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Fort Erie Picks & Predictions — June 29, 2026

June 29, 20266 racesAll Fort Erie picks

This card ran on June 29, 2026.

Best bets at Fort Erie, June 29, 2026

Race 12Where Is EssaML 8/54:30 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 4 races are for members.

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Here's our expert breakdown of today's 6-race card at Fort Erie. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 6 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

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Race 1

4:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Where Is Essa towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win2Where Is EssaML 8/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.1 for Race 1. Ridden by Juan Crawford, trained by Sharon Ceccato. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.24 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 27% win rate and finished in the money in 70% of races. 6 wins and placed in 17 of 26 races on Dirt tracks. Claiming Price Decreased from $6000 to $4000. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place4CantucciML 7/2

Rating board at 83.4. Ridden by Brian A. Cheyne. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.62 sec/furlong. 2 wins and placed in 6 of 8 races at Fort Erie.

show6Action PointML 6/1

Rating board at 63.4. Ridden by Michael David. 3 wins and placed in 13 of 24 races on Dirt tracks. Has 1 wins and placed in 5 of 7 races at 6 fur.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

4:58 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

Bet-down spot for Captain Clutch — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win3Captain ClutchML EVN

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 90.0 for Race 2. Career win rate of 33% shows consistency. Ridden by Kemarie Blackett, trained by Anthony Adamo. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.33 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 3 of 3 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 3 of the last 3 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 3 of 3 of Sprint races. Horse won last time it raced. 05/31/2026. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place4Her ObsessionML 3/1

Rating board at 61.4. Ridden by Desean Bynoe. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.86 sec/furlong. Claiming Price Decreased from $7500 to $4000.

show6Ring BitML 10/1

Rating board at 59.0. Ridden by Leo Salles. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.70 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 3 of 4 races at Fort Erie.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

5:26 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

Standout on paper: Wicked Mercury grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win4Wicked MercuryML 7/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.5 for Race 3. Career win rate of 21% shows consistency. Ridden by Kemarie Blackett, trained by Anthony Adamo. Has placed in 4 of the last 5 races. Has 4 wins and placed in 14 of 19 of Sprint races. Has not raced in 266 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 12.13 sec/furlong. 4 wins and placed in 15 of 29 races on Turf tracks. Claiming Price Decreased from $6250 to $4000. Horse won last time it raced. 10/06/2025. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place7Really ThirstyML 9/2

Rating board at 84.9. Ridden by Brian A. Cheyne. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.58 sec/furlong. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 12.13 sec/furlong.

show6FairhopecurlyML 7/2

Rating board at 81.9. Ridden by Michael David. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.68 sec/furlong. 2 wins and placed in 4 of 8 races on Turf tracks.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 4

5:54 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Ashcar Nellie is the class of the rating board here, with the next-best a meaningful step behind.

win2Ashcar NellieML 9/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.9 for Race 4. Career win rate of 31% shows consistency. Ridden by Da-Sean Zavier Gaskin, trained by Kevin Buttigieg. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.95 sec/furlong. 4 wins and placed in 10 of 12 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 9 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 4 of 4 races at 5 1/2 fur. 5 wins and placed in 12 of 15 races at Fort Erie. Jockey & Horse combo has a 13% win rate and finished in the money in 42% of races. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance.

place6TrevessML 7/2

Rating board at 69.0 • 21% career wins. Ridden by Helen Marie Vanek. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.10 sec/furlong. 10 wins and placed in 23 of 44 races on Dirt tracks.

show7Chrome's Big BreakML 6/1

Rating board at 65.7 • 36% career wins. Ridden by Kirk Johnson. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.94 sec/furlong. 5 wins and placed in 10 of 13 races on Dirt tracks.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

6:22 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Bingo's Grind looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win6Bingo's GrindML 6/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 82.7 for Race 5. Ridden by Kirk Johnson, trained by Michael V. Cohen. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.15 sec/furlong. 2 wins and placed in 6 of 7 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 6 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 7 of 9 of Sprint races. 2 wins and placed in 7 of 8 races at Fort Erie. Jockey & Horse combo has a 14% win rate and finished in the money in 39% of races. Claiming Price Decreased from $10000 to $8000.

place8Paperback HeroML 9/2

Rating board at 73.7. Ridden by Helen Marie Vanek. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.99 sec/furlong. 9 wins and placed in 30 of 36 races on Dirt tracks.

show5Truly MischiefML 5/2

Rating board at 68.1. Ridden by Jeffrey Ian Alderson. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.28 sec/furlong. 7 wins and placed in 18 of 25 races on Dirt tracks.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 6

6:50 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 7 fur · Turf

Mulmur towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win5MulmurML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 6. Ridden by Steve Jadoo, trained by Roy George Agostino. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.23 sec/furlong. Has placed in 2 of the last 3 races. Placed in 2 of 3 races at Fort Erie. Has placed in 2 of 3 at Sprint races. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place6Speedy ConnectionML 2/1

Rating board at 63.8. Ridden by Xarel Forde.

show3AlzadoML 6/1

Rating board at 51.9. Ridden by Alexis Sanchez. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.48 sec/furlong. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 12.07 sec/furlong.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

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