Daily Picks

Finger Lakes Picks & Predictions — August 10, 2026

Monday, August 10, 20269 racesFinger Lakes

Finger Lakes is putting up a nine-race card on Monday, August 10, and the conditions are about as cooperative as upstate New York gets in the dog days — cloudy skies and a comfortable 80°F. The dirt is going to be the story all day, and with no rain in the mix, expect a consistent surface that should reward horses with proven dirt form.

The card is a nice blend of claiming wars and some open maiden company, capped off with a stretch-test Maiden Special Weight route in Race 9 that looks like a genuine finisher's race. Three races are open to all TrackWiz readers, with full premium breakdowns covering the back half of the card for subscribers.

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Race 1

4:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Beta towers over this claiming mile field on the ratings, but Trainer Ferraro saddles two horses which could complicate the pace scenario — and It's Not Over Yet brings the best average speed figure in the field at 54.

win2BetaML 5/2

Beta is the clear class standout here with a TrackWiz rating of 87.81 — a full 15 points clear of the next closest rival. Trained by Michael S. Ferraro, who also has Mad Magic in the race, Beta brings a 22% career win rate to the table, the best in this field. At 5/2 on the morning line, the price isn't huge, but the edge is real and the numbers back it up.

place1FinalistML 5/1

Finalist at 5/1 is a sneaky inclusion for the exotics. A 72.11 TrackWiz rating and 18% career win rate puts Finalist solidly in the conversation for a piece, and trainer Nirka Huertas has a second runner in the race in Mr. Einstein, which can sometimes mean the stable is firing with intent. The distance — a mile and 70 yards — suits closers, and Finalist profiles as a horse who could sneak up late.

show4Mad MagicML 3/1

Mad Magic at 3/1 is the other Ferraro entry, and stablemates can set up beautifully for each other in a pace scenario. Posting a 66.99 rating and an 18% career win percentage, Mad Magic is no slouch — just slightly overshadowed by stablemate Beta. In a mile-plus race where tactics matter, don't throw this one out of your trifectas.

Race 2

5:24 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Candy Is Dandy sits atop the ratings in a wide-open claiming mile, but the morning line favorite Heavens Lee checks in well below her on the TrackWiz numbers — setting up a potential overlay situation at 5/1.

win3Candy Is DandyML 5/1

Candy Is Dandy posts the field's highest TrackWiz rating at 84.17 despite going off at 5/1 on the morning line — that gap between the ratings and the odds is exactly the kind of value angle worth targeting. Trainer David Oyola puts Emanuel De Diego aboard, and De Diego is a busy rider at Finger Lakes with plenty of track knowledge. The average speed figure of 52 is in line with the field, but it's the overall profile and rating separation that makes Candy Is Dandy stand out here.

place7Chardonnay DerbyML 3/1

Chardonnay Derby is the morning line favorite's closest rival on the ratings at 75.17 and brings the field's best average speed figure of 53. A 14% career win rate for trainer John A. Grabowski's runner suggests consistency rather than boom-or-bust — exactly the kind of profile that hits the board regularly in claiming company. Oscar Gomez takes the mount, and he's comfortable at this oval.

show2La DinamitaML 7/2

La Dinamita at 7/2 is intriguing despite a modest 4% career win percentage — that number can be misleading if the horse has been running at a higher level and is dropping in class or finding a softer spot. The 68.77 TrackWiz rating puts her third in the field, and trainer Jeremiah C. Englehart is a name worth respecting whenever he ships to a spot like this.

Race 3

5:53 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Maiden claiming sprints over 5½ furlongs are famously chaotic, but Anmolo opens as a genuine standout — her TrackWiz rating of 88.54 is nearly 20 points clear of the next rival, which is a massive edge in a maiden field.

win1AnmoloML 2/1

Anmolo carries a 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark in today's field by a wide margin — and opens at a fair 2/1 morning line. Trainer Nirka Huertas puts the polished Emanuel De Diego in the irons, a combination that signals this barn is meant to fire today. The average speed figure of 52 is solid for this 5½-furlong dash, and the overall profile screams 'best horse in the race.'

place4Chicago CharlieML 5/2

Chicago Charlie checks in second on the TrackWiz ratings at 70.56 and posts the field's top average speed figure of 53, which matters in a short sprint where pace and early kick are everything. Michael A. Davila, Jr. rides for trainer Luis Gutierrez — a local combination worth noting. At 5/2, the price is modest but the speed edge is real.

show6Jamaica ReddML 4/1

Jamaica Redd at 4/1 brings a 66.12 TrackWiz rating — third in this maiden field — and that's enough to warrant inclusion in exotics. Trainer Marvin Richards puts Steven Fret up, and in a seven-horse maiden field with several unknowns (War Runner and Maximum Warrior both show zero average speed), Jamaica Redd's form gives her a relative edge over part of the field. A pace that gets messy early could see her close into a show spot.

Our three free looks today span some of the most approachable races on the card. Race 1 sends us right to Beta — an 87.81 TrackWiz rating at a juicy 5/2 morning line in a route on the dirt. Route races at a mile and 70 yards tend to sort out on pace shape, and Beta profiles as exactly the kind of horse who benefits from a steady, honest pace. Over in Race 2, Candy Is Dandy is the name to know at 5/1 — that's the kind of morning line where you can get real value if the horse fires. Race 3 is a short sprint maiden claimer where Anmolo checks in as our top-rated horse on the card at 88.54 and opens at 2/1, which means the market agrees — this one could go off even lower by post time.

With a consistent dirt surface and no weather disruptions expected, early pace should be reliable across all three free races. Horses that can settle in behind a honest pace and pounce late look well-positioned throughout the afternoon.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:22 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Ragtime Prankster dominates the TrackWiz ratings in this six-furlong claiming sprint, but at 4/1 he's likely to be bet down — keep an eye on Midnight Musume at double-digit odds as a genuine pace threat.

win1Ragtime PranksterML 4/1

Ragtime Prankster leads this field with an 85.62 TrackWiz rating and posts one of the top average speed figures in the race at 54 — tied for best in the field. Trainer Donna Bireta puts John C. Berrios aboard, and the combination of raw speed and top rating makes this one of the cleaner win plays on today's card. In a six-furlong dirt sprint, front-running speed is a weapon, and Ragtime Prankster has it.

place6Western WolfML 3/1

Western Wolf sits second on the TrackWiz ratings at 75.44 and exits trainer James S. Acquilano's barn with Joel Cruz taking the call. Cruz is one of the more in-demand riders at Finger Lakes and gets on a horse with a 7% career win rate — respectable in claiming company. The 3/1 morning line suggests the market already respects this one, which is fine; he's a logical place horse in a race where the top two on ratings have meaningful separation.

show5Midnight MusumeML 10/1

Midnight Musume at 10/1 is the value ticket for show and exotic plays. The 68.40 TrackWiz rating puts her third in the field, and trainer Rachel Sells has Jeremias Flores up — a combination that's worth watching. Her 9% career win rate is modest, but in a six-furlong sprint with pace likely to be contested up front, a closer like Midnight Musume could be running hard late into third place.

Race 5

6:51 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Nine runners go six furlongs in this competitive claiming sprint, and Nurse Bunny holds a commanding ratings edge — but Change Order at 10/1 is the kind of price play that makes exotics fun when the numbers support it.

win2Nurse BunnyML 3/1

Nurse Bunny is the top-rated horse in this nine-horse field at 87.08 and opens at a very fair 3/1 on the morning line. Trainer Paul W. Barrow puts Kevin Navarro in the irons, and Navarro is a live rider at this meet. The 10% career win rate is solid for a claiming-level runner, and the average speed figure of 53 is right in line with the pace of this race. This is TrackWiz's top selection on the card today — clear ratings leader with fair odds.

place4Change OrderML 10/1

Change Order at 10/1 is the standout value play in this race. A 72.99 TrackWiz rating is third best in the field, and the average speed figure of 54 actually ties for the top mark among all runners. Trainer Ilmar Loaiza sends Nazario Alvarado out, and at double-digit odds with legitimate numbers, Change Order is exactly the type of overlay that makes the place spot in exotics profitable over time.

show5TeresaML 6/1

Teresa brings a 67.71 TrackWiz rating and, notably, a 14% career win rate — one of the highest in this field — for trainer Luis Gutierrez. The average speed figure of 54 ties for best in the race, and John C. Berrios has the mount. She's the kind of consistent performer who finds the board regularly in sprint claiming races, making her a safe show anchor for trifecta plays.

Race 6

7:20 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

This six-furlong Maiden Special Weight is a wide-open affair where Enterprisingly holds a massive TrackWiz advantage, but Anna Brocknana's blazing average speed figure of 56 — highest in the field — adds an unpredictable element to the pace setup.

win4EnterprisinglyML 5/2

Enterprisingly is the standout in this maiden field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — significantly ahead of the rest — and opens at a sensible 5/2 morning line. Trainer Jonathan B. Buckley puts Kevin Navarro aboard, the same rider who has been busy and productive at Finger Lakes. In MSW company, big rating edges tend to hold up more than in lower-level maiden claimers, and Enterprisingly's profile here is hard to fade.

place5Anna BrocknanaML 3/1

Anna Brocknana catches the eye immediately with the field's best average speed figure of 56 — four ticks faster than most of her rivals. Trainer Paul W. Barrow, who also has Well Documented in the race, sends Jeremias Flores out on this one, suggesting Anna Brocknana is the barn's preferred runner. In a six-furlong maiden sprint, raw early speed can absolutely steal a race — or at minimum guarantee a piece of the purse.

show2American PurpleML 5/1

American Purple at 5/1 posts a 53.33 TrackWiz rating and has trainer Michael S. Ferraro — one of the more active conditioners in this meet — pulling the strings. Keiber J. Coa takes the mount, and the combo is worth a look. While the average speed of 50 is the lowest in the field, maiden sprints can be chaotic and a horse sitting off a fast pace with some pace to close into could easily hit the board.

Race 7

7:49 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Lily's Army headlines at 2/1 with an eye-popping 50% career win rate and the field's top average speed figure, but the TrackWiz ratings tell a different story — Winston D and Tap It Easy both rate above her and offer better prices.

win7Winston DML 4/1

Winston D posts a 79.27 TrackWiz rating — tops in the field — and opens at 4/1, which represents genuine overlay value against the odds-on morning line favorite. Trainer Rachel Sells puts Christopher Elliott up on a horse who carries an 11% career win rate in claiming company. The average speed of 53 is among the better figures in the race, and the combination of top rating plus fair price is exactly the spot TrackWiz looks for in claiming sprints.

place5Tap It EasyML 3/1

Tap It Easy is just a whisker behind Winston D on the TrackWiz ratings at 78.61 and opens at 3/1. Trainer Richard Shaffer sends Jeremias Flores out, and a 7% career win rate is respectable for this level. The 52 average speed ties several rivals, but it's the overall rating profile — second best in the field — that makes Tap It Easy a natural place inclusion. These two ratings leaders could easily fill the exacta.

show3Army ProudML 5/1

Army Proud at 5/1 holds a 67.23 TrackWiz rating — third in the field — and gets Michael A. Davila, Jr. in for trainer Timothy P. Murphy. The 6% career win rate is modest, but Army Proud's rating edges out morning line favorite Lily's Army, which is a significant handicapping note. If the chalk gets caught up in pace trouble, Army Proud is perfectly positioned to pick up a show check.

Race 8

8:18 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

An allowance sprint over 5½ furlongs produces an intriguing mismatch — Back to Khali leads the TrackWiz ratings at 6/1 while the 5/2 morning line favorite My First Dinah checks in near the bottom of the field on the numbers.

win1Back to KhaliML 6/1

Back to Khali is our top selection in this allowance spot with an 82.71 TrackWiz rating — best in the field — while opening at a generous 6/1 morning line. Trainer Chris J. Englehart, who is very much a name in this region, puts Andre Shivnarine Worrie up on a horse with a 12% career win rate. In allowance company, the rating separation from the morning line favorite is notable, and 6/1 on the top-rated runner is the kind of edge worth exploiting.

place2Good MissionML 3/1

Good Mission at 3/1 is the most straightforward place play — 73.05 TrackWiz rating, 5% career win rate, and a best-in-field average speed figure of 54. Trainer Paul W. Barrow sends Jeremias Flores out in a race where Barrow also has Honorable Becky, so the connections clearly like this animal's chances. In a 5½-furlong sprint where pace matters enormously, Good Mission's speed figure is a legitimate asset.

show6Warrior Bunny ZeeML 5/1

Warrior Bunny Zee at 5/1 provides a solid third option with a 61.87 TrackWiz rating and 10% career win rate. Trainer Michael A. LeCesse has two runners today — also saddling Bald Kitten — and Warrior Bunny Zee draws the more experienced Keiber J. Coa aboard. In a seven-horse allowance field where the favorite may be overbet, Warrior Bunny Zee at a fair price is a natural trifecta anchor.

Race 9

8:47 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

The finale is a Maiden Special Weight route that sets up as a two-horse race on the ratings — Richies Love and Tony Hooks hold a significant edge over the rest of an eight-horse field, but Busy Busy Busy could complicate things at the right price.

win5Richies LoveML 2/1

Richies Love is the top-rated horse in this maiden field at an 88.54 TrackWiz rating and opens at a fair 2/1 — the morning line reflects the form. Trainer Michael Miceli puts Reylu Gutierrez on board, and Gutierrez has been a consistent presence in the irons at Finger Lakes. The average speed of 53 is tied for best in the field, and in a maiden route where class and consistency tend to prevail, Richies Love's profile is the strongest by a clear margin.

place8Tony HooksML 3/1

Tony Hooks sits second on the TrackWiz ratings at 67.95 and goes at 3/1 for trainer James S. Acquilano with Emanuel De Diego up — a combination that knows how to win at this oval. The average speed of 53 ties for best in the field, and a horse with legitimate form backing in a maiden mile-plus route is exactly the type you want in your exacta underneath the top pick. The gap between Tony Hooks and the rest of the field is real.

show4Busy Busy BusyML 5/1

Busy Busy Busy at 5/1 slots in third on the TrackWiz ratings at 64.55 with trainer Jonathan B. Buckley sending Kevin Navarro out — the same trainer-rider combo we've seen perform well today. The average speed of 51 is a tick below the leaders, but in a maiden route, pace scenario and trip can level the playing field. At 5/1, Busy Busy Busy is a reasonable show bet and a sensible trifecta inclusion to back up the top two.

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Bottom line: Beta, Candy Is Dandy, and Anmolo are your free plays today at Finger Lakes, with legitimate value scattered across all three. The full nine-race card has some real teeth, especially in the back half where pace scenarios get complicated and the exotic pools could offer serious overlays. Subscribers get the complete picture — unlock it all at /pricing and make every race count.

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