Laurel Park Picks & Predictions — November 7, 2026

Herecomesthecptn is the second-highest rated at 58.33 and benefits from a Grade A trainer in Gary Capuano and a jockey who has posted a 20% win rate and 52% ITM rate over the past year. This is a maiden that hasn't broken through yet but the connections suggest patience and planning — Capuano is an A-grade trainer who doesn't typically waste spots. At 2/1 on the morning line, the place price won't be juicy, but the horse's rating and connections make it a credible threats to hit the board.

Mischief Mind at 9/2 has an interesting angle: a claiming price drop from $50,000 down to $35,000 is a significant class relief, and jockey Mychel Sanchez — who appears on today's Top 50 Jockeys list with a 26% win rate — adds meaningful firepower. The horse has placed in half its starts and owns a Grade A jockey who clearly believes there's a race to be won here. At a price that might be overlooked by casual bettors, Mischief Mind is a live exotics piece.

Betterpartofvalour brings the best recent race speed figure in this field — 11.91 seconds per furlong, well clear of the pack — and that's a meaningful edge in a sprint where early positioning can be decisive. The horse has 50% in-the-money rate from career starts and ranks third in workout times at 12.25 seconds per furlong. With trainer Michael Trombetta (B- grade) and jockey Horacio Karamanos (B grade), the connections are solid without being elite, but the raw speed figure here is legitimate.

Jersey Corn is an interesting show play backed by one of the stronger trainer-jockey combinations on the card — a 39% win rate and 75% ITM rate together over the past year for the Sanchez-Pino tandem. Workout times rank second in this field at 12.12 seconds per furlong, suggesting the horse is sharp heading in. The only concern is a failed effort last time out, but in a wide-open maiden field, connections this strong are worth including in exotics at 3/1.

Coco No Loco is the second-highest rated at 79.27 and brings genuine pace presence — third-best recent race speed figure in the field at 12.99 seconds per furlong. The horse has placed in three of five dirt starts and jockey Carlos Eduardo Lopez has a 20% win rate and 52% ITM rate. The main concern is real though: just one in-the-money finish from seven tries at the mile distance is a glaring number. The TrackWiz model still rates this horse highly, but distance limitations are worth acknowledging in your wagering.

Mr Skinny at 12/1 is a legitimate show value play with a specific angle: won the last time out at today's surface and distance, and owns a two-win, two in-the-money record from three tries at the mile. A claiming price drop from $8,000 to $6,000 provides class relief, and that surface/distance win history suggests this horse knows how to get the job done in exactly this scenario. At big odds, Mr Skinny is a worthwhile exotics inclusion and a live show bet.

Awesome Law is listed at even money on the morning line and comes with the same powerful trainer-jockey tandem as Jack Rabbitness in Race 3 — Sheldon and Brittany Russell with a 38% win rate and 75% ITM rate together over the past year, and Sheldon individually at 30% wins and 66% ITM. The horse ranks second in this field's ratings at 60.0 and has the best recent race speed figure in the field at 12.47 seconds per furlong. Even in a maiden event where question marks abound, those connections alone make Awesome Law a near-certainty to be involved at the finish.

Cass Nine at 9/2 brings a Grade A jockey in Jeiron Barbosa — who has a 22% win rate and 58% ITM rate over the past year — into a field where pilot quality is a genuine differentiator. The horse ranks third in ratings at 54.17 and has a 50% in-the-money rate from prior starts. The workout times are a concern (ranked 12th in the field), but in a loose, wide-open maiden turf mile, having an elite jockey on board can cover a lot of ground, literally and figuratively.

Happy Encounter is a genuine value play at 15/1 on the morning line given a rating of 69.58 — second-best in this field. The recent form is excellent: four consecutive in-the-money finishes and a 80% career ITM rate that's among the best on today's card. The speed figure ranks second in this field (12.53 sec/furlong), and the dirt form shows one win and four ITM finishes from five starts. The claiming price increase from $16,000 to $20,000 is a minor concern, suggesting connections see upside, but at these odds, place money here looks like terrific value.

Can Am Winner gives the show slot at 3/1 and brings a timely angle — won last time out, as recently as October 10. The horse's recent race speed figure ranks third in this field (12.57 sec/furlong) and the career record on paper shows a 50% win rate and 50% ITM rate from limited starts. The claiming price jump from $16,000 to $25,000 is the concern — connections are asking this horse to step up in class off a win, which sometimes works and sometimes doesn't. Still, recent winning form at this distance and surface earns a spot in your show exotics.

Dream Overture at 9/5 on the morning line is essentially the co-favorite and earns it — a rating of 84.63, second-best in the field, and three in-the-money finishes in the last three races with four of six recently. Jockey Forest Boyce earns an A grade with a 21% win rate and 57% ITM rate over the past year. A 33% career win rate is notably strong, and the horse's connections (Bailes, an A-grade trainer) carry plenty of juice. At near-chalk odds, Dream Overture belongs in your win-place coverage alongside the top pick.

Honor Our Country rounds out the show pick at 9/2 and brings a quietly impressive form profile — placed in five of the last six races and three straight in-the-money finishes coming in. The Jaime Rodriguez-Jamie Ness combination has a 23% win rate and 56% ITM rate together over the past year. The horse owns a 66% career ITM rate and ranks third in this field's ratings at 74.38. At a reasonable price in a trifecta with two strong top picks, Honor Our Country is a solid exotics anchor.

Chasing Sunsets ranks second in the ratings at 71.8 and owns the second-best recent race speed figure in this field at 12.03 seconds per furlong, just behind Pinotslilgirl's 11.93. Jockey Martin Chuan has a 22% win rate and 61% ITM rate — excellent numbers — and the trainer Kevin Joy earns an A grade. The concern is a rest pattern that shows only 21 days between starts when this horse performs better on 30 or more days rest. That's a flag worth noting, but the class and speed are real.

Pinotslilgirl offers an interesting show play — the horse owns the best recent race speed figure in this field at 11.93 seconds per furlong and has placed in four consecutive races. The dirt form is outstanding: eight wins and 12 in-the-money finishes from 17 starts. The 40% career win rate is elite. At 4/1, there's a case that Pinotslilgirl should be higher in the wagering order — this horse has the raw speed to threaten for the win and figures to at least hit the board.

Take On the Jewels at 10/1 is the most intriguing play on the ticket — a rating of 76.07 that's second-best in the field, two in-the-money finishes from three sprint starts, and two of three recent races resulting in a board finish. Those sprint credentials are specifically relevant here at 5.5 furlongs on the turf. The main knock is an age disadvantage of 1.7 years over the field average, but the sprint form is current and credible. At 10/1, the place price could be excellent value if Matadora runs as the heavy favorite.

Feather Wish closes the card's show spot at 6/1 with the best recent race speed figure in this field at 12.32 seconds per furlong — a meaningful edge in a sprint where early pace positioning matters. The concern is a cold recent form line: just one in-the-money finish in the last five starts, and nothing in the last four. That streak of misses is real and can't be ignored. However, that speed figure says the talent is there, and trainer Damon Dilodovico (B- grade) may have timed a return to form for a big spot.