Lone Star Picks & Predictions — November 13, 2026

Rr Dash Master Jet (9) is the clear second choice with an 80.68 rating and the second-best recent speed figure at 12.37 sec/furlong. She's placed in 1 of 4 sprint starts and 1 of 4 dirt races, which isn't glamorous, but the speed figure in a maiden field like this is a real edge. The 20.45% sim win share puts her squarely in the exotics at a 3/1 morning line that represents fair value.

Golden Beach Cartel (7) is the morning line favorite at 2/1 and shows a 20% in-the-money rate, but her recent speed figure ranks 11th in the field — a significant red flag in a pure speed event. She's worth including in show exotics given her program odds, but our ratings (56.20, ranked 3rd) and that speed figure concern suggest she may be overbet. Use her underneath with caution.

Midnight D (5) is a logical underneath horse at 9/2 with a 78.19 rating and an outstanding 66% in-the-money mark — the best in the field. She's placed in 4 of her last 6 races and owns 1 win in 9 dirt and sprint starts apiece. The one concern is a layoff situation where she's coming back on only 20 days of rest when she tends to perform better with 30 or more days off, so price her accordingly.

What the Fog (2) brings a 72.93 rating and the second-fastest recent speed figure at 11.57 sec/furlong, plus back-to-back placings and 4 in-the-money finishes in her last 6 starts. The concern is an 0-for-5 record at 350 yards specifically, which stands out for a race at today's exact distance. Still, the recent form and speed profile make her hard to leave off the ticket at 7/2.

Hawkeye Princess (2) is the place pick at 3/1 with an 80.08 rating and the top jockey angle on the ticket — Victor Manuel Urieta Jr.'s 23% win rate and 50% in-the-money rate over the past year are elite numbers for this circuit. The concern is a 10th-ranked speed figure and just 1 placing in 4 sprint starts, so she's more of an in-the-money type than a win threat today. At 3/1 on the board, the place price should still offer value.

Underated (12) is an interesting show play at 10/1 with the fastest recent speed figure in the field at 12.04 sec/furlong and a claiming price drop from $12,500 to $10,000 bringing her into softer company. The jockey Larry Marquez is a concern with only a 6% win rate over the past year, and her sprint record (5 of 23) is thin. But that top speed figure in a wide-open field makes her a legitimate longshot to sneak onto the board.

A Runway (4) is a compelling place pick at 8/1 with a 65.72 rating, back-to-back placings, and 3 wins in 29 dirt starts. The 51% in-the-money rate and trainer Adan Guzman's A grade signal a well-managed horse. The age flag (7 years old) is the main concern, but the recent form is active and positive, and the morning line of 8/1 makes this an excellent value underneath in exactas.

Pick N Roll (1) posted the fastest recent speed figure in the field at 11.70 sec/furlong and won last time out on September 26th — that's fresh winning form. The 42% in-the-money rate and trainer Arnold Herrera's A grade are both encouraging. The notable concern is that Pick N Roll is skipping Lasix while 10 rivals are using it, which can be a disadvantage over distance. Still, at 5/1 morning line, the recent form and top speed figure keep this one in the show conversation.

Relentless Midnite (5) owns the top speed figure in this race at 11.87 sec/furlong and shows a 15.08% sim win share — not far behind the favorite. The jockey-trainer combo of Vivanco and Jungers has an 18% win rate and 50% in-the-money rate together over the past year, a strong pairing. The concern is a thin record (1 placing in 7 sprint starts and just 1 in her last 6 overall), but at 8/1 on the morning line, the speed figure and connections make her a terrific place value.

Lonely Macho (3) comes in at 12/1 morning line with a 56.89 rating and a 25% in-the-money rate. The concern is a 1-of-4 record on dirt and at sprint distances — not inspiring. What keeps this horse in the show conversation is the rating advantage over much of the field and trainer Alex Villarreal's horses tend to be live at this level. In a maiden claimer this competitive, mixing in a 12/1 shot in your show exotics is a reasonable risk-reward play.

Fast Eagle Celebrity (7) is the hidden gem in this race at 15/1 morning line. The horse has the fastest recent speed figure in the field at 11.43 sec/furlong, owns 2 wins in 6 dirt starts, and has placed in both of its last 2 starts. A 33% career win rate and an outstanding 83% in-the-money mark suggest this horse routinely hits the board even when not winning. At 15/1, the place price on a horse this sharp in-the-money is a genuine overlay.

Fabulous Dashtiny (3) brings a 62.79 rating and the third-best recent speed figure at 11.52 sec/furlong. The 400-yard record is solid — 1 win and 2 placings in 3 starts at that distance. The concerns are a Lasix disadvantage (8 rivals using it, this one isn't) and an age flag versus the field average. But a 38% career in-the-money rate and sharp distance form at today's exact trip make this a reasonable show inclusion at 8/1.

The Walkway (5) owns the fastest recent speed figure in the race at 12.15 sec/furlong and is the 2/1 morning line favorite — the public agrees this horse is live. The 18.4% sim win share puts her second in our model. The red flag is consecutive off-the-board finishes and an 0-for-2 record at Lone Star. Speed figures are the dominant angle in a 300-yard dash though, and that top figure keeps The Walkway firmly on the ticket.

Cold Shoulder (2) is rated 56.67 and carries the second-best recent speed figure in the field at 12.20 sec/furlong, placing her speed profile right in the mix. The 3/1 morning line makes her a logical show play, and our sims gave her a 15.4% win share — third in the field. The concern is a last-out off-the-board finish, but in a wide-open maiden sprint, that one blemish doesn't disqualify a horse with legitimate speed metrics.