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Monmouth Park Picks & Predictions — August 29, 2026

August 29, 20268 racesAll Monmouth Park picks

Results are in — see the official Monmouth Park chart and payouts (our top pick won 1 of 8)→

It's a beautiful Saturday at the Jersey Shore — clear skies, 75°F, and a firm turf course that should play fair all afternoon. Monmouth Park serves up an 8-race card today, mixing claimers and allowance runners with a stakes race at the top of the menu. Perfect conditions for handicappers who like when the track isn't throwing any curveballs.

The turf course gets four of the eight races today, so surface reads are going to matter. With no moisture in the forecast and temps staying comfortable, expect the going to stay consistent rail-to-rail — which historically at Monmouth tends to favor horses who can sit just off the pace rather than deep closers. Keep that in mind as you build your tickets.

The day's marquee event is Race 7, a Stakes at a flat mile on the dirt, where Intraosseous tops our morning line at 5/2. But there's value scattered throughout this card, including a couple of longshot angles in the turf routes that TrackWiz analysis has flagged for multi-race plays.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:50 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

One horse towers over this turf claiming field on paper, but a pair of Devon Dougherty runners could complicate the exacta picture in a race that shapes up with a clear class standout and several closers bunched in the mid-range.

win7Manoah's GloryML 2/1

Manoah's Glory is the class of this field by a wide margin — a TrackWiz rating of 88.54 is comfortably the highest in the field and pairs with a 30% career win rate that no other entrant comes close to matching. Edwin Gonzalez gets the call, and that jockey-trainer combo with Jorge Delgado is one to follow at Monmouth. At 2/1 on the morning line, this isn't a screaming overlay, but the dominance on paper justifies making this horse your anchor in all exotics.

place3T V ManML 9/2

T V Man (9/2 ML) checks in with the second-highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 68.53, and trainer James Frangella Jr. knows how to get horses ready on the Jersey Shore circuit. His average speed figure of 53 is solid for this level, and at nearly 5/1, there's enough value here to slot him comfortably in the place spot.

show2Son of a SlewML 10/1

Son of a Slew at 10/1 is a sneaky show play — he's trained by the same barn (Devon Dougherty) as the morning-line second choice, which tells you connections have real confidence in this stable's turf horses today. His TrackWiz rating of 65.97 leads the second tier of this field, and a career win percentage of 8% understates what could be a horse coming into form.

Race 2

5:23 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A deceiving favorite sets up an interesting pace scenario on the Monmouth dirt, with the real form edge sitting at a price that savvy bettors should jump on early.

win3Bee N DeeML 5/2

Bee N Dee owns the highest TrackWiz rating in the race at 87.81 — a number that pops off the page in a claiming field going a mile and 70 yards on dirt. Chantal Sutherland is an experienced pilot who won't panic if another horse challenges early. The 5/2 morning line is fair, not generous, but when the rating gap is this wide, you don't need an overlay to make a confident win play.

place1Cash the CheckML 6/1

Cash the Check at 6/1 is a legitimate value play for the place slot. A 16% career win rate is the highest in the field among horses with a realistic shot, and trainer Tony Wilson's runner sports a TrackWiz rating of 71.94 — second best in the race. Noel Herman gets the mount, and at those odds, Cash the Check could easily beat a chalk that stumbles.

show6Madam ProsecutorML 7/5

Madam Prosecutor is the morning-line favorite at 7/5, but our analysis slots her third — not because she's a bad horse, but because her 71.34 TrackWiz rating and 7% career win rate leave room for doubt against Bee N Dee. She's worth including in show as a hedge, especially if the pace sets up for the closers in a route on the dirt.

Race 3

5:56 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden sprint on the dirt with a full field of first-time starters and lightly-raced juveniles — form is thin across the board, so it comes down to training signals, speed figures, and program numbers.

win4Sol MayorML 3/1

Sol Mayor draws the 3/1 morning line and leads our analysis with a TrackWiz rating of 56.67 — the top mark in the field. Chantal Sutherland aboard is a significant positive; she's one of the craftiest riders at Monmouth and knows how to nurse a green maiden through traffic in a sprint. Trainer Jorge Delgado has shown a knack for placing first-time starters, and this horse's profile suggests she's ready to fire first out.

place3HeirnolML 7/2

Heirnol (7/2 ML) is the only horse in this maiden field posting a meaningful average speed figure — a 55, which is the best workout-based number we have in the race. Trainer Teresa M. Pompay clearly put in some foundation work, and Jose Antonio Gomez gets a live mount at a price that makes the place ticket very appealing.

show5The MusketeerML 4/1

The Musketeer at 4/1 is an interesting show play — trained by Juan Carlos Avila, the same barn sending out Mucho Oro, which gives you a read on stable confidence. A TrackWiz rating of 55.00 sits in that competitive middle cluster, and Angel Morales is a capable rider who can keep a green horse together in a sprinting maiden. Use him underneath in trifecta combinations.

We're giving away full analysis on the first three races today — a nice little sampler of what the Monmouth card has to offer. Manoah's Glory (Race 1, 2/1 ML) is our top-rated free pick of the day with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating, going 1 1/16 miles on the turf in a claimer — a spot that looks tailor-made for a horse with this profile. On the dirt side, Bee N Dee (Race 2, 5/2 ML) carries an 87.81 rating in a claiming route at a mile and 70 yards, and our pace scenario analysis likes how this race sets up for her running style.

Race 3 is maiden special weight territory at 5 furlongs on the dirt — always a tricky puzzle — but Sol Mayor (3/1 ML) stands out from a field where raw ability is hard to project. The tight sprint distance should cut down on the chaos a bit. All three free races are solid plays on their own, and they also connect nicely as a win-parlay or the front leg of a Pick 3 rolling into Race 4.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:30 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

This maiden claiming turf sprint has a clear standout hiding at a generous price, while the morning-line favorite shapes up as a solid runner-up type — sharp bettors can play the exacta with confidence.

win7Aria DML 3/1

Aria D (3/1 ML) delivers an eye-catching TrackWiz rating of 87.08 in what is otherwise a thin maiden claiming field — that's a dominant number. She's posting an average speed figure of 55 in the Pompay barn, and trainer Patrick B. McBurney gets Charlie Marquez up, a rider who handles turf routes and sprints well. For a maiden claimer, this level of form separation makes Aria D our strongest play of the first half of the card.

place4SolaiaML 2/1

Solaia is the 2/1 morning-line favorite and brings the best average speed figure in the race at 56, along with a TrackWiz rating of 65.72 under trainer Rob Atras. Luis R. Rivera Jr. is a dependable pilot who keeps horses in good position on the turf. She makes total sense as the place horse — the form is legitimate, but Aria D's rating edge is too large to ignore for the top spot.

show6Grand BellaML 4/1

Grand Bella at 4/1 is a solid show inclusion from the Victor Barboza Jr. barn, which typically sends well-prepared turf runners. Her TrackWiz rating of 55.00 puts her squarely in contention with the mid-field cluster, and Edwin Gonzalez gives her a professional pilot. In a maiden claimer where the top two could easily press each other, a closer like Grand Bella can sneak into the frame.

Race 5

7:03 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A loaded allowance optional claiming field at six furlongs on the Monmouth dirt, with two horses separating themselves on raw figures and a double-digit field that should produce genuine pace pressure up front.

win7Doin ThisML 5/2

Doin This is our top selection with a TrackWiz rating of 87.81 — the best mark in the field — and an average speed figure of 55 that matches the top tier here. At 5/2, he's not a steal but the form justifies the favoritism; trainer Rory K. Huston places horses effectively and Jose C. Ferrer is a sharp tactical rider in short sprints. A 12% career win rate is modest, but in allowance company, it's the speed figures and recent form cycle that drive the selection, and this horse is peaking at the right time.

place8SuperfractorML 3/1

Superfractor (3/1 ML) is the only horse in the field who can match Doin This stride for stride on figures, posting an 81.46 TrackWiz rating and a 55 average speed figure. The 40% career win rate stands out as elite for this level — that's a horse who knows how to finish. Melissa Iorio handles the mount for trainer Benjamin W. Perkins Jr., and at 3/1 the place price should be solid if the tote backs Doin This heavily.

show9Sir Newtons LawsML 4/1

Sir Newtons Laws (4/1 ML) rounds out our analysis with a 71.32 TrackWiz rating and a 54 average speed figure — he fits this pace profile as a horse who can sit just off a contested early pace and pick up pieces late. Jorge A. Vargas Jr. is a polished rider who thrives in these mid-field tactical races, and a 9% career win rate in allowance company is respectable. At 4/1, he's a must-include on trifecta tickets.

Race 6

7:35 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

The turf allowance optional claiming at a mile and a sixteenth features a surprising value angle at the top of our analysis — the morning-line co-favorite gets overlooked, but a 20% career win rate and the top rating in the field tell a different story.

win1Midnight StoryML 6/1

Midnight Story opens at 6/1 on the morning line, which feels generous given she carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the race at 82.71 and sports a 20% career win rate — a legitimately strong hit rate at this level. Trainer Joan Milne sends her out with Chantal Sutherland up, a jockey who excels on turf routes at Monmouth. The combination of top rating, a solid win percentage, and a double-digit morning line makes this our best value play of the night.

place2Frankie GML 6/1

Frankie G shares the 6/1 morning line and brings a TrackWiz rating of 77.84 alongside a 14% career win rate — both numbers place him firmly in the contention zone. Trainer Russell J. Cash has shown patience developing this horse, and Jose C. Ferrer in the irons is a strong get for a turf route. If Midnight Story sets or stalks the pace, Frankie G should be hitting his best stride in the stretch.

show4One Time WillardML 5/2

One Time Willard is the 5/2 morning-line favorite for trainer Kelly J. Breen — a conditioner who commands respect when he sends a horse out at short odds — and a 22% career win rate is the best in the field. Luis R. Rivera Jr. takes the mount, and the 54 average speed figure is among the top marks here. Our analysis slots him third based on the rating (76.87) landing just behind tonight's top two, but he's a must-use underneath.

Race 7

8:08 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 mi · Dirt

A stakes sprint on the Monmouth dirt featuring a confusing mix of lightly-raced horses with outsized win percentages and a wide spread of TrackWiz ratings — picking through this field takes some courage.

win6IntraosseousML 5/2

Intraosseous opens at 5/2 and leads our analysis with the highest TrackWiz rating among the primary contenders at 57.50, alongside a 50% career win rate and a solid 54 average speed figure. Trainer Kinnon LaRose sends him out with Luis R. Rivera Jr., one of the most dependable jockeys on the Monmouth circuit. In a stakes field where several horses carry uncertain profiles, the combination of a competitive rating and a proven win rate makes Intraosseous our top selection.

place8EmphaticML 3/1

Emphatic (3/1 ML) comes in with a 100% career win rate — an unbeaten record that commands respect even in stakes company — and a 55 average speed figure under Hall of Fame trainer Brendan P. Walsh. Edwin Gonzalez handles the mount, and Walsh is the kind of conditioner who doesn't start an unbeaten horse in stakes unless he's confident the horse is ready. The 56.67 TrackWiz rating is slightly below our top pick, but the connections and unblemished record make Emphatic a logical place horse.

show7Spectacular SamML 7/2

Spectacular Sam at 7/2 is a sensible show play — trainer Robert Medina puts Jorge A. Vargas Jr. aboard, and a 53 average speed figure is workable in this company. A TrackWiz rating of 55.83 keeps him competitive with the mid-range horses, and in a wide-open stakes where several entrants have question marks, Sam could easily sneak into the frame at a fair price. He's a trifecta staple here.

Race 8

8:41 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

A full field of ten in the turf claiming mile-and-a-sixteenth closes out the Monmouth card, and three horses are bunched tightly at the top of the ratings — making this a prime race for exacta and trifecta play rather than straight win betting.

win10MentorML 5/1

Mentor (5/1 ML) tops our analysis with a TrackWiz rating of 84.17 and a 20% career win rate that stands out in a claiming field of this depth. Trainer Kelly J. Breen has an excellent record placing turf horses, and Luis R. Rivera Jr. — a regular Breen partner — gets the mount. The 53 average speed figure is solid for this surface and distance, and at 5/1, this is a legitimate overlay given the form edge Mentor carries into the gate.

place7RoscommonML 5/1

Roscommon (5/1 ML) is only a half-point behind Mentor on the TrackWiz scale at 83.47, and a 12% career win rate is reasonable for a turf claimer navigating a competitive field. Trainer Derek S. Ryan puts Chantal Sutherland aboard — one of the more accomplished turf jockeys in this field — and the 53 average speed figure matches the division average. With three horses this close in the ratings, Roscommon is exactly the type you want in your exacta box.

show8Two Dollar BillML 5/1

Two Dollar Bill rounds out the trifecta picture at 5/1 with an 82.07 TrackWiz rating — just a tick below the top two but well clear of the rest of the field. Edwin Gonzalez takes the mount for trainer Juan Carlos Avila, and despite an average speed figure of 51 being slightly lower than the top contenders, he's proven competitive at this distance on the turf. At 5/1, the show value is excellent and he's a key player in multi-race wagers.

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Today's Monmouth card is cleaner than most, with great weather and consistent turf conditions making it a good day to play confidently. Start with Manoah's Glory and Bee N Dee in the free races, then consider rolling those into a Pick 3 or Pick 4. If you want the full-card edge — including our Stakes race breakdown and exotic ticket structures — subscriber analysis is available at TrackWiz Premium. Good luck out there, and enjoy the Jersey Shore sunshine.

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