Lone Star Picks & Predictions — November 14, 2026

Tex Hex Bruja deserves serious respect as the place pick at 7/5 on the morning line. She ranks second in the field with a 71.54 rating, owns the second-fastest recent speed at 11.58 seconds per furlong, and has gone 1-for-3 at Lone Star — the only horse in this race with a win at this track. Jockey Eleazar Rivera Hernandez pulls an A- grade, which is among the best riding grades on the card today. If Electrik gets into trouble, she's the logical beneficiary.

El Terco Jess rounds out the ticket as the show pick at 5/1 and has earned it with the third-fastest recent speed at 11.78 seconds per furlong and an impressive 50% career in-the-money mark. His dirt record is legitimately solid — 1 win and 6 placings from 12 starts on the surface. At 5/1, he's a natural trifecta anchor, though his jockey Hernandez grades out at B- so the connections are a slight step down from the top two.

Fdd Relentless slots in second in the ratings at 69.51 and has the second-fastest recent speed figure at 12.16 seconds per furlong, which makes her a logical place contender. The concern is a troubling 250-yard record — she's placed in zero of three starts at that distance — and only 2 placings in 14 dirt starts, which is a thin overall record. At 5/1, she's worth including in exactas but the distance and surface concerns are real.

Bv Kiss My Flo earns the show spot with a 69.14 rating and a 40% career in-the-money rate — solid credentials in a field full of maiden unknowns. The skip on Lasix is worth noting since seven horses in this race are using it, which could be a mild disadvantage. Jockey Raul Padilla Hernandez Jr. gets a B grade. At 2/1 on the morning line, she might be overbet for the show slot, but her consistent in-the-money history justifies inclusion in trifectas.

Duke is the value angle here at 12/1 on the morning line — a rating of 73.96 that ranks second in the field and the second-fastest recent speed figure at 11.68 seconds per furlong. His 350-yard record is excellent with 2 wins and 3 placings from 4 starts at that distance. Jockey Victor Manuel Urieta Jr. has a 23% win rate and 50% in-the-money over the past year. That morning line of 12/1 looks significantly underpriced for a horse with these credentials — he won 13% of our simulations.

Chiliz Cartel rounds out the ticket with the fastest recent speed in the field at 11.60 seconds per furlong and 7 placings in 13 dirt starts, showing consistent competitiveness on this surface. His 53% in-the-money career rate is among the better marks in this race. At 9/2, he's a reasonable show play who could easily sneak into second if the top two hook up early.

Cr Dashin Follies is the speed horse to watch, posting the fastest recent figure in the field at 11.89 seconds per furlong and carrying a 71.64 TrackWiz rating. The claiming price drop from $20,000 down to $10,000 is a notable angle — connections are clearly trying to find a spot where this filly can compete, which sometimes indicates a fresh intent to win. At 2/1, she might be the public's choice, and the speed figures justify that confidence.

Scuba fills out the show position with a 67.61 rating, back-to-back placings, and a perfect 2-for-2 record at Lone Star — that local course knowledge matters in these maiden claimers. The concern is the short layoff: she's on only 22 days of rest but tends to perform better with 30 or more days between starts, and she's also skipping Lasix while seven rivals use it. At 7/2, the Lone Star record alone makes her worth a trifecta spot.

Wynnchester ranks second in the field at 77.47 and brings an impressive 870-yard pace figure of 11.65 seconds per furlong — third-fastest in the field. He's compiled 5 wins from 22 dirt starts with a 59% in-the-money mark, and the Delgado-Joiner combo has produced 19% wins and 48% in-the-money over the past year. At 5/2 on the morning line, he's a deserving place contender and a natural exacta partner with the top pick.

Chicks Cartell is the most intriguing show play on the board at 6/1 — a 77.02 rating, the second-fastest recent speed at 11.65 seconds per furlong tied with Wynnchester, and a career win percentage of 40% that leads this field. The dirt record is outstanding with 4 wins and 8 placings from 10 starts. Jockey Francisco Calderon grades A and brings a 22% win rate and 51% in-the-money over the past year. The 6/1 price on a horse with these credentials is where you find trifecta value.

Unblemished V brings strong credentials as the place pick — a 78.54 rating, second-fastest recent speed at 11.81 seconds per furlong, a 40% career win rate, and 60% in-the-money. Jockey Francisco Calderon grades A and the jockey-horse combo specifically shows 22% wins and 51% in-the-money, suggesting they have a good working relationship. The one concern is the Lasix absence while seven rivals use it, which is worth factoring in. At 2/1, she's likely to be well-backed by the public.

Fdd Melania enters off back-to-back wins — she won last time out on October 3rd and has won at today's surface and distance combination — which is a potent angle. She also owns the fastest recent speed in the field at 11.73 seconds per furlong, ranking her first in that category. The concern is a thin dirt record (1 placing in 4 starts) and a limited sprint record (1 of 4). At 6/1, she's the right price for a horse with form concerns but top-line speed figures.

Full Throttle N 25 ranks second in the field at 76.57 and has been rock-solid lately — placing in 4 of her last 6 starts with the third-fastest recent speed at 11.46 seconds per furlong. The dirt record shows 2 wins and 5 placings from 9 starts, which is genuine consistency. At 3/1, she projects as the horse most likely to run Revolutionary V down if the top pick shows any vulnerability.

Liberater fills the show spot with a 70.62 rating and an outstanding 350-yard record — 2 wins and 5 placings from 7 starts at today's distance. The second-fastest recent speed at 11.45 seconds per furlong is legitimate, and TrackWiz flagged her as having more than one win at today's surface and distance. The concern is age — she's 1.2 years older than the field average. At 5/2 on the morning line, she might be the public's second choice and is worth including in trifectas.

D Inseperable D checks in second at 83.93 and owns the second-fastest recent speed at 11.38 seconds per furlong — essentially on Rizzler's heels. He's placed in his last two starts and shows 1 win and 3 placings from 5 dirt starts, a 60% in-the-money rate. The concern is jockey Ricky Ramirez, who grades out at C, which is the weakest connection among the top picks. At 7/2, there's value in the place slot if Rizzler runs his race.

The Hottest Chilitos is the show pick with an 83.21 rating and the third-fastest recent speed at 11.47 seconds per furlong. The 85% in-the-money career rate is the standout stat — placing in 5 of his last 6 and 5 of 7 dirt starts shows elite consistency. He won 20% of our simulations, which is remarkably close to the top two. His jockey Francisco Giles grades C, which is the concern. At 3/1, he could easily run second.

Lil Kool Marge is a legitimate threat to knock off the favorite — a 79.95 rating ranked second in the field, the second-fastest recent speed at 11.26 seconds per furlong, and 7 wins from 17 dirt starts with 10 total placings. She's placed in her last three starts, showing she's fit and ready. Trainer Esteban Rubio earns an A- grade. At 2/1, she's the most logical beneficiary if the favorite's layoff concern materializes.

Celebratingtheeagle earns the show spot with a 79.26 rating ranked third, the third-fastest recent speed at 11.42 seconds per furlong, and 6 wins from 22 dirt starts with 16 total placings — a 68% in-the-money rate. She's placed in her last two starts, suggesting she's coming into form at the right time. At 5/1 on the morning line, she provides trifecta value in a race where the top two are likely to be heavily bet.

Cartel Fly By is the most dangerous rival in the field, with an 81.50 rating and a 33% career win rate backed by solid dirt form — 1 win and 2 placings from 3 starts on the surface. She's placed in 2 of her last 3 and shows a 2-of-3 sprint record as well. At 2/1, she's likely to be the public's choice and the exacta of Nme Relentlessly over Cartel Fly By is the core play in this race.

Pancho Bigotes checks in third in the picks at 5/2 with a 74.51 rating and the third-fastest recent speed at 12.05 seconds per furlong. The 40% career in-the-money rate and trainer Marc Jungers' B- grade offer modest optimism. At 5/2, he's priced close to Cartel Fly By, so his value is best captured in trifecta combinations rather than a straight show bet — he rounds out the ticket nicely for the closing race of the card.