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Lethbridge RMTC Picks & Predictions — September 26, 2026

September 26, 20267 racesAll Lethbridge RMTC picks

Clear skies and a crisp 57°F greet us at Lethbridge RMTC this Saturday, and conditions look about as honest as it gets for a dirt track — no moisture excuses, no weather wildcards. What you see is what you get, and today's card gives us seven races to work through across a clean, fast surface.

The card is a nice mix of Claiming and Allowance company, bookended by a pair of 5½-furlong sprints to open and capped by the most ambitious test of the day — a route at 1 1/16 miles in Race 7. There's also a lightning-quick 3-furlong dash in Race 6, which always has a way of throwing the form book out the window.

Three races are fully open to all TrackWiz readers today, so there's plenty to dig into before you decide whether to unlock the full-card premium breakdown. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

6:15 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A claiming opener at 5½ furlongs where the TrackWiz ratings tell a clear story — Orth carries the top number by a wide margin, but Conrado's morning-line favoritism sets up an interesting betting angle for the field.

win4OrthML 9/5

Orth (No. 4) posts the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 88.83, a meaningful gap over every rival in here. Trainer Colten Mead sends him out with jockey Orlando Foster in the irons, a pairing worth watching at this meet. The 9/5 morning line reflects the public's respect, but that rating edge gives us confidence this is the right side. At 5½ furlongs on the dirt, a horse who grades out this cleanly doesn't need much to win.

place3ThisismystoryML 5/2

Thisismystory (No. 3) rates second-best in the field at 78.99 and comes in at a juicy 5/2 on the morning line. Trainer Cindy M. Cummins has her in a spot where she can settle off any pace and pick off tiring rivals late. With an 18% career win rate, she's competitive enough to land in the exacta frame consistently, making her a natural place anchor.

show1Cats TouchML 6/1

Cats Touch (No. 1) is the third-rated horse in the field at 67.71 and offers 6/1 morning-line value that could make for a generous show price. Jockey Andre Powell gets the rail post, which can be a clean trip setup at this distance. With a 17% career win rate, she's no slouch — include her in your trifecta and exacta exotics as a live underneath runner.

Race 2

6:40 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Stratogale looks like the class of this claiming field, but Countess Cat lurking at 4/1 and Silver Sign at 5/2 create a competitive undercard with real exotic potential.

win5StratogaleML 8/5

Stratogale (No. 5) owns the top TrackWiz rating in this seven-horse field at 89.12 — and it's not particularly close. Trainer Colten Mead and jockey Orlando Foster team up again, a combo that already appears in Race 1 today, suggesting Mead has a live string going. A 22% career win rate is strong for a claimer, and at 8/5 on the morning line, the public agrees this is the one to beat.

place1Countess CatML 4/1

Countess Cat (No. 1) rates a solid 78.78 — second-best in the field — and carries a 26% career win rate that speaks to a horse who gets the job done regularly. Trainer Chandra Clarke and jockey Andre Powell are a recognizable local combination, and the 4/1 morning line could look generous if she runs to her rating. She profiles as a natural exacta play underneath Stratogale.

show4Silver SignML 5/2

Silver Sign (No. 4) rates 58.65 and lands at 5/2 on the morning line — a price that may attract public money, but her show chances look solid in a field where the top two horses are clearly separated from the rest. Trainer Justin P. Weaselhead saddles two horses today, which is worth tracking. At 12% career wins, she's capable of sneaking into the trifecta frame.

Race 3

7:05 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

An allowance at six furlongs where the morning-line favorite Betty Lute is contradicted by the TrackWiz ratings — Bizzy Lizzy and Kallie Chick grade out well above her, setting up a potential public overlay on the top choices.

win4Bizzy LizzyML 9/5

Bizzy Lizzy (No. 4) posts a 83.97 TrackWiz rating despite going off at 9/5 on the morning line — that's an unusually strong number for a horse at this price in an allowance field. Trainer Jaqueline Smith puts her with Garfield Gordon, a jockey who gets multiple calls today. At 16% career wins and a rating well clear of the public's 6/5 favorite, our analysis flags her as the most qualified horse in this spot.

place1Kallie ChickML 8/1

Kallie Chick (No. 1) is an outstanding value angle at 8/1 on the morning line given her 79.79 TrackWiz rating — that's the second-highest figure in the field and she's being sent off at nearly the same odds as the longshots. Trainer Lyle W. Magnuson enters her with Andre Powell up, a trainer who also runs two horses today. A 14% career win rate in allowance company is respectable, and at these odds, she's the prime upset special.

show6Call DarlaML 6/1

Call Darla (No. 6) carries an average speed figure of 52 and rates 63.25 — third in the field — at a workable 6/1. Trainer Darcy W. Smith places her with Dwight Anthony Lewis, and with a 10% career win rate in what figures to be a forward-pace scenario at six furlongs, she could be picking up pieces late. Include her in your trifectas as a live show contender.

Our three free previews cover the early part of the card — Races 1 through 3 — and there's a legitimate thread running through them. On a dry, fast surface like we're expecting today, front-runners and pace-pressers tend to own Lethbridge's relatively short stretches, so horses with early speed should be on your radar in those opening sprints. Orth (Race 1, morning line 9/5, TrackWiz rating 88.83) and Stratogale (Race 2, ML 8/5, rating 89.12) both profile as the types who want to be near the front end of things, and on a clear-track day with no rail bias concerns, that's exactly where you want to be. Bizzy Lizzy rounds out the free trio in the Race 3 Allowance at 6 furlongs — a slight step up in distance from the openers but still a sprint, and her 83.97 rating makes her a legitimate top pick, even if this is the most competitive of the three free looks.

No single angle dominates all three races, but the common denominator is simple: clean trips and clear ground matter a lot on a compact track like Lethbridge. Horses that can establish position early without burning up their engines should have the edge today.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

7:30 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

This allowance at six furlongs features a fascinating split between the morning-line favorites and the TrackWiz ratings — Jess in Time is the 2/1 public choice but Lovely John grades out as the clear top horse, creating a potential overlay situation.

win4Lovely JohnML 3/1

Lovely John (No. 4) tops this allowance field with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating and goes off at a generous 3/1 morning line despite being our top-rated contender. Trainer Travis Robson saddles two horses today (Nos. 3 and 4), which typically signals confidence, and Blandford Stewart gets the call — a jockey appearing on multiple tickets today. At 9% career wins the raw number looks modest, but allowance horses often win less frequently than their talent suggests due to tougher competition.

place6The Truth ProjectML 6/1

The Truth Project (No. 6) rates 66.43 and offers real value at 6/1 on the morning line. Trainer Darrell Sanderson sends him out with O'Shane Nugent, and at 11% career wins, he's capable of running a solid placing race. His rating sits comfortably in the middle tier of this field, but at that price he's a smart play underneath Lovely John in the exacta.

show3Timmy DancerML 7/2

Timmy Dancer (No. 3) rates 66.25 — essentially a dead heat with The Truth Project in our model — and comes in at 7/2. Trainer Travis Robson runs him alongside stablemate Lovely John today, which is an interesting pattern to note. He shares the same barn momentum and could easily hit the board in a race where the top horse dominates but the show spot is up for grabs.

Race 5

7:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A five-horse claiming sprint where the TrackWiz ratings and the morning lines are telling two different stories — Deficit Maja rates highest but goes off at 7/5, while the public's 4/5 favorite Loud Fusaichi grades out well below her.

win2Deficit MajaML 7/5

Deficit Maja (No. 2) carries the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 89.42 — the highest number we'll see all day at this meet — and the 7/5 morning line is a fair price for a horse with this kind of edge. Trainer Chandra Clarke has her with Andre Powell, a jockey who appears on several mounts today. A 17% career win rate in claiming company is competitive, and with that rating advantage, she should be controlling this race from the front or pressing the pace.

place4Loud FusaichiML 4/5

Loud Fusaichi (No. 4) is the 4/5 morning-line chalk, but our model rates him third in the field at 73.45 — behind both Deficit Maja and Different Drum. That said, a 27% career win rate is the highest in this field and hard to ignore. He'll likely go to the front and could hold on for a placing, making him a viable second in your exacta construction.

show3Different DrumML 2/1

Different Drum (No. 3) rates 56.47 and posts a 16% career win rate at 2/1 on the morning line — a price that suggests the public sees her as a genuine contender. Trainer Travis Robson, who is active today across multiple races, sends her out with Blandford Stewart. If the two shorter-priced horses duel each other into submission, Different Drum is positioned to pick up the show check.

Race 6

8:20 PM EDT

Allowance · 3 fur · Dirt

A short, sharp three-furlong allowance sprint where gate speed is everything — Jersey Shadow's top rating and Tiz Funny's solid figure make this a two-horse battle for supremacy, with Ramblin Riggs lurking as a sneaky third option.

win5Jersey ShadowML 2/1

Jersey Shadow (No. 5) tops this six-horse allowance field with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating and a 24% career win rate — strong numbers for any horse at this level. Trainer Kevin Oberholtzer puts him with Blandford Stewart, who is having a busy day in the irons at Lethbridge. At 2/1 on the morning line, the value isn't enormous, but in a three-furlong dash where early position is everything, the top-rated horse is exactly who you want.

place6Tiz FunnyML 8/5

Tiz Funny (No. 6) rates 75.77 and carries a 26% career win rate — two numbers that speak to a horse who runs well and wins often. Trainer John P. Brown sends her in with Gilberto Santos at 8/5 on the morning line, making her the shortest-priced horse in the field. Our model has her second, and at that price she's likely to deliver a placing even if Jersey Shadow is too good on the day.

show3Ramblin RiggsML 3/1

Ramblin Riggs (No. 3) comes in at 3/1 with a 69.78 rating and an impressive 25% career win rate — he wins nearly one in four starts, which stands out. Trainer Laura E. Conway puts Anthony J. Allen up, and in a compact three-furlong sprint, gate position and a fast break can overcome a rating deficit. At 3/1, he's a legitimate show play and an interesting underneath piece in exotics.

Race 7

8:45 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

The finale is a Starter Optional Claiming event going a route of ground at 1 1/16 miles — the longest test on the card — and Bernalinho's top rating collides with Dear Santa's strong career win percentage in what shapes up as a two-horse main event.

win6BernalinhoML 8/5

Bernalinho (No. 6) matches Stratogale's field-best rating of 89.12 from Race 2 and brings a 25% career win rate into this route. Trainer Jaqueline Smith, who is active across today's card, gives the call to Andre Powell — a jockey who has been busy all day. At 8/5 on the morning line, the public isn't getting much value, but at 1 1/16 miles, a horse who rates this cleanly in a Starter Optional Claiming spot is usually hard to beat.

place3Dear SantaML 6/5

Dear Santa (No. 3) rates a strong 78.46 and brings an outstanding 26% career win rate to the table — the highest in this field. Trainer Chandra Clarke is one of the more active conditioners on today's card, and she backs Dear Santa with an average speed figure of 55, which is the joint-best figure among horses with times recorded in this race. At 6/5 on the morning line, she might actually be the most logical second choice, and her place price could be slim — but she's legitimate.

show5Unusual AccountML 3/1

Unusual Account (No. 5) rates 73.58 with an 18% career win rate and comes in at a fair 3/1. Trainer Carl Perry sends him out with Trevor Simpson, who is one of the more active jockeys on today's card. In a route race where pace can string out the field, a horse who grades third in our model and goes off at a middle price is a natural trifecta anchor — include him underneath the top two.

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Bottom line: Lethbridge is serving up a clean, fast track and a seven-race card with real teeth. Orth, Stratogale, and Bizzy Lizzy headline the free picks in the early going, while Deficit Maja stands out as the marquee play of the afternoon for subscribers. Full pace projections, exotic ticket breakdowns, and the complete Race 4–7 analysis are all waiting for you with a TrackWiz subscription. Good luck at the windows today.

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