Finger Lakes Picks & Predictions — August 5, 2026

Constant Chaos is the morning line second choice at 2/1 and rates second in the field at 65.93 — a meaningful gap below Rockinmoney, but well ahead of the rest. Trainer Jonathan B. Buckley sends out Joel Cruz, and a 16% career win rate in allowance company is respectable. She looks like a clean place play and a must-use in the exacta underneath the favorite.

Hoity Moroni at 62.64 is the third-rated horse in a five-horse field and shows the same average speed figure as the top two. The 5/1 morning line makes her an interesting show bet and a viable third in the trifecta — trainer Assaf Ronen puts Jacqueline A. Davis up, and at those odds there's enough overlay potential to make her worth including.

Nice Baby rates 76.89 and posts a 23% career win rate — one of the better marks in the field — for trainer Anthony Adamo with Sofia Vives aboard. At 7/2 on the morning line she's fairly priced, and her numbers put her firmly in the second tier just behind our top pick. She's a natural place coverage horse in exactas whether Follow Your Arrow wins or not.

Bayou Melody is the value play of the race at 10/1 morning line, yet she rates 73.66 and carries a 27% career win rate — both figures that would make her a short-priced favorite in a lesser spot. Trainer Arcadio Lopez sends her out with Emanuel De Diego up, and if the pace gets contested early between the speed types, she could be closing into a hot pace scenario. Don't overlook her in trifectas at a potential overlay price.

Concrete Kid is nearly King Solomon's equal on our model at 81.21 and goes as the 3/1 morning line second choice — more respected by oddsmakers but still offering place value. Trainer Paul W. Barrow uses Oscar Gomez, and his 54 average speed is one of the field's better marks. He's the logical exacta pairing with our top pick, and if the favorite underperforms, he's right there.

Le Midi's Treasure draws attention with a 55 average speed figure — the best in the field — for Hall of Fame-caliber conditioner Saffie A. Joseph, Jr., who doesn't typically bring horses to Finger Lakes without a plan. She's 7/2 morning line with Sofia Vives up, and while her TrackWiz rating of 55.83 trails the top two by a wide margin, that speed figure and trainer pedigree make her a compelling show play and a worthwhile trifecta inclusion.

Asleep At Eight rates 83.06 — just a hair below our top pick — and gets the key outside post at 9/2 for trainer Charlton Baker with Andre Shivnarine Worrie up. Her 12% career win rate is modest, but in a race this competitive, placing consistently matters more than outright wins, and she's the type who should be right there at the wire. She's a must-use underneath Stevie Wonderful in exactas.

Not for Hire completes a three-way ratings cluster at 82.87 and goes as the 4/1 third choice — a sign that oddsmakers see what our model sees. Kevin Navarro pilots for Jonathan B. Buckley, a trainer who runs multiple horses today and appears to have his barn firing. At that price she's legitimate show value, and with three horses within two rating points of each other, the trifecta in any order among these three is worth boxing.

Squire Creek is the hidden speed angle in this race — his 56 average speed figure is the best in the entire field, a meaningful edge in a sprint where early position often dictates the outcome. Trainer Amy Albright sends out Yabriel O. Ramos at 4/1, and a 14% career win rate in optional claiming company is workmanlike but functional. If he gets loose on the lead, he could outrun his 76.44 rating.

Pompous Prince rates 69.9 and shows a 27% career win rate — the second-best mark in the field — making him a reliable piece to use in multi-race exotics. Trainer M. Anthony Ferraro puts Keiber J. Coa up at 5/2 morning line, and Coa is having an active day at this meet. He's the shortest-priced show option but legitimate enough at his rating to justify the inclusion in trifecta tickets.

Tremendous Bee is the morning line second choice at 5/2 and rates 57.5 for trainer Miguel Clement with Cesar Gonzalez aboard — a less familiar combination that might be flying under the radar. His 54 average speed figure ties him with Klum at the top of the field on that metric, and in a sprint where fractions matter, having the horse with early zip is a real asset. He's a solid exacta partner and shouldn't be dismissed just because he's not our top-rated horse.

Lookie Here rates 54.89 for trainer Bruce N. Levine — one of the sport's most respected conditioners — with Reylu Gutierrez in the irons at 4/1. Levine's horses tend to run their race consistently, and in a maiden field this unpredictable, having a well-conditioned horse at a fair price is a legitimate edge. She's worth including in trifecta combinations as a horse who should run close to her ability.