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Mahoning Valley Race Course Picks & Predictions — October 29, 2026

October 29, 20268 racesAll Mahoning Valley Race Course picks

Best bets at Mahoning Valley Race Course, October 29, 2026

Race 14Sweet KylieML 7/212:15 PM EDT

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Last 30 days at Mahoning Valley Race Course: our top pick won 4 of 32 races (13%) and finished in the money in 18.

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It's a beautiful Thursday afternoon at Mahoning Valley Race Course — clear skies, 66°F, and the kind of crisp fall air that keeps the dirt track playing honest. Eight races are on the board today, all on the main track, and the racing surface should be as fair and consistent as you'll see all season.

The card is heavy on sprints — six furlongs dominates the program, with a pair of 5½-furlong dashes wrapping up the afternoon. That compact distance profile sets up fast, front-running speed types, so pace scenario is going to be a recurring theme today. If you like bang-bang action and quick decisions at the windows, this is your kind of card.

We've got Maiden Special Weight, Allowance, and Claiming races spread across the afternoon, giving you a full range of class levels to work with. TrackWiz has broken down all eight races — three are open to every reader, and the full card is available to subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:15 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

A maiden special weight opener where zero horses have ever broken their maiden — it's a true blank slate, so TrackWiz ratings become the decisive edge in sorting out the winner.

win4Sweet KylieML 7/2

Sweet Kylie (4) earns the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 86.35, and that gap over her rivals is meaningful in a race where nobody has a win to their name. Mauro Cedillo gets the call, and at 7/2 on the morning line she's not being overlooked by the morning-line maker either. With an average speed figure of 52, she's in the middle of the pack on raw speed, but the composite rating suggests her overall profile edges everyone else in this spot. In a maiden race with no proven performers, lean on the numbers.

place1Doin MischiefML 3/1

Doin Mischief (1) posts a solid 77.94 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field — and draws the rail with Fernando Salazar Becerra up. At 3/1 on the morning line, the market respects this one too, and a rating nearly 10 points clear of the third-ranked horse in the field gives him a real shot to hit the board even if Sweet Kylie gets the job done.

show6HappycastleML 4/1

Happycastle (6) checks in with a 63.6 rating and draws a manageable outside post under Angel I. Diaz for trainer Rodney C. Faulkner. At 4/1 morning line, there's enough value here to slot her into your exactas and trifectas as the show piece — she's the third-best-rated horse in a wide-open maiden field.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

12:43 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Two horses sit well clear of the field on paper — C V Jersey Bee and Party Pooper — and the real question is whether anyone in the middle of the pack can crash the party or if this plays out as a two-horse battle for supremacy.

win3C V Jersey BeeML 8/5

C V Jersey Bee (3) brings the top TrackWiz rating at 89.12 and backs it up with a 30% career win rate — the best in this field by a wide margin. Jose A. Bracho has the call for trainer Agustin Gonzalez Jr., and an average speed figure of 54 puts him right at the top of the speed column. At 8/5 on the morning line, the favorite price is justified, and in a 6-furlong claiming sprint, a horse with a 30% career strike rate and the top composite rating is where you want to be.

place6Party PooperML 2/1

Party Pooper (6) is the natural backup here, boasting a 87.5 TrackWiz rating and a 23% career win percentage — both elite numbers for this field. Deshawn L. Parker rides for trainer Johanna Urieta, and at 2/1 morning line she's priced like a horse the market expects to be right there at the wire. If C V Jersey Bee faces any pace pressure, Party Pooper figures to be the one picking up the pieces.

show7Double AgentML 10/1

Double Agent (7) is the value piece in the show slot with a 70.6 rating and a 10/1 morning line that makes him very attractive in multi-leg wagers. Trainer Timothy E. Hamm sends him out with Laureano Sosa, and while his 9% career win rate isn't eye-catching, the rating differential over the rest of the secondary field is enough to keep him in the mix for trifecta purposes.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

The first three races are on the house today, and they span three different condition levels — a Maiden Special Weight in Race 1, a Claiming sprint in Race 2, and an Allowance race in Race 3. That's actually a nice cross-section to work with. Our top picks in this stretch are Sweet Kylie (Race 1, 7/2 morning line, TrackWiz rating 86.35), C V Jersey Bee (Race 2, 8/5, rating 89.12), and Barometric (Race 3, 3/1, rating 87.08).

One angle worth noting across all three free races: with the track playing fast under these conditions, early pace control is going to be premium. Watch for horses that can secure a comfortable stalking or pressing position — especially in these six-furlong dashes where the first quarter sets the table for everything that follows. C V Jersey Bee's 89.12 rating makes that horse our highest-rated free-race selection of the day, and at 8/5, the crowd clearly agrees.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:11 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

This allowance sprint is headlined by a class standout in Barometric whose TrackWiz rating towers over the field, but the top three horses on the morning line each bring legitimate career win percentages that could make the pace scenario interesting.

win5BarometricML 3/1

Barometric (5) is the clear top pick here with a 87.08 TrackWiz rating — the highest in the field — and an average speed figure of 55 that ties for best on the board. Laureano Sosa rides for Timothy E. Hamm, a trainer who also saddles Bea Bold, showing confidence in the barn's depth. At 3/1 morning line, there's still some value for a horse whose rating towers over the competition in this allowance field.

place1Roses ThunderML 8/5

Roses Thunder (1) owns a remarkable 50% career win rate and the second-best average speed figure in the field at 55. The morning line favorite at 8/5 under Angel I. Diaz for trainer Nestor R. Rivera, she's clearly a live contender, but our analysis slots her place behind Barometric given the rating gap. Still, a 50% career win percentage is not something you fade completely — she's a must-use in exactas.

show6Old Man's DreamML 2/1

Old Man's Dream (6) also sports a 50% career win rate and checks in at 2/1 on the morning line, making this a race where three legitimate horses with strong win percentages are all vying for spots. Trainer Anthony Farrior also conditions Grey Bells in this same race, which shows stable depth. Old Man's Dream's 58.33 rating gives him a real edge over the rest of the secondary field for show purposes.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

1:39 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A tight three-way battle shapes up between Redden, Authentic Cowtown, and Prosecutor — the top three by rating are separated by only a few points, setting up a competitive claiming sprint where post position and pace scenario could be decisive.

win4ReddenML 7/2

Redden (4) earns the top TrackWiz rating at 86.35 despite carrying only a 12% career win rate, suggesting this horse has been competitive at tougher levels without always getting the job done. Victor R. Fernandez takes the mount for Robert C. Cline, a trainer who also has Nambiti entered here, indicating Cline is comfortable with this spot for Redden specifically. The average speed figure of 53 is in line with the field, and at 7/2 on the morning line, the rating and connections combine to make this the best-bet selection.

place6Authentic CowtownML 8/5

Authentic Cowtown (6) is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 with a 85.91 rating — virtually tied with Redden at the top — and a 20% career win rate that's stronger. Erik Barbaran rides for Marco Ibarra, and the morning line price suggests the market leans this way slightly. The near-identical ratings mean this is genuinely a coin-flip at the top, and using both on top in exactas is smart money.

show2ProsecutorML 3/1

Prosecutor (2) slots in nicely as the third wheel at 74.23 — a notable step below the top two but well clear of the rest. Ricardo Feliciano rides for Robert Guciardo, and a 19% career win rate shows this horse knows how to find the winner's circle. At 3/1 on the morning line, the show price will likely be thin, but he's a must-include in trifecta coverage.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

2:07 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Waves of Liberty looks like the class of this nine-horse claiming field, but depth in the middle of the pack — with several horses sitting in the 59-67 rating range — means the exacta could go in multiple directions behind the top pick.

win3Waves of LibertyML 5/2

Waves of Liberty (3) tops this field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the best in the race by more than 20 points over the second-ranked horse. Laureano Sosa is in the irons for Timothy E. Hamm, a trainer who clearly has this horse pointed in the right direction. A 22% career win rate and an average speed figure of 54 round out a profile that looks like the most complete package in this field at 5/2 on the morning line.

place1Lofty CowtownML 3/1

Lofty Cowtown (1) rates second in the field at 66.78 and brings an impressive 24% career win rate from the rail for trainer Justin Radosevich. Jose A. Bracho gets the mount, and with an average speed figure of 54, the raw numbers are competitive. Rail posts in sprint races can be tricky, but the rating and win percentage give Lofty Cowtown a genuine chance to fill the place slot.

show5Midnight GoddessML 6/1

Midnight Goddess (5) holds a 61.73 rating and a 25% career win rate — both solid numbers for a show contender in a nine-horse field. Yuri Yaranga rides for Hugo Andrade, and the 6/1 morning line means there's actual show value if she hits the board. With her average speed figure of 54 matching the win pick, she's clearly fast enough to stay competitive in this field.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 6

2:35 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Kingdom Trails owns the top rating in a claiming field that features a legitimate value play lurking at 8/1 — this race sets up as a potential score for trifecta players willing to use Miesha underneath.

win2Kingdom TrailsML 3/1

Kingdom Trails (2) leads the field with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating and brings a 25% career win rate to the table — both the top marks in this eight-horse claiming field. Jose A. Bracho takes the mount for trainer Nestor R. Rivera, a combination worth respecting, and an average speed figure of 53 keeps him competitive on pure speed. At 3/1 on the morning line, there's still reasonable value for the top-rated horse in the race.

place7MieshaML 8/1

Miesha (7) is the value angle here — an 8/1 morning line for a horse with a 73.82 TrackWiz rating that is genuinely third-best in the field. Luis Raul Rivera rides for Michael L. Rone, and while a 13% career win rate is modest, the rating puts Miesha well ahead of the lower half of this field. If you're playing exotics, using Miesha on top or underneath is a smart way to juice your returns.

show4She's CraftyML 7/2

She's Crafty (4) rates 70.03 — fourth-best in the field — and owns a 17% career win rate under Angel I. Diaz for trainer Robert Guciardo. At 7/2 on the morning line, the market already respects her as a contender, and her average speed figure of 53 is right in the mix. She's a reliable show option and a logical inclusion in trifecta tickets behind Kingdom Trails and Miesha.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 7

3:03 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The short sprint distance of 5½ furlongs puts a premium on early speed, and Bella Future's combination of top rating and strong speed figures makes her the one to beat — but McVicker at 10/1 is the most intriguing overlay in the entire card.

win4Bella FutureML 6/1

Bella Future (4) paces the field with an 82.71 TrackWiz rating and ties for the best average speed figure in the race at 55 — the latter being particularly important in a 5½-furlong sprint where early position matters. Jefferson Skerrett takes the call for trainer Gary L. Johnson, and while a 14% career win rate isn't eye-popping, the rating gap over most of this field is real. At 6/1 on the morning line, she's priced like a horse the market isn't fully sold on, which makes the TrackWiz number even more compelling.

place3McVickerML 10/1

McVicker (3) is quietly the second-best-rated horse in the field at 73.41 — a meaningful cushion over the third-ranked runner — and his average speed figure of 55 matches the top horses in the race. Santiago Gonzalez rides for trainer Charlie Livers, and a 23% career win rate suggests this horse competes consistently. At 10/1, McVicker looks like the most undervalued horse in this spot and is worth using aggressively in exotics.

show7Zippin GigiML 5/1

Zippin Gigi (7) rates 55.61 and brings a 20% career win rate for trainer Rey Juarez-Mendoza with Jose A. Bracho up. The average speed figure of 55 ties for the best in the field, which is a key data point in a short sprint — pure speed off the gate can translate directly to a board finish. At 5/1 on the morning line, she's a reasonable show option and a nice trifecta fill behind the top two picks.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 8

3:31 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

An eleven-horse maiden claiming field full of winless runners makes this the toughest race on the card to sort out, but Mister Bad Example's standout rating creates a clear top selection in what is otherwise a murky puzzle.

win3Mister Bad ExampleML 7/2

Mister Bad Example (3) tops this large maiden claiming field with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating — a significant advantage over the next-best runner at 59.80. Erik Barbaran gets the mount for trainer Marco Ibarra, and while no horse in this field has ever won, a rating this far ahead of the competition in a maiden claimer is the kind of edge worth backing. The average speed figure of 52 is middle-of-the-pack, but in maiden races, composite ratings that account for multiple factors tend to tell the truer story.

place1CantcatchlilfletchML 2/1

Cantcatchlilfletch (1) is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 and rates second in the field at 59.80 — a natural landing spot for the place bet behind the top pick. Jason Simpson rides for trainer Jeff Fletcher, and an average speed figure of 53 gives her the best raw speed number among the horses we're focused on here. The rail draw is a factor to watch in a field this large, but the market clearly expects her to be competitive.

show4Cool LuckyML 4/1

Cool Lucky (4) rates third in the field at 58.12 and draws post 4 for trainer Robert C. Cline — a barn that also conditions Quality Kiss in this same race, showing Cline has multiple shots. Joe Stokes is the jockey, and the 4/1 morning line suggests there's some public awareness of this horse's potential. In a wide-open maiden claimer, having a third-ranked horse at 4/1 in the show slot is exactly the kind of value that makes trifectas pay.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

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Bottom line: today's Mahoning Valley card is tight, fast, and fun. Our marquee free plays are Sweet Kylie, C V Jersey Bee, and Barometric in the early going. Subscribers get five more races of in-depth analysis, exotic ticket structures, and a longshot angle that could make the late Pick-4 very interesting. Good luck at the windows — let's have a big afternoon.

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