Finger Lakes Picks & Predictions — September 22, 2026

Merry Meredith checks in at 55.83 — just behind the top two — and teams Keiber J. Coa with trainer M. Anthony Ferraro, a barn with a strong footprint at this meet. The 7/2 morning line is fair, and her average speed figure of 54 keeps her in the mix with the leaders. Ferraro has a knack for placing first-time starters effectively, and Coa's experience around Finger Lakes makes this a sneaky-sharp combo.

Autumn Fire at 4/1 rounds out the TrackWiz top three at a 55.0 rating and also averages 54 in her speed figures. Trainer Ralph D'Alessandro knows this track well — he's got multiple entrants on today's card — and Chris Russell is up for the sprint. In an all-debut field where any of the top four could hit the board, Autumn Fire at a slightly generous morning line is a sensible show play and a useful trifecta piece.

Street Cop Officer rates second overall at 78.11 and draws post 7, which in a mile race at Finger Lakes sets up a stalker's trip rather than a speed-favoring draw. Trainer Eduardo Maver Jr. has her at 5/1 on the morning line, and Jacqueline A. Davis picks up the mount. An 8% career win rate is workable in this spot, and the rating says she's the most legitimate threat to the top pick — she's a solid place play and a core exotics piece.

Four Top is the morning-line favorite at 5/2 despite sitting third in the TrackWiz ratings at 75.67 — that price gap is worth noting. The 13% career win rate is the best among the top three picks, which tells you this horse has been competitive and finds the winner's circle with some regularity. Luis E. Perez gets the call for trainer M. Anthony Ferraro, a strong in-meet combination. If the top two are overbet, Four Top could be the one that lands the place or show spot at a shorter price than the board might reflect.

Immortal Poet is right there at 71.52 in the ratings and boasts a 16% career win rate — among the better career percentages in this field. Trainer Thalia Areche also has Lady of Mercia in this race, which occasionally signals a barn with a strong entry, and Nazario Alvarado is a solid booking. Her average speed figure of 54 is actually the joint-best in the field, meaning she's running fast enough to compete with the top pick — she's a legitimate place contender and a key trifecta player.

Lady Banker rates third overall at 70.47 and is priced at 5/1 under trainer Ralph D'Alessandro, who is clearly active at this meet. Luis E. Perez takes the mount, and while a 3% career win rate is a red flag for win purposes, the strong composite rating says her current form cycle is better than that number implies. In an 11-horse sprint where pace will get messy early, a closer with a high rating and some positional flexibility can easily sweep up a show spot.

Wingo Starr is the second-best rated horse in the field at 78.23, with an average speed of 53 and a 5/1 morning line that provides some value. Trainer William H. Bartlett puts Jacqueline A. Davis in the irons for a horse that appears to have enough form to be a clear second-best. If the top pick dominates as his rating suggests he might, Wingo Starr is the most likely horse to collect the place check in this Maiden Special Weight sprint.

Speightful Storm comes in third in the ratings at 73.41 and is actually the morning-line second choice at 5/2 — meaning the market may have him slightly underrated by TrackWiz's model but has identified his quality. Trainer H. James Bond teams with Reylu Gutierrez, a pairing worth noting. An average speed figure of 54 is solid for this level, and if the race pace gets hot early, he's got the profile to come on late and grab a piece — he's a natural fit in the exotics underneath Charlie My Boy.

Ava's Uncle Billy is essentially a co-favorite in the ratings at 85.62 — just 0.41 points behind Sutton Breeze — and a 17% career win rate tells you she gets there regularly. Trainer Chris J. Englehart puts Andre Shivnarine Worrie up, and the 4/1 morning line gives her a slight overlay compared to her credentials. She's not just a place play — she could easily win this — but with Sutton Breeze edging her in the ratings, she's slotted here as a strong secondary play and the first leg of the exacta.

Coach Bahe represents a sneaky good value at 8/1 on the morning line. A 20% career win rate is nothing to dismiss, and the 61.51 rating is meaningfully above the middle of the pack in this field. Trainer Jonathan B. Buckley sends Kevin Navarro out for a horse that might be getting overlooked with two heavy hitters drawing most of the attention. In a race where the top two could cancel each other out in a pace duel, Coach Bahe at big odds is exactly the kind of show play that rewards the patient bettor.

Only La Duss sits second in the ratings at 71.65 and averages 52 in her speed figures — both metrics put her clearly ahead of the bottom half of this field. Trainer Thalia Areche — who also has a horse in Race 5 today — teams with Kevin Navarro, a confident booking. At 5/1 on the morning line, she offers a touch of value as a place play and makes sense as the top half of an exacta underneath the dominant top pick.

Mizty Fog is the morning-line second choice at 5/2 with a 69.54 TrackWiz rating, and trainer Beth Miller-Saul sends her out with Jose Baez. The 52 average speed figure matches Only La Duss at the top of the field's speed tier, and the market clearly respects her despite being rated third in our model. She's a natural show play and show-bet anchor — if the top pick dominates and anything disrupts the second-rated horse, Mizty Fog is right there to collect.