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Monmouth Park Picks & Predictions — July 24, 2026

July 24, 20266 racesAll Monmouth Park picks

This card ran on July 24, 2026.

Best bets at Monmouth Park, July 24, 2026

Race 14April SpunML 9/52:00 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 4 races are for members.

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It's a beautiful Friday at the Jersey Shore — clear skies, 78°F, and Monmouth Park putting up a crisp 6-race card to kick off the weekend. Conditions don't get much better than this for an afternoon at the track, and the turf course figures to be playing fast with no moisture in the forecast.

Today's card is a nice mix of surface and distance challenges: three turf sprints, a pair of dirt routes, and a six-furlong allowance optional claimer that looks like the most competitive race of the afternoon. Whether you're here for a few casual plays or trying to build something in the exotics, there's plenty to work with.

TrackWiz has full analysis on all six races. The first three are on us — free to every reader. Races 4 through 6 are reserved for subscribers, and trust us, that's where the card gets really interesting.

Best Bets

Race 1

2:00 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

A wide-open maiden claimer on the turf sees two horses separate themselves from the pack on ratings, but there's enough question marks in a field full of non-winners to keep things interesting.

win4April SpunML 9/5

April Spun tops our TrackWiz ratings at 88.83 — a significant edge over the rest of this maiden field — and draws the morning line favor at 9/5, suggesting the market agrees. Trainer Kathleen O'Connell puts her in a logical spot, and jockey Pedro L. Cotto, Jr. is a capable hand around Monmouth. With an average speed figure of 55, she's among the class of this field and should factor early on this 5-furlong turf sprint.

place2AusplexityML 5/2

Ausplexity checks in with an 79.46 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field — and also averages a 55 speed figure, matching the top-end horses on raw ability. Trainer Teresa M. Pompay puts her out at 5/2, and with Melissa Iorio aboard, she's a live contender to land in the exacta even if April Spun runs her down.

show9Natures FuryML 2/1

Natures Fury rates third in the field at 67.43 and is trained by John C. Servis, a trainer with a solid Monmouth pedigree. She's morning-lined at 2/1, so the market respects her, but the 67.43 rating puts her a tier below the top two — good enough to hit the board in a wide-open maiden event and worth using in trifecta tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

2:38 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

Bonsai Warrior looks like a heavy player in this dirt claiming route, but Captain Oats' eye-catching 50% career win rate throws a wrinkle into what could have been a straightforward handicap.

win6Bonsai WarriorML 9/5

Bonsai Warrior leads all horses in this field with an 88.83 TrackWiz rating and a 22% career win rate — that's a strong combo in a field this deep. Julio A. Hernandez gets the call for trainer Panagiotis A. Synnefias, and with an average speed figure of 55 over 1 1/16 miles of dirt, the foundation is there for a complete effort. At 9/5 on the morning line, there's not a ton of value, but this looks like the most complete horse in the race.

place1FratelloneML 5/2

Fratellone is dangerous here with an 81.9 rating and a 20% career win rate — numbers that suggest a horse who knows how to find the wire. Trainer Juan Carlos Avila has runners all over this card, which speaks to a barn in good form, and Jose E. Morelos takes the mount. He's the logical pace threat to Bonsai Warrior and the safest place bet on the board.

show2Captain OatsML 3/1

Captain Oats' 50% career win rate is legitimately eye-catching — that's a horse who has been spot-on when pointed to the right race. The 56.67 rating and 55 average speed figure suggest some ability, and trainer Jorge Delgado has two horses in this race, giving him options. At 3/1, Captain Oats is worth a shot on the board for exotic players looking for a lively show ticket.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our free coverage kicks off with a pair of turf and dirt openers before pivoting to a mile claimer on dirt. April Spun draws our attention right away in Race 1 — a 5-furlong turf sprint for maiden claimers where pace shape and early position are everything on a short course like this. In Race 2, Bonsai Warrior gets the nod going 1 1/16 miles on dirt, a distance where TrackWiz ratings tend to separate contenders cleanly. Street Glide closes out the free picks in Race 3 at a flat mile on dirt — a surface and distance combo that rewards horses who can settle early and finish with authority.

All three of these picks carry an 88.83 TrackWiz rating and open at 9/5 on the morning line, which tells you the market agrees with us — but that also means you'll need to shop for value or look to pair them in exactas and doubles to get the most out of them. With the turf playing fast today, any horse with strong grass figures or a proven turf pedigree gets a tick up in our model.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

3:11 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Street Glide looks like the standout in this dirt-mile claimer, but Crypto Man lurking at 4/1 with a higher rating than most gives this race a legitimate exacta scenario worth exploring.

win4Street GlideML 9/5

Street Glide dominates this field with an 88.83 TrackWiz rating — the same top score he shares with the best horses on the card today — and carries a 17% career win rate that's perfectly respectable for a claimer. Trainer Juan Carlos Avila has had a busy and productive card, and Edwin Gonzalez takes the reins for what looks like a well-placed runner going a flat mile on dirt. At 9/5, the price is short but the edge over the field is real.

place6Crypto ManML 4/1

Crypto Man is the most interesting horse in this race from a value standpoint — a 71.26 rating that sits comfortably above the mid-pack competition, going at 4/1. Carlos Eduardo Rojas rides for trainer Alexis Delgado, and with an average speed figure of 52 matching the field, the pace scenario should set up well for a presser profile. If Street Glide gets pressured early, Crypto Man is the horse most likely to pounce.

show1KnoxML 5/2

Knox is a logical show play at 5/2 for trainer Juan Carlos Avila, who doubles up in this race with Street Glide — when a trainer has the top pick and a second entry, both horses tend to be ready. The 62.92 rating and 10% career win rate keep him honest, but Charlie Marquez in the irons and a 5/2 price give him enough going on to warrant board inclusion in trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

3:44 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

Two horses separated by less than a point at the top of our ratings make this 5-furlong turf claimer a genuine pick-'em at the top, with a value bomb lurking underneath in Precious Cat.

win7Elsie's SmileML 3/1

Elsie's Smile edges out the top slot in our TrackWiz model at 87.08, and her 30% career win rate is the best in this field by a clear margin — that kind of strike rate in claiming company means she's been placed in the right spots consistently. Trainer Silvino Ramirez puts her out at 3/1, and Charlie Marquez is a solid fit on a 5-furlong turf sprint where pace and position matter. This is a horse with the profile of a winner.

place4Mya PapayaML 3/1

Mya Papaya sits just a tick below at 86.35 on our ratings and is trained by the well-respected Kelly J. Breen, whose barn runs live at Monmouth all summer. Luis R. Rivera, Jr. picks up the mount, and a 16% career win rate over 54 average speed figures keeps her right in the mix. At 3/1 matching Elsie's Smile on the morning line, she's as likely to hit the board as any horse in the race.

show5Precious CatML 6/1

Precious Cat is the sleeper in this spot — a 76.98 TrackWiz rating and an impressive 25% career win rate suggest a mare who has won more than her 6/1 price implies. Trainer Michael Dini keeps her in class-appropriate spots, and Edwin Gonzalez rides. She matches the top horses on average speed at 54 and could easily outrun her odds if the pace unfolds favorably. A strong trifecta include.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 5

4:17 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

La Resolana looks like a potential runaway in this allowance optional claimer, boasting the highest rating on the card today and a remarkable career win percentage that screams class.

win2La ResolanaML 3/2

La Resolana is the standout of the entire day's card with a 89.27 TrackWiz rating, but what really makes her compelling is a 60% career win rate — that is elite-level efficiency for any horse at any class level. Trainer Jose Lozano Sanchez has her at 3/2 on the morning line, and Edwin Gonzalez aboard ties together a rider-trainer combo in obvious form. At 6 furlongs on dirt with that profile, she should be the one they're all chasing.

place5Red Head ItalianML 5/2

Red Head Italian is the clear second choice in our model at 82.89 with a 21% career win rate — a horse who holds her own in allowance company. Trainer Kelly J. Breen sends out Luis R. Rivera, Jr., and with a 54 average speed figure she's capable of pressing the pace and hanging on for second if La Resolana proves too much. At 5/2 she offers fair value as a place ticket.

show1Molly's a BulletML 3/1

Molly's a Bullet rates 60.36 in our model and carries the best average speed figure in the field at 55, which stands out on a card where most horses are clustered in the low 50s. Trainer Anthony R. Margotta, Jr. fields her at 3/1 with Ramon F. Moya aboard, and a 5% career win rate suggests she's been tough to get to the wire first — but she might have enough late to sneak onto the board behind the top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

4:47 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

El Ma'any commands the ratings in this turf-route claimer, but with nine horses going 1 1/16 miles on grass, pace scenario and trip luck will play a major role in who hits the board.

win5El Ma'anyML 7/2

El Ma'any leads this field with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating and a 20% career win rate — numbers that are right in line with what you want to see from a horse you're trusting in claiming company. Trainer Michael Dini keeps runners sharp, and Edwin Gonzalez takes the call, giving El Ma'any a jockey who's been active and effective on this card. The 7/2 morning line offers a touch of value relative to the rating edge, making this one of the more attractive win plays of the day.

place2LinariteML 4/1

Linarite rates 74.9 on our model and shows the best average speed figure in the race at 55 — in a 1 1/16-mile turf route, that kind of sustained ability matters going long. Jorge A. Vargas, Jr. rides for trainer Michael Miceli, and at 4/1 there's some overlay potential here if El Ma'any gets into any trouble. A closer profile on the grass fits this distance well.

show3HauntressML 3/1

Hauntress comes in rated 60.74 — squarely mid-pack — but trainer Antonio Arriaga has her at 3/1, suggesting confidence in the effort. Dalila A. Rivera is aboard, and an 8% career win rate in a field with several horses at similar percentages means this race is genuinely up for grabs behind the top two. She's a logical trifecta piece for players looking to box the top three.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

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Bottom line: April Spun, Bonsai Warrior, and Street Glide are your free best bets to start the day, all backed by strong TrackWiz ratings in favorable conditions. For the full picture — including La Resolana's pace edge in Race 5 and our exotic ticket breakdowns — subscribers have everything they need. Good luck at the windows, and enjoy the sunshine at Monmouth.

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