
1Mezcalifornia17%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

3:14 PM EST

Stakes · 7 fur · Dirt

A stakes race that presents a genuine upset scenario — the 9/5 morning-line favorite Lady Annabelle is not the top-rated horse, and our model identifies a 10/1 shot as the best value play on the card.

win7Angie's RewardML 10/1

Angie's Reward tops our ratings at 76.88 despite a 10/1 morning line, and the numbers justify a hard look. The recent race speed of 12.23 sec/furlong is second-fastest in the field, the dirt record is outstanding at 6 wins in 14 starts with a 71% in-the-money rate, and the jockey-trainer combination of Ruben Silvera and Ernesto Padilla-Preciado is clicking at a 36% win rate and 73% in-the-money mark over the past year. If you're looking for a best bet that offers real overlay value, this is it — the talent is there and the price is a gift.

place6PresenceisapresentML 5/1

Presenceisapresent ranks second on our ratings at 76.39 and is an elite-level in-the-money performer — 80% in-the-money rate and a 40% career win rate that leads this field. The dirt record (2 wins in 5 starts) is small-sample but encouraging, and recent race speed of 12.27 sec/furlong (3rd in the field) keeps this horse in the speed conversation. Jockey Jorge A. Vargas Jr. holds a Grade A stamp. At 5/1, this horse is a legitimate place play and exacta partner.

show4Aoife's MagicML 8/1

Aoife's Magic comes in third on our ratings at 72.01 with a career win rate of 35% and a remarkable dirt record — 5 wins and placed in 10 of 13 starts on the surface with a 71% overall in-the-money rate. The last 3 races have all been in-the-money efforts, suggesting current form is peaking at the right time. At 8/1 morning line this is a price that offers trifecta value in a stakes race where the top two picks should be competitive.

We ran Race 8 10,000 times. Most wins:

1Lady Annabelle20%
6Presenceisapresent19%
5Nature's Candy17%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 9

3:41 PM EST

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Little Lance holds the top TrackWiz rating and leads the field in speed figures, but a rest concern and a wide-open supporting cast make this one of the trickier races on the card to handicap — exacta construction is key.

win1Little LanceML 5/1

Little Lance is our top-rated horse at 84.17 and owns the fastest recent race speed in this 10-horse field at 12.05 sec/furlong — a meaningful edge at 6.5 furlongs. The dirt resume backs it up: 7 wins in 42 starts with a 48% in-the-money rate, and jockey Eliseo Ruiz has posted a 19% win rate and 62% in-the-money mark over the past year. The concern is a 20-day turnaround when this horse performs better on 30 or more days of rest — that flag is real, but our sims still have Little Lance winning 22% of the time at 5/1 morning line, which represents strong value.

place9Lord WinsalotML 9/2

Lord Winsalot ranks second on our model at 66.06 and brings exceptional dirt mileage to this race — 14 wins in 77 starts and placed in 39 of those with a 50% in-the-money rate. The recent form is encouraging: placed in 4 of the last 6 and 2nd-fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.21 sec/furlong. The age concern (9 years old) is noted, but veteran horses with this kind of Parx-caliber consistency can get the job done, and 9/2 morning line offers fair place value.

show4Dot's DollarML 7/2

Dot's Dollar brings a proven 6.5-furlong pedigree that stands out in this field — 3 wins and placed in 8 of 11 starts at exactly this distance, which is an 11/14 in-the-money rate when you combine those. The overall dirt record of 11 wins in 44 starts shows genuine class. The jockey concern is real (Orellana at 7% wins over the past year), and at 7 years old the horse is aging, but that distance-specific excellence makes Dot's Dollar a solid show play and trifecta piece at 7/2.

We ran Race 9 10,000 times. Most wins:

1Little Lance22%
4Dot's Dollar17%
7Action Hero17%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

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Bottom line for today at Parx: Crimson Red is the free-race best bet — fast figures, a sharp jockey, and a fair price. The stakes race in Race 8 is the card's biggest story, and Got Game in Race 4 (35.59% sim win probability) might be the strongest individual play on the entire card for subscribers. Get the full picture — including pace shapes, exotic tickets, and every race broken down — with TrackWiz Premium. Good luck out there today.

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