Parx Racing Picks & Predictions — November 5, 2026

True Phenomenon brings the most powerful connections in the race — Mychel Sanchez and trainer Jamie Ness have combined for a 30% win rate and 67% in-the-money rate over the past year, which is an elite partnership angle. The horse also has an outstanding dirt record, placing in 21 of 37 starts, and Sanchez himself posts a 26% win rate over the past year. The 7/2 morning line is fair, and in a one-mile race where pace can shuffle things late, a stalker with top connections is well worth including in exactas.

Ree Nee's Six comes in with the second-best recent race speed at 12.63 sec/furlong and a price drop that's worth noting — the claiming price decreased, which sometimes signals connections are ready to put the horse on the board rather than protect its value. The 47% career in-the-money rate across 6 starts is solid, and jockey Luke Hoskins brings a B+ grade. No major form alarm bells here, making this a reasonable trifecta fill at 9/2.

Cash the Check rates a clear second on both the TrackWiz model (71.01) and speed figures, posting the second-best recent race pace at 12.74 sec/furlong. The 1 win and 5 in-the-money finishes from 9 dirt starts shows this horse knows how to perform on the surface, and a 44% career in-the-money rate provides a meaningful safety net if Bulma has an off day. At 3/1 on the morning line, Cash the Check is a natural play to fill out the exacta.

Alyvia Mavis owns the third-best recent race speed at 12.86 sec/furlong and a 47% career in-the-money rate — a horse that shows up in the money nearly half the time is a trifecta staple. The 5/1 morning line offers some value for a show play or trifecta leg, and the concern of placing in just 1 of the last 6 is worth acknowledging, but the speed figure keeps this horse relevant. If the top two set a pace duel, Alyvia Mavis could pick up the pieces for the minor spots.

Sole Lute may not have the top speed figure, but the consistency profile is hard to ignore — placing in 7 of 11 dirt starts, in 3 of the last 4 races, and in the last 3 consecutive outings. That kind of streak suggests a horse hitting its peak form at exactly the right time. The concern is a recent race speed figure that ranks seventh in this field, so Sole Lute likely needs a pace setup to close into rather than sprinting for the lead, making it a natural place and show play at 7/2.

Point Barrow brings the third-best recent race speed at 12.49 sec/furlong and a jockey-horse combination with Francisco Martinez that shows a 15% win rate and 48% in-the-money rate together — an established partnership angle. The horse has also placed in 4 of the last 6 races, adding recent form credibility, and four starts at this surface at a mile give it experience at today's conditions. At 4/1, it's a solid trifecta piece with legitimate upside if the pace shapes favorably.

Mary's Reward rates a clear second at 64.54 and posts the second-best recent race speed at 12.77 sec/furlong, suggesting this horse can keep up with the pace fractions. The dirt record of 6 wins from 24 starts, with 16 in-the-money finishes, reflects genuine class at this level. Jockey Eliseo Ruiz brings a 19% win rate and 61% in-the-money rate over the past year, and at 9/2 on the morning line, there's some value to stacking this in an exacta beneath Chelsea Wall.

Lady Emily Kathryn has quietly built a terrific record at this specific distance — 2 wins and placing in 3 of 4 races at exactly 1 mile 70 yards is a sharp course-and-distance angle that handicappers should weight heavily. The overall dirt record of 4 wins from 14 starts (placing in 8) adds further credibility, and a 2-for-3 record at Parx Racing itself shows this horse knows this oval. At 4/1, Lady Emily Kathryn is a smart trifecta inclusion.

Zeus' War is trained by the same barn as West Coast Bull — Ernesto Padilla-Preciado — and brings a 70.45 rating that ranks second in this field. The horse has the second-best recent race speed at 11.94 sec/furlong and has placed in 3 of the last 5 races, confirming current form. With 1 win and placing in 8 of 13 dirt starts, the surface consistency is real. If the pace collapses in front, Zeus' War is the horse positioned to pick up the pieces at 4/1.

Bonafide is a form horse right now — placing in 5 consecutive races and in 5 of the last 6 is a streak that earns inclusion in every exotic. The 3 wins from 14 dirt starts and a 47% career in-the-money rate show this horse is reliable, and trainer Robert Mosco earns an A- grade. The concern worth noting is a modest record in sprint races specifically, but 7 furlongs gives closers a bit more room. At 9/2, Bonafide is a logical trifecta anchor.

Lost Love is the speed figure standout in this race — the fastest recent race speed at 12.34 sec/furlong and 4 wins from 22 dirt starts underline genuine class on the surface. The seven-race in-the-money streak matches Tariba Dream's current form narrative, and placing in 15 of 22 dirt starts (68% in-the-money rate) is elite consistency for this level. The concern is a C-grade jockey in Adam Bowman, which tempers win expectations, but at 8/1 on the morning line, Lost Love is offering outstanding value in the exacta.

Dale brings a 78% career in-the-money rate — the highest in the field — which is the kind of figure that keeps a horse in trifecta consideration regardless of other concerns. Placing in 5 of the last 6 races and in both of the last 2 outings shows sharp current form, and 4 wins from 14 dirt starts backs that up. The claiming price bump from $16,000 to $20,000 is a legitimate concern and worth watching, but the raw consistency makes Dale hard to leave off the ticket at 4/1.

Carbonite earns the second-best TrackWiz rating at 58.62 and brings the best workout angle in the race — ranking second over the last month at 12.16 sec/furlong in morning drills, suggesting the horse is sharp heading into today. The 39% career in-the-money rate is modest, but at 4/1 and with strong fitness indicators, Carbonite offers legitimate exacta value as the second-best rated horse in the field. The age concern at 7 is noted, but workout form can override that at a sprint distance.

Levee Was Dry holds the second-best recent race speed figure in this field at 12.27 sec/furlong and is trained by Pompeyo Gomez, who earns an A- trainer grade — a sharp conditioner for this level. The concern is real: zero in-the-money finishes from 4 starts at Parx Racing specifically, and jockey Sebastian Orellana carries a 5% win rate over the past year, which is a meaningful red flag. That said, the speed figure keeps Levee Was Dry in the trifecta conversation at 5/1, particularly if the pace shapes to allow closers to run.