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Monmouth Park Picks & Predictions — August 30, 2026

August 30, 20268 racesAll Monmouth Park picks

Results are in — see the official Monmouth Park chart and payouts (our top pick won 1 of 8)→

It's a beautiful Sunday at Monmouth Park — partly cloudy skies, 80 degrees, and a full 8-race card to dig into. Conditions look ideal for the horse-and-rider, with no weather drama to complicate our handicapping. That's a good thing, because there's plenty to think about on today's slate.

Five of the eight races are contested on the turf, which gives the Monmouth grass a heavy workload and puts a premium on horses with proven form on the green. The card spans both sprints and route distances, mixing Maiden Special Weights, Claiming races, and a Starter Allowance opener — so there's something for every style of bettor.

Our TrackWiz models have combed through the full card and surfaced a couple of standout ratings at the top of the board. Jetaros (88.54 rating) sets up as our highest-rated pick of the day, and Gwen to Win matches that number in the dirt route in Race 8. Two strong anchors for your tickets.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:50 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

A clear top contender emerges on the turf sprint, but the morning line favorite shares a barn with the place pick — trainer Teresa Pompay sending out two live ones makes pace scenario and positioning key.

win5JetarosML 2/1

Jetaros is the standout of this field with a TrackWiz rating of 88.54, the highest in the race by a comfortable margin. The 2/1 morning line favorite carries a 31% career win rate — that's elite consistency for this level of competition. Trained by Teresa Pompay, who also saddles Maximatch, the barn clearly has a strong hand here. Jose Antonio Gomez gets the call and the 5 1/2-furlong turf trip looks tailor-made for a horse with this profile.

place4MaximatchML 7/2

Maximatch is the other Pompay runner in this field, and at 7/2 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 68.23, there's solid underlying value here. The career win rate of 8% is modest, but in a barn-dominant scenario, connections will know exactly how to place this horse to finish. With Melissa Iorio aboard and the same turf sprint conditions as her stablemate, she's a natural exotics inclusion.

show6Cold FeetML 5/2

Cold Feet packs a 32% career win rate — actually higher than the favorite — and carries a 5/2 morning line that suggests the market respects this runner more than the program number might imply. The TrackWiz rating of 64.86 puts Cold Feet solidly in contention for a piece, and Jorge Luis Gonzalez is a capable rider on this circuit. If the two Pompay horses battle each other at all, Cold Feet could be the one picking up the pieces.

Race 2

5:22 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Wide-open maiden special weight on the dirt where no horse carries prior career wins or clean speed figures — this race is all about workout form, trainer intent, and reading the morning line.

win2Queen of PromiseML 5/2

Queen of Promise tops our TrackWiz ratings at 57.50 in a bunched field, and the 5/2 morning line reflects genuine market confidence. Paco Lopez is one of the marquee riders on the Monmouth circuit and doesn't take mounts he doesn't think can run — his presence in the irons here is meaningful. Trained by Juan Carlos Avila, who also runs Fashion Girl in this same race, the barn is clearly pointing its best missile at this spot. In a maiden field this compressed, a top rating plus a top jockey is often the edge you need.

place6HeirnolML 7/2

Heirnol is the one horse in this field with a published average speed figure — a 55 — giving trainer Teresa Pompay's charge a meaningful data advantage over horses debuting off workouts alone. At 7/2 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 55.83, there's legit upside here. Jose Antonio Gomez has shown up on multiple Pompay runners today, a signal the trainer trusts him in key spots.

show4CayenneML 4/1

Cayenne checks in at 55.00 on the TrackWiz ratings scale and is 4/1 on the morning line under Charlie Marquez for trainer Jorge Delgado. In a field where most contenders have zero published speed history, the relative strength of Cayenne's rating makes this a reasonable exotics anchor. At these odds, the show position offers fair value if the top two run as expected.

Race 3

5:52 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

A strong pace scenario shapes up in this turf claiming sprint — two horses rated in the 80s at respectably overlaid prices could set up a potential top-heavy finish that rewards those who go deep in the exotics.

win2SkyrushML 3/1

Skyrush tops our picks with a TrackWiz rating of 87.08 and goes off at 3/1 on the morning line — not a huge overlay, but fair value given this is the class of the field on paper. Christian Maragh gets the mount for trainer Silvino Ramirez, and Skyrush's 20% career win rate speaks to consistent competitiveness. An average speed figure of 54 is in line with the better horses in this spot, and the 5 1/2-furlong turf configuration suits a tactically clean runner.

place7Into InspirationML 7/2

Into Inspiration is one of the most interesting horses on the card — a TrackWiz rating of 84.08 but only a 5% career win rate, which suggests a horse that knocks on the door repeatedly without converting. At 7/2, Paco Lopez takes the reins for trainer Jose M. Jimenez, and the elite jockey upgrade alone could be the catalyst to get this one across the wire first — or at minimum, firmly in the exacta. The close rating gap between the win and place picks makes this a true one-two punch.

show3JeremiahtwentynineML 5/1

Jeremiahtwentynine is the third wheel in a strong top three, rated 73.34 by TrackWiz and sitting at 5/1 on the morning line. Chantal Sutherland picks up the mount for trainer Holly L. Harris, and the 14% career win rate shows this horse does know how to finish. With the top two rated in the mid-to-high 80s, Jeremiahtwentynine is a logical third-place finisher and the kind of horse that keeps trifecta payouts honest.

We're opening three races to all TrackWiz readers today — Races 1, 2, and 3 — and they tell an interesting early-card story. The opener is a Starter Allowance on the turf sprint, where Jetaros grades out as the class of the field at 2/1 on the morning line. If the turf is playing fair and fast under these partly cloudy skies, front-runners in short turf sprints at Monmouth deserve a long look, and Jetaros fits that profile.

Race 2 shifts to the dirt for a Maiden Special Weight sprint, where Queen of Promise (5/2 ML) earns our nod in a field where raw ability separates contenders quickly. Race 3 brings us back to the turf with Skyrush posting an 87.08 TrackWiz rating in a Claiming sprint — a horse we like at 3/1 as a solid value in a competitive field. Together, these three free races offer a nice mix of surfaces and bet types to anchor your early-card action.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:23 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

A short-field maiden claimer on the dirt where first-time and lightly raced runners dominate — the race hinges on which horse brings the most credible speed figure and jockey firepower to the table.

win5Final MinuteML 2/1

Final Minute draws the 2/1 morning line and tops our TrackWiz ratings at 58.33 — the highest in a field where most horses are separated by just a few ticks. Critically, Final Minute is one of the few horses in this field with a published average speed figure of 55, providing a concrete benchmark the others can't match. Paco Lopez in the irons is a massive plus — he's the circuit's marquee rider and his presence on a short-priced maiden suggests genuine confidence from the Jorge Delgado barn. This is as close to a standout as you'll find in a maiden claimer.

place3BoorayML 5/2

Booray checks in with a TrackWiz rating of 57.50 and is second choice at 5/2 on the morning line for trainer George Weaver — a name that commands respect in this region. The horse has no published speed figure, which adds uncertainty, but the Weaver barn doesn't miss spots like this without ammunition. Jose Antonio Gomez is a capable rider who pairs well with live, lightly-raced maidens.

show2Time LoopML 4/1

Time Loop sits at 4/1 on the morning line and rates out at 55.00 for trainer Michael Dini, who has a capable Francisco Martinez in the saddle. No published speed figure means this horse likely is making a relatively early career appearance, but the rating suggests enough underlying ability to be a factor. At these odds, Time Loop rounds out a sensible win-place-show ticket nicely.

Race 5

6:49 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

The biggest field of the day — 14 runners on the turf — means pace dynamics will be complex and position out of the gate matters enormously; our top two picks carry the ratings edge and the class to sort through traffic.

win8KorrongoML 4/1

Korrongo leads the TrackWiz ratings in this sprawling field at 85.62, a significant margin over the third-highest rated horse. The 4/1 morning line represents solid value in a 14-horse field, and Christian Maragh — one of Monmouth's better turf riders — gets the call. The 11% career win rate is modest, but the average speed figure of 57 ties for the best in the field. When a horse is both the top-rated runner and showing elite speed figures, the case for a win ticket is straightforward.

place9CoperniumML 6/1

Copernium is the most striking value play in this race — a 50% career win rate is eye-popping for any level, and Paco Lopez picks up the mount for the Margotta barn at 6/1 on the morning line. The TrackWiz rating of 77.71 puts Copernium firmly in the top tier of this field. If the pace gets hot in this large field, a horse with that kind of win percentage knows how to find the wire.

show13RedactedML 5/1

Redacted brings a TrackWiz rating of 63.54 and is 5/1 on the morning line for trainer Panagiotis Synnefias — who interestingly also saddles Bonsai Warrior in this race. The 10% career win rate is workmanlike, and the average speed figure of 54 is competitive in this spot. In a 14-horse field where chaos is always a factor, having a third horse with a top-five rating in the exotics is smart portfolio management.

Race 6

7:18 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

An intriguing maiden claimer on the dirt where the morning line favorite doesn't match our top-rated horse — the TrackWiz numbers suggest an upset could be brewing if the chalk gets bet down further.

win6Why Me LordML 3/1

Why Me Lord is our top pick at 87.08 TrackWiz rating and goes at 3/1 on the morning line — actually sitting behind the morning line favorite Mystical Merlin at 2/1, which creates a genuine overlay situation worth noting. Trainer Wayne Potts puts Martina Rojas up, and the average speed figure of 54 is the best in this field. In a maiden claimer where form lines are thin, a horse with this kind of rating edge and a published speed figure has a meaningful structural advantage.

place5My Little Nico GML 9/2

My Little Nico G is the second-highest rated horse in the field at 76.87 and goes at 9/2 for trainer Silvino Ramirez — a barn that's shown up elsewhere on today's card. Charlie Marquez takes the mount, and the average speed figure of 53 is solid for this level. The nearly 13-point rating gap between this horse and Mystical Merlin — the 2/1 morning line favorite — is worth flagging as a potential market inefficiency.

show7Mystical MerlinML 2/1

Mystical Merlin is the public's choice at 2/1 with Chantal Sutherland in the irons for trainer Chuck Spina, and the 73.21 TrackWiz rating puts this horse in genuine contention even if our model prefers the top two. The combination of a top-shelf jockey on the morning line favorite in a maiden claimer means you can't throw this horse out of the exotics. An average speed figure of 53 is competitive.

Race 7

7:49 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A mile on the turf with two horses separated by less than two rating points at the top — this is a genuine coin-flip between the top pair, with a strong third horse adding trifecta intrigue.

win10Into ItML 3/1

Into It carries an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — the highest in an 11-horse field — and gets Paco Lopez aboard for trainer Kelly J. Breen at a reasonable 3/1 morning line. The 18% career win rate at a mile on turf signals this is a horse that finds ways to compete, and the Breen-Lopez combination is one of the more formidable pairings on the Jersey Shore circuit. At a distance where pace can unravel lesser horses, a runner with this ceiling is exactly who you want.

place1Roscoe PineML 7/2

Roscoe Pine is separated from the top pick by less than two rating points at 85.33 — this is a virtual dead heat on our model. The 17% career win rate is consistent, and Jose C. Ferrer has shown comfort with horses in this profile all day. At 7/2 on the morning line, the value is there to include Roscoe Pine in exacta and trifecta tickets, and the pace scenario at a mile could actually set up better for a horse sitting just off the leaders.

show3DenyingML 6/1

Denying is a fascinating deeper inclusion at 6/1 and a 77.85 TrackWiz rating — the third-highest in the field despite being overlooked at the windows. Trainer Wayne Potts saddles both Denying and Confabulation in this race, splitting attention, but Jorge A. Vargas Jr. gets the Denying mount which reads as the stable's preferred runner. The 9% career win rate is lower than you'd like, but the price makes Denying a compelling trifecta piece.

Race 8

8:22 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A short, six-horse field going a mile on the dirt — the morning line and TrackWiz ratings are in strong agreement at the top, making this the most structurally clear race on the card for win bettors.

win2Gwen to WinML 2/1

Gwen to Win is the top-rated horse on today's entire card, matching the highest single TrackWiz rating at 88.54, and the 2/1 morning line makes this a legitimate best bet. Jose C. Ferrer picks up the mount for trainer Wayne Potts, and the average speed figure of 55 towers over most of the competition in this six-horse field. A 15% career win rate in a short field like this plays up, and the one-mile dirt configuration suits a horse showing these kinds of numbers. This is as confident a win selection as you'll find on the card.

place4No DenyingML 7/2

No Denying carries a strong 82.22 TrackWiz rating and the impressive 33% career win rate — the highest in the field — at a very manageable 7/2 on the morning line. Charlie Marquez takes the mount for Silvino Ramirez, a trainer who's been well-represented today. The average speed figure of 53 is below the favorite's 55, which is likely why the market slots this horse second, but the win percentage suggests a horse that competes hard every time. An excellent exacta partner.

show6DiamondinthesandML 3/1

Diamondinthesand is listed at 3/1 and rates at 64.84 with Chantal Sutherland up for Chuck Spina — a recognizable combination on this circuit. The 20% career win rate is solid, and in a six-horse field, the probability of hitting the board goes up significantly for every runner. The average speed figure of 51 lags the top two but is enough to threaten for a share of the purse, and at 3/1 the show position delivers decent overlay value in a compact field.

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Bottom line: Monmouth is serving up a playable card on a gorgeous summer Sunday. Jetaros and Gwen to Win are our two top-rated horses of the day — solid anchors whether you're building singles or multi-race exotics. The free races in Races 1–3 give every reader a strong start, and the premium card rounds out with pace scenarios and ticket structures that could make the difference in the Pick 4 and Pick 5. Full subscriber analysis is live now at /pricing — good luck at the windows today.

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