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Monmouth Park Picks & Predictions — August 2, 2026

August 2, 20268 racesAll Monmouth Park picks

This card ran on August 2, 2026.

Best bets at Monmouth Park, August 2, 2026

Race 13Lumber LegacyML 8/512:50 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 6 races are for members.

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A summer Sunday at Monmouth Park — partly cloudy skies, 81 degrees, and what looks like a turf-friendly afternoon on the Jersey Shore. Eight races are on the board today, and with three of them run on the grass, the turf form is going to be doing a lot of the heavy lifting in your card work.

The card is a solid mix of maiden claimers, open claimers, starter allowances, and allowance optional claiming events — the bread and butter of a mid-summer weekday card. Nothing Grade 1, but the value angles are plentiful if you know where to look. TrackWiz analysis has identified strong top picks in every race, and a few of them come with morning lines that leave room for a real payout.

Three races are available free to all TrackWiz readers today, with the remaining five unlocked for subscribers. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:50 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

A maiden claimer on the turf with a clear TrackWiz ratings gap at the top — but maiden races on grass can be unpredictable, and the morning line spreads across the field, so don't sleep on mid-price threats.

win3Lumber LegacyML 8/5

Lumber Legacy tops the TrackWiz ratings at 89.12 — a healthy margin over the rest of the field — and draws post 3 with Chantal Sutherland in the irons, a rider who knows how to rate a horse on the turf. At 8/5 on the morning line, the market agrees this one is the class of the field. The slightly below-average speed figure of 51 is worth watching, but the overall profile points toward a horse ready to break through at first asking on this surface.

place2It's the StonesML 7/2

It's the Stones rates second in the TrackWiz model at 80.44 and comes in at a reasonable 7/2 morning line under trainer Kelly J. Breen, who knows how to place horses in spots they can succeed. The average speed figure of 52 matches the pace pack, and Jose Antonio Gomez is a capable hand to navigate a maiden turf field. This one looks like a solid underneath piece for exactas and trifectas.

show6GaboroneML 4/1

Gaborone grades out third in our ratings at 66.98 and posts the same average speed figure of 52 as several rivals — but at 4/1, there's value in the win pool and certainly in the exotics. Trainer Jose Lozano Sanchez keeps this one competitive enough to factor, and Edwin Gonzalez riding adds some upside. A sneaky trifecta play if the top two run as expected.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

1:22 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

A short six-furlong maiden special weight on the dirt where Liam's Diva looms as a commanding standout on ratings, but the pace could play into the hands of a presser or closer if the early speed crumbles.

win6Liam's DivaML 3/1

Liam's Diva posts a TrackWiz rating of 87.08 — nearly 28 points clear of the next-best horse in this maiden special weight sprint, which is a dominant gap in any field. Edwin Gonzalez rides for trainer Miguel Clement, a barn that clearly has this one ready to fire. At 3/1 on the morning line, there's still fair value here for a horse that towers over the competition on our model.

place1Tremendous BeeML 3/2

Tremendous Bee is the morning line favorite at 3/2 and shows an average speed figure of 54 — tied for best in the field — under the care of trainer Miguel Clement, meaning the same barn saddles both the top pick and this one. Ruben Silvera takes the mount and the rating of 59.17 suggests this horse is a genuine contender to hit the board even if Liam's Diva runs away with it. An important exacta partner.

show3MunnorliaML 9/2

Munnorlia checks in third on the TrackWiz ratings at 54.17 and is one of two horses in the field without a recorded average speed figure — suggesting limited prior data, which makes her somewhat of a wildcard. Trainer Teresa M. Pompay also saddles Redacting in this race, giving the barn two bites at the apple. Christian Maragh is a reliable jockey, and at 9/2, Munnorlia fits nicely as a show or trifecta play in a field where the back end is wide open.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

The free portion of today's card kicks off on the turf and stays interesting throughout. Lumber Legacy opens the day in a 1 1/16-mile maiden claimer on the grass — a distance that should suit horses with tactical pace and the ability to quicken in the stretch. At 8/5 on the morning line, the public agrees, but our rating of 89.12 backs that confidence up with data, not just crowd sentiment.

From there, Liam's Diva takes on a 6-furlong maiden special weight on the dirt — the kind of race where early speed and clean trips matter most. And in Race 3, Gold Stamp shows up in a 5½-furlong turf claimer at 5/2. Three different race types, two surfaces — the free races alone give you a genuine cross-section of today's card to work with.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:53 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

A turf claiming sprint where Gold Stamp holds a clear edge on ratings, but Dale's Bluff's eye-popping 25% career win rate and the top average speed figure in the field make this more than a one-horse race.

win5Gold StampML 5/2

Gold Stamp leads the TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 and draws in at a fair 5/2 morning line with Edwin Gonzalez aboard — one of the more active jockeys on the Monmouth circuit. The average speed figure of 54 is solid, and an 11% career win rate is respectable in a claiming field. Trainer Michael Dini also sends out She's Complicated in this race, but Gold Stamp is clearly the barn's best shot.

place4Lady d'OroML 7/2

Lady d'Oro rates second in our model at 79.99 and posts the highest average speed figure among our top three at 55 — she's run fast enough to beat this field on raw numbers. Charlie Marquez picks up the mount for trainer Michael V. Pino, and a 14% career win rate shows she's been competitive throughout her career. At 7/2, she's a natural place and exacta partner with our top pick.

show3Sliver of SunshineML 9/2

Sliver of Sunshine grades out at 59.0 on the TrackWiz scale with an average speed figure of 54 and a 14% career win rate — a horse that wins its share and has the foot to stay involved in a short turf sprint. Trainer Kathleen A. Demasi has Andrew Wolfsont aboard, and the 9/2 morning line suggests the market respects this one's chances. A solid show bet and a worthwhile trifecta inclusion.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

2:24 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

This starter allowance on the dirt is tightly contested at the top — three horses are separated by just two points on the TrackWiz ratings — setting up a genuine pace battle where post position and early positioning could decide everything.

win1Waitin'onasunnydayML 7/2

Waitin'onasunnyday tops the TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 and gets Chantal Sutherland in the irons, a jockey who has been sharp at Monmouth this meet. The average speed figure of 55 is tied for the field's best, and a 11% career win rate in starter allowance conditions shows this horse competes consistently. At 7/2 on the morning line, our model sees value relative to the 2/1 favorite Archimedes, who rates 24 points lower.

place3Thunder ChuckML 5/2

Thunder Chuck runs a close second in the ratings at 84.26 — just two points off the top — and draws the rail-adjacent post 3 with Carlos Eduardo Rojas riding for Jorge Delgado. The average speed figure of 54 is one tick below our top pick but well within range, and a 10% career win rate mirrors the field's overall competitive nature. At 5/2, this one might be the biggest threat to unseat our win pick.

show2Very Bad GuyML 6/1

Very Bad Guy rates third in our model at 80.34 and is one to watch at 6/1 morning line odds — potentially undervalued by the market. Jorge A. Vargas, Jr. takes the mount for trainer Scott A. Lake, and the 11% career win rate is on par with the top two. The average speed figure of 53 is a tick below the leaders, but in a tight race like this, any of the top three could cross the wire first.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

2:48 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

An eleven-horse allowance optional claiming field on the Monmouth turf at 5½ furlongs — this is a wide-open race with several horses sporting impressive career win percentages, making pace scenario and post position key factors.

win3MoonblazeML 7/2

Moonblaze tops the TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 and comes in with a standout 33% career win rate — this horse wins when it runs. Andrew Wolfsont rides for trainer Kathleen A. Demasi, and an average speed figure of 55 puts Moonblaze near the top of the pace pack. At 7/2 on the morning line, the value is reasonable for a horse with the best combination of rating and winning pedigree in this field.

place5I'mwishingonastarML 5/1

I'mwishingonastar rates second among our picks at 71.89 and posts the highest average speed figure among all eleven runners at 57 — that's raw speed that can overcome a lot of adversity in a short turf sprint. Francisco Martinez rides for trainer Michael Dini, and while a 12% career win rate is modest, this horse's pure speed numbers suggest it can be dangerous on the front end. At 5/1, this is a legitimate place contender and a nice exacta wheel.

show11Foggy NoteML 7/2

Foggy Note checks in at a TrackWiz rating of 62.63 with a 16% career win rate and an average speed figure of 54 — a consistent, competent turf runner for Kelly J. Breen. Luis R. Rivera, Jr. is in the irons, a jockey who pairs well with Breen's horses. At 7/2, the morning line suggests some market respect, and in a field this large, a 16% career winner on the turf is a sensible show play.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

Race 6

3:18 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A seven-horse dirt claiming sprint where the top three on TrackWiz ratings are separated by just ten points, setting up a competitive stretch battle — but Money Magnettes' edge in the model combined with a 18% career win rate makes her a legitimate top choice.

win1Money MagnettesML 9/2

Money Magnettes leads the TrackWiz ratings at 84.90 with an 18% career win rate and an average speed figure of 55 — the highest in this field. Melissa Iorio rides for trainer Teresa M. Pompay, who also ran Munnorlia earlier on the card, suggesting an active and engaged barn. At 9/2 morning line odds in a field where our model sees her as the top horse, there's genuine overlay value here.

place7Fussy GirlML 4/1

Fussy Girl rates second in our model at 80.14 and brings a 20% career win rate to the table — this mare wins her share, plain and simple. Jean Aguilar gets the call for trainer Miguel Penaloza, and an average speed figure of 53 keeps her in range of the pace. At 4/1, she's a natural underneath partner and would make for an intriguing exacta play with our win pick.

show6Leftover SushiML 5/2

Leftover Sushi rates third among our selections at 74.64 and posts a 26% career win rate — the highest of the three top picks in this race, which speaks to this horse's ability to close out winning efforts. Edwin Gonzalez rides for Wayne Potts, and at 5/2, this one is actually the morning line second choice, meaning the crowd respects the talent even if our model ranks it third. A strong show bet and key trifecta piece.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

3:49 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

A deep ten-horse turf sprint at allowance optional claiming level where St. Erling's top TrackWiz rating clashes with Smithwick's Spice's 24% career win rate and a mid-card full of horses capable of springing an upset on the grass.

win9St. ErlingML 7/2

St. Erling tops the TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 and draws post 9 with Chantal Sutherland in the irons — note that Sutherland also has the mount on Kaz Sweet Heist in this race, which could create a jockey decision scenario worth monitoring closer to post. The average speed figure of 56 is tied for the field's best, and trainer Joan Milne has this one set up well at 7/2 morning line. A 14% career win rate is serviceable, and the numbers clearly favor this runner.

place1Smithwick's SpiceML 3/1

Smithwick's Spice is a legitimate place threat with a 24% career win rate — one of the better marks in this field — and a TrackWiz rating of 83.52 that puts him just three points off the top. Jorge Luis Gonzalez rides for trainer Douglas Nunn, and an average speed figure of 55 suggests consistent competitive efforts. At 3/1 morning line, the market is high on this one, and the career win rate gives real confidence for exacta and place plays.

show6Matthew's TicketML 4/1

Matthew's Ticket comes in at 77.16 on the TrackWiz scale with a 20% career win rate and an average speed figure of 55 — a solid all-around profile for an allowance optional claimer on the turf. Edwin Gonzalez is one of the meet's most active pilots and rides for Phillip Capuano, a trainer who knows this circuit well. At 4/1, Matthew's Ticket fits nicely as the third piece of a trifecta in a competitive turf sprint with legitimate depth.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 8

4:22 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A two-turn dirt claiming route at one mile and seventy yards where Street Glide stands out as the class of a modest field on ratings, though Balantyne and Gaelicheartofgold's career win percentages make the exacta and trifecta worth building around.

win6Street GlideML 5/2

Street Glide is the top-rated horse on the TrackWiz model at 87.81 — a comfortable 12-point advantage over Balantyne — and draws post 6 with Edwin Gonzalez riding for trainer Juan Carlos Avila, who also saddles Knox in this race. A 16% career win rate and an average speed figure of 52 are both solid for a claiming route. At 5/2 on the morning line, Street Glide is the clear top choice, and our model strongly agrees.

place4BalantyneML 4/1

Balantyne rates second in our model at 75.62 with a 20% career win rate — a horse that has shown a genuine ability to finish races and hit the board. Felix Vasquez, Jr. rides for Silvino Ramirez, and an average speed figure of 52 matches the pace pack. At 4/1, there's value in the place slot, and a 20% win rate in claiming routes means Balantyne should be included in all exotic combinations.

show5GaelicheartofgoldML 9/2

Gaelicheartofgold checks in with a TrackWiz rating of 67.23 and an eye-catching 37% career win rate — by far the highest in this field, and a number that demands respect even at 9/2 odds. Luis R. Rivera, Jr. takes the mount for Wayne Potts, and an average speed figure of 52 keeps this one competitive in pace terms. If Gaelicheartofgold has a favorable trip in the two-turn route, that career win rate tells you this horse knows how to finish.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

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Bottom line: Monmouth has a clean, playable eight-race card today with good turf conditions and a few spots where the morning line leaves value on the table. Lumber Legacy, Liam's Diva, and Gold Stamp are your free best bets — and subscribers get the full picture on every race from Race 4 on. Good luck out there.

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