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Finger Lakes Picks & Predictions — September 8, 2026

September 8, 20268 racesAll Finger Lakes picks

This card ran on September 8, 2026.

Best bets at Finger Lakes, September 8, 2026

Race 14BetaML 5/212:55 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 6 races are for members.

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Last 30 days at Finger Lakes: our top pick won 11 of 58 races (19%) and finished in the money in 33.

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Finger Lakes is rolling out an eight-race all-dirt card this Tuesday afternoon under comfortable conditions — 76°F and partly cloudy, which should keep the track playing consistent and fair all day. No weather excuses, no tricky surface variables. Just horse racing, straight up.

The card leans heavily on route distances, with five of eight races going a mile or longer. That shapes a pace-centric day where stamina and trip handicapping matter more than raw early speed. If you like grinding out value in routes, today's card was built for you.

We've got three free races unlocked for every TrackWiz reader — including a Maiden Special Weight mile that we think is wide open — plus five premium races behind the paywall where some of the most interesting angles are hiding, including a legitimate double-digit morning-line price we're circling hard.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Two standout TrackWiz ratings sit well clear of the field in this mile claiming opener, but the morning line suggests the market may be undervaluing the top-rated horse — making the top-bottom order the real question.

win4BetaML 5/2

Beta carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.81 and posts a 22% career win rate, which is solid for a claiming level runner going a flat mile on dirt. Trainer Michael S. Ferraro puts Luis E. Perez in the irons — a sharp combo to note at any level. With an average speed figure of 52, Beta isn't flashy on paper, but the overall profile grades out as the most complete horse in this field by a meaningful margin.

place7Fiery HeartML 3/1

Fiery Heart is the horse to beat if Beta hits any trouble — a 34% career win rate is the best in the field by a country mile and that kind of strike rate at any level demands respect. Kevin Navarro gets the call for Jonathan B. Buckley, and with a TrackWiz rating of 85.55, this one grades just a tick behind our top choice. At 3/1 on the morning line, Fiery Heart offers solid place value for exotic players looking to anchor the second spot.

show1Retail ManML 4/1

Retail Man opens at 4/1 and carries a TrackWiz rating of 54.43 — a clear step below the top two, but worth including in multi-leg exotics at a fair price. The 13% career win rate is modest, but Keiber J. Coa is a capable hand who can find pockets in a one-mile dirt race. Use Retail Man underneath in trifectas as a hedge against a pace-influenced result.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

1:24 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Carol Said No towers over a six-horse 5.5-furlong field on the ratings, but Tale of the Tail and Bayou Melody offer sneaky value underneath in what could be a front-loaded pace scenario.

win4Carol Said NoML 5/2

Carol Said No tops this field with a TrackWiz rating of 87.81 — matching the highest mark we've seen on the day — and backs it up with a 22% career win rate. Trainer Ralph D'Alessandro also has Zhen Lou in the race, but it's Carol Said No drawing the more favorable number 4 post with Andre Shivnarine Worrie up. At 5/2 on the morning line, the price isn't huge, but the edge in the ratings here is decisive enough to warrant full confidence as the win selection.

place1Tale of the TailML 5/1

Tale of the Tail lands on our place ticket thanks to a 72.17 TrackWiz rating and a 20% career win rate — the best winning percentage among the horses we're targeting in this race. Trainer Linda K. Dixon sends her out from the rail with Nazario Alvarado, and an average speed figure of 54 ties her with several rivals at the top of the speed ladder. At 5/1 on the morning line, the place payoff here could be genuinely rewarding.

show5Bayou MelodyML 10/1

Bayou Melody is a sneaky show-spot inclusion at 10/1 on the morning line. A 26% career win rate is the highest in the entire field — that's a horse who knows how to finish the job when conditions click. Trainer Arcadio Lopez sends her out with Jacqueline A. Davis, and with an average speed figure matching the best in the field at 54, the raw ability is clearly there. Don't overlook her in trifecta or superfecta construction.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our three free best bets span a solid cross-section of today's card. In Race 1, Beta (5/2 ML, TrackWiz rating 87.81) draws us in on the claiming mile — top rating on the board and a morning line that suggests the market agrees. Race 2 flips to a 5½-furlong sprint where Carol Said No (5/2 ML, 87.81) matches Beta's rating exactly, making for a sharp early double target if the prices hold. Then Race 3 gives us the day's first maiden special weight route, and Kozy Bee (7/2 ML, 82.89) is the pick in what looks like a winnable spot for a horse with upside.

One thread connecting these free picks: all three are on the dirt at a track that's playing honest today, no weather-induced bias to navigate. Straightforward handicapping, solid ratings — good starting points for building your ticket.

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Race 3

1:53 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Dirt

A wide-open maiden special weight at a mile where none of these horses have broken their maiden — the TrackWiz ratings separate the contenders, with a surprise overlay lurking at double-digit odds.

win5Kozy BeeML 7/2

Kozy Bee tops the TrackWiz ratings in this maiden field at 82.89 and posts the best average speed figure among the contenders at 53. Trainer Katlynn Gutterson saddles her with Steven Fret, and at 7/2 on the morning line, she's reasonably priced for a horse grading this clearly above her rivals. In a maiden field where past performances are limited, leaning on the strongest overall profile is the smart play.

place4Mizty FogML 12/1

Here's the value angle — Mizty Fog opens at 12/1 on the morning line despite carrying a TrackWiz rating of 73.96, the second-best in the field. Beth Miller-Saul conditions her with Jose Baez in the irons, and her average speed figure of 52 is right in line with the top contenders. If the market hasn't adjusted her price significantly by post time, Mizty Fog is a genuine overlay for place and exotic play.

show3Alma's LawML 2/1

Alma's Law is the morning line favorite at 2/1 and carries a respectable 68.64 TrackWiz rating with Kevin Navarro aboard for trainer Jose M. Jimenez. The market clearly respects her, and she's a logical show anchor for conservative bettors. She slots in third on our ratings, but at short odds, the best way to play her is underneath in exactas and trifectas rather than on top.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

2:22 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A tightly contested mile claiming event where three horses are bunched within two points on the TrackWiz ratings — the top selection carries a morning line that suggests the market is sleeping on the best horse in the field.

win1The Brown EggML 6/1

The Brown Egg tops our ratings at 82.71 while opening at a generous 6/1 on the morning line — that gap between rating and price is exactly the kind of overlay TrackWiz analysis is designed to find. Joel Cruz takes the mount for trainer Lisa A. Reed, and a 20% career win rate is the best among the top-rated trio in this race. Going a flat mile on dirt, this is a horse whose profile fits the conditions, and the value at the probable morning line price is hard to ignore.

place4One MorerepML 5/2

One Morerep is right behind at 81.38 on the TrackWiz scale and draws the 5/2 morning line — the crowd's favorite. Andre Shivnarine Worrie handles the ride for Paul W. Barrow, and an average speed figure of 53 edges out our win pick. The 6% career win rate is low, but in a field this tight at the top, One Morerep is too well-rated to leave off the ticket.

show8Fiscal DragML 7/2

Fiscal Drag rounds out a remarkably tight top three with an 81.30 TrackWiz rating — essentially a dead heat on paper with One Morerep. Luis E. Perez rides for Ralph D'Alessandro, who is among the more active trainers on today's card, and an average speed figure of 52 keeps this one in the mix. At 7/2 on the morning line, Fiscal Drag is a solid show option and an important piece of any trifecta ticket.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 5

2:51 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A ten-horse maiden special weight going a mile and 70 yards produces a clear top two on the ratings, but the large field and maiden conditions keep the outcome genuinely uncertain — pace shape and early position will matter on the cutback.

win7Tony HooksML 9/2

Tony Hooks leads all runners with an 84.90 TrackWiz rating and draws post 7 with Emanuel De Diego aboard for trainer James S. Acquilano. An average speed figure of 52 is respectable for a maiden going this distance, and the overall profile grades out as the most complete in a large, inexperienced field. At 9/2 on the morning line, there's legitimate value baked into the price relative to the rating edge.

place8Poppy's TicketML 4/1

Poppy's Ticket checks in at 81.42 on the TrackWiz scale — a strong second-best — with trainer Chris J. Englehart sending her out with Andre Shivnarine Worrie. An average speed figure of 53 is actually the best in the field, which suggests raw speed is there even if the overall rating ranks her second. At 4/1 on the morning line, she's a must-include on place tickets and a logical exacta partner with our top selection.

show6Baby MeanieML 6/1

Baby Meanie earns the show spot with a 69.25 TrackWiz rating and a 6/1 morning line that represents fair value in a field this size. Trainer Ralph D'Alessandro has been busy on today's card, and Christopher Elliott gets the mount. An average speed figure of 52 puts her right in the mix with the top contenders, and in a ten-horse maiden field, having a solid third option in your trifecta is essential.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 6

3:20 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

The crowd is pointing toward Wild Banker at 3/1, but our TrackWiz ratings tell a completely different story — the real value in this nine-horse mile-and-70-yard claimer is hiding much further down the morning line.

win4StjamesML 10/1

Stjames opens at 10/1 on the morning line yet carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 76.88 — that's a significant discrepancy that's hard to ignore. Christopher Elliott takes the mount for trainer Rachel Sells, and while a 7% career win rate is modest, the overall rating profile suggests this is a horse capable of a career-best effort at a price. In a nine-horse field where the morning line favorite ranks near the bottom of our ratings, Stjames is our primary value play of the race.

place3It's Not Over YetML 6/1

It's Not Over Yet grades second in our ratings at 69.92 with a 15% career win rate and Andre Shivnarine Worrie up for trainer Lisa A. Reed. An average speed figure of 52 keeps this one competitive through the mile-plus distance, and at 6/1 on the morning line, the place price should be solid. This is a horse that can run down leaders late on a surface where early pace often gets tested going the extra yards.

show7Street Cop OfficerML 6/1

Street Cop Officer slots in at 68.39 on the TrackWiz scale and also opens at 6/1 — making the top three on our board a genuinely playable spread in exotics. Jacqueline A. Davis rides for trainer Eduardo Maver Jr., and the 8% career win rate won't scare anyone off. The key here is that Street Cop Officer's rating clusters tightly with our top two, and in a race where the public is overweighting a horse our model doesn't like, the trifecta structure gets very interesting.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 7

3:49 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi · Dirt

An allowance field at a mile where the top TrackWiz rating is decisive, but a couple of live underdogs — including one with a 33% career win rate — could make the exotics very interesting.

win1Gray Haired GusML 7/2

Gray Haired Gus sits well clear of this allowance field with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating and backs it up with an 18% career win rate at this level. Kevin Navarro gets the call for trainer Jonathan B. Buckley — the same barn that has Fiery Heart on our board in Race 1 today. An average speed figure of 53 is among the best in the race, and at 7/2 on the morning line, the price is fair for a horse whose rating margin over the field is this clear.

place3MandalorianML 6/1

Mandalorian is the horse that makes this race dangerous for win bettors — a 33% career win rate is exceptional and demands respect regardless of the rating gap. Trainer Rachel Sells sends him with Emanuel De Diego, and an average speed figure of 53 matches the top pick stride for stride on raw figures. At 6/1 on the morning line, Mandalorian is the kind of high-percentage horse who can close out a win on any given day, making him the logical place selection.

show2Take the GoldML 5/1

Take the Gold is a fair third option in this allowance race at 5/1 on the morning line with a 63.55 TrackWiz rating. Joel Cruz rides for M. Anthony Ferraro, and while a 7% career win rate is the lowest among our selections, the class of an allowance field means a horse doesn't need a big win history to earn a check. Take the Gold slots nicely into trifecta tickets as the third piece behind two more accomplished rivals.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 8

4:18 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The nightcap is a six-furlong maiden claiming sprint where the TrackWiz ratings uncover a clear top selection hiding behind a soft 6/1 morning line — and two other logical contenders cluster tightly just behind her.

win5CrystalML 6/1

Crystal is our top-rated horse in this field at 82.71 — a full twelve points clear of the next contenders — yet opens at 6/1 on the morning line, suggesting the public hasn't fully caught up to her profile. Nazario Alvarado gets the mount for trainer Luis Gutierrez, and an average speed figure of 52 is right in line with the top of the field. In a maiden claiming sprint where the ratings separation is this pronounced, Crystal is the horse to be on.

place3Maizey BlueML 5/2

Maizey Blue edges out Peruvian Princess by the slimmest margin on our ratings — 70.94 to 70.91 — and draws the 5/2 morning line as the crowd's choice. Reylu Gutierrez handles the mount for trainer Luis Gutierrez, meaning the same barn has both the 5/2 and our top selection in the race, which is worth noting. An average speed figure of 52 keeps Maizey Blue firmly in the mix, and if Crystal falters, she's the most likely beneficiary.

show2Peruvian PrincessML 3/1

Peruvian Princess is essentially a coin flip with Maizey Blue on the numbers at 70.91, and she opens at 3/1 with Jeremias Flores up for trainer Paul W. Barrow. An average speed figure of 53 is actually the best of these three top contenders, hinting at some raw ability that the overall rating may be partially discounting. At 3/1 for a show ticket, Princess is a fair play, and she rounds out a tight but logical trifecta combination.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

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Bottom line: Beta and Carol Said No give you a sharp early-double foundation, Kozy Bee is the free-race maiden play to know, and the back half of this card has serious exotic potential — especially with Stjames lurking at double digits in Race 6. Subscribers get the full roadmap. Unlock the complete card at /pricing and let's make a day of it at the Finger Lakes.

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