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Lethbridge RMTC Picks & Predictions — September 27, 2026

September 27, 20269 racesAll Lethbridge RMTC picks

Welcome to Lethbridge RMTC for a loaded Sunday card — nine races, six of them Stakes, all on the dirt. Skies are cloudy and temperatures are sitting at a cool 56°F, the kind of crisp fall afternoon that tends to keep the track playing honest and speed figures holding up well through the late races.

This is a card built for serious handicappers. You've got Sprint Stakes stacked back-to-back in the middle of the card, a classic 7-furlong test in Race 8, and Race 9 stretching things out to 1 1/16 miles for what figures to be the day's marquee event. From the opening bell through the final turn, there's real money to be made — and a few spots where the morning line looks ripe to exploit.

TrackWiz has full analysis on all nine races. Races 1, 2, and 3 are free for every reader. Races 4 through 9 are available to TrackWiz subscribers — and trust us, you're going to want those deeper dives today.

Best Bets

Race 1

6:15 PM EDT

Stakes · 5 fur · Dirt

A tight five-horse stakes sprint at 5 furlongs where the TrackWiz ratings are clustered at the top — just 1.17 points separating the top three — making this one of the most competitive races on the card.

win2Great Romie RuthML 9/5

Great Romie Ruth holds the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 58.67, a narrow but meaningful edge over the rest of this bunched group. Trainer Colten Mead doubles up in this race with Time to See, which tells you he's confident in his barn's form right now — and Great Romie Ruth looks like the stable's primary bullet. Jockey Garfield Gordon gets the call, and at 9/5 on the morning line, the market agrees this one has a strong shot to lead the way home.

place1West Side LilyML 2/1

West Side Lily draws the rail for Larris Allen and sits just a whisker behind the top rating at 58.33, making her a legitimate threat to hit the board. At 2/1, she's reasonably priced for a horse this close to the top of the TrackWiz rankings, and she makes plenty of sense underneath in exactas and trifectas. If Great Romie Ruth gets into any pace trouble early, West Side Lily is right there to capitalize.

show5This Is FaizelML 5/2

This Is Faizel is the one that makes the most intriguing case on paper — a perfect 100% career win rate is a number you simply can't ignore, even in a stakes field. Trainer Roy Romanow also runs Cleanestdirtyshirt in this spot, so the barn has representation throughout, but This Is Faizel at 5/2 is clearly the stable's top hope. A rating of 57.5 puts this one solidly in the mix, and at that price you're getting a horse whose record says it doesn't lose.

Race 2

6:40 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Dot and Dash towers over this 5.5-furlong claiming field with a TrackWiz rating more than 23 points clear of the second-best horse — this looks like a class standout playing at a level below its ceiling.

win4Dot and DashML 2/1

Dot and Dash carries an 88.54 TrackWiz rating that is simply in a different zip code from the rest of this claiming field — the next closest horse, Thirsty Baby, comes in at 65.61. A career win rate of 21% combined with that dominant rating makes trainer Garry Marks's runner the clear top choice, and jockey Trevor Simpson has the horsepower to control this race from any position. At 2/1 on the morning line, the value isn't eye-popping, but this is the kind of figure advantage that makes a horse hard to fade.

place5Thirsty BabyML 5/1

Thirsty Baby checks in with a 65.61 rating and an average speed figure of 54 under trainer Laura E. Conway, who also runs Enano Caro in this spot — the stable clearly likes this race. Orlando Foster takes the mount, and at 5/1 on the morning line, there's real place value here if Dot and Dash handles the chalk duties. A 10% career win rate understates the case for hitting the board in a field this deep.

show6PoncholightsoutML 5/2

Poncholightsout matches Dot and Dash's career win percentage at 21%, which is the best mark in the field alongside the top pick and speaks to a horse that competes consistently. Trainer Chandra Clarke sends this one out at 5/2, which projects as the second choice, and Blandford Stewart gets the call. The rating of 65.08 is right in line with Thirsty Baby, making the two logical trifecta partners behind Dot and Dash.

Race 3

7:05 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

Valhalla Viking crashes this allowance field with a monster 87.08 TrackWiz rating as a 3/1 morning line shot — the numbers say the favorite tag should belong elsewhere, and sharp money may agree.

win1Valhalla VikingML 3/1

Valhalla Viking owns the top rating in this six-furlong allowance at 87.08, a significant 14-point margin over Caviar Cowboy, which is the morning line favorite. Trainer Chandra Clarke sends Andre Powell out on this one, and the disconnect between the 3/1 morning line and the top rating is the kind of overlay that TrackWiz analysis is built to find. At that price, Valhalla Viking represents the best combination of rating strength and value in this race.

place4Caviar CowboyML 8/5

Caviar Cowboy is the public's choice at 8/5 and there's reason for that — a 25% career win rate is the best in the field, and an average speed figure of 55 from trainer Roy Romanow's barn gives this horse a tangible edge in the pace department. Jose O. Rocha picks up the mount, and while the TrackWiz rating of 73.05 trails Valhalla Viking by a significant margin, the market confidence and win percentage keep this horse firmly in the place conversation.

show6BrinsonML 2/1

Brinson brings an average speed figure of 53 to the table — one of only two horses in this field with a recorded avg speed — and trainer Patricia Pigeau's runner draws in at a 2/1 morning line that suggests the connections expect a competitive effort. Ryan Nelson gets the call, and a rating of 55.33 puts this one solidly in the mix for exotics. In a race where the top two ratings are well clear of the pack, Brinson looks like the most logical third wheel in trifectas.

Our three free races today give you a solid cross-section of the card and a genuine reason to get invested early. Race 1 is a Stakes sprint at 5 furlongs where Great Romie Ruth opens at 9/5 on the morning line — not a lock, but our analysis finds real underlying value in that number. Race 2 shifts to Claiming company at 5 1/2 furlongs, and Dot and Dash carries our highest rating of the free trio at 88.54 — a number that suggests this one could wire the field if the pace sets up right. Round out the free slate with Race 3, an Allowance at 6 furlongs where Valhalla Viking comes in at 3/1 on the morning line with an 87.08 rating and a pace scenario we like a lot on this surface.

Across all three free races, keep an eye on how early speed is holding up. On a cool, cloudy day like today, dirt tracks at Lethbridge can favor horses that get out cleanly and don't face a lot of pressure. That's a thread that runs through each of our free picks, and it's worth tracking as the card develops.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

7:30 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

A tight four-horse stakes battle at 6 furlongs where the morning line favorite isn't the top-rated horse — Candy May at 4/1 leads the TrackWiz rankings by nearly 8 points, setting up a potential value play against the chalk.

win1Candy MayML 4/1

Candy May tops the TrackWiz ratings in this stakes at 85.62 despite being priced at 4/1 on the morning line — a meaningful overlay against a morning line favorite in Standard Pressure. Trainer Travis Robson's runner carries a 20% career win rate and Blandford Stewart handles the riding duties, giving this horse a legitimate shot to outrun the odds. When the top-rated horse is also among the longer prices in the field, that's a scenario TrackWiz analysis flags as a prime win opportunity.

place4McKenna MoonML 3/1

McKenna Moon sits at 77.3 on the TrackWiz scale and carries a 3/1 morning line, making this one a solid place play in a field where the ratings are reasonably spread. Trainer Jocelyn L. Giesbrecht sends Orlando Foster out on this one, and a 17% career win rate reflects a horse that competes reliably without quite getting to the winner's circle at a high clip. In exotics, McKenna Moon offers a strong middle layer beneath Candy May.

show3Standard PressureML 2/1

Standard Pressure is the 2/1 morning line favorite and carries a 30% career win rate, which is the best in this field — so why is it our show pick rather than the win selection? The TrackWiz rating of 74.85 simply trails Candy May by enough to warrant dropping this one down a slot. Andre Powell rides for trainer Bill C. Schmitt, and the win percentage means Standard Pressure absolutely belongs in your exotics — just below the top two in our ratings.

Race 5

7:55 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

Zipliner rolls in as the 6/5 morning line chalk and backs it up with the field's top TrackWiz rating — but Spirit of Charlie at 9/5 keeps this stakes honest, setting up a likely two-horse battle at the top.

win3ZiplinerML 6/5

Zipliner carries a 89.71 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this five-horse stakes field — and the 6/5 morning line reflects that the market sees this one the same way our numbers do. Trainer Colten Mead has had a busy card today, but Orlando Foster aboard Zipliner suggests this is the barn's primary focus in this spot. A 16% career win rate may not leap off the page, but the rating dominance here is the story — this horse looks like the class of the field.

place2Spirit of CharlieML 9/5

Spirit of Charlie checks in at 79.28 on the TrackWiz scale, nearly 10 points behind Zipliner but well clear of the rest of the field — making this a logical second choice both on the board and in our analysis. Andre Powell gets the mount for trainer Chandra Clarke, and at 9/5 this horse is right in the mix to land on top if Zipliner encounters any trouble. The gap between these two and the rest of the field suggests your best exotic play is keying 3 and 2 in exactas.

show4Judges EmpireML 8/1

Judges Empire sits at 61.91 — a significant drop from the top two but still comfortably ahead of the remaining runners — and at 8/1 on the morning line, there's genuine longshot appeal if the top two set a fast pace and leave the door open. Gilberto Santos takes the ride for trainer Krista A. Shearer, and this horse provides a cost-effective third option in trifecta tickets. Don't ignore the value angle here if you're constructing multi-race exotic plays.

Race 6

8:20 PM EDT

Stakes · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Tu Cha at 3/5 dominates this stakes field — a 90.0 TrackWiz rating and a 38% career win rate make this one of the most formidable favorites on the entire card, and the question really is who finishes second.

win2Tu ChaML 3/5

Tu Cha is as clean a top pick as you'll find anywhere on this card — a 90.0 TrackWiz rating paired with a 38% career win rate puts this one in rarified air. Trainer Colten Mead runs a four-horse stable in this race, and Trevor Simpson on Tu Cha signals that this is the barn's main weapon. The 3/5 morning line won't make you rich in win pools, but Tu Cha is exactly the kind of horse you anchor your exotics to and look for value in the underneath slots.

place1Hidden TigerML 3/1

Hidden Tiger brings an 84.25 TrackWiz rating to the table — the second-best in the field by a comfortable margin — and at 3/1 on the morning line, there's solid place value here behind the chalk. Orlando Foster gets the call for trainer Colten Mead, and a career win rate of 18% shows this horse has made it to the winner's circle before at a respectable clip. If Tu Cha controls the pace up front, Hidden Tiger looks well-positioned to follow home for the place.

show4B C Chu ChuML 7/1

B C Chu Chu is the 7/1 shot here and brings a 57.74 TrackWiz rating that puts this one well behind the top two — but in a race dominated by a heavy favorite, third-place finishers can come from anywhere in the pack. Garfield Gordon rides for trainer Colten Mead, making this a barn that controls four of the five spots in this race. Including B C Chu Chu in trifectas at a generous price makes sense as the logical show contender for the stable's secondary runners.

Race 7

8:45 PM EDT

Stakes · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Three horses within three points of each other at the top of the TrackWiz rankings — Momo's Kiddo, Poco Yo, and Crown Ruler are all legitimate contenders in this loaded stakes sprint, making the exacta and trifecta the smart plays.

win3Momo's KiddoML 6/5

Momo's Kiddo tops the field at 89.71 on the TrackWiz scale and backs it up with a 26% career win rate — strong numbers in any context. Trainer Lyle W. Magnuson puts Larris Allen up, a jockey who knows this circuit well, and the 6/5 morning line reflects genuine confidence from the morning line makers. In a race this competitive at the top, having the highest rating is a meaningful edge.

place6Poco YoML 9/5

Poco Yo is quietly one of the most impressive horses on the entire card — a 50% career win rate is staggering, and a 87.4 TrackWiz rating puts this one just 0.31 points behind Momo's Kiddo at the top of the rankings. Orlando Foster takes the mount for trainer Laurie Ferguson, and the 9/5 morning line makes this horse just as live a win contender as our top pick. The place slot here may be underselling Poco Yo — this one has a real shot at the top.

show5Crown RulerML 5/2

Crown Ruler rounds out what is an elite top three in this race — an 86.86 TrackWiz rating and an eye-catching 42% career win rate give Trevor Simpson plenty to work with for trainer Garry Marks. At 5/2, this horse offers the best value among the three top-rated runners, and a career win percentage that high in a stakes field demands respect. Crown Ruler is the trifecta key that pays, and including it on the top of exacta tickets is far from a stretch.

Race 8

9:10 PM EDT

Stakes · 7 fur · Dirt

Rose of Jericho stands alone at the top of this wide-open eight-horse stakes at 7 furlongs — the extra distance adds a wrinkle to the pace scenario, but the rating gap between the top pick and the field is the clearest signal in this race.

win7Rose of JerichoML 3/1

Rose of Jericho carries the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 87.08, a meaningful advantage over the next tier of contenders led by Jacrodra's Devil at 75.1. Trainer Colten Mead sends Orlando Foster out on this one, a combination that has been active throughout tonight's card, and a 23% career win rate shows this horse has been getting the job done consistently. At 3/1 on the morning line, there's genuine value attached to the top-rated horse — this is a best bet candidate.

place4Jacrodra's DevilML 9/5

Jacrodra's Devil checks in at 75.1 on the TrackWiz scale with a solid 25% career win rate — one of the stronger marks in this field — and Larris Allen takes the mount for trainer Lyle W. Magnuson. At 9/5 on the morning line, the market sees this one as the race's chalk, which creates a slight disconnect with our rating model that has Rose of Jericho clearly on top. That makes Jacrodra's Devil the logical second ticket in exactas, with good place value at the expected odds.

show5Thunder KinML 5/2

Thunder Kin brings a 73.7 TrackWiz rating and an impressive 31% career win rate — the highest winning percentage among the horses in our top tier — and trainer Chandra Clarke's runner gets Andre Powell aboard for the seven-furlong test. At 5/2 on the morning line, the price is reasonable, and a horse winning nearly a third of its starts has to be in any trifecta combination you're constructing. This one rounds out our top three comfortably.

Race 9

9:35 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

Far Western at 4/5 is the most dominant favorite on the card — a perfect 90.0 TrackWiz rating and a 36% career win rate in a 1 1/16-mile stakes suggest this is a potential walkover, so the real handicapping challenge is sorting out the exacta underneath.

win6Far WesternML 4/5

Far Western is about as close to a lock as you'll find in horse racing — a 90.0 TrackWiz rating and a 36% career win rate in an eight-horse field is commanding. Trainer Lyle W. Magnuson puts Larris Allen up on this one, and the 4/5 morning line reflects what the numbers say loud and clear. Yes, the win pool payout will be minimal, but Far Western anchors every exotic ticket tonight and you should not leave home without this one in your combinations.

place8Saburo's GraceML 3/1

Saburo's Grace is a fascinating place play — a 38% career win rate is the highest in the entire field, including the favorite, which tells you this horse competes consistently at a very high level. Trainer Lyle W. Magnuson doubles up here with Far Western, and Garfield Gordon gets the call on this one. At 3/1 on the morning line, Saburo's Grace offers legitimate value in the place pool for a horse that clearly knows how to finish.

show7Eddie CrosswireML 2/1

Eddie Crosswire brings a 70.53 TrackWiz rating and a 17% career win rate to a race where the top two are well clear of the field — and at 2/1 on the morning line, Trevor Simpson's mount for trainer Travis Robson makes a compelling third wheel. The rating puts this one ahead of the remaining five horses in the field by a comfortable margin, and in a one-turn route at 1 1/16 miles, pace and stamina become factors that could help a horse like Eddie Crosswire run into the exacta photo.

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Bottom line: Lethbridge is serving up a legitimate Stakes-heavy card on a cool fall afternoon, and TrackWiz has you covered from Race 1 to Race 9. Free readers, start with Great Romie Ruth, Dot and Dash, and Valhalla Viking. Premium subscribers, your full analysis — including Tu Cha, Far Western, and every exotic angle in between — is ready and waiting. Good luck out there, and let's cash some tickets.

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